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MMA Handicapper Stats: LukeGoldingMMA

LukeGoldingMMA (LukeGoldingMMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	80 (36%)	Right	26 (57%)	Right	51 (31%)	Right	3 (30%)
Wrong	142 (64%)	Wrong	20 (43%)	Wrong	115 (69%)	Wrong	7 (70%)
Avg Odds	2.91	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	3.35	Avg Odds	3.10
Units Bet	228.1	Units Bet	79.4	Units Bet	135.7	Units Bet	13.1
Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	1.73	Avg Bet	0.82	Avg Bet	1.31
Units Profit	14.36	Units Profit	6.00	Units Profit	7.20	Units Profit	1.16
ROI %	6%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	9%

LukeGoldingMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	20.75	-6.4	-31%	-1.9 / 9.9 (-20%)	-4.4 / 10.85 (-41%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	12	-4.2	-35%	-2.7 / 10.5 (-26%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	10.8	-0.7	-6%	1.5 / 0.5 (300%)	-0.7 / 8.8 (-8%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	1	1.4	140%	1.4 / 1 (140%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	5	-1.6	-32%	0.4 / 3 (13%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	15.15	-3.7	-25%	-3.0 / 5.75 (-52%)	-0.7 / 9.4 (-8%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	12.3	1.2	10%	1.6 / 2.7 (59%)	-0.4 / 9.6 (-4%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	15.2	6.0	39%	2.9 / 11.5 (25%)	3.1 / 3.7 (83%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	13.05	3.0	23%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	3.3 / 9.05 (37%)	1.7 / 2 (86%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	12.25	-1.3	-11%	1.5 / 3.1 (48%)	-1.8 / 8.15 (-22%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	19.4	0.2	1%	-3.1 / 6.5 (-47%)	4.2 / 11.9 (36%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	13.5	0.8	6%	4.4 / 5 (87%)	-2.6 / 7.5 (-34%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	16.05	-7.7	-48%		-5.7 / 14.05 (-41%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	14.5	5.7	39%	3.4 / 5.5 (61%)	2.3 / 9 (26%)
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	22.3	9.9	44%	2.5 / 6.9 (36%)	7.5 / 15.4 (49%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	16.49	4.9	30%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.1 / 11.94 (18%)	4.8 / 2.55 (189%)
13th May '22	Bellator 281	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	10.33	8.3	81%	2.7 / 2 (137%)	4.5 / 6.33 (71%)	1.1 / 2 (56%)

Winning Events: 10 (56%)
Losing Events: 8 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.30 units
Best Event: 9.92 units
Worst Event: -7.73 units
Average Event: 0.80 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 20.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.28

LukeGoldingMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	231.57	14.4	6%	6.0 / 79.35 (8%)		1.2 / 13.05 (9%)	10 / 8 (56%)	0.80

LukeGoldingMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LukeGoldingMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	230.07	15.9	7%	7.5 / 77.85 (10%)	7.2 / 139.17 (5%)	1.2 / 13.05 (9%)
Bellator	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

LukeGoldingMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (6%)	3	100 %	7.00	3.23	1.08	46%
Slight Favorites	25 (53%)	14	56 %	51.55	-0.95	-0.04	-2%
Slight Underdogs	14 (30%)	7	50 %	16.60	2.92	0.21	18%
Big Underdogs	5 (11%)	2	40 %	4.20	0.80	0.16	19%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (9%)	1	25 %	9.00	-4.16	-1.04	-46%
Co-Main Event	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.50	0.27	0.14	11%
Position 3-5	12 (26%)	12	100 %	23.00	16.87	1.41	73%
6+ (Undercard)	29 (62%)	12	41 %	44.85	-6.98	-0.24	-16%

LukeGoldingMMA : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	5.50	1.34	0.45	24%
Light Heavy	4 (9%)	1	25 %	7.50	-3.47	-0.87	-46%
Middleweight	7 (15%)	5	71 %	12.50	4.92	0.70	39%
Welterweight	5 (11%)	3	60 %	6.85	1.07	0.21	16%
Lightweight	6 (13%)	2	33 %	8.90	-2.53	-0.42	-28%
Featherweight	6 (13%)	3	50 %	15.00	-0.21	-0.04	-1%
Bantamweight	5 (11%)	5	100 %	7.00	5.63	1.13	80%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	3.70	-3.70	-1.85	-100%

Women's Fights	9 (19%)	5	56 %	12.40	2.95	0.33	24%
Bantamweight	5 (11%)	1	20 %	5.40	-3.00	-0.60	-56%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	4.00	3.70	1.85	92%
Strawweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	3.00	2.25	1.13	75%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	5 (100%)	4	80 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	5	4	80 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	19 (10%)	11	58 %
50-65%	31 (16%)	17	55 %
35-50%	41 (21%)	16	39 %
<35% chance	103 (53%)	20	19 %
	194	64	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (6%)	8	73 %	1.61	2.75	1.30	2.3 (21%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (7%)	7	54 %	1.50	1.80	1.25	-2.1 (-16%)
X Wins by KO	8 (4%)	1	13 %	3.09	11.00	1.80	-5.9 (-74%)
X Wins by Sub	24 (12%)	6	25 %	5.89	17.00	2.40	27.9 (116%)
X Wins by Decision	41 (21%)	14	34 %	3.04	10.00	1.72	0.9 (2%)
X Wins Inside Distance	20 (10%)	6	30 %	2.39	10.00	1.22	-6.9 (-35%)
X Wins in Round X	12 (6%)	3	25 %	6.41	34.00	2.50	8.0 (67%)
Others	65 (34%)	19	29 %	3.28	80.97	1.44	-4.2 (-6%)
	194	64	33 %	2.95			20.0 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LukeGoldingMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
7th May	UFC 274	10.33	8.3	81%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,083.35
13th May	Bellator 281	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.83	$1,083.35	$1,067.10
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	16.49	4.9	30%		$10.67	$1,067.10	$1,119.66
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	22.3	9.9	44%		$11.20	$1,119.66	$1,230.77
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	14.5	5.7	39%		$12.31	$1,230.77	$1,300.62
11th Jun	UFC 275	16.05	-7.7	-48%		$13.01	$1,300.62	$1,200.06
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	13.5	0.8	6%		$12.00	$1,200.06	$1,209.90
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	19.4	0.2	1%		$12.10	$1,209.90	$1,212.16
2nd Jul	UFC 276	12.25	-1.3	-11%		$12.12	$1,212.16	$1,196.20
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	13.05	3.0	23%		$11.96	$1,196.20	$1,232.55
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	15.2	6.0	39%		$12.33	$1,232.55	$1,306.41
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	12.3	1.2	10%		$13.06	$1,306.41	$1,322.41
30th Jul	UFC 277	15.15	-3.7	-25%		$13.22	$1,322.41	$1,273.09
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	5	-1.6	-32%		$12.73	$1,273.09	$1,252.70
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	1	1.4	140%		$12.53	$1,252.70	$1,270.24
20th Aug	UFC 278	10.8	-0.7	-6%		$12.70	$1,270.24	$1,261.66
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	12	-4.2	-35%		$12.62	$1,261.66	$1,208.23
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	20.75	-6.4	-31%		$12.08	$1,208.23	$1,131.26

ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LukeGoldingMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '22	Raoni Barcelos	Trevin Jones	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '22	Daniel Santos	John Castaneda	2.62	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:28)
3.	Oct '22	Mike Davis	Viacheslav Borshchev	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '22	Christian Quinonez	Khalid Taha	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (3:15)
5.	Sep '22	Roman Kopylov	Alessio Di Chirico	1.91	1.5	TKO, R3 (1:9)
6.	Sep '22	William Gomis	Jarno Errens	1.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '22	Marcin Tybura	Alexander Romanov	4.00	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '22	Priscila Cachoeira	Ariane Lipski	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (1:5)
9.	Aug '22	Juliana Miller	Brogan Walker	1.70	2	TKO, R3 (3:57)
10.	Jul '22	Orion Cosce	Mike Mathetha	1.57	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '22	Victoria Leonardo	Mandy Bohm	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '22	Emily Ducote	Jessica Penne	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '22	Ricky Simon	Jack Shore	2.37	1	Sub, R2 (3:28)
14.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	1.59	4.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '22	Li Jingliang	Muslim Salikhov	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:38)
16.	Jul '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Brad Tavares	1.83	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '22	Sergey Morozov	Raulian Paiva	1.72	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jun '22	Gregory Rodrigues	Julian Marquez	1.57	2	TKO, R1 (3:18)
19.	Jun '22	Damir Ismagulov	Guram Kutateladze	1.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '22	Joaquin Buckley	Albert Duraev	3.00	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '22	Julija Stoliarenko	Chelsea Chandler	1.83	0.2	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
2.	Oct '22	Julija Stoliarenko	Chelsea Chandler	1.83	2.2	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
3.	Oct '22	Jesse Ronson	Joaquim Silva	2.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:8)	No
4.	Oct '22	Krzysztof Jotko	Brendan Allen	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (4:17)	No
5.	Sep '22	Ailin Perez	Stephanie Egger	3.00	1	Sub, R2 (4:54)	No
6.	Sep '22	John Makdessi	Nasrat Haqparast	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '22	Charles Jourdain	Nathaniel Wood	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '22	Marvin Vettori	Robert Whittaker	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '22	Stephanie Egger	Mayra Bueno Silva	2.30	1	Sub, R1 (1:17)	No
10.	Jul '22	Matt Semelsberger	Alex Morono	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '22	Don'tale Mayes	Hamdy Abdelwahab	1.59	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '22	Charles Johnson	Muhammad Mokaev	4.80	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '22	Brian Ortega	Yair Rodriguez	1.61	2	TKO, R1 (4:11)	No
14.	Jul '22	Da Un Jung	Dustin Jacoby	2.30	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:13)	No
15.	Jul '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Rafael Fiziev	2.80	2	TKO, R5 (0:18)	No
16.	Jul '22	Donald Cerrone	Jim Miller	2.62	0.6	Sub, R2 (1:32)	No
17.	Jun '22	J.P. Buys	Cody Durden	1.80	3	TKO, R1 (1:8)	No
18.	Jun '22	Tafon Nchukwi	Carlos Ulberg	1.94	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:15)	No
19.	May '22	Omar Morales	Uros Medic	1.73	1.4	TKO, R2 (3:5)	No
20.	May '22	Aleksandar Rakic	Jan Blachowicz	1.57	2	TKO, R3 (1:11)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LukeGoldingMMA : Progress Chart

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