| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: AscendantMMA |
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AscendantMMA : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 33 (56%)
Losing Events: 26 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 13.99 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: 0.72 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 39.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -29.22 |
AscendantMMA : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
141.4 |
10.5 |
7% |
0.8 / 41.6 (2%) |
|
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
7 / 8 (47%) |
0.70 |
| 2023 |
280.5 |
0.9 |
0% |
-10.8 / 52.75 (-20%) |
|
-12.5 / 92.55 (-14%) |
18 / 16 (53%) |
0.03 |
| 2022 |
109.5 |
30.9 |
28% |
20.9 / 46 (45%) |
|
3.8 / 31.5 (12%) |
8 / 2 (80%) |
3.09 |
|
AscendantMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
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|
AscendantMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
472.25 |
52.1 |
11% |
19.7 / 126.25 (16%) |
44.3 / 238.95 (19%) |
-11.9 / 107.05 (-11%) |
|
Bellator |
18 |
-11.8 |
-66% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-3.8 / 10 (-38%) |
|
PFL |
10.1 |
-5.0 |
-50% |
-0.5 / 3.1 (-17%) |
-1.5 / 4 (-38%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
| Other |
31.05 |
7.0 |
23% |
-2.4 / 5 (-47%) |
7.3 / 14.05 (52%) |
2.0 / 12 (17%) |
|
AscendantMMA : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
10 (12%) |
10 |
100 % |
34.50 |
13.09 |
1.31 |
38% |
| Slight Favorites |
15 (18%) |
10 |
67 % |
31.10 |
7.18 |
0.48 |
23% |
| Slight Underdogs |
41 (49%) |
16 |
39 % |
55.50 |
2.15 |
0.05 |
4% |
| Big Underdogs |
17 (20%) |
2 |
12 % |
19.25 |
-11.63 |
-0.68 |
-60% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
7 (8%) |
6 |
86 % |
14.50 |
11.43 |
1.63 |
79% |
| Co-Main Event |
13 (16%) |
3 |
23 % |
16.50 |
-7.93 |
-0.61 |
-48% |
| Position 3-5 |
22 (27%) |
11 |
50 % |
40.85 |
1.56 |
0.07 |
4% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
41 (49%) |
18 |
44 % |
68.50 |
5.75 |
0.14 |
8% |
|
AscendantMMA : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
7 (8%) |
3 |
43 % |
11.60 |
-2.60 |
-0.37 |
-22% |
| Light Heavy |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
8.50 |
1.29 |
0.32 |
15% |
| Middleweight |
10 (12%) |
5 |
50 % |
19.00 |
1.96 |
0.20 |
10% |
| Welterweight |
10 (12%) |
7 |
70 % |
20.25 |
9.13 |
0.91 |
45% |
| Lightweight |
10 (12%) |
4 |
40 % |
15.75 |
0.41 |
0.04 |
3% |
| Featherweight |
16 (19%) |
10 |
63 % |
32.00 |
9.49 |
0.59 |
30% |
| Bantamweight |
12 (14%) |
4 |
33 % |
17.00 |
-1.50 |
-0.13 |
-9% |
| Flyweight |
5 (6%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.25 |
0.78 |
0.16 |
15% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
9 (11%) |
1 |
11 % |
11.00 |
-8.15 |
-0.91 |
-74% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
5 (6%) |
1 |
20 % |
6.25 |
-3.40 |
-0.68 |
-54% |
| Strawweight |
3 (4%) |
|
0 % |
3.25 |
-3.25 |
-1.08 |
-100% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
71 (74%) |
56 |
79 % |
| Slight Favorites |
12 (13%) |
6 |
50 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
13 (14%) |
4 |
31 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
96 |
66 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
44 (15%) |
30 |
68 % |
| 50-65% |
51 (17%) |
28 |
55 % |
| 35-50% |
52 (17%) |
20 |
38 % |
| <35% chance |
152 (51%) |
32 |
21 % |
|
299 |
110 |
37 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail AscendantMMA 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
19 |
2.3 |
12% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,023.13 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
11 |
-1.1 |
-10% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.13 |
$1,011.86 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
6 |
3.1 |
51% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.86 |
$1,042.82 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
12 |
11.8 |
98% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.82 |
$1,165.63 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
12 |
8.3 |
70% |
|
$11.66 |
$1,165.63 |
$1,262.86 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
16 |
5.7 |
36% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,262.86 |
$1,335.21 |
| 15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.35 |
$1,335.21 |
$1,295.15 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
13 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$12.95 |
$1,295.15 |
$1,298.39 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
6 |
2.1 |
35% |
|
$12.98 |
$1,298.39 |
$1,325.65 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
11.5 |
1.4 |
12% |
|
$13.26 |
$1,325.65 |
$1,344.16 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
11.75 |
-5.4 |
-46% |
|
$13.44 |
$1,344.16 |
$1,271.26 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
17.75 |
11.8 |
67% |
|
$12.71 |
$1,271.26 |
$1,421.71 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
8.75 |
4.7 |
54% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,421.71 |
$1,488.69 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
13.3 |
9.0 |
68% |
|
$14.89 |
$1,488.69 |
$1,622.74 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
14.75 |
14.0 |
95% |
|
$16.23 |
$1,622.74 |
$1,849.81 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.50 |
$1,849.81 |
$1,812.81 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5.5 |
3.5 |
64% |
|
$18.13 |
$1,812.81 |
$1,876.35 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
10 |
-6.2 |
-62% |
|
$18.76 |
$1,876.35 |
$1,760.25 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
9.25 |
-9.3 |
-100% |
|
$17.60 |
$1,760.25 |
$1,597.43 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
4.3 |
-4.3 |
-100% |
|
$15.97 |
$1,597.43 |
$1,528.74 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
8.35 |
0.3 |
4% |
|
$15.29 |
$1,528.74 |
$1,533.76 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
14.95 |
-9.1 |
-61% |
|
$15.34 |
$1,533.76 |
$1,394.96 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
12.45 |
4.0 |
32% |
|
$13.95 |
$1,394.96 |
$1,450.42 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
5 |
4.8 |
96% |
|
$14.50 |
$1,450.42 |
$1,519.96 |
| 23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
2 |
2.0 |
100% |
|
$15.20 |
$1,519.96 |
$1,550.40 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
10.5 |
4.2 |
40% |
|
$15.50 |
$1,550.40 |
$1,615.68 |
| 26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
5.25 |
1.7 |
33% |
$15 |
$16.16 |
$1,615.68 |
$1,628.82 |
| 29th Sep |
Cage Warriors 160 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.29 |
$1,628.82 |
$1,588.10 |
| 29th Sep |
One Fight Night 14 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
76% |
|
$15.88 |
$1,588.10 |
$1,606.20 |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.06 |
$1,606.20 |
$1,558.02 |
| 3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
3.25 |
6.2 |
192% |
$15 |
$15.58 |
$1,558.02 |
$1,640.39 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
10.5 |
-4.0 |
-38% |
$15 |
$16.40 |
$1,640.39 |
$1,560.41 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
2 |
0.2 |
8% |
$15 |
$15.60 |
$1,560.41 |
$1,547.83 |
| 10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
7.75 |
1.4 |
18% |
$15 |
$15.48 |
$1,547.83 |
$1,554.11 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
10.75 |
1.2 |
12% |
$15 |
$15.54 |
$1,554.11 |
$1,558.34 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
12.75 |
1.5 |
12% |
$15 |
$15.58 |
$1,558.34 |
$1,566.78 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
4.8 |
-4.8 |
-100% |
$15 |
$15.67 |
$1,566.78 |
$1,476.58 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
14.55 |
-6.7 |
-46% |
$15 |
$14.77 |
$1,476.58 |
$1,363.11 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
$15 |
$13.63 |
$1,363.11 |
$1,225.43 |
| 18th Nov |
Oktagon 49 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$15 |
$12.25 |
$1,225.43 |
$1,198.18 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5.75 |
-2.3 |
-40% |
$15 |
$11.98 |
$1,198.18 |
$1,155.62 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
11.5 |
-3.5 |
-30% |
$15 |
$11.56 |
$1,155.62 |
$1,100.75 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
12 |
-2.0 |
-17% |
$15 |
$11.01 |
$1,100.75 |
$1,063.73 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
12.05 |
4.0 |
33% |
$15 |
$10.64 |
$1,063.73 |
$1,091.31 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
11.05 |
0.2 |
2% |
$15 |
$10.91 |
$1,091.31 |
$1,078.40 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
13 |
10.2 |
78% |
$15 |
$10.78 |
$1,078.40 |
$1,173.40 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
8.75 |
4.7 |
54% |
$15 |
$11.73 |
$1,173.40 |
$1,213.55 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
11.2 |
7.7 |
69% |
$15 |
$12.14 |
$1,213.55 |
$1,292.45 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
10.75 |
-6.6 |
-61% |
$15 |
$12.92 |
$1,292.45 |
$1,192.79 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
6 |
-2.6 |
-43% |
$15 |
$11.93 |
$1,192.79 |
$1,146.98 |
| 1st Mar |
One 166 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$15 |
$11.47 |
$1,146.98 |
$1,126.24 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
9.35 |
-6.4 |
-68% |
$15 |
$11.26 |
$1,126.24 |
$1,039.73 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.85 |
-5.7 |
-44% |
$15 |
$10.40 |
$1,039.73 |
$965.85 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
12.25 |
2.7 |
22% |
$15 |
$9.66 |
$965.85 |
$977.41 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
14.5 |
5.3 |
37% |
$15 |
$9.77 |
$977.41 |
$1,014.58 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
6.25 |
-4.0 |
-64% |
$15 |
$10.15 |
$1,014.58 |
$959.00 |
| 4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
7.1 |
-2.0 |
-29% |
$15 |
$9.59 |
$959.00 |
$924.48 |
| 6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
9.25 |
-2.6 |
-29% |
$15 |
$9.24 |
$924.48 |
$884.98 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
8.6 |
9.9 |
115% |
$15 |
$8.85 |
$884.98 |
$957.60 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.24% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
AscendantMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Apr '24 |
 Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.50 |
1.5 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
| 2. |
Apr '24 |
Denis Goltsov |
Linton Vassell |
1.71 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (3:11) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '24 |
Jarno Errens |
Steven Nguyen |
2.55 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.15 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.80 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
|
|
| 7. |
Feb '24 |
Jack Hermansson |
Joe Pyfer |
3.05 |
1.25 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '24 |
Charlie Radtke |
Gilbert Urbina |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.85 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
|
|
| 10. |
Jan '24 |
Garrett Armfield |
Brad Katona |
2.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Jan '24 |
Jim Miller |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.90 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (3:25) |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
2.05 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '23 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Adrian Yanez |
1.87 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Maurice Abevi |
Blake Cooper |
1.76 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:36) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Aug '23 |
Sean O'Malley |
Aljamain Sterling |
3.05 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (0:51) |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '23 |
Isaac Dulgarian |
Francis Marshall |
2.47 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '23 |
AJ Dobson |
Tafon Nchukwi |
2.20 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '23 |
Uros Medic |
Matt Semelsberger |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '23 |
Justin Gaethje |
Dustin Poirier |
2.30 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
AscendantMMA : Progress Chart |
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