MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Polarizinufc

Polarizinufc (Polarizin)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	31 (36%)	Right	19 (48%)	Right	9 (25%)	Right	3 (30%)
Wrong	55 (64%)	Wrong	21 (53%)	Wrong	27 (75%)	Wrong	7 (70%)
Avg Odds	2.46	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	3.56	Avg Odds	2.52
Units Bet	124.8	Units Bet	77.3	Units Bet	30.5	Units Bet	17.0
Avg Bet	1.45	Avg Bet	1.93	Avg Bet	0.85	Avg Bet	1.70
Units Profit	-7.80	Units Profit	-8.71	Units Profit	5.44	Units Profit	-4.53
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	-27%

Polarizinufc : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	12	6.5	54%	1.0 / 10 (10%)	5.5 / 2 (275%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	7	-7.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	3.5	2.0	57%	2.5 / 3 (84%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 2	2.75	-2.8	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	8.25	-3.5	-42%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	1.5 / 3.25 (46%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	12.25	3.8	31%	3.1 / 9.5 (33%)	0.7 / 2.75 (27%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	9.5	-6.5	-68%	-4.3 / 7.25 (-59%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	12.75	-4.3	-33%	-0.5 / 2.5 (-20%)	-3.5 / 10 (-35%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	8.25	2.1	25%	0.0 / 2 (0%)	6.1 / 2.25 (270%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	4.5	-0.9	-20%		-0.9 / 4.5 (-20%)
17th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #4	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	8	1.6	21%	1.6 / 8 (21%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	4	3.4	85%	1.1 / 1 (110%)		2.3 / 3 (77%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
20th Apr '22	PFL 2022 #1	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '22	Bellator 277	3	7.5	250%	7.5 / 3 (250%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	7.5	2.8	38%	1.2 / 2 (58%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.2 / 5 (43%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	9.5	-0.6	-7%	0.1 / 7 (1%)	-0.2 / 2 (-10%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 8 (42%)
Losing Events: 11 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.57 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.75 units
Best Event: 7.50 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: -0.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 10.32
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -10.77

Polarizinufc : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	22.5	1.5	6%	-0.5 / 17 (-3%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2 / 1 (67%)	0.49
2022	102.25	-9.3	-9%	-8.2 / 60.25 (-14%)		-1.5 / 14 (-11%)	6 / 10 (38%)	-0.58

Polarizinufc : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Polarizinufc : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	116	-9.6	-8%	-11.2 / 69.25 (-16%)	6.2 / 29.75 (21%)	-4.5 / 17 (-27%)
Bellator	3	7.5	250%	7.5 / 3 (250%)
PFL	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Other	2.75	-2.8	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)

Polarizinufc : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (23%)	5	56 %	26.00	-4.70	-0.52	-18%
Slight Favorites	13 (33%)	7	54 %	25.00	-4.17	-0.32	-17%
Slight Underdogs	12 (30%)	6	50 %	15.50	0.40	0.03	3%
Big Underdogs	6 (15%)	1	17 %	10.75	-0.25	-0.04	-2%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (23%)	3	33 %	18.25	1.48	0.16	8%
Co-Main Event	5 (13%)	4	80 %	10.50	3.03	0.61	29%
Position 3-5	11 (28%)	5	45 %	22.00	-7.60	-0.69	-35%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (38%)	7	47 %	26.50	-5.63	-0.38	-21%

Polarizinufc : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (5%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%
Light Heavy	6 (15%)	4	67 %	9.00	2.40	0.40	27%
Middleweight	6 (15%)	3	50 %	13.50	-0.84	-0.14	-6%
Welterweight	4 (10%)	3	75 %	4.50	1.81	0.45	40%
Lightweight	8 (20%)	1	13 %	15.25	-9.62	-1.20	-63%
Featherweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	5.00	8.72	4.36	174%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)		0 %	6.50	-6.50	-2.17	-100%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.00	-1.09	-0.54	-36%

Women's Fights	7 (18%)	5	71 %	13.50	3.41	0.49	25%
Bantamweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	5.00	-0.80	-0.40	-16%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.75	0.37	37%
Strawweight	3 (8%)	3	100 %	6.50	3.47	1.16	53%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	18 (95%)	13	72 %
Slight Favorites	1 (5%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	19	13	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (2%)	1	100 %
50-65%	7 (16%)	4	57 %
35-50%	12 (27%)	4	33 %
<35% chance	25 (56%)	4	16 %
	45	13	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.28	1.28	1.28	0.3 (28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (4%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.25	1.80	2.1 (103%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.06	2.62	1.62	-1.4 (-46%)
X Wins by KO	2 (4%)	1	50 %	3.43	6.00	2.40	0.4 (20%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (9%)	0	0 %	3.93	11.00	1.91	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	18 (40%)	4	22 %	3.97	23.00	2.10	17.8 (99%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (4%)	1	50 %	7.10	10.00	5.50	3.5 (175%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (11%)	0	0 %	9.96	34.00	4.00	-5.0 (-100%)
Others	8 (18%)	3	38 %	2.27	9.50	1.57	4.8 (60%)
	45	13	29 %	3.29			18.4 (41%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Polarizinufc 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	9.5	-0.6	-7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$993.80
12th Feb	UFC 271	7.5	2.8	38%		$9.94	$993.80	$1,021.84
15th Apr	Bellator 277	3	7.5	250%		$10.22	$1,021.84	$1,098.48
20th Apr	PFL 2022 #1	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.98	$1,098.48	$1,076.51
7th May	UFC 274	8	-8.0	-100%		$10.77	$1,076.51	$990.39
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	4	3.4	85%		$9.90	$990.39	$1,024.16
11th Jun	UFC 275	8	1.6	21%		$10.24	$1,024.16	$1,040.96
17th Jun	PFL 2022 #4	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.41	$1,040.96	$1,030.55
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	4.5	-0.9	-20%		$10.31	$1,030.55	$1,021.27
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	8.25	2.1	25%		$10.21	$1,021.27	$1,042.51
2nd Jul	UFC 276	12.75	-4.3	-33%		$10.43	$1,042.51	$998.00
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	9.5	-6.5	-68%		$9.98	$998.00	$933.13
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	12.25	3.8	31%		$9.33	$933.13	$968.82
30th Jul	UFC 277	8.25	-3.5	-42%		$9.69	$968.82	$934.91
2nd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 2	2.75	-2.8	-100%		$9.35	$934.91	$909.20
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.09	$909.20	$900.11
21st Jan	UFC 283	3.5	2.0	57%		$9.00	$900.11	$918.20
8th Jul	UFC 290	7	-7.0	-100%		$9.18	$918.20	$853.93
29th Jul	UFC 291	12	6.5	54%		$8.54	$853.93	$909.01

ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Polarizinufc : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '23	Uros Medic	Matt Semelsberger	2.85	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:36)
2.	Jul '23	Justin Gaethje	Dustin Poirier	2.25	2.5	TKO, R2 (1:0)
3.	Jul '23	Alex Pereira	Jan Blachowicz	1.95	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '23	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.91	1	TKO, R3 (5:0)
5.	Jan '23	Jamahal Hill	Glover Teixeira	1.80	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	1.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '22	Amanda Lemos	Michelle Waterson	1.35	3.5	Sub, R2 (1:48)
8.	Jul '22	Lauren Murphy	Miesha Tate	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '22	Dustin Jacoby	Da Un Jung	1.90	1	TKO, R1 (3:13)
10.	Jul '22	Caio Borralho	Armen Petrosyan	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '22	Bryan Barberena	Robbie Lawler	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (4:47)
12.	Jun '22	Carlos Ulberg	Tafon Nchukwi	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (1:15)
13.	Jun '22	Brendan Allen	Jacob Malkoun	1.30	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '22	Weili Zhang	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.57	2	TKO, R2 (2:28)
15.	Jun '22	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Felice Herrig	2.10	1	Sub, R2 (4:1)
16.	Apr '22	Patricio Freire	A.J. McKee	3.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Feb '22	Jared Cannonier	Derek Brunson	1.58	2	TKO, R2 (4:29)
18.	Feb '22	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Carlston Harris	1.44	2	TKO, R1 (4:10)
19.	Feb '22	Alexis Davis	Julija Stoliarenko	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '23	Darrius Flowers	Jake Matthews	3.40	1	Sub, R2 (2:37)	No
2.	Jul '23	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Derrick Lewis	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (0:33)	No
3.	Jul '23	Jalin Turner	Daniel Hooker	1.44	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '23	Brandon Moreno	Alexandre Pantoja	1.57	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '22	Charlie Campbell	Chris Duncan (2)	1.58	2	TKO, R1 (1:43)	No
6.	Jul '22	Don'tale Mayes	Hamdy Abdelwahab	1.53	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '22	Julianna Pena	Amanda Nunes	3.25	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '22	Jack Shore	Ricky Simon	1.61	2	Sub, R2 (3:28)	No
9.	Jul '22	Ricky Turcios	Aiemann Zahabi	1.53	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '22	Ronnie Lawrence	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Rafael Fiziev	2.90	0.75	TKO, R5 (0:18)	No
12.	Jul '22	Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	2.00	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:36)	No
13.	Jun '22	Rodolfo Vieira	Chris Curtis	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
14.	Jun '22	Marcin Held	Natan Schulte	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '22	Glover Teixeira	Jiri Prochazka	2.70	1	Sub, R5 (4:32)	No
16.	May '22	Melissa Gatto	Tracy Cortez	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '22	Mauricio Rua	Ovince St Preux	3.00	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '22	Tony Ferguson	Michael Chandler	4.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:17)	No
19.	May '22	Justin Gaethje	Charles Oliveira	2.37	3	Sub, R1 (3:22)	No
20.	Apr '22	Jeremy Stephens	Clay Collard	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Polarizinufc : Progress Chart

Chart

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