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MMA Handicapper Stats: Morpheus

Morpheus (Morpheus)


MMA MHandicapper - Morpheus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (32%) Right 11 (42%) Right 6 (23%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 36 (68%) Wrong 15 (58%) Wrong 20 (77%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.97 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 4.08 Avg Odds 3.19
Units Bet 256.5 Units Bet 165.0 Units Bet 90.5 Units Bet 1.0
Avg Bet 4.84 Avg Bet 6.35 Avg Bet 3.48 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit -27.09 Units Profit 2.63 Units Profit -28.73 Units Profit -1.00
ROI % -11% ROI % 2% ROI % -32% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Morpheus : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th May '23 UFC 288 35 -18.4 -53% -13.4 / 30 (-45%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 15 -15.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 30 -5.0 -17% -5.0 / 30 (-17%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 21 5.0 24% 5.0 / 21 (24%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 2 5.5 275% 5.5 / 2 (275%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 22 24.8 113% 24.8 / 22 (113%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 20 -0.9 -4% -0.9 / 20 (-4%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 41 -24.5 -60% -4.5 / 21 (-21%) -20.0 / 20 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 9 -9.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 17 11.7 69% 2.8 / 5 (55%) 9.0 / 12 (75%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 3 1.6 54% 1.6 / 3 (54%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 10 3.5 35% 3.5 / 10 (35%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.5 1.5 60% 2.0 / 2 (100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 16.2 -8.2 -50% 0.0 / 8 (1%) -8.2 / 8.2 (-100%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 7.75 1.9 24% 0.8 / 4 (19%) 2.1 / 2.75 (76%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 3.5 -0.1 -4% -0.1 / 3.5 (-4%)


Winning Events: 8 (47%)
Losing Events: 9 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.09 units
Most Staked On One Event: 41.00 units
Best Event: 24.75 units
Worst Event: -24.50 units
Average Event: -1.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 35.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -38.40

Morpheus : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 125 -3.1 -3% 6.4 / 83 (8%) 3 / 3 (50%) -0.52
2022 131.45 -23.9 -18% -3.7 / 82 (-5%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 5 / 6 (45%) -2.18

Morpheus : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Morpheus : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 256.45 -27.1 -11% 2.6 / 165 (2%) -28.7 / 90.45 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Morpheus : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (8%) 1 50 % 22.00 -5.50 -2.75 -25%
Slight Favorites 6 (23%) 5 83 % 41.00 11.84 1.97 29%
Slight Underdogs 12 (46%) 4 33 % 62.00 -10.46 -0.87 -17%
Big Underdogs 6 (23%) 1 17 % 40.00 6.75 1.13 17%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (4%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.77 1.77 59%
Co-Main Event 3 (12%) 2 67 % 24.00 0.54 0.18 2%
Position 3-5 9 (35%) 2 22 % 72.00 -32.50 -3.61 -45%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (50%) 6 46 % 66.00 32.82 2.52 50%

Morpheus : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 8.00 0.04 0.01 1%
Light Heavy 4 (15%) 1 25 % 19.00 -5.50 -1.37 -29%
Middleweight 4 (15%) 2 50 % 34.00 -12.63 -3.16 -37%
Lightweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 13.00 7.50 3.75 58%
Featherweight 6 (23%) 0 % 40.00 -40.00 -6.67 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (23%) 4 67 % 40.00 17.47 2.91 44%
               
Women's Fights 1 (4%) 1 100 % 11.00 35.75 35.75 325%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 11.00 35.75 35.75 325%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (67%) 1 50 %
Slight Favorites 1 (33%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
3 1 33 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 10 (38%) 4 40 %
<35% chance 16 (62%) 2 13 %
26 6 23 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (4%) 0 0 % 2.60 2.60Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 2 (8%) 1 50 % 2.56 2.63Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 0.5 (25%)
X Wins by KO 4 (15%) 1 25 % 5.48 8.00Pick was incorrect 4.20Pick was correct 0.2 (5%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (15%) 0 0 % 6.68 17.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (15%) 1 25 % 3.88 7.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -0.3 (-6%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (8%) 0 0 % 22.67 34.00Pick was incorrect 17.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 9 (35%) 3 33 % 3.26 14.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was correct -2.4 (-27%)
26 6 23 % 4.08     -9.0 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Morpheus 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jan UFC 270 3.5 -0.1 -4% $10.00 $1,000.00 $998.75
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 7.75 1.9 24% $9.99 $998.75 $1,017.43
12th Feb UFC 271 16.2 -8.2 -50% $10.17 $1,017.43 $934.41
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.5 1.5 60% $9.34 $934.41 $948.42
5th Mar UFC 272 1.5 -1.5 -100% $9.48 $948.42 $934.20
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 10 3.5 35% $9.34 $934.20 $966.89
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 3 1.6 54% $9.67 $966.89 $982.56
12th Nov UFC 281 17 11.7 69% $9.83 $982.56 $1,098.00
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 9 -9.0 -100% $10.98 $1,098.00 $999.18
10th Dec UFC 282 41 -24.5 -60% $9.99 $999.18 $754.38
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 20 -0.9 -4% $7.54 $754.38 $747.59
18th Mar UFC 286 22 24.8 113% $7.48 $747.59 $932.63
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 2 5.5 275% $9.33 $932.63 $983.92
8th Apr UFC 287 21 5.0 24% $9.84 $983.92 $1,033.11
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 30 -5.0 -17% $10.33 $1,033.11 $981.46
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 15 -15.0 -100% $9.81 $981.46 $834.24
6th May UFC 288 35 -18.4 -53% $8.34 $834.24 $680.74


ROI % from starting bank balance: -31.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Morpheus : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '23 Claudio Ribeiro Joseph Holmes 1.66 10 TKO, R2 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Rob Font Adrian Yanez 2.60 10 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '23 Veronica Macedo Juliana Miller 4.25 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '22 Said Nurmagomedov Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.91 10 Sub, R2 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '22 Paddy Pimblett Jared Gordon 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Montel Jackson Julio Arce 1.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '22 Johnny Munoz Liudvik Sholinian 1.54 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '22 Khalil Rountree Dustin Jacoby 2.70 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '22 Terrance McKinney Fares Ziam 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '22 Tai Tuivasa Derrick Lewis 2.68 3 TKO, R2 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '22 Sean Strickland Jack Hermansson 1.59 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '23 Devin Clark Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.66 10 Sub, R2 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '23 Kron Gracie Charles Jourdain 2.68 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Michal Oleksiejczuk Caio Borralho 3.85 10 Sub, R2 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '23 Raul Rosas Jr Christian Rodriguez 1.53 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Roman Dolidze Marvin Vettori 3.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '22 Julian Erosa Alex Caceres 1.60 10 TKO, R1 (3:4) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '22 Bryce Mitchell Ilia Topuria 2.40 10 Sub, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '22 Marcelo Rojo Francis Marshall 2.75 4 TKO, R2 (1:14) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '22 Tai Tuivasa Sergey Pavlovich 2.80 4 TKO, R1 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Joshua Weems Christian Rodriguez 4.70 5 Sub, R1 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '22 Greg Hardy Sergey Spivak 2.65 1 TKO, R1 (2:16) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '22 Marcelo Rojo Kyler Phillips 4.50 1 Sub, R3 (1:48) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '22 Fabio Cherant Carlos Ulberg 3.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '22 William Knight Maxim Grishin 2.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '22 Mike Trizano Hakeem Dawodu 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Morpheus : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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