| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: THE TRAIN |
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|
THE TRAIN: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 39 (57%)
Losing Events: 30 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 21.09 units
Most Staked On One Event: 50.75 units
Best Event: 22.80 units
Worst Event: -29.00 units
Average Event: 0.80 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 51.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -80.24 |
THE TRAIN: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
302 |
-46.6 |
-15% |
-37.9 / 257 (-15%) |
|
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
5 / 8 (38%) |
-3.58 |
| 2022 |
1153.45 |
101.6 |
9% |
71.9 / 428.96 (17%) |
|
-6.3 / 356.01 (-2%) |
34 / 22 (61%) |
1.81 |
|
THE TRAIN: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
THE TRAIN: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
1295.94 |
52.5 |
4% |
39.9 / 581.8 (7%) |
36.4 / 384.03 (9%) |
-23.8 / 330.11 (-7%) |
|
Bellator |
93.66 |
-11.7 |
-13% |
4.9 / 74.66 (7%) |
-5.1 / 7.5 (-68%) |
-11.5 / 11.5 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
46.1 |
8.8 |
19% |
-9.5 / 18.5 (-51%) |
6.9 / 10.95 (63%) |
11.3 / 16.65 (68%) |
| Other |
19.75 |
5.5 |
28% |
-1.2 / 11 (-11%) |
|
6.7 / 8.75 (76%) |
|
THE TRAIN: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
26 (12%) |
22 |
85 % |
183.20 |
15.16 |
0.58 |
8% |
| Slight Favorites |
67 (30%) |
43 |
64 % |
222.23 |
22.17 |
0.33 |
10% |
| Slight Underdogs |
104 (46%) |
53 |
51 % |
221.48 |
46.47 |
0.45 |
21% |
| Big Underdogs |
29 (13%) |
3 |
10 % |
59.05 |
-49.73 |
-1.71 |
-84% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
24 (11%) |
14 |
58 % |
88.60 |
-5.23 |
-0.22 |
-6% |
| Co-Main Event |
19 (8%) |
6 |
32 % |
100.10 |
-29.15 |
-1.53 |
-29% |
| Position 3-5 |
53 (23%) |
23 |
43 % |
151.78 |
-29.57 |
-0.56 |
-19% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
130 (58%) |
78 |
60 % |
345.48 |
98.02 |
0.75 |
28% |
|
THE TRAIN: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
18 (8%) |
6 |
33 % |
65.86 |
-5.07 |
-0.28 |
-8% |
| Light Heavy |
23 (10%) |
19 |
83 % |
67.35 |
22.96 |
1.00 |
34% |
| Middleweight |
33 (15%) |
18 |
55 % |
113.50 |
4.94 |
0.15 |
4% |
| Welterweight |
37 (16%) |
22 |
59 % |
126.20 |
9.56 |
0.26 |
8% |
| Lightweight |
26 (12%) |
13 |
50 % |
69.73 |
-14.42 |
-0.55 |
-21% |
| Featherweight |
22 (10%) |
6 |
27 % |
79.85 |
-26.98 |
-1.23 |
-34% |
| Bantamweight |
23 (10%) |
11 |
48 % |
39.65 |
-0.38 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
| Flyweight |
11 (5%) |
8 |
73 % |
54.50 |
19.62 |
1.78 |
36% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
33 (15%) |
18 |
55 % |
69.32 |
23.84 |
0.72 |
34% |
| Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
7 (3%) |
2 |
29 % |
15.50 |
2.73 |
0.39 |
18% |
| Flyweight |
11 (5%) |
7 |
64 % |
20.07 |
2.87 |
0.26 |
14% |
| Strawweight |
14 (6%) |
9 |
64 % |
32.25 |
19.74 |
1.41 |
61% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
164 (69%) |
105 |
64 % |
| Slight Favorites |
46 (19%) |
32 |
70 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
27 (11%) |
9 |
33 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
|
239 |
147 |
62 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
151 (24%) |
104 |
69 % |
| 50-65% |
114 (18%) |
67 |
59 % |
| 35-50% |
92 (15%) |
40 |
43 % |
| <35% chance |
262 (42%) |
49 |
19 % |
|
619 |
260 |
42 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail THE TRAIN's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
30.35 |
13.1 |
43% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,131.28 |
| 19th Feb |
Bellator 274 |
6.16 |
-1.3 |
-20% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,131.28 |
$1,117.03 |
| 25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
10 |
4.3 |
43% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.03 |
$1,165.06 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
35.25 |
14.9 |
42% |
$10 |
$11.65 |
$1,165.06 |
$1,328.91 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
36.25 |
10.5 |
29% |
$10 |
$13.29 |
$1,328.91 |
$1,458.54 |
| 11th Mar |
EFC 46 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
62% |
$10 |
$14.59 |
$1,458.54 |
$1,489.39 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
23.9 |
16.3 |
68% |
$10 |
$14.89 |
$1,489.39 |
$1,722.66 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
21.5 |
2.2 |
10% |
$10 |
$17.23 |
$1,722.66 |
$1,751.28 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
27.75 |
-9.1 |
-33% |
$10 |
$17.51 |
$1,751.28 |
$1,582.44 |
| 1st Apr |
Cage Warriors 135 |
6.5 |
-4.0 |
-62% |
$10 |
$15.82 |
$1,582.44 |
$1,509.14 |
| 2nd Apr |
Cage Warriors 136 |
4 |
2.9 |
72% |
$10 |
$15.09 |
$1,509.14 |
$1,542.51 |
| 9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
28.46 |
-23.2 |
-81% |
$10 |
$15.43 |
$1,542.51 |
$1,175.26 |
| 15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
11 |
3.5 |
31% |
$10 |
$11.75 |
$1,175.26 |
$1,205.86 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
29.75 |
22.8 |
77% |
$10 |
$12.06 |
$1,205.86 |
$1,470.80 |
| 20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
26% |
$10 |
$14.71 |
$1,470.80 |
$1,470.25 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
5 |
3.0 |
60% |
$10 |
$14.70 |
$1,470.25 |
$1,504.09 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
32.9 |
-13.8 |
-42% |
$10 |
$15.04 |
$1,504.09 |
$1,286.78 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
8 |
2.8 |
35% |
$10 |
$12.87 |
$1,286.78 |
$1,312.81 |
| 30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
30.5 |
5.5 |
18% |
$10 |
$13.13 |
$1,312.81 |
$1,375.22 |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
39.7 |
15.9 |
40% |
$10 |
$13.75 |
$1,375.22 |
$1,584.50 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
37.04 |
-6.3 |
-17% |
$10 |
$15.84 |
$1,584.50 |
$1,475.46 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
38.42 |
22.8 |
59% |
$10 |
$14.75 |
$1,475.46 |
$1,801.49 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
33.54 |
7.2 |
21% |
$10 |
$18.01 |
$1,801.49 |
$1,920.76 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
42.29 |
-21.5 |
-51% |
$10 |
$19.21 |
$1,920.76 |
$1,498.26 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
30.8 |
-19.6 |
-64% |
$10 |
$14.98 |
$1,498.26 |
$1,194.74 |
| 24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
$10 |
$11.95 |
$1,194.74 |
$1,095.14 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
20.75 |
-2.0 |
-10% |
$10 |
$10.95 |
$1,095.14 |
$1,063.14 |
| 1st Jul |
PFL 2022 #6 |
1 |
1.3 |
134% |
$10 |
$10.63 |
$1,063.14 |
$1,067.40 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
20.85 |
14.6 |
70% |
$10 |
$10.67 |
$1,067.40 |
$1,213.14 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
18.12 |
0.3 |
2% |
$10 |
$12.13 |
$1,213.14 |
$1,207.14 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
16 |
-2.8 |
-17% |
$10 |
$12.07 |
$1,207.14 |
$1,163.66 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
16.26 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
$10 |
$11.64 |
$1,163.66 |
$1,134.59 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
18.31 |
-10.3 |
-56% |
$10 |
$11.35 |
$1,134.59 |
$1,007.62 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
11.06 |
8.5 |
77% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.62 |
$1,092.89 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
9 |
2.5 |
28% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.89 |
$1,120.01 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
15.12 |
1.8 |
12% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,120.01 |
$1,140.55 |
| 31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
2.25 |
0.6 |
27% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,140.55 |
$1,147.48 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
24.1 |
16.3 |
68% |
|
$11.47 |
$1,147.48 |
$1,334.66 |
| 6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
161% |
|
$13.35 |
$1,334.66 |
$1,366.95 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
17.1 |
19.0 |
111% |
|
$13.67 |
$1,366.95 |
$1,626.45 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
15.15 |
-3.3 |
-22% |
|
$16.26 |
$1,626.45 |
$1,573.07 |
| 27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
1 |
0.8 |
78% |
|
$15.73 |
$1,573.07 |
$1,585.37 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
15.5 |
4.7 |
30% |
|
$15.85 |
$1,585.37 |
$1,660.04 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
22 |
-11.9 |
-54% |
$10 |
$16.60 |
$1,660.04 |
$1,451.98 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
32.5 |
-10.6 |
-33% |
$10 |
$14.52 |
$1,451.98 |
$1,287.88 |
| 29th Oct |
Bellator 287 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$12.88 |
$1,287.88 |
$1,265.00 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
19 |
-4.2 |
-22% |
$10 |
$12.65 |
$1,265.00 |
$1,201.62 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
20.25 |
13.3 |
66% |
$10 |
$12.02 |
$1,201.62 |
$1,351.63 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
27.75 |
13.3 |
48% |
$10 |
$13.52 |
$1,351.63 |
$1,520.86 |
| 18th Nov |
Bellator 288 |
6 |
-3.6 |
-60% |
$10 |
$15.21 |
$1,520.86 |
$1,456.11 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
32.7 |
6.0 |
18% |
$10 |
$14.56 |
$1,456.11 |
$1,533.84 |
| 25th Nov |
PFL 2022 #10 |
31.6 |
17.8 |
56% |
$10 |
$15.34 |
$1,533.84 |
$1,796.91 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
46.9 |
-3.0 |
-6% |
$10 |
$17.97 |
$1,796.91 |
$1,733.12 |
| 9th Dec |
Bellator 289 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$17.33 |
$1,733.12 |
$1,619.14 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
50.75 |
19.1 |
38% |
$10 |
$16.19 |
$1,619.14 |
$1,918.80 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
50.37 |
-25.5 |
-51% |
$10 |
$19.19 |
$1,918.80 |
$1,419.70 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
32 |
14.1 |
44% |
|
$14.20 |
$1,419.70 |
$1,619.74 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
5 |
5.4 |
107% |
|
$16.20 |
$1,619.74 |
$1,706.39 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
22 |
1.1 |
5% |
|
$17.06 |
$1,706.39 |
$1,725.16 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
38 |
14.6 |
38% |
$10 |
$17.25 |
$1,725.16 |
$1,966.69 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.67 |
$1,966.69 |
$1,750.35 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.50 |
$1,750.35 |
$1,365.28 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
29 |
-29.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.65 |
$1,365.28 |
$969.35 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.69 |
$969.35 |
$862.72 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
33 |
-1.3 |
-4% |
|
$8.63 |
$862.72 |
$851.33 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
33 |
-5.9 |
-18% |
|
$8.51 |
$851.33 |
$800.97 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
33 |
18.0 |
55% |
|
$8.01 |
$800.97 |
$945.32 |
| 24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.45 |
$945.32 |
$841.34 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
22 |
-8.5 |
-39% |
|
$8.41 |
$841.34 |
$770.08 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
THE TRAIN: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.16 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Denis Goltsov |
Renan Ferreira |
1.38 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Yaroslav Amosov |
Jason Jackson |
1.24 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (2:8) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Kevin Borjas |
Joshua Van |
3.00 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Jul '23 |
Robert Whittaker |
Dricus Du Plessis |
1.25 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Jul '23 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Alex Volkanovski |
4.00 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Jul '23 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Grant Dawson |
1.90 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Jul '23 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Grant Dawson |
1.91 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jun '23 |
Marvin Vettori |
Jared Cannonier |
1.80 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
May '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Johnny Walker |
1.94 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Apr '23 |
Josh Quinlan |
Trey Waters |
1.54 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '22 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '22 |
Cody Brundage |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
3.15 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '22 |
Saidyokub Kakhramonov |
Said Nurmagomedov |
1.96 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:50) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '22 |
 Cody Brundage |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
3.15 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '22 |
Jake Matthews |
Matt Semelsberger |
1.40 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '22 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:30) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Dec '22 |
Danny Sabatello |
Raufeon Stots |
2.28 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Dec '22 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.44 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:30) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Dec '22 |
Danny Sabatello |
Raufeon Stots |
2.28 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
THE TRAIN: Progress Chart |
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