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MMA Handicapper Stats: Tonalgregb

Tonalgregb (Tonal)


MMA MHandicapper - Tonalgregb

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 149 (40%) Right 12 (44%) Right 76 (38%) Right 61 (41%)
Wrong 227 (60%) Wrong 15 (56%) Wrong 124 (62%) Wrong 88 (59%)
Avg Odds 2.81 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 2.90 Avg Odds 2.87
Units Bet 395.7 Units Bet 45.3 Units Bet 182.5 Units Bet 168.0
Avg Bet 1.05 Avg Bet 1.68 Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 1.13
Units Profit 48.03 Units Profit 10.85 Units Profit 14.47 Units Profit 22.70
ROI % 12% ROI % 24% ROI % 8% ROI % 14%
View Handicapper's Profile

Tonalgregb : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 12.4 -3.8 -30% -4.1 / 6.15 (-67%) 0.3 / 6.25 (6%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10.9 6.7 61% -1.0 / 6.8 (-15%) 7.7 / 4.1 (188%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 13.2 4.2 31% 2.0 / 2.9 (69%) 2.0 / 5.1 (40%) 0.1 / 5.2 (2%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 10.95 2.0 18% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.4 / 6.05 (23%) 1.1 / 4.4 (24%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 8 2.3 29% 3.3 / 7 (47%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 17.9 -10.1 -56% 1.7 / 1 (175%) -5.3 / 10.4 (-51%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 9.55 -3.1 -32% -2.4 / 2.35 (-100%) -0.8 / 7.2 (-10%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 8.14 1.0 12% -0.0 / 7 (-0%) 1.0 / 1.14 (88%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 15.6 0.5 3% 1.0 / 6.9 (15%) -0.5 / 8.7 (-6%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 11.64 0.3 2% 0.2 / 6.95 (4%) 0.0 / 4.69 (1%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 12.05 4.9 41% 1.3 / 5.55 (24%) 3.5 / 6.5 (55%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 12.65 -10.0 -79% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -7.0 / 9.65 (-73%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10.05 4.8 48% 3.2 / 5.05 (63%) 1.6 / 5 (32%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 9.45 3.5 37% 2.0 / 3.05 (66%) 1.5 / 6.4 (24%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 10.5 -4.1 -39% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.5 / 2.95 (117%) -7.1 / 7.05 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 16.8 -4.0 -24% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) 2.0 / 5.1 (39%) -7.0 / 10.15 (-69%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 12.8 -2.8 -22% -0.3 / 2.65 (-11%) -0.2 / 5.65 (-4%) -2.3 / 4.5 (-51%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 11 3.0 28% -0.0 / 3.1 (-0%) 2.2 / 6.65 (33%) 0.8 / 1.25 (67%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 15.72 -5.5 -35% -2.6 / 4.95 (-53%) -3.5 / 4.5 (-78%) 0.6 / 6.27 (10%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 14.05 -2.6 -18% -0.9 / 7.65 (-12%) -1.7 / 6.4 (-26%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 12.65 0.5 4% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.4 / 5.25 (-9%) 2.0 / 6.4 (31%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 15.145 -10.7 -71% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.9 / 5.1 (-57%) -6.8 / 9.045 (-75%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 18.35 6.2 34% 3.0 / 4.85 (62%) 4.6 / 8.7 (53%) -1.4 / 4.8 (-30%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 22.3 15.7 71% 14.0 / 11.25 (124%) 0.6 / 5.2 (11%) 1.2 / 5.85 (20%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 12.45 23.9 192% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.3 / 4.2 (79%) 21.6 / 7.25 (297%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 12.85 5.2 40% 1.0 / 1.45 (69%) 2.5 / 7.15 (34%) 1.7 / 4.25 (40%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 13.5 2.3 17% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) 3.8 / 7.25 (52%) -2.5 / 4.7 (-53%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 13.7 19.8 144% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) 5.8 / 7.35 (80%) 15.0 / 5.25 (286%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 13.75 -1.9 -14% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.6 / 7.25 (-35%) 1.7 / 5.5 (31%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 1.8 0.8 42% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.55 (65%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 13.25 -4.1 -31% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 5.9 (-17%) -2.6 / 6.85 (-37%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 12.55 3.2 25% -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%) 2.0 / 6.7 (30%) 2.3 / 4.7 (50%)


Winning Events: 20 (63%)
Losing Events: 12 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.30 units
Best Event: 23.85 units
Worst Event: -10.72 units
Average Event: 1.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 73.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.15

Tonalgregb : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 405.645 48.0 12% 10.9 / 45.25 (24%) 22.7 / 168.295 (13%) 20 / 12 (63%) 1.50

Tonalgregb : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Tonalgregb : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 403.845 47.3 12% 11.1 / 45 (25%) 13.5 / 190.55 (7%) 22.7 / 168.295 (13%)
Bellator 1.8 0.8 42% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.55 (65%)

Tonalgregb : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.10 1.00 1.00 48%
Slight Favorites 13 (48%) 8 62 % 22.40 2.50 0.19 11%
Slight Underdogs 11 (41%) 3 27 % 20.00 8.10 0.74 41%
Big Underdogs 2 (7%) 0 0 % 0.75 -0.75 -0.38 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (11%) 1 33 % 4.30 -1.65 -0.55 -38%
Co-Main Event 2 (7%) 1 50 % 3.20 -0.10 -0.05 -3%
Position 3-5 12 (44%) 4 33 % 14.80 -2.35 -0.20 -16%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (37%) 6 60 % 22.95 14.95 1.50 65%

Tonalgregb : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (7%) 2 100 % 3.10 2.00 1.00 65%
Light Heavy 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.05 0.50 0.25 24%
Middleweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 4.30 -1.20 -0.60 -28%
Welterweight 3 (11%) 0 % 3.15 -3.15 -1.05 -100%
Lightweight 7 (26%) 4 57 % 9.40 3.15 0.45 34%
Featherweight 2 (7%) 0 % 1.90 -1.90 -0.95 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 3.00 -0.65 -0.32 -22%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 3.20 2.00 2.00 63%
               
Women's Fights 6 (22%) 2 33 % 15.15 10.10 1.68 67%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.40 -1.40 -1.40 -100%
Strawweight 5 (19%) 2 40 % 13.75 11.50 2.30 84%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 113 (81%) 88 78 %
Slight Favorites 19 (14%) 12 63 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (5%) 1 14 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
139 101 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 125 (25%) 82 66 %
50-65% 144 (29%) 89 62 %
35-50% 97 (19%) 52 54 %
<35% chance 133 (27%) 10 8 %
499 233 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (1%) 3 60 % 1.50 1.65Pick was correct 1.39Pick was incorrect -0.3 (-6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 134 (27%) 94 70 % 1.67 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 27.2 (20%)
Goes to Decision 10 (2%) 8 80 % 1.43 1.57Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 1.4 (14%)
Does not go to Decision 51 (10%) 36 71 % 1.60 2.30Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was incorrect 8.3 (16%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (0%) 2 100 % 1.46 1.53Pick was correct 1.40Pick was incorrect 0.9 (46%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 36 (7%) 21 58 % 1.55 2.80Pick was correct 1.28Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-6%)
X Wins by KO 10 (2%) 2 20 % 2.77 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -4.5 (-45%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (1%) 0 0 % 6.78 11.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 21 (4%) 8 38 % 2.38 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct -3.9 (-19%)
X Wins in Round X 71 (14%) 13 18 % 5.97 36.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -6.2 (-9%)
Others 152 (30%) 46 30 % 2.49 55.99Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was incorrect -36.5 (-24%)
499 233 47 % 2.14     -22.8 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tonalgregb 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 12.55 3.2 25% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,031.98
9th Apr UFC 273 13.25 -4.1 -31% $10.32 $1,031.98 $989.74
15th Apr Bellator 277 1.8 0.8 42% $9.90 $989.74 $997.16
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 13.75 -1.9 -14% $9.97 $997.16 $978.53
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 13.7 19.8 144% $9.79 $978.53 $1,172.01
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 13.5 2.3 17% $11.72 $1,172.01 $1,198.96
7th May UFC 274 12.85 5.2 40% $11.99 $1,198.96 $1,261.12
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 12.45 23.9 192% $12.61 $1,261.12 $1,561.90
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 22.3 15.7 71% $15.62 $1,561.90 $1,807.46
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 18.35 6.2 34% $18.07 $1,807.46 $1,919.03
11th Jun UFC 275 15.145 -10.7 -71% $19.19 $1,919.03 $1,713.25
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 12.65 0.5 4% $17.13 $1,713.25 $1,722.55
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 14.05 -2.6 -18% $17.23 $1,722.55 $1,678.16
2nd Jul UFC 276 15.72 -5.5 -35% $16.78 $1,678.16 $1,586.32
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 11 3.0 28% $15.86 $1,586.32 $1,634.49
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 12.8 -2.8 -22% $16.34 $1,634.49 $1,588.80
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 16.8 -4.0 -24% $15.89 $1,588.80 $1,525.39
30th Jul UFC 277 10.5 -4.1 -39% $15.25 $1,525.39 $1,462.85
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 9.45 3.5 37% $14.63 $1,462.85 $1,514.65
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10.05 4.8 48% $15.15 $1,514.65 $1,587.00
20th Aug UFC 278 12.65 -10.0 -79% $15.87 $1,587.00 $1,427.51
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 12.05 4.9 41% $14.28 $1,427.51 $1,497.40
10th Sep UFC 279 11.64 0.3 2% $14.97 $1,497.40 $1,501.56
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 15.6 0.5 3% $15.02 $1,501.56 $1,509.24
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 8.14 1.0 12% $15.09 $1,509.24 $1,524.14
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 9.55 -3.1 -32% $15.24 $1,524.14 $1,476.84
22nd Oct UFC 280 17.9 -10.1 -56% $14.77 $1,476.84 $1,328.42
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 8 2.3 29% $13.28 $1,328.42 $1,358.98
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 10.95 2.0 18% $13.59 $1,358.98 $1,385.76
12th Nov UFC 281 13.2 4.2 31% $13.86 $1,385.76 $1,443.30
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10.9 6.7 61% $14.43 $1,443.30 $1,539.48
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 12.4 -3.8 -30% $15.39 $1,539.48 $1,481.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: 48.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tonalgregb : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.69 2.9 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.65 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Ricky Simon Jack Shore 2.35 1 Sub, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Caio Borralho Armen Petrosyan 1.48 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Jalin Turner Brad Riddell 1.74 1.35 Sub, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '22 Alexander Volkov Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.61 1.65 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '22 Jeff Molina Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.63 3.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '22 Sam Hughes Elise Reed 2.30 10 TKO, R3 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '22 Tabatha Ricci Polyana Viana 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '22 Blagoy Ivanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '22 Grant Dawson Jared Gordon 1.65 1.55 Sub, R3 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '22 Mark O. Madsen Grant Dawson 2.80 0.5 Sub, R3 (2:5) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Jose Aldo Merab Dvalishvili 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Anthony Smith Magomed Ankalaev 5.20 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 1.61 1.65 TKO, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.80 1 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Sean Strickland Alex Pereira 1.91 2.2 TKO, R1 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Jessica-Rose Clark Julija Stoliarenko 1.71 1.4 Sub, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '22 Court McGee Jeremiah Wells 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '22 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '22 Angela Hill Virna Jandiroba 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '22 Clay Guida Claudio Puelles 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (3:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '22 Jesse Ronson Rafa Garcia 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (4:50) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '22 Adli Edwards Aaron Pico 8.50 0.25 TKO, R3 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '22 Tecia Torres Mackenzie Dern 2.00 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '22 Matt Brown Bryan Barberena 1.87 1.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tonalgregb : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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