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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dusk Bets |
|
Dusk Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 29 (45%) Losing Events: 36 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 1.73 units Most Staked On One Event: 6.40 units Best Event: 12.54 units Worst Event: -6.40 units Average Event: 0.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 12.54 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.31 |
Dusk Bets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
76.7 |
6.6 |
9% |
6.6 / 76.7 (9%) |
|
|
18 / 22 (45%) |
0.16 |
2022 |
35.95 |
5.6 |
16% |
5.6 / 35.95 (16%) |
|
|
11 / 14 (44%) |
0.22 |
|
Dusk Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Dusk Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
112.65 |
12.1 |
11% |
12.1 / 112.65 (11%) |
|
|
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Dusk Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (8%) |
5 |
63 % |
9.40 |
-2.31 |
-0.29 |
-25% |
Slight Favorites |
22 (22%) |
11 |
50 % |
27.40 |
-5.91 |
-0.27 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
41 (41%) |
17 |
41 % |
49.75 |
-3.11 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
Big Underdogs |
28 (28%) |
11 |
39 % |
26.10 |
23.48 |
0.84 |
90% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
70 (71%) |
31 |
44 % |
88.55 |
17.91 |
0.26 |
20% |
Co-Main Event |
24 (24%) |
10 |
42 % |
22.40 |
-6.40 |
-0.27 |
-29% |
Position 3-5 |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
1.70 |
0.63 |
0.13 |
37% |
6+ (Undercard) |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
|
Dusk Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (10%) |
3 |
30 % |
20.50 |
-8.58 |
-0.86 |
-42% |
Light Heavy |
12 (12%) |
8 |
67 % |
12.90 |
2.04 |
0.17 |
16% |
Middleweight |
12 (12%) |
7 |
58 % |
7.00 |
4.25 |
0.35 |
61% |
Welterweight |
10 (10%) |
6 |
60 % |
10.25 |
8.87 |
0.89 |
87% |
Lightweight |
15 (15%) |
7 |
47 % |
16.00 |
12.27 |
0.82 |
77% |
Featherweight |
13 (13%) |
1 |
8 % |
10.90 |
-9.64 |
-0.74 |
-88% |
Bantamweight |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
12.70 |
6.32 |
0.70 |
50% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
1.40 |
-0.51 |
-0.13 |
-37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
14 (14%) |
5 |
36 % |
21.00 |
-2.87 |
-0.21 |
-14% |
Bantamweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
6.40 |
-1.96 |
-0.49 |
-31% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.90 |
-0.17 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
Strawweight |
6 (6%) |
1 |
17 % |
4.70 |
-0.74 |
-0.12 |
-16% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dusk Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
3.3 |
3.3 |
100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,033.00 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
1.7 |
-1.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.00 |
$1,015.44 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
2.1 |
3.6 |
170% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.44 |
$1,051.69 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
1.4 |
2.8 |
200% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,051.69 |
$1,081.14 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,081.14 |
$1,075.73 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.73 |
$1,052.07 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
1.7 |
-1.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.07 |
$1,034.18 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
0.9 |
2.2 |
240% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.18 |
$1,056.52 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.52 |
$1,054.41 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.41 |
$1,052.30 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
1.9 |
-1.9 |
-100% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.30 |
$1,032.30 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
1.8 |
2.3 |
130% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,032.30 |
$1,056.46 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,056.46 |
$1,014.20 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
0.1 |
0.0 |
33% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,014.20 |
$1,014.54 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.54 |
$1,008.45 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
300% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.45 |
$1,032.65 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.65 |
$1,017.16 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
2.4 |
-2.4 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.16 |
$992.75 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
1.2 |
2.8 |
230% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.75 |
$1,020.15 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
0.4 |
-0.4 |
-100% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.15 |
$1,016.07 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.07 |
$1,005.91 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.91 |
$1,004.90 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
185% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,004.90 |
$1,010.48 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
3.65 |
2.2 |
62% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.48 |
$1,033.17 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
2 |
1.8 |
91% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.17 |
$1,051.97 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
0.8 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
$50 |
$10.52 |
$1,051.97 |
$993.55 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
2.9 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
$50 |
$9.94 |
$993.55 |
$914.74 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
0.7 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
$50 |
$9.15 |
$914.74 |
$858.34 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$50 |
$8.58 |
$858.34 |
$799.75 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
4.5 |
5.0 |
110% |
$50 |
$8.00 |
$799.75 |
$789.34 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
3.1 |
-3.1 |
-100% |
$50 |
$7.89 |
$789.34 |
$714.87 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
0.7 |
1.6 |
225% |
$50 |
$7.15 |
$714.87 |
$676.13 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
2.5 |
5.1 |
205% |
$50 |
$6.76 |
$676.13 |
$660.78 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
0.8 |
0.5 |
65% |
$50 |
$6.61 |
$660.78 |
$614.22 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
72% |
$50 |
$6.14 |
$614.22 |
$567.31 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
1.2 |
0.1 |
5% |
$50 |
$5.67 |
$567.31 |
$517.63 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$50 |
$5.18 |
$517.63 |
$441.75 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
1.4 |
-1.4 |
-100% |
$50 |
$4.42 |
$441.75 |
$385.57 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
100% |
$50 |
$3.86 |
$385.57 |
$337.88 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
0.8 |
0.5 |
57% |
$50 |
$3.38 |
$337.88 |
$289.43 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
2.2 |
-1.9 |
-87% |
$50 |
$2.89 |
$289.43 |
$233.92 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
1.1 |
-0.7 |
-67% |
$50 |
$2.34 |
$233.92 |
$182.19 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
1.1 |
-0.6 |
-59% |
$50 |
$1.82 |
$182.19 |
$131.01 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
2.1 |
2.4 |
114% |
$50 |
$1.31 |
$131.01 |
$84.13 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
2.7 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
$50 |
$0.84 |
$84.13 |
$31.86 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
1.9 |
-1.9 |
-100% |
$50 |
$0.32 |
$31.86 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
1 |
-0.5 |
-47% |
$50 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$945.26 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
0.1 |
0.1 |
140% |
$50 |
$9.45 |
$945.26 |
$896.58 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
0.6 |
-0.3 |
-54% |
$50 |
$8.97 |
$896.58 |
$843.67 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
59% |
$50 |
$8.44 |
$843.67 |
$804.04 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
0.8 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
$50 |
$8.04 |
$804.04 |
$747.61 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
0.9 |
0.8 |
86% |
$50 |
$7.48 |
$747.61 |
$703.37 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
101% |
$50 |
$7.03 |
$703.37 |
$680.27 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
1.8 |
1.1 |
63% |
$50 |
$6.80 |
$680.27 |
$638.03 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
6.4 |
-6.4 |
-100% |
$50 |
$6.38 |
$638.03 |
$547.19 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
1.7 |
-1.1 |
-65% |
$50 |
$5.47 |
$547.19 |
$491.12 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
$50 |
$4.91 |
$491.12 |
$440.14 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
2.7 |
-1.6 |
-59% |
$50 |
$4.40 |
$440.14 |
$383.10 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
3.3 |
12.5 |
380% |
$50 |
$3.83 |
$383.10 |
$381.14 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
$50 |
$3.81 |
$381.14 |
$326.95 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
28% |
$50 |
$3.27 |
$326.95 |
$279.17 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
0.5 |
1.1 |
230% |
$50 |
$2.79 |
$279.17 |
$232.38 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
90% |
$50 |
$2.32 |
$232.38 |
$193.48 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
0.9 |
-0.9 |
-100% |
$50 |
$1.93 |
$193.48 |
$141.74 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
3.3 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$50 |
$1.42 |
$141.74 |
$91.50 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -190.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dusk Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Beneil Dariush |
1.36 |
2.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.93 |
3.8 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.83 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
Don'tale Mayes |
1.50 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Nicolas Dalby |
Gabriel Bonfim |
6.00 |
0.2 |
TKO, R2 (4:33) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '23 |
Islam Makhachev |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.40 |
2.2 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
4.80 |
3.3 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '23 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.20 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Israel Adesanya |
5.90 |
0.1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Aug '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Ryan Spann |
2.10 |
1.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Aug '23 |
Sean O'Malley |
Aljamain Sterling |
3.05 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:51) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '23 |
Khalil Rountree |
Chris Daukaus |
1.57 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (2:40) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '23 |
Vicente Luque |
Rafael dos Anjos |
2.00 |
0.6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.91 |
0.6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.91 |
0.3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '23 |
Justin Gaethje |
Dustin Poirier |
2.30 |
0.7 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '23 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Molly McCann |
2.75 |
0.1 |
Sub, R1 (1:55) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '23 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Holly Holm |
2.40 |
0.1 |
Sub, R2 (0:38) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '23 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Brandon Moreno |
2.63 |
0.2 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jun '23 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Christian Duncan |
2.35 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dusk Bets: Progress Chart |
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