|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Joe Fin |
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Joe Fin: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 12 (33%) Losing Events: 24 (67%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.07 units Most Staked On One Event: 18.80 units Best Event: 6.44 units Worst Event: -5.59 units Average Event: -0.20 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.26 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -7.34 |
Joe Fin: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
18.8 |
-2.2 |
-12% |
-1.2 / 8 (-15%) |
|
0.3 / 9.5 (4%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.17 |
2022 |
163.75 |
-5.1 |
-3% |
5.7 / 26.45 (22%) |
|
-12.2 / 80.53 (-15%) |
12 / 23 (34%) |
-0.15 |
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Joe Fin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Joe Fin: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
171.7 |
-3.3 |
-2% |
3.5 / 32.4 (11%) |
1.5 / 54.47 (3%) |
-8.3 / 84.83 (-10%) |
Bellator |
4.1 |
-2.3 |
-55% |
|
-0.4 / 1.35 (-31%) |
-1.9 / 2.75 (-67%) |
Other |
6.75 |
-1.8 |
-26% |
1.0 / 2.05 (48%) |
-1.0 / 2.25 (-46%) |
-1.7 / 2.45 (-70%) |
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Joe Fin: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
0.60 |
0.29 |
0.15 |
49% |
Slight Favorites |
38 (40%) |
19 |
50 % |
17.60 |
-4.23 |
-0.11 |
-24% |
Slight Underdogs |
36 (38%) |
18 |
50 % |
10.60 |
2.62 |
0.07 |
25% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (20%) |
9 |
47 % |
5.65 |
5.80 |
0.31 |
103% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
7 (7%) |
3 |
43 % |
2.25 |
0.28 |
0.04 |
13% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (15%) |
7 |
50 % |
9.65 |
0.30 |
0.02 |
3% |
Position 3-5 |
31 (33%) |
14 |
45 % |
8.75 |
-1.92 |
-0.06 |
-22% |
6+ (Undercard) |
43 (45%) |
24 |
56 % |
13.80 |
5.80 |
0.13 |
42% |
|
Joe Fin: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
0.55 |
0.96 |
0.24 |
175% |
Light Heavy |
6 (6%) |
2 |
33 % |
1.15 |
-0.04 |
-0.01 |
-3% |
Middleweight |
15 (16%) |
7 |
47 % |
4.45 |
0.67 |
0.04 |
15% |
Welterweight |
12 (13%) |
7 |
58 % |
4.50 |
-0.15 |
-0.01 |
-3% |
Lightweight |
16 (17%) |
7 |
44 % |
10.20 |
-1.59 |
-0.10 |
-16% |
Featherweight |
8 (8%) |
3 |
38 % |
3.15 |
-1.37 |
-0.17 |
-44% |
Bantamweight |
12 (13%) |
7 |
58 % |
3.45 |
2.99 |
0.25 |
87% |
Flyweight |
5 (5%) |
4 |
80 % |
2.50 |
2.98 |
0.60 |
119% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (18%) |
9 |
53 % |
4.50 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0% |
Bantamweight |
6 (6%) |
2 |
33 % |
1.10 |
-0.50 |
-0.08 |
-46% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
1.25 |
0.16 |
0.04 |
13% |
Strawweight |
7 (7%) |
4 |
57 % |
2.15 |
0.36 |
0.05 |
17% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
759 (70%) |
551 |
73 % |
Slight Favorites |
227 (21%) |
138 |
61 % |
Slight Underdogs |
90 (8%) |
46 |
51 % |
Big Underdogs |
10 (1%) |
3 |
30 % |
|
1086 |
738 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
75 (22%) |
58 |
77 % |
50-65% |
92 (27%) |
58 |
63 % |
35-50% |
71 (21%) |
30 |
42 % |
<35% chance |
104 (30%) |
22 |
21 % |
|
342 |
168 |
49 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Joe Fin's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
13.75 |
6.4 |
47% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,064.35 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
11.65 |
1.4 |
12% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.35 |
$1,079.11 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
12.45 |
2.4 |
20% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,079.11 |
$1,105.39 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
2 |
-1.5 |
-75% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,105.39 |
$1,088.81 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
13.2 |
-2.8 |
-21% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.81 |
$1,058.53 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
9.1 |
-1.1 |
-12% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.53 |
$1,046.80 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
6.35 |
-1.5 |
-23% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.80 |
$1,031.60 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
3.7 |
-0.4 |
-12% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.60 |
$1,027.16 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
4.75 |
2.7 |
56% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.16 |
$1,054.58 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
7.81 |
1.9 |
25% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,054.58 |
$1,074.94 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
6.75 |
2.6 |
39% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,074.94 |
$1,102.93 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
7.8 |
-5.6 |
-72% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,102.93 |
$1,041.26 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
2.5 |
-1.7 |
-70% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.26 |
$1,023.04 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
2.05 |
1.7 |
84% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.04 |
$1,040.63 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
3.5 |
-1.1 |
-32% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.63 |
$1,029.10 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
2.9 |
-0.5 |
-18% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.10 |
$1,023.72 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
2.57 |
-0.8 |
-31% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.72 |
$1,015.44 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
2.5 |
-0.8 |
-34% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.44 |
$1,006.87 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
0.55 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.87 |
$1,001.33 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
2.5 |
1.1 |
43% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.33 |
$1,012.03 |
9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
123% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.03 |
$1,015.78 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
4.85 |
-2.6 |
-55% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.78 |
$988.92 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
0.8 |
-0.3 |
-36% |
|
$9.89 |
$988.92 |
$986.10 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
7.47 |
-2.2 |
-29% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.10 |
$964.69 |
23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
2.65 |
-0.3 |
-10% |
|
$9.65 |
$964.69 |
$962.03 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
1.05 |
-0.1 |
-5% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.03 |
$961.53 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
5.1 |
0.5 |
10% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.53 |
$966.36 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
1.4 |
-1.0 |
-70% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.36 |
$956.86 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
5.7 |
1.1 |
19% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.86 |
$966.96 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
7.1 |
-1.5 |
-21% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.96 |
$952.46 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 285 |
1.6 |
-0.3 |
-17% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.46 |
$949.92 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
4.35 |
-0.3 |
-8% |
|
$9.50 |
$949.92 |
$946.61 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.47 |
$946.61 |
$941.88 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.88 |
$937.17 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
2 |
0.7 |
33% |
|
$9.37 |
$937.17 |
$943.28 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
18.8 |
-2.2 |
-12% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.28 |
$922.78 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Joe Fin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Steve Erceg |
David Dvorak |
3.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Jun '23 |
Charles Oliveira |
Beneil Dariush |
1.74 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '22 |
Sean O'Malley |
Petr Yan |
3.95 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Sep '22 |
Gillian Robertson |
Mariya Agapova |
1.71 |
0.25 |
Sub, R2 (2:19) |
|
|
5. |
Sep '22 |
Elise Reed |
Melissa Martinez |
2.48 |
0.15 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Sep '22 |
Anthony Hernandez |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
1.61 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (1:53) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '22 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Yadong Song |
1.49 |
0.5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '22 |
Julian Erosa |
Hakeem Dawodu |
2.80 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '22 |
Denis Tiuliulin |
Jamie Pickett |
2.15 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (4:52) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '22 |
Yohan Lainesse |
Darian Weeks |
2.14 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '22 |
Irene Aldana |
Macy Chiasson |
1.65 |
0.25 |
TKO, R3 (2:21) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '22 |
Viktoriya Dudakova |
Maria Silva |
3.10 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '22 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Matej Penaz |
2.75 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (0:47) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '22 |
Roman Kopylov |
Alessio Di Chirico |
1.91 |
0.1 |
TKO, R3 (1:9) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '22 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Erisson Ferreira |
2.65 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (1:56) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '22 |
Darrius Flowers |
Amiran Gogoladze |
3.40 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (1:13) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '22 |
Marcin Tybura |
Alexander Romanov |
4.85 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '22 |
Ange Loosa |
A.J. Fletcher |
2.40 |
0.15 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '22 |
Ange Loosa |
A.J. Fletcher |
2.40 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '22 |
Nazim Sadykhov |
Ahmad Hasanzada |
1.48 |
0.1 |
TKO, R3 (1:59) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Nate Landwehr |
Dan Ige |
3.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jun '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Charles Oliveira |
1.74 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '22 |
Krzysztof Jotko |
Brendan Allen |
1.83 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '22 |
Charles Oliveira |
Islam Makhachev |
2.45 |
0.25 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Sep '22 |
Cameron VanCamp |
Nikolas Motta |
2.47 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
Yes |
|
|
6. |
Sep '22 |
Tony Gravely |
Javid Basharat |
2.35 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
7. |
Sep '22 |
Bill Algeo |
Andre Fili |
2.15 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '22 |
Sean Brady |
Belal Muhammad |
1.69 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '22 |
Nariman Abbasov |
Ismael Bonfim |
1.97 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '22 |
Charles Jourdain |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.74 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '22 |
Matej Penaz |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.67 |
0.2 |
Sub, R1 (0:47) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Henrique |
Yusaku Kinoshita |
2.65 |
0.25 |
TKO, R3 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '22 |
Charles Jourdain |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.73 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '22 |
Luke Rockhold |
Paulo Costa |
4.05 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
15. |
Aug '22 |
Yanan Wu |
Lucie Pudilova |
2.10 |
0.15 |
TKO, R2 (4:4) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Aldo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.15 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Aldo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.07 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '22 |
Yanan Wu |
Lucie Pudilova |
2.25 |
0.1 |
TKO, R2 (4:4) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '22 |
Leonardo Santos |
Jared Gordon |
3.60 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '22 |
Ivan Valenzuela |
Claudio Ribeiro |
1.80 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (0:25) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Joe Fin: Progress Chart |
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