MMA Handicapper Stats: TopNotchBets |
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TopNotchBets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
29th Jan '22 |
Bellator 273 |
27 |
0.1 |
1% |
1.1 / 26 (4%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
22nd Jan '22 |
UFC 270 |
47 |
-28.6 |
-61% |
-10.6 / 29 (-37%) |
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
15th Jan '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
35.5 |
-16.5 |
-46% |
-4.5 / 23.5 (-19%) |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
|
12th Jan '22 |
Invicta 45 |
11 |
17.1 |
155% |
|
|
17.1 / 11 (155%) |
Winning Events: 2 (50%) Losing Events: 2 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 30.13 units Most Staked On One Event: 47.00 units Best Event: 17.05 units Worst Event: -28.60 units Average Event: -6.98 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 17.05 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -45.10 |
TopNotchBets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
120.5 |
-27.9 |
-23% |
-14.0 / 78.5 (-18%) |
|
6.1 / 22 (28%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
-6.98 |
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TopNotchBets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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TopNotchBets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
82.5 |
-45.1 |
-55% |
-15.1 / 52.5 (-29%) |
-19.0 / 19 (-100%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
Bellator |
27 |
0.1 |
1% |
1.1 / 26 (4%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
Other |
11 |
17.1 |
155% |
|
|
17.1 / 11 (155%) |
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TopNotchBets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.60 |
1.60 |
53% |
Slight Favorites |
1 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-8.00 |
-100% |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (63%) |
3 |
30 % |
58.00 |
-7.05 |
-0.70 |
-12% |
Big Underdogs |
4 (25%) |
1 |
25 % |
9.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.12 |
-5% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
2 (13%) |
2 |
100 % |
11.00 |
16.40 |
8.20 |
149% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
16.00 |
-16.00 |
-8.00 |
-100% |
Position 3-5 |
6 (38%) |
1 |
17 % |
32.00 |
-9.45 |
-1.57 |
-30% |
6+ (Undercard) |
6 (38%) |
2 |
33 % |
19.50 |
-4.90 |
-0.82 |
-25% |
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TopNotchBets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (13%) |
1 |
50 % |
16.00 |
2.40 |
1.20 |
15% |
Light Heavy |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.60 |
1.60 |
53% |
Middleweight |
2 (13%) |
|
0 % |
9.00 |
-9.00 |
-4.50 |
-100% |
Welterweight |
2 (13%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0% |
Lightweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
2 (13%) |
2 |
100 % |
14.00 |
17.55 |
8.78 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
3 (19%) |
|
0 % |
11.00 |
-11.00 |
-3.67 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-8.00 |
-100% |
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|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
2 (13%) |
|
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (13%) |
|
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
5 (50%) |
4 |
80 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (30%) |
2 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (20%) |
1 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
10 |
7 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
8 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
8 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
X Wins by KO |
2 (25%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.00 |
6.00 |
6.00 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
X Wins by Sub |
3 (38%) |
0 |
0 % |
7.74 |
31.00 |
4.50 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
X Wins Inside Distance |
2 (25%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.95 |
5.50 |
4.50 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
Others |
1 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.60 |
3.60 |
3.60 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
|
8 |
0 |
0 % |
5.70 |
|
|
-8.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail TopNotchBets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -36.74% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
TopNotchBets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
TopNotchBets: Progress Chart |
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