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MMA Handicapper Stats: Will

Will (WillPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Will

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 171 (51%) Right 54 (59%) Right 88 (51%) Right 29 (41%)
Wrong 164 (49%) Wrong 37 (41%) Wrong 85 (49%) Wrong 42 (59%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.40
Units Bet 453.6 Units Bet 164.4 Units Bet 206.9 Units Bet 82.3
Avg Bet 1.35 Avg Bet 1.81 Avg Bet 1.20 Avg Bet 1.16
Units Profit 43.81 Units Profit 30.61 Units Profit 11.97 Units Profit 1.24
ROI % 10% ROI % 19% ROI % 6% ROI % 2%
View Handicapper's Profile

Will : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 20.15 -6.3 -31% -2.7 / 6 (-45%) -2.6 / 13.15 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 14.28 1.9 13% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.3 / 11.03 (21%) 0.6 / 2.25 (26%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 22.225 4.5 20% -3.2 / 8 (-40%) 5.9 / 9.475 (62%) 1.8 / 4.75 (38%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 12.25 -2.9 -24% 1.2 / 6 (20%) -4.1 / 6.25 (-66%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 13.75 0.3 2% 0.1 / 6 (1%) 1.4 / 5.5 (26%) -1.2 / 2.25 (-53%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 16.75 2.1 13% 0.5 / 6.5 (7%) -1.1 / 2.75 (-40%) 2.7 / 7.5 (37%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 10.75 -4.0 -37% 1.2 / 5.5 (22%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '22 Cage Warriors 144 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 21.565 2.3 11% 4.3 / 10.19 (43%) -3.1 / 9.25 (-34%) 1.1 / 2.125 (51%)
27th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 10 7 1.7 24% 1.7 / 7 (24%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 22.93 6.8 30% -0.3 / 8.1 (-4%) 5.6 / 9.33 (60%) 1.5 / 5.5 (27%)
13th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 8 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 15.125 0.3 2% -2.2 / 6 (-36%) 2.6 / 9 (29%) -0.1 / 0.125 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 17.25 2.5 14% -0.1 / 11.5 (-1%) 0.9 / 4.25 (21%) 1.7 / 1.5 (116%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 19.75 3.6 18% 5.4 / 5.5 (98%) -2.8 / 9.25 (-31%) 1.1 / 5 (21%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 4.98 -5.0 -100% -1.0 / 0.99 (-100%) -2.0 / 1.99 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 28.5 2.7 9% -1.0 / 7.5 (-13%) 5.7 / 16.5 (35%) -2.0 / 4.5 (-45%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 11.5 3.8 33% -0.7 / 5 (-13%) 0.9 / 1.5 (63%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 3.5 2.0 56% 1.0 / 1.5 (64%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 14.75 2.8 19% -0.2 / 5.5 (-3%) 1.9 / 8 (24%) 1.1 / 1.25 (85%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 23.86 -5.7 -24% -1.4 / 3.5 (-40%) -6.9 / 17.11 (-40%) 2.6 / 3.25 (79%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.47 0.4 4% 2.7 / 5.25 (51%) -1.2 / 5.22 (-24%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 15.25 0.4 3% -1.8 / 9.5 (-19%) 0.8 / 4.5 (19%) 1.3 / 1.25 (106%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 18.5 6.1 33% 3.4 / 7.25 (47%) 0.5 / 5.75 (9%) 2.2 / 5.5 (39%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 21.125 0.2 1% 2.6 / 5.25 (50%) 3.4 / 10 (34%) -5.9 / 5.875 (-100%)
25th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 140 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 14.75 -0.0 -0% 3.6 / 3 (120%) 0.4 / 5.25 (7%) -4.0 / 6.5 (-62%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 3 1.8 59% 1.8 / 3 (59%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 18.5 24.8 134% 26.3 / 6.75 (390%) -1.2 / 11.5 (-11%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 17.22 3.2 18% -0.5 / 8.62 (-5%) 2.0 / 3.5 (57%) 1.6 / 5.1 (32%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 10.275 -2.3 -22% -0.9 / 5 (-18%) 0.9 / 3 (31%) -2.3 / 2.275 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 21.885 -0.1 -1% -1.9 / 6.5 (-29%) 3.8 / 13.385 (28%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 21 (66%)
Losing Events: 11 (34%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.28 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.50 units
Best Event: 24.82 units
Worst Event: -6.27 units
Average Event: 1.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 29.74
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.27

Will : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 456.84 43.8 10% 30.6 / 164.4 (19%) 1.2 / 82.25 (2%) 21 / 11 (66%) 1.37

Will : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Will : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 437.36 49.2 11% 33.6 / 158.91 (21%) 11.3 / 199.2 (6%) 4.2 / 79.25 (5%)
PFL 3.5 2.0 56% 1.0 / 1.5 (64%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
Other 15.98 -7.3 -46% -4.0 / 3.99 (-100%) -0.3 / 8.99 (-3%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Will : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 38 (38%) 27 71 % 79.10 1.96 0.05 2%
Slight Favorites 36 (36%) 21 58 % 54.37 -4.13 -0.11 -8%
Slight Underdogs 22 (22%) 10 45 % 27.10 0.61 0.03 2%
Big Underdogs 5 (5%) 4 80 % 3.83 32.17 6.43 840%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (11%) 4 36 % 16.93 -6.50 -0.59 -38%
Co-Main Event 9 (9%) 6 67 % 18.50 -0.75 -0.08 -4%
Position 3-5 27 (27%) 20 74 % 45.97 13.80 0.51 30%
6+ (Undercard) 54 (53%) 32 59 % 83.00 24.06 0.45 29%

Will : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (11%) 8 73 % 19.00 3.46 0.31 18%
Light Heavy 4 (4%) 3 75 % 4.50 1.37 0.34 30%
Middleweight 15 (15%) 8 53 % 26.75 -2.34 -0.16 -9%
Welterweight 12 (12%) 9 75 % 18.50 7.55 0.63 41%
Lightweight 12 (12%) 4 33 % 18.24 -6.58 -0.55 -36%
Featherweight 5 (5%) 1 20 % 8.00 -4.50 -0.90 -56%
Bantamweight 13 (13%) 12 92 % 21.79 11.62 0.89 53%
Flyweight 7 (7%) 4 57 % 12.50 -1.12 -0.16 -9%
               
Women's Fights 22 (22%) 13 59 % 35.12 21.16 0.96 60%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 1 20 % 8.00 -4.17 -0.83 -52%
Flyweight 8 (8%) 6 75 % 13.25 2.49 0.31 19%
Strawweight 9 (9%) 6 67 % 13.87 22.85 2.54 165%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 124 (81%) 89 72 %
Slight Favorites 24 (16%) 14 58 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (3%) 1 20 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
154 105 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 62 (28%) 45 73 %
50-65% 67 (31%) 40 60 %
35-50% 51 (23%) 25 49 %
<35% chance 38 (17%) 4 11 %
218 114 52 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 37 (17%) 26 70 % 1.53 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct 2.8 (8%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 42 (19%) 31 74 % 1.68 2.36Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was incorrect 10.5 (25%)
Goes to Decision 7 (3%) 3 43 % 1.49 1.72Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct -2.7 (-39%)
Does not go to Decision 34 (16%) 22 65 % 1.65 2.25Pick was correct 1.12Pick was correct 3.4 (10%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (1%) 2 67 % 3.88 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 6.3 (210%)
X Wins by KO 4 (2%) 2 50 % 2.67 3.75Pick was correct 1.62Pick was incorrect 3.5 (87%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (1%) 0 0 % 4.76 6.50Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (7%) 4 27 % 2.64 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -5.5 (-37%)
X Wins Inside Distance 30 (14%) 10 33 % 2.12 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.00Pick was incorrect -10.2 (-34%)
X Wins in Round X 8 (4%) 2 25 % 4.48 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct -4.2 (-52%)
Others 36 (17%) 12 33 % 2.36 61.01Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -13.2 (-37%)
218 114 52 % 1.91     -11.2 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Will 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th May UFC 274 21.885 -0.1 -1% $10 $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.85
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 10.275 -2.3 -22% $10 $9.89 $988.85 $956.45
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 17.22 3.2 18% $10 $9.56 $956.45 $976.65
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 18.5 24.8 134% $10 $9.77 $976.65 $1,209.06
11th Jun UFC 275 3 1.8 59% $10 $12.09 $1,209.06 $1,220.31
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 14.75 -0.0 -0% $10 $12.20 $1,220.31 $1,209.72
25th Jun Cage Warriors 140 1 -1.0 -100% $10 $12.10 $1,209.72 $1,187.62
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 21.125 0.2 1% $10 $11.88 $1,187.62 $1,179.55
2nd Jul UFC 276 18.5 6.1 33% $10 $11.80 $1,179.55 $1,241.91
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 15.25 0.4 3% $10 $12.42 $1,241.91 $1,236.91
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.47 0.4 4% $10 $12.37 $1,236.91 $1,232.23
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 23.86 -5.7 -24% $10 $12.32 $1,232.23 $1,151.90
30th Jul UFC 277 14.75 2.8 19% $10 $11.52 $1,151.90 $1,174.10
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 3.5 2.0 56% $10 $11.74 $1,174.10 $1,187.11
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 11.5 3.8 33% $10 $11.87 $1,187.11 $1,221.92
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 28.5 2.7 9% $10 $12.22 $1,221.92 $1,244.71
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 4.98 -5.0 -100% $10 $12.45 $1,244.71 $1,172.72
20th Aug UFC 278 19.75 3.6 18% $10 $11.73 $1,172.72 $1,205.32
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 17.25 2.5 14% $10 $12.05 $1,205.32 $1,225.22
10th Sep UFC 279 15.125 0.3 2% $10 $12.25 $1,225.22 $1,218.66
13th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 8 1 -1.0 -100% $10 $12.19 $1,218.66 $1,196.47
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 22.93 6.8 30% $10 $11.96 $1,196.47 $1,267.91
27th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 10 7 1.7 24% $10 $12.68 $1,267.91 $1,279.21
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 21.565 2.3 11% $10 $12.79 $1,279.21 $1,298.52
7th Oct Cage Warriors 144 2 -2.0 -100% $10 $12.99 $1,298.52 $1,262.55
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 10.75 -4.0 -37% $10 $12.63 $1,262.55 $1,201.73
22nd Oct UFC 280 16.75 2.1 13% $10 $12.02 $1,201.73 $1,217.30
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 13.75 0.3 2% $10 $12.17 $1,217.30 $1,211.36
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 12.25 -2.9 -24% $10 $12.11 $1,211.36 $1,166.23
12th Nov UFC 281 22.225 4.5 20% $10 $11.66 $1,166.23 $1,209.22
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 14.28 1.9 13% $10 $12.09 $1,209.22 $1,221.76
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 20.15 -6.3 -31% $10 $12.22 $1,221.76 $1,135.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Will : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '22 Paid Pick Angela Hill Emily Ducote 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '22 Paid Pick Yazmin Jauregui Istela Nunes 1.31 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '22 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.62 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '22 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.61 2 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Paid Pick Tagir Ulanbekov Nathan Maness 1.44 2 Sub, R1 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Paid Pick Mario Bautista Benito Lopez 1.44 3 Sub, R1 (4:54) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '22 Paid Pick Marcos Rogerio de Lima Andrei Arlovski 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '22 Paid Pick Waldo Cortes-Acosta Jared Vanderaa 1.47 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '22 Paid Pick Caio Borralho Makhmud Muradov 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Paid Pick Alexa Grasso Viviane Araujo 1.57 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Paid Pick Tatsuro Taira Carlos Vergara 1.40 2 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '22 Paid Pick Daniel Santos John Castaneda 2.62 1 TKO, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '22 Paid Pick Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '22 Paid Pick Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones 2.50 1.44 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '22 Paid Pick Randy Brown Francisco Trinaldo 1.33 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '22 Paid Pick Cory Sandhagen Yadong Song 1.53 1.1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Mariya Agapova 1.72 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '22 Paid Pick Cory Sandhagen Yadong Song 1.50 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '22 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Mariya Agapova 1.72 1 Sub, R2 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '22 Paid Pick Kyle Daukaus Eryk Anders 1.45 2 TKO, R2 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '22 Paid Pick Jack Hermansson Roman Dolidze 1.57 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '22 Paid Pick Kyle Daukaus Eryk Anders 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '22 Paid Pick Maria Oliveira Vanessa Demopoulos 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Paid Pick Ottman Azaitar Matt Frevola 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Paid Pick Israel Adesanya Alex Pereira 1.59 2 TKO, R5 (2:1) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '22 Paid Pick Brad Riddell Renato Moicano 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '22 Paid Pick Ramona Pascual Tamires Vidal 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (3:6) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '22 Paid Pick Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (0:8) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Paid Pick Sam Hughes Piera Rodriguez 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Paid Pick Dominique Wooding Michele Martignoni 1.44 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Paid Pick Krzysztof Jotko Brendan Allen 1.80 1.75 Sub, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '22 Paid Pick Cameron VanCamp Nikolas Motta 2.62 1 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '22 Paid Pick Sean Brady Belal Muhammad 1.72 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '22 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Islam Makhachev 2.40 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '22 Paid Pick Bill Algeo Andre Fili 2.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '22 Paid Pick Jake Collier Chris Barnett 1.28 3.5 TKO, R2 (2:24) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Paid Pick Michal Figlak Fares Ziam 1.47 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '22 Paid Pick Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.72 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '22 Paid Pick Ahmad Hasanzada Nazim Sadykhov 2.60 0.66 TKO, R3 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Will : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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