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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Phantom

MMA Phantom (TheMMAPhantom)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Phantom

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 66 (54%) Right 43 (49%) Right 23 (68%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 56 (46%) Wrong 45 (51%) Wrong 11 (32%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 132.0 Units Bet 99.1 Units Bet 32.9 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.13 Avg Bet 0.97 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 19.13 Units Profit 9.46 Units Profit 9.67 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 14% ROI % 10% ROI % 29% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Phantom: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 6.46 -1.1 -16% -0.4 / 3.63 (-12%) -0.6 / 2.83 (-22%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 6.3 3.3 53% 2.3 / 3.65 (64%) 1.0 / 2.65 (38%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 11.3 -0.2 -2% -2.0 / 7.95 (-25%) 1.7 / 3.35 (52%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2.85 -2.2 -77% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.85 (-24%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 4.4 -3.1 -69% -3.6 / 3.55 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.85 (59%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 6.6 -3.6 -55% -2.4 / 5.4 (-44%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 2.5 1.1 44% 1.1 / 2.5 (44%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 1.97 -0.2 -11% -0.7 / 0.72 (-100%) 0.5 / 1.25 (40%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 4.55 6.8 150% 5.7 / 3.15 (180%) 1.2 / 1.4 (84%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 3.75 0.9 23% 0.9 / 3.75 (23%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.75 2.7 41% 1.7 / 5.4 (32%) 1.0 / 1.35 (74%)
22nd Jul '22 Cage Warriors 141 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6.95 6.0 86% 5.0 / 5.45 (93%) 0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 3 -0.9 -32% -0.9 / 3 (-32%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 4.3 -2.1 -50% -3.2 / 3.15 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 4 -1.9 -48% 0.1 / 2 (5%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.42 1.0 70% 1.0 / 1.42 (70%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 6.82 9.0 132% 8.0 / 5.37 (149%) 1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.5 1.9 42% -0.0 / 2.3 (-0%) 1.9 / 2.2 (86%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 2.1 0.0 0% 0.0 / 2.1 (0%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 3.5 1.0 29% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 3.1 -3.1 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 2.6 1.4 54% 1.4 / 2.6 (54%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 3 -1.3 -43% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.7 / 1 (70%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 2.25 -0.2 -9% -0.2 / 2.25 (-9%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 3.5 0.6 16% 0.6 / 3.5 (16%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 5.4 0.2 3% -0.9 / 4 (-21%) 1.0 / 1.4 (72%)
25th Feb '22 Bellator 275 2 1.1 56% 1.1 / 2 (56%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 3.65 0.8 23% 0.8 / 3.65 (23%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 2 -0.3 -15% -0.3 / 2 (-15%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 1 1.5 150% 1.5 / 1 (150%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 4.25 4.3 101% 3.3 / 3 (110%) 1.0 / 1.25 (80%)


Winning Events: 18 (51%)
Losing Events: 17 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.30 units
Best Event: 9.01 units
Worst Event: -3.60 units
Average Event: 0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 12.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.09

MMA Phantom: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 133.02 19.1 14% 9.5 / 99.09 (10%) 18 / 17 (51%) 0.55

MMA Phantom: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Phantom: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 127.02 17.5 14% 7.9 / 93.09 (8%) 9.7 / 33.93 (29%)
Bellator 2 1.1 56% 1.1 / 2 (56%)
PFL 3.5 1.0 29% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%)
Other 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

MMA Phantom: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (5%) 2 50 % 6.90 -2.40 -0.60 -35%
Slight Favorites 29 (33%) 19 66 % 40.24 7.08 0.24 18%
Slight Underdogs 40 (45%) 19 48 % 40.85 5.83 0.15 14%
Big Underdogs 15 (17%) 3 20 % 11.10 -1.05 -0.07 -9%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (10%) 4 44 % 11.13 -0.22 -0.02 -2%
Co-Main Event 11 (13%) 4 36 % 14.15 1.59 0.14 11%
Position 3-5 30 (34%) 16 53 % 35.25 1.51 0.05 4%
6+ (Undercard) 38 (43%) 19 50 % 38.56 6.59 0.17 17%

MMA Phantom: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (10%) 3 33 % 7.90 1.81 0.20 23%
Light Heavy 8 (9%) 4 50 % 9.55 0.05 0.01 1%
Middleweight 11 (13%) 6 55 % 12.80 -0.28 -0.03 -2%
Welterweight 11 (13%) 6 55 % 12.13 0.82 0.07 7%
Lightweight 16 (18%) 7 44 % 22.12 -1.91 -0.12 -9%
Featherweight 9 (10%) 4 44 % 10.47 0.53 0.06 5%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 4.05 -0.25 -0.06 -6%
Flyweight 7 (8%) 3 43 % 5.40 1.03 0.15 19%
               
Women's Fights 13 (15%) 8 62 % 14.67 7.67 0.59 52%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 0.55 1.09 1.09 198%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 1.80 2.05 1.03 114%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 5.82 2.80 0.70 48%
Strawweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 6.50 1.73 0.29 27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (11%) 3 75 %
50-65% 19 (54%) 15 79 %
35-50% 8 (23%) 4 50 %
<35% chance 4 (11%) 1 25 %
35 23 66 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (11%) 3 75 % 1.79 2.15Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct 1.1 (27%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (17%) 4 67 % 1.68 2.00Pick was correct 1.44Pick was correct 0.9 (14%)
Does not go to Decision 14 (40%) 11 79 % 1.71 2.60Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 5.3 (38%)
X Wins by KO 2 (6%) 0 0 % 3.98 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (3%) 0 0 % 9.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (6%) 2 100 % 2.28 3.10Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 2.9 (145%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.10 2.10Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 5 (14%) 3 60 % 2.56 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.70Pick was correct 2.2 (45%)
35 23 66 % 1.95     8.4 (24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Phantom's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 4.25 4.3 101% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,043.00
22nd Jan UFC 270 1 1.5 150% $10.43 $1,043.00 $1,058.65
12th Feb UFC 271 2 -0.3 -15% $10.59 $1,058.65 $1,055.57
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 3.65 0.8 23% $10.56 $1,055.57 $1,064.34
25th Feb Bellator 275 2 1.1 56% $10.64 $1,064.34 $1,076.16
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 5.4 0.2 3% $10.76 $1,076.16 $1,077.86
5th Mar UFC 272 3.5 0.6 16% $10.78 $1,077.86 $1,083.93
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 2.25 -0.2 -9% $10.84 $1,083.93 $1,081.76
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 3 -1.3 -43% $10.82 $1,081.76 $1,067.69
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 2.6 1.4 54% $10.68 $1,067.69 $1,082.64
9th Apr UFC 273 3.1 -3.1 -100% $10.83 $1,082.64 $1,049.08
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 3.5 1.0 29% $10.49 $1,049.08 $1,059.57
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 2.1 0.0 0% $10.60 $1,059.57 $1,059.57
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.5 1.9 42% $10.60 $1,059.57 $1,079.70
7th May UFC 274 6.82 9.0 132% $10.80 $1,079.70 $1,177.03
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.42 1.0 70% $11.77 $1,177.03 $1,188.80
11th Jun UFC 275 4 -1.9 -48% $11.89 $1,188.80 $1,166.21
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 4.3 -2.1 -50% $11.66 $1,166.21 $1,141.14
2nd Jul UFC 276 3 -0.9 -32% $11.41 $1,141.14 $1,130.29
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 1.75 -1.8 -100% $11.30 $1,130.29 $1,110.51
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6.95 6.0 86% $11.11 $1,110.51 $1,176.92
22nd Jul Cage Warriors 141 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.77 $1,176.92 $1,171.04
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.75 2.7 41% $11.71 $1,171.04 $1,203.24
30th Jul UFC 277 3.75 0.9 23% $12.03 $1,203.24 $1,213.47
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3 -3.0 -100% $12.13 $1,213.47 $1,177.07
20th Aug UFC 278 4.55 6.8 150% $11.77 $1,177.07 $1,257.55
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 1.97 -0.2 -11% $12.58 $1,257.55 $1,254.78
10th Sep UFC 279 1 1.0 100% $12.55 $1,254.78 $1,267.33
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 2.5 1.1 44% $12.67 $1,267.33 $1,281.27
22nd Oct UFC 280 6.6 -3.6 -55% $12.81 $1,281.27 $1,235.14
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 4.4 -3.1 -69% $12.35 $1,235.14 $1,197.47
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2.85 -2.2 -77% $11.97 $1,197.47 $1,171.13
12th Nov UFC 281 11.3 -0.2 -2% $11.71 $1,171.13 $1,168.35
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 6.3 3.3 53% $11.68 $1,168.35 $1,207.40
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 6.46 -1.1 -16% $12.07 $1,207.40 $1,194.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: 19.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Phantom: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '22 Phil Rowe Niko Price 2.10 1 TKO, R3 (3:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '22 Angela Hill Emily Ducote 2.21 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '22 Muslim Salikhov Andre Fialho 1.95 1.05 TKO, R3 (1:3) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '22 Jennifer Maia Maryna Moroz 2.65 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Brady Hiestand Fernando Garcia 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Matt Frevola Ottman Azaitar 2.35 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:30) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.69 1.45 TKO, R2 (4:6) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '22 Manon Fiorot Katlyn Chookagian 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '22 Dusko Todorovic Jordan Wright 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (3:12) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Jacob Malkoun Nick Maximov 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Lucie Pudilova Yanan Wu 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (4:4) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Merab Dvalishvili Jose Aldo 1.71 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 Marcin Tybura Alexander Romanov 4.33 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.63 1.6 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Sergey Pavlovich Derrick Lewis 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (0:15) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 1.95 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Nikita Krylov Alexander Gustafsson 1.56 1.8 TKO, R1 (1:7) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.60 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '22 Kevin Holland Stephen Thompson 1.61 1.63 TKO, R4 (5:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '22 Tai Tuivasa Sergey Pavlovich 2.93 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:54) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '22 Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta 3.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '22 Israel Adesanya Alex Pereira 1.50 2 TKO, R5 (2:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Carla Esparza Weili Zhang 4.10 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:5) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Brad Riddell Renato Moicano 2.05 1 Sub, R1 (3:20) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '22 Ottman Azaitar Matt Frevola 2.08 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:30) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '22 Darrick Minner Yilan Sha 2.90 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:7) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '22 Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny 2.01 1 Sub, R3 (3:33) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '22 Nathan Maness Tagir Ulanbekov 3.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:11) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Andrei Arlovski Marcos Rogerio de Lima 3.07 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen 2.05 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:8) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '22 Dustin Jacoby Khalil Rountree 1.65 1.55 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '22 Mateusz Gamrot Beneil Dariush 1.53 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '22 Makhmud Muradov Caio Borralho 2.77 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '22 AJ Dobson Armen Petrosyan 2.80 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '22 Misha Cirkunov Alonzo Menifield 2.80 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:28) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.69 0.72 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Dominick Cruz Marlon Vera 3.00 0.5 TKO, R4 (2:17) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '22 Devin Clark Azamat Murzakanov 2.30 1 TKO, R3 (1:18) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Phantom: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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