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MMA Handicapper Stats: Not Guram

Not Guram (NutshotMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Not Guram

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 110 (38%) Right 71 (50%) Right 30 (26%) Right 9 (27%)
Wrong 179 (62%) Wrong 70 (50%) Wrong 85 (74%) Wrong 24 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.66 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 3.57 Avg Odds 4.75
Units Bet 382.7 Units Bet 249.5 Units Bet 100.4 Units Bet 32.8
Avg Bet 1.32 Avg Bet 1.77 Avg Bet 0.87 Avg Bet 0.99
Units Profit -10.81 Units Profit -1.88 Units Profit -8.75 Units Profit -0.18
ROI % -3% ROI % -1% ROI % -9% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Profile

Not Guram: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 6.75 -3.0 -44% -3.0 / 6.75 (-44%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 7.67 -5.0 -65% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 3.67 (-27%)
27th Aug '22 One FC on Prime 1 1.38 -1.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.38 (-100%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 2.78 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.78 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 12.12 -7.8 -64% -7.8 / 7.8 (-100%) -0.0 / 4.32 (-0%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.6 3.0 83% 3.0 / 3.6 (83%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8.8 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 8.8 (-1%)
13th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #8 1.05 1.0 95% 1.0 / 1.05 (95%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 8.64 -5.8 -67% -5.8 / 8.64 (-67%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 4.25 -1.0 -24% -1.0 / 4.25 (-24%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 3.5 3.5 101% 3.5 / 3.5 (101%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 10.2 2.1 20% 2.1 / 10.2 (20%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 3.15 2.0 63% 2.0 / 3.15 (63%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 13.04 6.6 51% 4.6 / 10.54 (44%) 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
22nd Jul '22 Cage Warriors 141 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.05 8.1 73% 8.1 / 11.05 (73%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.6 1.1 17% -1.2 / 4.6 (-26%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 2.04 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2.04 (-100%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 2.67 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 2.67 (-0%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 9.15 -2.1 -23% 0.9 / 6.1 (15%) -3.1 / 3.05 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 11.26 0.2 2% 1.2 / 10.26 (12%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 17.8 -10.7 -60% -3.6 / 8.3 (-44%) -1.0 / 3.4 (-29%) -6.1 / 6.1 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 24.44 -4.0 -17% 2.7 / 9.04 (30%) 0.6 / 8 (8%) -7.4 / 7.4 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 12.78 2.8 22% 2.7 / 8.38 (32%) -1.0 / 3.4 (-29%) 1.1 / 1 (109%)
6th May '22 PFL 2022 #3 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th May '22 Bellator 280 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 8.84 -1.8 -20% -0.9 / 5.34 (-16%) -0.9 / 3.5 (-26%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 12.63 -2.7 -21% -3.1 / 5.78 (-54%) 1.4 / 5.85 (24%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 278 1 1.5 146% 1.5 / 1 (146%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 16.72 -1.5 -9% 2.5 / 12.72 (19%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 3 -1.0 -33% 0.0 / 2 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 31.45 -18.1 -58% -7.3 / 14.15 (-52%) -10.8 / 17.3 (-63%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 30.89 4.9 16% 9.6 / 19.64 (49%) -4.7 / 11.25 (-42%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 24.66 28.0 114% 3.8 / 8.8 (43%) 8.4 / 7.66 (110%) 15.8 / 8.2 (193%)
12th Mar '22 Bellator 276 2.25 -2.3 -100% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 18.66 -11.4 -61% -5.5 / 12.76 (-43%) -4.9 / 4.9 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 27.4 4.6 17% 5.1 / 16.7 (30%) -2.0 / 5.7 (-35%) 1.5 / 5 (30%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 11.95 12.3 103% 0.5 / 4 (13%) 13.9 / 5.85 (238%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
25th Feb '22 Bellator 275 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 16 (37%)
Losing Events: 27 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.45 units
Best Event: 28.03 units
Worst Event: -18.11 units
Average Event: -0.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 32.88
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.64

Not Guram: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 384.67 -10.8 -3% -1.9 / 249.52 (-1%) -0.2 / 32.8 (-1%) 16 / 27 (37%) -0.25

Not Guram: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Not Guram: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 345.15 -4.6 -1% 0.3 / 216 (0%) -5.8 / 97.35 (-6%) 0.8 / 31.8 (3%)
Bellator 18.56 -8.6 -46% -6.6 / 14.56 (-45%) -1.0 / 3 (-33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL 5.55 -1.0 -18% 1.0 / 3.55 (28%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other 15.41 3.4 22% 3.4 / 15.41 (22%)

Not Guram: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (11%) 11 65 % 64.81 -5.77 -0.34 -9%
Slight Favorites 52 (35%) 32 62 % 89.71 16.81 0.32 19%
Slight Underdogs 60 (40%) 27 45 % 72.00 -1.07 -0.02 -1%
Big Underdogs 21 (14%) 3 14 % 23.00 -11.85 -0.56 -52%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (12%) 8 44 % 31.71 -4.92 -0.27 -16%
Co-Main Event 15 (10%) 5 33 % 24.36 -2.12 -0.14 -9%
Position 3-5 38 (25%) 15 39 % 61.12 -15.12 -0.40 -25%
6+ (Undercard) 79 (53%) 45 57 % 132.33 20.28 0.26 15%

Not Guram: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (7%) 7 64 % 25.33 5.26 0.48 21%
Light Heavy 10 (7%) 6 60 % 18.36 3.27 0.33 18%
Middleweight 13 (9%) 6 46 % 28.03 -2.85 -0.22 -10%
Welterweight 17 (11%) 10 59 % 27.86 5.23 0.31 19%
Lightweight 20 (13%) 7 35 % 24.74 -3.17 -0.16 -13%
Featherweight 13 (9%) 7 54 % 17.95 0.64 0.05 4%
Bantamweight 13 (9%) 8 62 % 16.43 4.19 0.32 26%
Flyweight 14 (9%) 7 50 % 24.40 -0.91 -0.07 -4%
               
Women's Fights 39 (26%) 15 38 % 66.42 -13.54 -0.35 -20%
Featherweight 3 (2%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%
Bantamweight 8 (5%) 3 38 % 18.25 -4.80 -0.60 -26%
Flyweight 11 (7%) 5 45 % 20.25 -1.50 -0.14 -7%
Strawweight 17 (11%) 7 41 % 23.92 -3.24 -0.19 -14%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 124 (73%) 89 72 %
Slight Favorites 31 (18%) 19 61 %
Slight Underdogs 15 (9%) 6 40 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
171 114 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 19 (15%) 12 63 %
35-50% 33 (26%) 11 33 %
<35% chance 76 (59%) 11 14 %
128 34 27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 2 67 % 1.80 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.60Pick was correct 0.4 (13%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (7%) 6 67 % 2.00 2.58Pick was correct 1.56Pick was incorrect 3.4 (38%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.86 1.86Pick was correct 1.86Pick was correct 0.9 (86%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (5%) 5 83 % 2.09 2.70Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct 4.2 (70%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (2%) 1 50 % 1.73 1.79Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect -0.2 (-10%)
X Wins by KO 11 (9%) 0 0 % 3.02 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -10.0 (-91%)
X Wins by Sub 34 (27%) 8 24 % 4.29 35.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct 31.0 (91%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (6%) 4 50 % 3.25 17.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 4.4 (55%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (9%) 2 18 % 2.67 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -5.9 (-54%)
X Wins in Round X 10 (8%) 1 10 % 9.64 29.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -5.4 (-54%)
Others 33 (26%) 4 12 % 4.87 50.99Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -22.3 (-68%)
128 34 27 % 3.49     0.4 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Not Guram's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Feb Bellator 275 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 11.95 12.3 103% $9.95 $995.00 $1,117.58
5th Mar UFC 272 27.4 4.6 17% $11.18 $1,117.58 $1,169.06
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 18.66 -11.4 -61% $11.69 $1,169.06 $1,036.02
12th Mar Bellator 276 2.25 -2.3 -100% $10.36 $1,036.02 $1,012.71
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 24.66 28.0 114% $10.13 $1,012.71 $1,296.57
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 30.89 4.9 16% $12.97 $1,296.57 $1,359.45
9th Apr UFC 273 31.45 -18.1 -58% $13.59 $1,359.45 $1,113.25
15th Apr Bellator 277 3 -1.0 -33% $11.13 $1,113.25 $1,102.12
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 16.72 -1.5 -9% $11.02 $1,102.12 $1,085.27
23rd Apr Bellator 278 1 1.5 146% $10.85 $1,085.27 $1,101.12
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 12.63 -2.7 -21% $11.01 $1,101.12 $1,071.39
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 8.84 -1.8 -20% $10.71 $1,071.39 $1,052.42
6th May Bellator 280 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.52 $1,052.42 $1,047.16
6th May PFL 2022 #3 1 -1.0 -100% $10.47 $1,047.16 $1,036.69
7th May UFC 274 12.78 2.8 22% $10.37 $1,036.69 $1,065.35
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 24.44 -4.0 -17% $10.65 $1,065.35 $1,022.31
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 17.8 -10.7 -60% $10.22 $1,022.31 $912.41
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 11.26 0.2 2% $9.12 $912.41 $914.24
11th Jun UFC 275 9.15 -2.1 -23% $9.14 $914.24 $894.76
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 1 -1.0 -100% $8.95 $894.76 $885.81
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 4 -4.0 -100% $8.86 $885.81 $850.38
24th Jun Bellator 282 2.67 -0.0 -0% $8.50 $850.38 $850.38
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 1 -1.0 -100% $8.50 $850.38 $841.88
2nd Jul UFC 276 2.04 -2.0 -100% $8.42 $841.88 $824.70
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.6 1.1 17% $8.25 $824.70 $833.78
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.05 8.1 73% $8.34 $833.78 $900.98
22nd Jul Cage Warriors 141 1 -1.0 -100% $9.01 $900.98 $891.97
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 13.04 6.6 51% $8.92 $891.97 $951.28
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 3.15 2.0 63% $9.51 $951.28 $970.31
30th Jul UFC 277 10.2 2.1 20% $9.70 $970.31 $990.20
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 3.5 3.5 101% $9.90 $990.20 $1,025.35
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 1.5 1.0 67% $10.25 $1,025.35 $1,035.61
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 4.25 -1.0 -24% $10.36 $1,035.61 $1,025.25
12th Aug Bellator 284 8.64 -5.8 -67% $10.25 $1,025.25 $965.89
13th Aug PFL 2022 #8 1.05 1.0 95% $9.66 $965.89 $975.55
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8.8 -0.0 -1% $9.76 $975.55 $975.06
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.6 3.0 83% $9.75 $975.06 $1,004.31
20th Aug UFC 278 12.12 -7.8 -64% $10.04 $1,004.31 $925.97
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 2.78 -2.8 -100% $9.26 $925.97 $900.23
27th Aug One FC on Prime 1 1.38 -1.4 -100% $9.00 $900.23 $887.81
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 7.67 -5.0 -65% $8.88 $887.81 $843.42
10th Sep UFC 279 6.75 -3.0 -44% $8.43 $843.42 $818.54


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Not Guram: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '22 Chris Barnett Jake Collier 3.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Hailey Cowan Claudia Leite 1.83 3.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Martin Buday Lukasz Brzeski 1.47 4.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Nina Nunes Cynthia Calvillo 2.45 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Sadibou Sy Carlos Leal Miranda 1.95 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Marcos Breno Josh Hill 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Marthin Hamlet Cory Hendricks 1.67 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Sergey Spivak Augusto Sakai 1.44 2.25 TKO, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Francis Marshall Connor Matthews 1.95 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Billy Goff Shimon Smotritsky 1.69 1.45 TKO, R1 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Chris Duncan (2) Charlie Campbell 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Joe Pyfer Ozzy Diaz 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.65 1.55 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 2.35 1 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.65 3.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Joselyne Edwards Ji Yeon Kim 1.80 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Alessandro Costa Andres Luna 1.47 2.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.15 2 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.61 1.65 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '22 Marvin Vettori Robert Whittaker 2.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '22 Michal Figlak Fares Ziam 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '22 Melissa Martinez Elise Reed 1.57 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Macy Chiasson Irene Aldana 2.28 2 TKO, R3 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Chad Anheliger Heili Alateng 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Adriano Moraes Demetrious Johnson 1.72 1.38 TKO, R4 (3:50) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Erisson Ferreira Jesus Santos Aguilar 1.36 2.78 Sub, R3 (1:56) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Yanan Wu Lucie Pudilova 2.08 1 TKO, R2 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Alexander Romanov Marcin Tybura 1.21 4.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Luke Rockhold Paulo Costa 3.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Iasmin Lucindo Yazmin Jauregui 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Devin Clark Azamat Murzakanov 2.32 1 TKO, R3 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 Brett Bye M A Yah Ii 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '22 Austin Vanderford Aaron Jeffery 1.53 5.64 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '22 Bruna Ellen Ilima-Lei Macfarlane 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '22 Brogan Walker Juliana Miller 2.10 2 TKO, R3 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '22 Ariane Lipski Priscila Cachoeira 1.67 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:5) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.77 1.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.30 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Ander Sanchez Lone'er Kavanagh 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Not Guram: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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