MMA Handicapper Stats: LBMW |
|
LBMW : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (41%) Losing Events: 30 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.44 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.15 units Best Event: 6.59 units Worst Event: -6.18 units Average Event: 0.03 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 11.17 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -21.46 |
LBMW : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
27.9 |
-0.9 |
-3% |
-1.2 / 17.8 (-7%) |
|
|
1 / 4 (20%) |
-0.18 |
2022 |
300.73 |
2.2 |
1% |
7.7 / 175.48 (4%) |
|
1.8 / 9.75 (19%) |
20 / 26 (43%) |
0.05 |
|
LBMW : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
LBMW : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
275.93 |
-12.2 |
-4% |
-6.6 / 156.23 (-4%) |
-5.8 / 112.45 (-5%) |
0.2 / 7.25 (3%) |
Bellator |
10.05 |
-2.0 |
-20% |
0.3 / 7.75 (3%) |
-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
15.85 |
3.0 |
19% |
3.8 / 9.25 (41%) |
-0.8 / 6.6 (-12%) |
|
Other |
26.8 |
12.6 |
47% |
9.1 / 20.05 (46%) |
1.9 / 4.25 (44%) |
1.6 / 2.5 (65%) |
|
LBMW : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
9 (5%) |
4 |
44 % |
18.90 |
-4.85 |
-0.54 |
-26% |
Slight Favorites |
47 (28%) |
28 |
60 % |
72.60 |
5.08 |
0.11 |
7% |
Slight Underdogs |
75 (45%) |
34 |
45 % |
78.98 |
11.49 |
0.15 |
15% |
Big Underdogs |
36 (22%) |
9 |
25 % |
22.80 |
-5.21 |
-0.14 |
-23% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (11%) |
9 |
47 % |
26.40 |
-1.83 |
-0.10 |
-7% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (10%) |
10 |
59 % |
23.48 |
9.69 |
0.57 |
41% |
Position 3-5 |
44 (26%) |
19 |
43 % |
46.00 |
-2.16 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
87 (52%) |
37 |
43 % |
97.40 |
0.81 |
0.01 |
1% |
|
LBMW : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
13 (8%) |
6 |
46 % |
15.60 |
3.63 |
0.28 |
23% |
Light Heavy |
14 (8%) |
9 |
64 % |
19.40 |
4.96 |
0.35 |
26% |
Middleweight |
20 (12%) |
10 |
50 % |
30.85 |
2.92 |
0.15 |
9% |
Welterweight |
22 (13%) |
12 |
55 % |
23.05 |
2.71 |
0.12 |
12% |
Lightweight |
29 (17%) |
12 |
41 % |
40.10 |
-4.83 |
-0.17 |
-12% |
Featherweight |
10 (6%) |
8 |
80 % |
10.30 |
10.54 |
1.05 |
102% |
Bantamweight |
18 (11%) |
3 |
17 % |
18.90 |
-6.87 |
-0.38 |
-36% |
Flyweight |
7 (4%) |
2 |
29 % |
6.25 |
-3.25 |
-0.46 |
-52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
34 (20%) |
13 |
38 % |
28.83 |
-3.30 |
-0.10 |
-11% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
0.60 |
0.89 |
0.45 |
148% |
Bantamweight |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
4.55 |
-0.63 |
-0.13 |
-14% |
Flyweight |
11 (7%) |
4 |
36 % |
10.20 |
-3.45 |
-0.31 |
-34% |
Strawweight |
16 (10%) |
6 |
38 % |
13.48 |
-0.11 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
7 (100%) |
5 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
7 |
5 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
50 (44%) |
23 |
46 % |
35-50% |
21 (18%) |
13 |
62 % |
<35% chance |
41 (36%) |
7 |
17 % |
|
114 |
44 |
39 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail LBMW 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
6.48 |
5.3 |
82% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,053.06 |
13th May |
Bellator 281 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,053.06 |
$1,042.53 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
10.6 |
-5.1 |
-48% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.53 |
$989.56 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
6.4 |
-0.7 |
-10% |
|
$9.90 |
$989.56 |
$983.11 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
8.65 |
-6.2 |
-71% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.11 |
$922.40 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
10.2 |
-5.8 |
-57% |
|
$9.22 |
$922.40 |
$869.09 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
7.55 |
-2.8 |
-37% |
|
$8.69 |
$869.09 |
$845.03 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
3.5 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
|
$8.45 |
$845.03 |
$843.62 |
24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
155% |
|
$8.44 |
$843.62 |
$863.24 |
25th Jun |
Cage Warriors 140 |
4.25 |
3.1 |
73% |
|
$8.63 |
$863.24 |
$890.12 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
21.15 |
-2.2 |
-10% |
|
$8.90 |
$890.12 |
$870.54 |
26th Jun |
Fury FC 65 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.71 |
$870.54 |
$861.83 |
1st Jul |
PFL 2022 #6 |
6.6 |
-2.7 |
-42% |
|
$8.62 |
$861.83 |
$838.13 |
2nd Jul |
UAE Warriors 30 |
4 |
6.2 |
155% |
|
$8.38 |
$838.13 |
$890.10 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
18.45 |
2.3 |
13% |
|
$8.90 |
$890.10 |
$910.84 |
8th Jul |
LFA 135 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.11 |
$910.84 |
$901.73 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
16.6 |
-4.7 |
-28% |
|
$9.02 |
$901.73 |
$859.29 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
16.25 |
5.0 |
31% |
|
$8.59 |
$859.29 |
$902.25 |
22nd Jul |
Cage Warriors 141 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
65% |
|
$9.02 |
$902.25 |
$916.88 |
22nd Jul |
Bellator 283 |
5.55 |
-0.9 |
-16% |
|
$9.17 |
$916.88 |
$908.86 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
13.25 |
-1.9 |
-14% |
|
$9.09 |
$908.86 |
$891.45 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
11 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$8.91 |
$891.45 |
$884.41 |
5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
3.75 |
0.4 |
12% |
|
$8.84 |
$884.41 |
$888.30 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
6 |
4.2 |
70% |
|
$8.88 |
$888.30 |
$925.48 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
10.6 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$9.25 |
$925.48 |
$928.08 |
20th Aug |
LFA 139 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
107% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.08 |
$958.78 |
20th Aug |
PFL 2022 #9 |
4 |
3.0 |
74% |
|
$9.59 |
$958.78 |
$987.16 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
7.85 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$9.87 |
$987.16 |
$984.08 |
26th Aug |
CFFC 112 |
1.75 |
1.0 |
57% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.08 |
$993.92 |
27th Aug |
LFA 140 |
1 |
1.2 |
120% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.92 |
$1,005.85 |
27th Aug |
One FC on Prime 1 |
1.95 |
1.8 |
94% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.85 |
$1,024.20 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
9.25 |
-1.2 |
-12% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.20 |
$1,012.40 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.40 |
$982.03 |
10th Sep |
LFA 141 |
1 |
1.6 |
160% |
|
$9.82 |
$982.03 |
$997.74 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
3.25 |
-1.0 |
-30% |
|
$9.98 |
$997.74 |
$988.01 |
13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.01 |
$973.19 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
10.5 |
6.6 |
63% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.19 |
$1,037.29 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.29 |
$1,029.51 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
5.3 |
-2.2 |
-41% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,029.51 |
$1,007.30 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
4.1 |
-2.4 |
-59% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.30 |
$982.93 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
9.5 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
|
$9.83 |
$982.93 |
$978.32 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
8.05 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.32 |
$973.23 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
11.55 |
1.9 |
17% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.23 |
$992.01 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
7.75 |
1.0 |
13% |
|
$9.92 |
$992.01 |
$1,001.90 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
4.25 |
3.6 |
85% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.90 |
$1,038.03 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.03 |
$1,001.70 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
3.7 |
-1.4 |
-39% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.70 |
$987.39 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
6.5 |
-0.9 |
-14% |
|
$9.87 |
$987.39 |
$978.63 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
1.25 |
-0.1 |
-8% |
|
$9.79 |
$978.63 |
$977.65 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
7.3 |
-0.7 |
-10% |
|
$9.78 |
$977.65 |
$970.45 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
9.15 |
2.3 |
25% |
|
$9.70 |
$970.45 |
$992.42 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
LBMW : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '23 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Julian Marquez |
1.80 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '23 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Jalin Turner |
1.58 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '23 |
Philipe Lins |
Ovince St Preux |
1.49 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '23 |
Marcin Prachnio |
William Knight |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '23 |
Blake Bilder |
Shane Young |
2.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Jan '23 |
Ismael Bonfim |
Terrance McKinney |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:17) |
|
|
7. |
Jan '23 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
Claudio Ribeiro |
1.89 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (0:28) |
|
|
8. |
Dec '22 |
Chris Curtis |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.38 |
0.75 |
TKO, R2 (2:49) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '22 |
Carlos Ulberg |
Nick Negumereanu |
1.80 |
1.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:44) |
|
|
10. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.67 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
11. |
Nov '22 |
Grant Dawson |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.48 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:5) |
|
|
12. |
Nov '22 |
Neil Magny |
Daniel Rodriguez |
1.83 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:33) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '22 |
Jun Yong Park |
Joseph Holmes |
1.47 |
4.3 |
Sub, R2 (3:4) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '22 |
Nikita Krylov |
Volkan Oezdemir |
1.59 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '22 |
Islam Makhachev |
Charles Oliveira |
1.66 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '22 |
Ilir Latifi |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.57 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '22 |
Andre Fili |
Bill Algeo |
1.80 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Sep '22 |
Nikolas Motta |
Cameron VanCamp |
1.61 |
1.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
|
|
19. |
Sep '22 |
Gillian Robertson |
Mariya Agapova |
1.69 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:19) |
|
|
20. |
Sep '22 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:27) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '23 |
DaMon Blackshear |
Farid Basharat |
4.80 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '23 |
Jessica Penne |
Tabatha Ricci |
3.50 |
0.4 |
Sub, R2 (2:14) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '23 |
Ciryl Gane |
Jon Jones |
2.42 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:4) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Feb '23 |
Josh Parisian |
Jamal Pogues |
3.15 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '23 |
Jordan Wright |
Zac Pauga |
3.50 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Erin Blanchfield |
1.87 |
2.3 |
Sub, R2 (1:37) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Feb '23 |
Parker Porter |
Justin Tafa |
2.15 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jan '23 |
Glover Teixeira |
Jamahal Hill |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jan '23 |
Zara Fairn Dos Santos |
Josiane Nunes |
5.30 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jan '23 |
Mounir Lazzez |
Gabriel Bonfim |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '23 |
Lauren Murphy |
Jessica Andrade |
4.90 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '23 |
Punahele Soriano |
Roman Kopylov |
1.71 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:19) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '22 |
Cheyanne Buys |
Cory McKenna |
1.53 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '22 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.68 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Nov '22 |
Julio Arce |
Montel Jackson |
2.70 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Nov '22 |
Brad Riddell |
Renato Moicano |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:20) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Nov '22 |
Frankie Edgar |
Chris Gutierrez |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:1) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '22 |
Carlos Candelario |
Jake Hadley |
3.20 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '22 |
Jinh Yu Frey |
Polyana Viana |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:47) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '22 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Amanda Lemos |
1.48 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
LBMW : Progress Chart |
|