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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lt. Dan |
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Lt. Dan : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (48%)
Losing Events: 16 (52%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.08 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.75 units
Best Event: 16.41 units
Worst Event: -15.75 units
Average Event: 0.12 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 34.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.75 |
Lt. Dan : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2022 |
312.4 |
3.8 |
1% |
-13.3 / 165.6 (-8%) |
|
4.0 / 19 (21%) |
15 / 16 (48%) |
0.12 |
|
Lt. Dan : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Lt. Dan : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
278.55 |
9.3 |
3% |
-11.9 / 151.25 (-8%) |
15.5 / 120.3 (13%) |
5.7 / 7 (82%) |
|
Bellator |
15.5 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
0.5 / 4.5 (11%) |
1.8 / 8.5 (21%) |
|
PFL |
16.35 |
-7.7 |
-47% |
-1.2 / 9.85 (-13%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
| Other |
2 |
2.4 |
120% |
2.4 / 2 (120%) |
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Lt. Dan : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
9 (12%) |
8 |
89 % |
41.10 |
14.97 |
1.66 |
36% |
| Slight Favorites |
17 (23%) |
5 |
29 % |
39.00 |
-21.46 |
-1.26 |
-55% |
| Slight Underdogs |
30 (41%) |
12 |
40 % |
63.25 |
-0.59 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
| Big Underdogs |
18 (24%) |
4 |
22 % |
22.25 |
-6.17 |
-0.34 |
-28% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
9 (12%) |
5 |
56 % |
36.00 |
7.83 |
0.87 |
22% |
| Co-Main Event |
11 (15%) |
4 |
36 % |
34.50 |
-12.74 |
-1.16 |
-37% |
| Position 3-5 |
18 (24%) |
9 |
50 % |
33.60 |
10.82 |
0.60 |
32% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
36 (49%) |
11 |
31 % |
61.50 |
-19.16 |
-0.53 |
-31% |
|
Lt. Dan : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.25 |
-1.25 |
-1.25 |
-100% |
| Light Heavy |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
24.50 |
4.09 |
0.82 |
17% |
| Middleweight |
7 (9%) |
2 |
29 % |
21.00 |
-8.82 |
-1.26 |
-42% |
| Welterweight |
11 (15%) |
5 |
45 % |
21.75 |
9.03 |
0.82 |
42% |
| Lightweight |
14 (19%) |
5 |
36 % |
27.85 |
-4.23 |
-0.30 |
-15% |
| Featherweight |
7 (9%) |
5 |
71 % |
13.00 |
7.92 |
1.13 |
61% |
| Bantamweight |
9 (12%) |
3 |
33 % |
13.00 |
-2.00 |
-0.22 |
-15% |
| Flyweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
16.50 |
-1.80 |
-0.23 |
-11% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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| Women's Fights |
12 (16%) |
3 |
25 % |
26.75 |
-16.20 |
-1.35 |
-61% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.00 |
-2.70 |
-0.67 |
-54% |
| Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
6.25 |
-4.00 |
-1.33 |
-64% |
| Strawweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
13.50 |
-7.50 |
-1.88 |
-56% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
24 (73%) |
16 |
67 % |
| Slight Favorites |
9 (27%) |
8 |
89 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
33 |
24 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
| 50-65% |
17 (15%) |
11 |
65 % |
| 35-50% |
15 (13%) |
3 |
20 % |
| <35% chance |
73 (65%) |
15 |
21 % |
|
112 |
33 |
29 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Lt. Dan 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
15 |
16.4 |
109% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,164.10 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
15.25 |
8.6 |
56% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.10 |
$1,264.02 |
| 1st Apr |
Cage Warriors 135 |
2 |
2.4 |
120% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,264.02 |
$1,294.36 |
| 9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
31.75 |
-0.9 |
-3% |
|
$12.94 |
$1,294.36 |
$1,283.09 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.83 |
$1,283.09 |
$1,129.12 |
| 20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
4.5 |
0.5 |
11% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,129.12 |
$1,134.77 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
4 |
6.3 |
158% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,134.77 |
$1,206.44 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,206.44 |
$1,146.12 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.46 |
$1,146.12 |
$1,088.82 |
| 28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
1.75 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.82 |
$1,069.76 |
| 30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
5.75 |
4.0 |
69% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.76 |
$1,112.30 |
| 6th May |
PFL 2022 #3 |
4.1 |
-0.5 |
-12% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,112.30 |
$1,106.74 |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
15.75 |
-15.8 |
-100% |
|
$11.07 |
$1,106.74 |
$932.43 |
| 13th May |
Bellator 281 |
3.5 |
1.5 |
43% |
|
$9.32 |
$932.43 |
$946.41 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
11 |
0.5 |
5% |
|
$9.46 |
$946.41 |
$951.62 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
4.8 |
-4.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.62 |
$905.94 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
6.15 |
-1.6 |
-27% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.94 |
$890.99 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
13.5 |
4.8 |
36% |
|
$8.91 |
$890.99 |
$934.06 |
| 17th Jun |
PFL 2022 #4 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.06 |
$915.37 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
5 |
11.6 |
231% |
|
$9.15 |
$915.37 |
$1,021.10 |
| 24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.10 |
$990.47 |
| 24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.47 |
$950.85 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
12.6 |
4.6 |
36% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.85 |
$994.34 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
11 |
13.9 |
127% |
|
$9.94 |
$994.34 |
$1,132.80 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
16.5 |
8.5 |
51% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.80 |
$1,228.59 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
24.75 |
7.4 |
30% |
|
$12.29 |
$1,228.59 |
$1,319.72 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
21.25 |
-13.8 |
-65% |
|
$13.20 |
$1,319.72 |
$1,138.26 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,138.26 |
$1,024.43 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
14 |
7.7 |
55% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.43 |
$1,103.22 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
7 |
-1.0 |
-14% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,103.22 |
$1,092.19 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
20.5 |
-13.8 |
-67% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,092.19 |
$941.10 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Lt. Dan : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Aug '22 |
Yazmin Jauregui |
Iasmin Lucindo |
1.50 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '22 |
Geoff Neal |
Vicente Luque |
2.70 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (2:1) |
|
|
| 3. |
Aug '22 |
Jamahal Hill |
Thiago Santos |
1.33 |
1.5 |
TKO, R4 (2:31) |
|
|
| 4. |
Aug '22 |
Jamahal Hill |
Thiago Santos |
1.36 |
8.5 |
TKO, R4 (2:31) |
|
|
| 5. |
Jul '22 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
2.62 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:11) |
|
|
| 6. |
Jul '22 |
Li Jingliang |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.32 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:38) |
|
|
| 7. |
Jul '22 |
Dustin Stoltzfus |
Dwight Grant |
2.30 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Jul '22 |
Saidyokub Kakhramonov |
Ronnie Lawrence |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Jul '22 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.48 |
5 |
TKO, R5 (0:18) |
|
|
| 10. |
Jul '22 |
Aiemann Zahabi |
Ricky Turcios |
3.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Jul '22 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
2.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:42) |
|
|
| 12. |
Jul '22 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Brad Tavares |
2.00 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Jun '22 |
Yilan Sha |
T.J. Brown |
2.87 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Jun '22 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Albert Duraev |
2.87 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
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| 15. |
Jun '22 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Glover Teixeira |
1.50 |
10 |
Sub, R5 (4:32) |
|
|
| 16. |
Jun '22 |
Karine Silva |
Poliana Botelho |
1.80 |
1.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:55) |
|
|
| 17. |
Jun '22 |
Lucas Almeida |
Mike Trizano |
3.00 |
0.75 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
|
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| 18. |
May '22 |
Tatsuro Taira |
Carlos Candelario |
1.40 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
May '22 |
Tatsuro Taira |
Carlos Candelario |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
May '22 |
Anthony Pettis |
Myles Price |
1.38 |
2.6 |
Sub, R1 (4:17) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '22 |
Marvin Vettori |
Robert Whittaker |
2.80 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '22 |
Charles Jourdain |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Sep '22 |
Ailin Perez |
Stephanie Egger |
3.00 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:54) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Aug '22 |
Dominick Cruz |
Marlon Vera |
3.00 |
3 |
TKO, R4 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Aug '22 |
Takashi Sato |
Bryan Battle |
3.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Jul '22 |
Julianna Pena |
Amanda Nunes |
3.25 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Jul '22 |
Kai Kara-France |
Brandon Moreno |
2.75 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Jul '22 |
Alex Perez |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.62 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jul '22 |
Julianna Pena |
Amanda Nunes |
3.25 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Jul '22 |
Matt Semelsberger |
Alex Morono |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Jul '22 |
Rafael Alves |
Drew Dober |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:30) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Jul '22 |
Damir Hadzovic |
Marc Diakiese |
4.00 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jul '22 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Nikita Krylov |
2.70 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:7) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Jul '22 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Jul '22 |
Claudio Silva |
Nicolas Dalby |
3.00 |
1.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Jul '22 |
Mandy Bohm |
Victoria Leonardo |
1.87 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Jul '22 |
Michelle Waterson |
Amanda Lemos |
3.60 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (1:48) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '22 |
Da Un Jung |
Dustin Jacoby |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '22 |
Tresean Gore |
Cody Brundage |
1.69 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:50) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jun '22 |
Nathan Maness |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
8.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Lt. Dan : Progress Chart |
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