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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 4705
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1816

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: patk...

patk... (patk155617)


MMA MHandicapper - patk...

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 52 (44%) Right 19 (44%) Right 23 (43%) Right 10 (45%)
Wrong 66 (56%) Wrong 24 (56%) Wrong 30 (57%) Wrong 12 (55%)
Avg Odds 2.45 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.79 Avg Odds 2.06
Units Bet 132.0 Units Bet 61.7 Units Bet 46.2 Units Bet 24.2
Avg Bet 1.12 Avg Bet 1.43 Avg Bet 0.87 Avg Bet 1.10
Units Profit 10.35 Units Profit 2.34 Units Profit 7.36 Units Profit 0.64
ROI % 8% ROI % 4% ROI % 16% ROI % 3%
View Handicapper's Profile

patk... : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 6.4 -3.6 -57% -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%) 0.6 / 2.15 (28%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10.23 -3.8 -37% -2.3 / 6.15 (-37%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.0 / 2.58 (0%)
13th Aug '22 Cage Warriors 142 0.71 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.71 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #8 1.75 -0.6 -34% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 0.7 / 0.5 (130%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 3.1 3.7 121% 3.1 / 2 (154%) 0.7 / 1.1 (62%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 4.76 1.0 20% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.5 / 3.26 (75%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 10.28 0.5 5% -1.0 / 3.39 (-29%) -1.0 / 5.89 (-17%) 2.5 / 1 (249%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 2.75 -0.3 -9% -0.3 / 2.75 (-9%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 10.41 -3.7 -36% 0.2 / 6.51 (3%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 15.29 2.2 14% 1.3 / 4.72 (27%) 0.9 / 6.07 (15%) 0.0 / 4.5 (0%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 4.23 0.0 1% 0.7 / 0.82 (91%) 1.0 / 1.71 (58%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 19.23 3.0 15% 3.3 / 7.25 (46%) 0.3 / 8.3 (4%) -0.7 / 3.68 (-18%)
22nd Jul '22 Bellator 283 3.34 4.0 119% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.8 / 1.1 (255%) 2.2 / 1.24 (176%)
22nd Jul '22 Cage Warriors 141 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 17.13 4.5 26% 4.7 / 10.84 (43%) 0.8 / 5.29 (15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 13.72 4.9 36% 0.7 / 3.5 (20%) 3.2 / 9.14 (35%) 1.0 / 1.08 (93%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 8.33 -1.5 -18% -1.5 / 3.76 (-40%) 0.0 / 4.57 (0%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 2.6 1.8 69% 1.3 / 2 (67%) 0.5 / 0.6 (75%)


Winning Events: 10 (56%)
Losing Events: 8 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.51 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.23 units
Best Event: 4.92 units
Worst Event: -3.80 units
Average Event: 0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 9.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -8.76

patk... : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 135.26 10.3 8% 2.3 / 61.69 (4%) 0.6 / 24.15 (3%) 10 / 8 (56%) 0.57

patk... : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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patk... : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 94.21 9.8 10% 5.2 / 39.61 (13%) 2.7 / 40.76 (7%) 1.8 / 13.84 (13%)
Bellator 6.44 7.7 120% 2.1 / 3 (69%) 3.5 / 2.2 (158%) 2.2 / 1.24 (176%)
PFL 7.1 0.9 13% -0.2 / 6 (-3%) 1.1 / 1.1 (100%)
Other 27.51 -8.1 -29% -4.8 / 13.08 (-37%) 0.1 / 5.36 (2%) -3.4 / 9.07 (-37%)

patk... : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.15 -2.15 -2.15 -100%
Slight Favorites 11 (23%) 8 73 % 22.79 6.97 0.63 31%
Slight Underdogs 19 (40%) 10 53 % 22.00 5.07 0.27 23%
Big Underdogs 16 (34%) 2 13 % 14.75 -7.55 -0.47 -51%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (17%) 3 38 % 10.87 -1.40 -0.18 -13%
Co-Main Event 4 (9%) 2 50 % 5.39 0.96 0.24 18%
Position 3-5 8 (17%) 4 50 % 16.73 2.10 0.26 13%
6+ (Undercard) 27 (57%) 11 41 % 28.70 0.69 0.03 2%

patk... : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 4.95 0.50 0.17 10%
Light Heavy 4 (9%) 2 50 % 5.80 1.50 0.38 26%
Middleweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 5.08 2.11 0.42 41%
Welterweight 8 (17%) 3 38 % 11.21 1.28 0.16 11%
Lightweight 5 (11%) 0 % 8.05 -8.05 -1.61 -100%
Featherweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 8.95 -0.65 -0.11 -7%
Bantamweight 6 (13%) 3 50 % 7.00 -0.35 -0.06 -5%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 3.57 0.25 0.08 7%
               
Women's Fights 7 (15%) 5 71 % 7.08 5.76 0.82 81%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 3.59 3.25 1.08 91%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.15 1.15 115%
Strawweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 2.49 1.36 0.45 55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 26 (90%) 19 73 %
Slight Favorites 2 (7%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
29 21 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (16%) 7 58 %
50-65% 23 (32%) 15 65 %
35-50% 10 (14%) 5 50 %
<35% chance 28 (38%) 6 21 %
73 33 45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.99 1.99Pick was incorrect 1.99Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 15 (21%) 11 73 % 1.83 2.48Pick was correct 1.53Pick was incorrect 6.1 (40%)
Goes to Decision 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.11 3.25Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -0.4 (-12%)
Does not go to Decision 11 (15%) 6 55 % 1.49 2.65Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -2.3 (-21%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.33 1.33Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 0.3 (33%)
X Wins by KO 9 (12%) 4 44 % 3.82 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was correct 3.6 (40%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (5%) 1 25 % 5.17 9.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect 2.0 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (7%) 1 20 % 3.43 5.00Pick was correct 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.0 (20%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (10%) 4 57 % 2.43 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 0.9 (13%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.80 6.00Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was correct 2.0 (100%)
Others 15 (21%) 3 20 % 2.74 36.00Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was incorrect -9.0 (-60%)
73 33 45 % 2.31     3.3 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail patk... 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 2.6 1.8 69% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,018.00
2nd Jul UFC 276 8.33 -1.5 -18% $10.18 $1,018.00 $1,002.63
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 13.72 4.9 36% $10.03 $1,002.63 $1,051.92
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 17.13 4.5 26% $10.52 $1,051.92 $1,099.15
22nd Jul Cage Warriors 141 1 -1.0 -100% $10.99 $1,099.15 $1,088.16
22nd Jul Bellator 283 3.34 4.0 119% $10.88 $1,088.16 $1,131.46
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 19.23 3.0 15% $11.31 $1,131.46 $1,165.07
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 4.23 0.0 1% $11.65 $1,165.07 $1,165.59
30th Jul UFC 277 15.29 2.2 14% $11.66 $1,165.59 $1,191.25
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 10.41 -3.7 -36% $11.91 $1,191.25 $1,146.95
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 2.75 -0.3 -9% $11.47 $1,146.95 $1,144.08
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 10.28 0.5 5% $11.44 $1,144.08 $1,149.59
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 4.76 1.0 20% $11.50 $1,149.59 $1,160.51
12th Aug Bellator 284 3.1 3.7 121% $11.61 $1,160.51 $1,204.02
13th Aug PFL 2022 #8 1.75 -0.6 -34% $12.04 $1,204.02 $1,196.80
13th Aug Cage Warriors 142 0.71 -0.7 -100% $11.97 $1,196.80 $1,188.30
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10.23 -3.8 -37% $11.88 $1,188.30 $1,143.19
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 6.4 -3.6 -57% $11.43 $1,143.19 $1,101.46


ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

patk... : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '22 Angela Hill Lupita Godinez 3.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Aaron Jeffery Austin Vanderford 2.62 1 TKO, R1 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Goiti Yamauchi Neiman Gracie 2.45 1 TKO, R2 (3:58) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Omari Akhmedov Joshua Silveira 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Mayra Bueno Silva Stephanie Egger 1.72 1.39 Sub, R1 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Billy Goff Shimon Smotritsky 1.69 3.96 TKO, R1 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Joe Pyfer Ozzy Diaz 1.91 0.82 TKO, R2 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.65 2.32 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Joselyne Edwards Ji Yeon Kim 1.83 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.18 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung 1.71 2.8 TKO, R1 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.54 3.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Bill Algeo Herbert Burns 1.63 1.6 TKO, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Ricky Simon Jack Shore 2.45 1 Sub, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Saidyokub Kakhramonov Ronnie Lawrence 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Saidyokub Kakhramonov Ronnie Lawrence 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Julija Stoliarenko Jessica-Rose Clark 2.25 1 Sub, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Sadibou Sy Rory MacDonald 3.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '22 Ahmad Hasanzada Nazim Sadykhov 3.00 2.25 TKO, R3 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Jack Cartwright Jose Johnson 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Dominick Cruz Marlon Vera 2.85 1 TKO, R4 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Renan Ferreira Ante Delija 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 David Onama Nate Landwehr 1.47 2.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Dominick Cruz Marlon Vera 2.85 1 TKO, R4 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Delan Monte Rob Wilkinson 3.85 1 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Jason Witt Josh Quinlan 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Anvar Boynazarov Erik Silva 3.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Charlie Campbell Chris Duncan (2) 1.59 2.55 TKO, R1 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Miranda Granger Cory McKenna 2.95 0.75 Sub, R2 (1:3) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Alex Martinez Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.90 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 Takashi Sato Bryan Battle 2.95 1.25 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.83 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Kyle Driscoll George Hardwick 2.60 1 TKO, R4 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Charles Rosa Nathaniel Wood 5.50 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev 4.65 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Douglas Lima Jason Jackson 2.60 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Charles Rosa Nathaniel Wood 4.50 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev 4.75 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

patk... : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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