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MMA Handicapper Stats: LukeGoldingMMA

LukeGoldingMMA (LukeGoldingMMA)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - LukeGoldingMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 81 (36%) Right 26 (57%) Right 52 (31%) Right 3 (30%)
Wrong 141 (64%) Wrong 20 (43%) Wrong 114 (69%) Wrong 7 (70%)
Avg Odds 2.91 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 3.35 Avg Odds 3.10
Units Bet 228.1 Units Bet 79.4 Units Bet 135.7 Units Bet 13.1
Avg Bet 1.03 Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 1.31
Units Profit 16.61 Units Profit 6.00 Units Profit 9.45 Units Profit 1.16
ROI % 7% ROI % 8% ROI % 7% ROI % 9%
View Handicapper's Profile

LukeGoldingMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 20.75 -6.4 -31% -1.9 / 9.9 (-20%) -4.4 / 10.85 (-41%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 12 -4.2 -35% -2.7 / 10.5 (-26%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 10.8 -0.7 -6% 1.5 / 0.5 (300%) -0.7 / 8.8 (-8%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 1 1.4 140% 1.4 / 1 (140%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5 -1.6 -32% 0.4 / 3 (13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 15.15 -3.7 -25% -3.0 / 5.75 (-52%) -0.7 / 9.4 (-8%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 12.3 1.2 10% 1.6 / 2.7 (59%) -0.4 / 9.6 (-4%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 15.2 6.0 39% 2.9 / 11.5 (25%) 3.1 / 3.7 (83%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 13.05 3.0 23% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.3 / 9.05 (37%) 1.7 / 2 (86%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 12.25 -1.3 -11% 1.5 / 3.1 (48%) -1.8 / 8.15 (-22%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 19.4 2.4 13% -3.1 / 6.5 (-47%) 6.5 / 11.9 (55%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 13.5 0.8 6% 4.4 / 5 (87%) -2.6 / 7.5 (-34%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 16.05 -7.7 -48% -5.7 / 14.05 (-41%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 14.5 5.7 39% 3.4 / 5.5 (61%) 2.3 / 9 (26%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 22.3 9.9 44% 2.5 / 6.9 (36%) 7.5 / 15.4 (49%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 16.49 4.9 30% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.1 / 11.94 (18%) 4.8 / 2.55 (189%)
13th May '22 Bellator 281 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 10.33 8.3 81% 2.7 / 2 (137%) 4.5 / 6.33 (71%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)


Winning Events: 10 (56%)
Losing Events: 8 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.30 units
Best Event: 9.92 units
Worst Event: -7.73 units
Average Event: 0.92 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 20.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.28

LukeGoldingMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 231.57 16.6 7% 6.0 / 79.35 (8%) 1.2 / 13.05 (9%) 10 / 8 (56%) 0.92

LukeGoldingMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LukeGoldingMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 230.07 18.1 8% 7.5 / 77.85 (10%) 9.5 / 139.17 (7%) 1.2 / 13.05 (9%)
Bellator 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

LukeGoldingMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (6%) 3 100 % 7.00 3.23 1.08 46%
Slight Favorites 25 (53%) 14 56 % 51.55 -0.95 -0.04 -2%
Slight Underdogs 14 (30%) 7 50 % 16.60 2.92 0.21 18%
Big Underdogs 5 (11%) 2 40 % 4.20 0.80 0.16 19%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (9%) 1 25 % 9.00 -4.16 -1.04 -46%
Co-Main Event 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.27 0.14 11%
Position 3-5 12 (26%) 12 100 % 23.00 16.87 1.41 73%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (62%) 12 41 % 44.85 -6.98 -0.24 -16%

LukeGoldingMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 5.50 1.34 0.45 24%
Light Heavy 4 (9%) 1 25 % 7.50 -3.47 -0.87 -46%
Middleweight 7 (15%) 5 71 % 12.50 4.92 0.70 39%
Welterweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 6.85 1.07 0.21 16%
Lightweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 8.90 -2.53 -0.42 -28%
Featherweight 6 (13%) 3 50 % 15.00 -0.21 -0.04 -1%
Bantamweight 5 (11%) 5 100 % 7.00 5.63 1.13 80%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 0 % 3.70 -3.70 -1.85 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (19%) 5 56 % 12.40 2.95 0.33 24%
Bantamweight 5 (11%) 1 20 % 5.40 -3.00 -0.60 -56%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 4.00 3.70 1.85 92%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 3.00 2.25 1.13 75%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 5 (100%) 4 80 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
5 4 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 19 (10%) 11 58 %
50-65% 31 (16%) 17 55 %
35-50% 41 (21%) 16 39 %
<35% chance 103 (53%) 21 20 %
194 65 34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (6%) 8 73 % 1.61 2.75Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 2.3 (21%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (7%) 7 54 % 1.50 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -2.1 (-16%)
X Wins by KO 8 (4%) 1 13 % 3.09 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -5.9 (-74%)
X Wins by Sub 24 (12%) 6 25 % 5.89 17.00Pick was correct 2.40Pick was correct 27.9 (116%)
X Wins by Decision 41 (21%) 14 34 % 3.04 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct 0.9 (2%)
X Wins Inside Distance 20 (10%) 6 30 % 2.39 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -6.9 (-35%)
X Wins in Round X 12 (6%) 3 25 % 6.41 34.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 8.0 (67%)
Others 65 (34%) 20 31 % 3.28 80.97Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct 0.3 (1%)
194 65 34 % 2.95     24.5 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LukeGoldingMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th May UFC 274 10.33 8.3 81% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,083.35
13th May Bellator 281 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.83 $1,083.35 $1,067.10
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 16.49 4.9 30% $10.67 $1,067.10 $1,119.66
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 22.3 9.9 44% $11.20 $1,119.66 $1,230.77
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 14.5 5.7 39% $12.31 $1,230.77 $1,300.62
11th Jun UFC 275 16.05 -7.7 -48% $13.01 $1,300.62 $1,200.06
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 13.5 0.8 6% $12.00 $1,200.06 $1,209.90
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 19.4 2.4 13% $12.10 $1,209.90 $1,239.38
2nd Jul UFC 276 12.25 -1.3 -11% $12.39 $1,239.38 $1,223.06
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 13.05 3.0 23% $12.23 $1,223.06 $1,260.23
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 15.2 6.0 39% $12.60 $1,260.23 $1,335.75
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 12.3 1.2 10% $13.36 $1,335.75 $1,352.11
30th Jul UFC 277 15.15 -3.7 -25% $13.52 $1,352.11 $1,301.68
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5 -1.6 -32% $13.02 $1,301.68 $1,280.83
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 1 1.4 140% $12.81 $1,280.83 $1,298.77
20th Aug UFC 278 10.8 -0.7 -6% $12.99 $1,298.77 $1,290.00
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 12 -4.2 -35% $12.90 $1,290.00 $1,235.36
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 20.75 -6.4 -31% $12.35 $1,235.36 $1,156.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LukeGoldingMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '22 Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Daniel Santos John Castaneda 2.62 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Mike Davis Viacheslav Borshchev 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Christian Quinonez Khalid Taha 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Roman Kopylov Alessio Di Chirico 1.91 1.5 TKO, R3 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '22 William Gomis Jarno Errens 1.45 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Marcin Tybura Alexander Romanov 4.00 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Priscila Cachoeira Ariane Lipski 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Juliana Miller Brogan Walker 1.70 2 TKO, R3 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.57 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Emily Ducote Jessica Penne 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Ricky Simon Jack Shore 2.37 1 Sub, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.59 4.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Dricus Du Plessis Brad Tavares 1.83 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Sergey Morozov Raulian Paiva 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Gregory Rodrigues Julian Marquez 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Damir Ismagulov Guram Kutateladze 1.61 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '22 Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev 3.00 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '22 Julija Stoliarenko Chelsea Chandler 1.83 0.2 TKO, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Julija Stoliarenko Chelsea Chandler 1.83 2.2 TKO, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Jesse Ronson Joaquim Silva 2.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Krzysztof Jotko Brendan Allen 1.80 2 Sub, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Ailin Perez Stephanie Egger 3.00 1 Sub, R2 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '22 John Makdessi Nasrat Haqparast 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '22 Marvin Vettori Robert Whittaker 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Stephanie Egger Mayra Bueno Silva 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev 4.80 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 1.61 2 TKO, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Da Un Jung Dustin Jacoby 2.30 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.80 2 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Donald Cerrone Jim Miller 2.62 0.6 Sub, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 J.P. Buys Cody Durden 1.80 3 TKO, R1 (1:8) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Tafon Nchukwi Carlos Ulberg 1.94 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '22 Omar Morales Uros Medic 1.73 1.4 TKO, R2 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '22 Aleksandar Rakic Jan Blachowicz 1.57 2 TKO, R3 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LukeGoldingMMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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