MMA Handicapper Stats: Nick Simpkins |
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Nick Simpkins: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 11 (41%) Losing Events: 16 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.76 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.51 units Best Event: 20.42 units Worst Event: -13.14 units Average Event: 0.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 32.99 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.30 |
Nick Simpkins: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
335.55 |
0.9 |
0% |
-10.5 / 176.32 (-6%) |
|
-2.2 / 51.2 (-4%) |
9 / 14 (39%) |
0.04 |
2022 |
63 |
0.9 |
1% |
-13.5 / 26.55 (-51%) |
|
4.3 / 13.54 (32%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
0.23 |
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Nick Simpkins: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Nick Simpkins: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
383.95 |
4.1 |
1% |
-23.7 / 196.37 (-12%) |
22.0 / 128.94 (17%) |
5.7 / 58.64 (10%) |
PFL |
4 |
2.1 |
53% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
1.6 / 2 (80%) |
1.0 / 1.5 (69%) |
Other |
10.6 |
-4.4 |
-42% |
0.2 / 6 (3%) |
|
-4.6 / 4.6 (-100%) |
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Nick Simpkins: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
8.10 |
-8.10 |
-2.70 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (27%) |
12 |
46 % |
60.27 |
-15.75 |
-0.61 |
-26% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (45%) |
17 |
40 % |
94.75 |
-11.61 |
-0.27 |
-12% |
Big Underdogs |
24 (25%) |
7 |
29 % |
39.75 |
11.45 |
0.48 |
29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (13%) |
4 |
33 % |
32.61 |
-6.06 |
-0.50 |
-19% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
19.75 |
8.06 |
0.90 |
41% |
Position 3-5 |
18 (19%) |
6 |
33 % |
42.54 |
-6.51 |
-0.36 |
-15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
57 (59%) |
21 |
37 % |
107.97 |
-19.50 |
-0.34 |
-18% |
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Nick Simpkins: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (6%) |
|
0 % |
9.58 |
-9.58 |
-1.60 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
8 (8%) |
4 |
50 % |
16.18 |
-0.92 |
-0.11 |
-6% |
Middleweight |
13 (14%) |
5 |
38 % |
25.60 |
3.94 |
0.30 |
15% |
Welterweight |
11 (11%) |
2 |
18 % |
22.85 |
-18.00 |
-1.64 |
-79% |
Lightweight |
12 (13%) |
7 |
58 % |
30.81 |
13.29 |
1.11 |
43% |
Featherweight |
11 (11%) |
3 |
27 % |
23.01 |
-13.81 |
-1.26 |
-60% |
Bantamweight |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
17.55 |
8.84 |
0.98 |
50% |
Flyweight |
11 (11%) |
5 |
45 % |
27.99 |
0.22 |
0.02 |
1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
15 (16%) |
5 |
33 % |
29.30 |
-7.99 |
-0.53 |
-27% |
Flyweight |
7 (7%) |
3 |
43 % |
12.25 |
-1.64 |
-0.23 |
-13% |
Strawweight |
8 (8%) |
2 |
25 % |
17.05 |
-6.35 |
-0.79 |
-37% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
41 (66%) |
27 |
66 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (27%) |
10 |
59 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
62 |
37 |
60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
23 (16%) |
20 |
87 % |
50-65% |
33 (23%) |
21 |
64 % |
35-50% |
22 (15%) |
12 |
55 % |
<35% chance |
67 (46%) |
11 |
16 % |
|
145 |
64 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Nick Simpkins's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
23.75 |
6.4 |
27% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,063.78 |
25th Nov |
PFL 2022 #10 |
4 |
2.1 |
53% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,063.78 |
$1,086.42 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
12.99 |
-4.4 |
-34% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.42 |
$1,038.70 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
22.26 |
-3.2 |
-14% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.70 |
$1,005.36 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
7.31 |
-2.1 |
-29% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,005.36 |
$983.95 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
13.7 |
9.4 |
69% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.95 |
$1,076.42 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
9.6 |
-5.5 |
-57% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,076.42 |
$1,017.40 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
19.29 |
-5.1 |
-26% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.40 |
$965.49 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
5.25 |
2.1 |
40% |
|
$9.65 |
$965.49 |
$985.89 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
22.86 |
-2.9 |
-13% |
|
$9.86 |
$985.89 |
$957.16 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
11.29 |
-5.9 |
-52% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.16 |
$900.74 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
23 |
-2.2 |
-10% |
|
$9.01 |
$900.74 |
$880.63 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
11.5 |
-2.8 |
-25% |
|
$8.81 |
$880.63 |
$855.53 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
15.14 |
7.1 |
47% |
|
$8.56 |
$855.53 |
$916.27 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
15.66 |
7.4 |
47% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.27 |
$984.12 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
18.5 |
-13.1 |
-71% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.12 |
$854.81 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
36.51 |
20.4 |
56% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.81 |
$1,029.36 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
20.02 |
9.4 |
47% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.36 |
$1,126.32 |
29th Jul |
Cage Warriors 158 |
3 |
3.2 |
105% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,126.32 |
$1,161.80 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
30.8 |
-7.5 |
-24% |
|
$11.62 |
$1,161.80 |
$1,074.66 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
4.6 |
-4.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,074.66 |
$1,025.23 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
22.02 |
-2.9 |
-13% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.23 |
$995.46 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.46 |
$965.60 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
17 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.60 |
$962.69 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
7.54 |
2.9 |
38% |
|
$9.63 |
$962.69 |
$990.61 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
14.96 |
-10.5 |
-70% |
|
$9.91 |
$990.61 |
$886.60 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
3 |
7.5 |
250% |
|
$8.87 |
$886.60 |
$953.09 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Nick Simpkins: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Oct '23 |
Mike Breeden |
Anshul Jubli |
3.50 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
|
|
2. |
Sep '23 |
Jose Mariscal |
Jack Jenkins |
2.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:19) |
|
|
3. |
Sep '23 |
Tyson Pedro |
Anton Turkalj |
1.96 |
1.04 |
TKO, R1 (2:12) |
|
|
4. |
Aug '23 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Austin Hubbard |
2.50 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:39) |
|
|
5. |
Aug '23 |
Sean O'Malley |
Aljamain Sterling |
3.15 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:51) |
|
|
6. |
Jul '23 |
Shaj Haque |
Michele Martignoni |
2.05 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Marcos |
Davey Grant |
1.71 |
2.8 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Jul '23 |
Chris Duncan (2) |
Yanal Ashmoz |
1.68 |
2.96 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jul '23 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Brandon Moreno |
2.75 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Jul '23 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Robert Whittaker |
3.85 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '23 |
Denise Gomes |
Yazmin Jauregui |
4.20 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:20) |
|
|
12. |
Jun '23 |
Maycee Barber |
Amanda Ribas |
2.68 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:42) |
|
|
13. |
Jun '23 |
Kyung Ho Kang |
Christian Quinonez |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:25) |
|
|
14. |
Jun '23 |
Jared Cannonier |
Marvin Vettori |
2.05 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jun '23 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Christian Duncan |
2.26 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jun '23 |
Charles Oliveira |
Beneil Dariush |
2.30 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
17. |
Jun '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Miranda Maverick |
3.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jun '23 |
Steve Erceg |
David Dvorak |
3.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Jun '23 |
Tim Elliott |
Victor Altamirano |
1.57 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jun '23 |
Philipe Lins |
Maxim Grishin |
2.10 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Tracy Cortez |
2.05 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '23 |
Josh Fremd |
Roman Kopylov |
3.60 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '23 |
Kevin Holland |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.14 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Sep '23 |
Austen Lane |
Justin Tafa |
2.76 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:22) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Sep '23 |
Rhys McKee |
Ange Loosa |
2.42 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '23 |
Caolan Loughran |
Taylor Lapilus |
2.48 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Sep '23 |
Yanis Ghemmouri |
William Gomis |
2.72 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '23 |
Mateo Vogel |
Timothy Cuamba |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Aug '23 |
Maryna Moroz |
Karine Silva |
2.20 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Aug '23 |
Andrea Lee |
Natalia Cristina da Silva |
3.70 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '23 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Andre Petroski |
3.05 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '23 |
Amanda Lemos |
Weili Zhang |
3.70 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jul '23 |
Claudio Ribeiro |
Roman Kopylov |
2.72 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '23 |
Michael Chiesa |
Kevin Holland |
2.22 |
3.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '23 |
Dustin Poirier |
Justin Gaethje |
1.69 |
2.9 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '23 |
Claudio Ribeiro |
Roman Kopylov |
2.96 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '23 |
Vinicius Salvador |
Carlos Vergara |
2.34 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jul '23 |
Jamal Pogues |
Michael Parkin |
1.65 |
2.33 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Barez |
Jafel Filho |
1.96 |
2.08 |
Sub, R1 (3:26) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '23 |
Jim Crute |
Alonzo Menifield |
1.75 |
2.68 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Nick Simpkins: Progress Chart |
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