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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Lyons Den MMA

The Lyons Den MMA (Lyons MMA picks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	82 (33%)	Right	31 (42%)	Right	30 (25%)	Right	21 (38%)
Wrong	168 (67%)	Wrong	43 (58%)	Wrong	91 (75%)	Wrong	34 (62%)
Avg Odds	2.95	Avg Odds	2.17	Avg Odds	4.42	Avg Odds	2.35
Units Bet	327.6	Units Bet	145.3	Units Bet	90.0	Units Bet	92.3
Avg Bet	1.31	Avg Bet	1.96	Avg Bet	0.74	Avg Bet	1.68
Units Profit	-14.48	Units Profit	-11.78	Units Profit	6.13	Units Profit	-8.83
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-10%

The Lyons Den MMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	11	-0.8	-7%	-0.3 / 4 (-6%)	-0.5 / 7 (-7%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	24.3	-7.8	-32%	1.4 / 8 (17%)	-6.2 / 11.2 (-56%)	-2.9 / 5.1 (-57%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23.39	-0.6	-3%	1.8 / 6.45 (28%)	4.7 / 9.74 (49%)	-7.2 / 7.2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	31.05	5.4	17%	-6.3 / 17.55 (-36%)	5.8 / 6.9 (84%)	5.9 / 6.6 (89%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	16.2	0.6	4%		-3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)	4.3 / 12.5 (35%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	6.1	4.0	65%	4.0 / 6.1 (65%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	13	-2.5	-19%	0.9 / 5.3 (17%)	-4.3 / 5.2 (-83%)	0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	21	-10.1	-48%	-8.0 / 7.95 (-100%)	2.0 / 8.85 (23%)	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	18.3	-4.8	-26%	-5.6 / 11.7 (-48%)	5.8 / 1.55 (377%)	-5.1 / 5.05 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	10.81	-1.8	-17%	0.2 / 4.5 (5%)	-4.1 / 4.06 (-100%)	2.0 / 2.25 (90%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6	3.0	50%	4.0 / 5 (80%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	15.75	3.3	21%	-6.5 / 9.2 (-71%)	9.5 / 5.55 (172%)	0.3 / 1 (30%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	25.35	11.6	46%	6.1 / 15.8 (39%)	0.0 / 6.45 (0%)	5.4 / 3.1 (176%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	9.2	-7.5	-81%	-5.7 / 7.45 (-77%)	-0.6 / 0.55 (-100%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	1	1.8	180%	1.8 / 1 (180%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	12.35	-6.4	-51%	2.0 / 4 (50%)		-8.4 / 8.35 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	9.25	-9.3	-100%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.2	-2.1	-51%	-2.1 / 4.2 (-51%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	21.9	-1.5	-7%	1.5 / 3 (50%)	-3.3 / 10.2 (-32%)	0.3 / 8.7 (4%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1.2	-1.2	-100%		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.15	2.4	40%	1.7 / 3.8 (45%)	1.8 / 0.1 (1,800%)	-1.0 / 2.25 (-47%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	1.7	1.1	62%	1.1 / 1.7 (62%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	27.45	4.2	15%	-1.5 / 11.35 (-13%)	1.8 / 7.1 (25%)	3.9 / 9 (44%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	5	1.2	24%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		2.2 / 4 (55%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	9.4	3.1	33%	1.4 / 3.5 (41%)	0.9 / 1.6 (56%)	0.8 / 4.3 (18%)

Winning Events: 12 (48%)
Losing Events: 13 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.05 units
Best Event: 11.59 units
Worst Event: -10.11 units
Average Event: -0.58 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 17.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.38

The Lyons Den MMA : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	175.15	-18.4	-10%	-11.8 / 71.55 (-17%)		-6.2 / 45.4 (-14%)	3 / 7 (30%)	-1.84
2023	155.9	3.9	3%	0.0 / 73.75 (0%)		-2.6 / 46.9 (-6%)	9 / 6 (60%)	0.26

The Lyons Den MMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Lyons Den MMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	317.9	-6.9	-2%	-11.9 / 139.85 (-9%)	8.8 / 90.75 (10%)	-3.8 / 87.3 (-4%)
Other	13.15	-7.6	-58%	0.1 / 5.45 (2%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

The Lyons Den MMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (4%)	3	100 %	15.00	6.50	2.17	43%
Slight Favorites	29 (35%)	13	45 %	63.45	-19.90	-0.69	-31%
Slight Underdogs	30 (37%)	13	43 %	43.05	5.22	0.17	12%
Big Underdogs	20 (24%)	5	25 %	23.80	-3.60	-0.18	-15%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (10%)	4	50 %	21.00	6.80	0.85	32%
Co-Main Event	7 (9%)	3	43 %	14.30	0.75	0.11	5%
Position 3-5	31 (38%)	17	55 %	50.90	9.40	0.30	18%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (44%)	10	28 %	59.10	-28.74	-0.80	-49%

The Lyons Den MMA : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (4%)		0 %	3.70	-3.70	-1.23	-100%
Light Heavy	9 (11%)	3	33 %	14.80	-3.30	-0.37	-22%
Middleweight	13 (16%)	6	46 %	18.20	0.91	0.07	5%
Welterweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	13.55	-8.35	-1.39	-62%
Lightweight	13 (16%)	9	69 %	34.15	18.93	1.46	55%
Featherweight	8 (10%)	5	63 %	12.90	3.39	0.42	26%
Bantamweight	14 (17%)	6	43 %	22.80	-3.14	-0.22	-14%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	6.00	-4.69	-1.17	-78%

Women's Fights	12 (15%)	2	17 %	19.20	-11.84	-0.99	-62%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.20	1.20	120%
Bantamweight	6 (7%)		0 %	5.25	-5.25	-0.88	-100%
Flyweight	2 (2%)		0 %	5.20	-5.20	-2.60	-100%
Strawweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	7.75	-2.59	-0.86	-33%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	77 (79%)	55	71 %
Slight Favorites	18 (18%)	8	44 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	98	63	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	30 (18%)	24	80 %
50-65%	17 (10%)	8	47 %
35-50%	19 (11%)	8	42 %
<35% chance	104 (61%)	19	18 %
	170	59	35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	32 (19%)	22	69 %	1.56	2.20	1.16	3.5 (11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	12 (7%)	9	75 %	1.50	2.10	1.30	0.7 (6%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	3.80	3.80	3.80	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (3%)	2	40 %	2.01	2.75	1.28	-0.0 (-0%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	1	50 %	1.20	1.20	1.20	-0.8 (-40%)
X Wins by KO	7 (4%)	2	29 %	4.37	19.00	1.85	20.0 (286%)
X Wins by Sub	36 (21%)	5	14 %	6.16	21.00	2.10	1.1 (3%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (6%)	3	27 %	3.00	6.00	1.80	0.3 (2%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (1%)	1	100 %	7.00	7.00	7.00	6.0 (600%)
X Wins in Round X	17 (10%)	1	6 %	10.48	34.00	4.50	-7.0 (-41%)
Others	46 (27%)	13	28 %	4.26	36.00	1.20	38.0 (83%)
	170	59	35 %	3.01			60.8 (36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Lyons Den MMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	9.4	3.1	33%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,031.07
21st Jan	UFC 283	5	1.2	24%		$10.31	$1,031.07	$1,043.36
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	27.45	4.2	15%		$10.43	$1,043.36	$1,087.54
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	1.7	1.1	62%		$10.88	$1,087.54	$1,099.00
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.15	2.4	40%		$10.99	$1,099.00	$1,125.89
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	1.2	-1.2	-100%		$11.26	$1,125.89	$1,112.38
19th Aug	UFC 292	21.9	-1.5	-7%		$11.12	$1,112.38	$1,096.22
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.2	-2.1	-51%		$10.96	$1,096.22	$1,072.94
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	9.25	-9.3	-100%		$10.73	$1,072.94	$973.69
9th Sep	UFC 293	12.35	-6.4	-51%		$9.74	$973.69	$911.86
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	1	1.8	180%		$9.12	$911.86	$928.28
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	9.2	-7.5	-81%		$9.28	$928.28	$858.75
21st Oct	UFC 294	25.35	11.6	46%		$8.59	$858.75	$958.31
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	15.75	3.3	21%		$9.58	$958.31	$990.29
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6	3.0	50%		$9.90	$990.29	$1,020.00
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	10.81	-1.8	-17%		$10.20	$1,020.00	$1,001.63
20th Jan	UFC 297	18.3	-4.8	-26%		$10.02	$1,001.63	$953.37
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	21	-10.1	-48%		$9.53	$953.37	$856.96
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	13	-2.5	-19%		$8.57	$856.96	$835.65
17th Feb	UFC 298	6.1	4.0	65%		$8.36	$835.65	$868.72
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	16.2	0.6	4%		$8.69	$868.72	$874.21
9th Mar	UFC 299	31.05	5.4	17%		$8.74	$874.21	$921.29
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23.39	-0.6	-3%		$9.21	$921.29	$915.53
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	24.3	-7.8	-32%		$9.16	$915.53	$844.47
13th Apr	UFC 300	11	-0.8	-7%		$8.44	$844.47	$838.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Lyons Den MMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.50	1.5	TKO, R5 (4:59)
2.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.25	2.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.72	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '24	Michael Johnson	Darrius Flowers	1.73	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '24	Ihor Potieria	Robert Bryczek	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '24	Merab Dvalishvili	Henry Cejudo	1.58	3.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.25	5	TKO, R2 (2:32)
12.	Jan '24	Chris Curtis	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.57	2.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.00	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Jan '24	Jim Miller	Gabriel Benitez	2.10	2.25	Sub, R3 (3:25)
15.	Dec '23	Arman Tsarukyan	Beneil Dariush	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (1:4)
16.	Nov '23	Myktybek Orolbai	Uros Medic	1.80	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:12)
17.	Oct '23	Mike Breeden	Anshul Jubli	3.50	1.2	TKO, R3 (3:0)
18.	Oct '23	Muhammadjon Naimov	Nathaniel Wood	3.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.40	10	TKO, R1 (3:6)
20.	Oct '23	Jonathan Martinez	Adrian Yanez	1.90	0.9	TKO, R2 (2:26)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.80	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	4.50	1	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
3.	Mar '24	Herbert Burns	Julio Arce	4.00	1	TKO, R2 (2:0)	No
4.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.50	2	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
5.	Mar '24	Herbert Burns	Julio Arce	4.00	1	TKO, R2 (2:0)	No
6.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	2.80	1	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
7.	Mar '24	Cory McKenna	Jaqueline Amorim	1.72	2.75	Sub, R1 (1:38)	Yes
8.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.88	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '24	Rafael dos Anjos	Mateusz Gamrot	4.50	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.90	2.2	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
11.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.72	3.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Michel Pereira	2.25	3	Sub, R1 (1:1)	No
13.	Feb '24	Brad Tavares	Gregory Rodrigues	3.00	0.5	TKO, R3 (0:55)	No
14.	Feb '24	Timothy Cuamba	Bolaji Oki	2.50	0.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '24	Zac Pauga	Bogdan Guskov	1.72	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:38)	No
16.	Feb '24	Roman Dolidze	Nassourdine Imavov	2.37	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '24	Julija Stoliarenko	Luana Carolina	1.83	2.7	TKO, R3 (4:52)	No
18.	Feb '24	Gilbert Urbina	Charlie Radtke	1.61	3.75	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
19.	Jan '24	Serhiy Sidey	Ramon Taveras	1.58	2.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '24	Yohan Lainesse	Sam Patterson	1.73	2.8	Sub, R1 (2:3)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Lyons Den MMA : Progress Chart

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