| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Will |
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|
Will : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 38 (49%)
Losing Events: 39 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.19 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.50 units
Best Event: 39.75 units
Worst Event: -19.76 units
Average Event: 0.95 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 46.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -42.66 |
Will : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
206.17 |
35.2 |
17% |
-16.5 / 51.75 (-32%) |
|
-12.3 / 61.77 (-20%) |
5 / 7 (42%) |
2.93 |
| 2023 |
466.289 |
-18.0 |
-4% |
5.6 / 170.39 (3%) |
|
-23.5 / 156.645 (-15%) |
11 / 20 (35%) |
-0.58 |
| 2022 |
497.34 |
56.1 |
11% |
32.4 / 180.9 (18%) |
|
4.3 / 88.5 (5%) |
22 / 12 (65%) |
1.65 |
|
Will : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Will : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
1141.569 |
84.4 |
7% |
25.0 / 394.05 (6%) |
82.6 / 448.854 (18%) |
-23.2 / 298.665 (-8%) |
|
Bellator |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
8 |
0.5 |
6% |
0.5 / 5 (9%) |
1.0 / 2 (50%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| Other |
19.23 |
-10.5 |
-55% |
-4.0 / 3.99 (-100%) |
-0.3 / 8.99 (-3%) |
-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%) |
|
Will : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
55 (24%) |
39 |
71 % |
114.95 |
2.58 |
0.05 |
2% |
| Slight Favorites |
99 (43%) |
58 |
59 % |
177.07 |
3.59 |
0.04 |
2% |
| Slight Underdogs |
56 (24%) |
26 |
46 % |
84.37 |
1.27 |
0.02 |
2% |
| Big Underdogs |
20 (9%) |
5 |
25 % |
26.65 |
14.06 |
0.70 |
53% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
22 (10%) |
10 |
45 % |
40.38 |
-8.22 |
-0.37 |
-20% |
| Co-Main Event |
25 (11%) |
14 |
56 % |
46.00 |
-0.35 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
| Position 3-5 |
64 (28%) |
35 |
55 % |
114.02 |
-1.69 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
119 (52%) |
69 |
58 % |
202.64 |
31.77 |
0.27 |
16% |
|
Will : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
26 (11%) |
15 |
58 % |
52.25 |
4.67 |
0.18 |
9% |
| Light Heavy |
16 (7%) |
9 |
56 % |
27.00 |
-3.74 |
-0.23 |
-14% |
| Middleweight |
31 (13%) |
15 |
48 % |
53.95 |
-10.48 |
-0.34 |
-19% |
| Welterweight |
28 (12%) |
16 |
57 % |
50.80 |
5.31 |
0.19 |
10% |
| Lightweight |
33 (14%) |
15 |
45 % |
55.24 |
-8.38 |
-0.25 |
-15% |
| Featherweight |
21 (9%) |
11 |
52 % |
35.30 |
2.94 |
0.14 |
8% |
| Bantamweight |
22 (10%) |
15 |
68 % |
35.56 |
6.86 |
0.31 |
19% |
| Flyweight |
14 (6%) |
8 |
57 % |
26.50 |
-2.49 |
-0.18 |
-9% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
39 (17%) |
24 |
62 % |
66.44 |
26.80 |
0.69 |
40% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (3%) |
1 |
17 % |
9.00 |
-5.17 |
-0.86 |
-57% |
| Flyweight |
18 (8%) |
12 |
67 % |
29.75 |
3.04 |
0.17 |
10% |
| Strawweight |
15 (7%) |
11 |
73 % |
27.69 |
28.94 |
1.93 |
104% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
323 (81%) |
241 |
75 % |
| Slight Favorites |
66 (17%) |
30 |
45 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
8 (2%) |
2 |
25 % |
| Big Underdogs |
1 (0%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
398 |
274 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
171 (30%) |
124 |
73 % |
| 50-65% |
147 (26%) |
90 |
61 % |
| 35-50% |
104 (18%) |
41 |
39 % |
| <35% chance |
145 (26%) |
32 |
22 % |
|
567 |
287 |
51 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Will 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
21.885 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$993.85 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
10.275 |
-2.3 |
-22% |
$5 |
$9.94 |
$993.85 |
$966.34 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
17.22 |
3.2 |
18% |
$5 |
$9.66 |
$966.34 |
$991.85 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
18.5 |
24.8 |
134% |
$5 |
$9.92 |
$991.85 |
$1,233.03 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
3 |
1.8 |
59% |
$5 |
$12.33 |
$1,233.03 |
$1,249.71 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
14.75 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
$5 |
$12.50 |
$1,249.71 |
$1,244.10 |
| 25th Jun |
Cage Warriors 140 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$12.44 |
$1,244.10 |
$1,226.65 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
21.125 |
0.2 |
1% |
$5 |
$12.27 |
$1,226.65 |
$1,223.65 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
18.5 |
6.1 |
33% |
$5 |
$12.24 |
$1,223.65 |
$1,293.72 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
15.25 |
0.4 |
3% |
$5 |
$12.94 |
$1,293.72 |
$1,293.93 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
11.47 |
0.4 |
4% |
$5 |
$12.94 |
$1,293.93 |
$1,294.49 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
23.86 |
-5.7 |
-24% |
$5 |
$12.94 |
$1,294.49 |
$1,215.60 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
14.75 |
2.8 |
19% |
$5 |
$12.16 |
$1,215.60 |
$1,244.59 |
| 5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
56% |
$5 |
$12.45 |
$1,244.59 |
$1,263.98 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
11.5 |
3.8 |
33% |
$5 |
$12.64 |
$1,263.98 |
$1,306.68 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
28.5 |
2.7 |
9% |
$5 |
$13.07 |
$1,306.68 |
$1,336.75 |
| 16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
4.98 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.37 |
$1,336.75 |
$1,265.18 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
19.75 |
3.6 |
18% |
$5 |
$12.65 |
$1,265.18 |
$1,306.13 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
17.25 |
2.5 |
14% |
$5 |
$13.06 |
$1,306.13 |
$1,333.54 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
15.125 |
0.3 |
2% |
$5 |
$13.34 |
$1,333.54 |
$1,332.28 |
| 13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.32 |
$1,332.28 |
$1,313.95 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
22.93 |
6.8 |
30% |
$5 |
$13.14 |
$1,313.95 |
$1,398.39 |
| 27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
7 |
1.7 |
24% |
$5 |
$13.98 |
$1,398.39 |
$1,416.89 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
21.565 |
2.3 |
11% |
$5 |
$14.17 |
$1,416.89 |
$1,444.35 |
| 7th Oct |
Cage Warriors 144 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$14.44 |
$1,444.35 |
$1,410.46 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
10.75 |
-4.0 |
-37% |
$5 |
$14.10 |
$1,410.46 |
$1,348.69 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
16.75 |
2.1 |
13% |
$5 |
$13.49 |
$1,348.69 |
$1,372.39 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
13.75 |
0.3 |
2% |
$5 |
$13.72 |
$1,372.39 |
$1,371.97 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
12.25 |
-2.9 |
-24% |
$5 |
$13.72 |
$1,371.97 |
$1,327.18 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
22.225 |
4.5 |
20% |
$5 |
$13.27 |
$1,327.18 |
$1,382.48 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
14.28 |
1.9 |
13% |
$5 |
$13.82 |
$1,382.48 |
$1,403.25 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
20.15 |
-6.3 |
-31% |
$5 |
$14.03 |
$1,403.25 |
$1,310.31 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
21.625 |
12.9 |
60% |
$5 |
$13.10 |
$1,310.31 |
$1,474.93 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
18.875 |
-0.6 |
-3% |
$5 |
$14.75 |
$1,474.93 |
$1,460.64 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
9.81 |
-1.1 |
-11% |
$5 |
$14.61 |
$1,460.64 |
$1,439.95 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
19.5 |
-2.5 |
-13% |
$5 |
$14.40 |
$1,439.95 |
$1,398.84 |
| 4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.99 |
$1,398.84 |
$1,379.85 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
26.25 |
-4.9 |
-19% |
$5 |
$13.80 |
$1,379.85 |
$1,307.29 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
17.5 |
8.2 |
47% |
$5 |
$13.07 |
$1,307.29 |
$1,409.96 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
17.25 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
$5 |
$14.10 |
$1,409.96 |
$1,401.29 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
13.92 |
2.5 |
18% |
$5 |
$14.01 |
$1,401.29 |
$1,430.94 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
24.75 |
-2.8 |
-11% |
$5 |
$14.31 |
$1,430.94 |
$1,386.17 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
19 |
5.0 |
26% |
$5 |
$13.86 |
$1,386.17 |
$1,450.76 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15.535 |
-1.3 |
-9% |
$5 |
$14.51 |
$1,450.76 |
$1,426.19 |
| 25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
15.8 |
2.9 |
19% |
$5 |
$14.26 |
$1,426.19 |
$1,463.23 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
19.685 |
4.7 |
24% |
$5 |
$14.63 |
$1,463.23 |
$1,527.32 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
20.68 |
-1.2 |
-6% |
$5 |
$15.27 |
$1,527.32 |
$1,503.48 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
26.719 |
-2.5 |
-9% |
$5 |
$15.03 |
$1,503.48 |
$1,460.95 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
12.75 |
-2.5 |
-20% |
$5 |
$14.61 |
$1,460.95 |
$1,418.97 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
12.5 |
-2.9 |
-24% |
$5 |
$14.19 |
$1,418.97 |
$1,372.27 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
24.22 |
-8.2 |
-34% |
$5 |
$13.72 |
$1,372.27 |
$1,254.35 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
21 |
-14.2 |
-68% |
$5 |
$12.54 |
$1,254.35 |
$1,070.88 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
17.45 |
-11.0 |
-63% |
$5 |
$10.71 |
$1,070.88 |
$948.09 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
18.5 |
1.7 |
9% |
$5 |
$9.48 |
$948.09 |
$959.02 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
16.5 |
-4.3 |
-26% |
$5 |
$9.59 |
$959.02 |
$912.86 |
| 4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$9.13 |
$912.86 |
$898.74 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
20 |
1.7 |
9% |
$5 |
$8.99 |
$898.74 |
$909.07 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
11.82 |
4.0 |
34% |
$5 |
$9.09 |
$909.07 |
$940.35 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
3.25 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
$5 |
$9.40 |
$940.35 |
$904.78 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
20.65 |
-1.4 |
-7% |
$5 |
$9.05 |
$904.78 |
$887.51 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
11 |
6.7 |
61% |
$5 |
$8.88 |
$887.51 |
$942.27 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
11.5 |
8.4 |
73% |
$5 |
$9.42 |
$942.27 |
$1,016.81 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.17 |
$1,016.81 |
$971.14 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
5.25 |
-1.1 |
-21% |
$5 |
$9.71 |
$971.14 |
$955.46 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
101% |
$5 |
$9.55 |
$955.46 |
$1,022.83 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
21 |
10.5 |
50% |
$5 |
$10.23 |
$1,022.83 |
$1,125.38 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
28.25 |
15.6 |
55% |
$5 |
$11.25 |
$1,125.38 |
$1,295.65 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
10.5 |
-4.1 |
-39% |
$5 |
$12.96 |
$1,295.65 |
$1,236.95 |
| 24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
3.5 |
-0.5 |
-14% |
$5 |
$12.37 |
$1,236.95 |
$1,225.77 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
21.25 |
-0.6 |
-3% |
$5 |
$12.26 |
$1,225.77 |
$1,213.85 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
37.5 |
6.4 |
17% |
$5 |
$12.14 |
$1,213.85 |
$1,286.03 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
21 |
39.8 |
189% |
$5 |
$12.86 |
$1,286.03 |
$1,792.22 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
$5 |
$17.92 |
$1,792.22 |
$1,724.50 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
35.52 |
-19.8 |
-56% |
$5 |
$17.24 |
$1,724.50 |
$1,378.67 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
2.7 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.79 |
$1,378.67 |
$1,336.45 |
| 17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
16.45 |
-8.7 |
-53% |
$5 |
$13.36 |
$1,336.45 |
$1,215.14 |
| 28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
5 |
2.9 |
57% |
$5 |
$12.15 |
$1,215.14 |
$1,244.77 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 24.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Will : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '24 |
 Bryan Battle |
Kevin Jousset |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Israel Adesanya |
1.87 |
1 |
Sub, R4 (3:38) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '24 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Shamil Gaziev |
2.50 |
3 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.38 |
2.25 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
| 5. |
Feb '24 |
Yoel Romero |
Thiago Santos |
2.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.72 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
| 7. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.72 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '24 |
Amanda Lemos |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.53 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '23 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Martin Buday |
2.50 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Casey O'Neill |
2.37 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Casey O'Neill |
1.37 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '23 |
Leon Edwards |
Colby Covington |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '23 |
Bill Algeo |
Alexander Hernandez |
1.66 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.62 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:46) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Thiago Moises |
1.80 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Manon Fiorot |
Rose Namajunas |
1.57 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '23 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Taila Santos |
1.72 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '23 |
Billy Goff |
Yusaku Kinoshita |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
|
|
| 19. |
Aug '23 |
Junior Tafa |
Parker Porter |
1.72 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:24) |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Ryan Spann |
2.30 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Will : Progress Chart |
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