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MMA Handicapper Stats: AlMacOdds 2022

AlMacOdds 2022 (AlMacOdds2022)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	14 (44%)	Right	7 (39%)	Right	7 (64%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	18 (56%)	Wrong	11 (61%)	Wrong	4 (36%)	Wrong	3 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.39	Avg Odds	2.54	Avg Odds	2.21	Avg Odds	2.25
Units Bet	23.4	Units Bet	11.4	Units Bet	9.1	Units Bet	2.9
Avg Bet	0.73	Avg Bet	0.63	Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	0.97
Units Profit	1.87	Units Profit	0.62	Units Profit	4.16	Units Profit	-2.90
ROI %	8%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	46%	ROI %	-100%

AlMacOdds 2022: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	0.9	-0.9	-100%			-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	14.72	1.8	12%	-1.4 / 4.6 (-30%)	4.2 / 9.12 (46%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	4.8	2.2	47%	2.2 / 4.8 (47%)
14th Jan '22	LFA 121	1.2	0.6	46%	0.6 / 1.2 (46%)
12th Jan '22	Invicta 45	1.8	-1.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 3 (60%)
Losing Events: 2 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.72 units
Best Event: 2.24 units
Worst Event: -1.80 units
Average Event: 0.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 4.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -1.80

AlMacOdds 2022: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	23.42	1.9	8%	0.6 / 11.4 (5%)		-2.9 / 2.9 (-100%)	3 / 2 (60%)	0.37

AlMacOdds 2022: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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AlMacOdds 2022: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	20.42	3.1	15%	0.9 / 9.4 (9%)	4.2 / 9.12 (46%)	-1.9 / 1.9 (-100%)
Other	3	-1.2	-41%	-0.2 / 2 (-12%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

AlMacOdds 2022: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	4 (22%)	2	50 %	2.80	-0.36	-0.09	-13%
Slight Underdogs	5 (28%)	2	40 %	4.40	-1.05	-0.21	-24%
Big Underdogs	9 (50%)	3	33 %	4.20	2.02	0.22	48%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (22%)	2	50 %	2.80	1.25	0.31	45%
Co-Main Event	2 (11%)	1	50 %	1.40	0.34	0.17	24%
Position 3-5	3 (17%)	0	0 %	2.40	-2.40	-0.80	-100%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (50%)	4	44 %	4.80	1.42	0.16	30%

AlMacOdds 2022: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.26	-0.13	-13%
Middleweight	3 (17%)	1	33 %	1.80	-1.10	-0.37	-61%
Welterweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	0.80	0.25	0.13	31%
Lightweight	1 (6%)		0 %	0.40	-0.40	-0.40	-100%
Featherweight	3 (17%)	2	67 %	2.40	2.90	0.97	121%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	0.80	1.24	0.62	155%
Flyweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (22%)	1	25 %	2.20	-1.02	-0.25	-46%
Flyweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (17%)	1	33 %	1.20	-0.02	-0.01	-2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	4 (57%)	3	75 %
Slight Favorites	3 (43%)	1	33 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	7	4	57 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	3 (27%)	2	67 %
35-50%	6 (55%)	4	67 %
<35% chance	2 (18%)	1	50 %
	11	7	64 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (64%)	5	71 %	2.04	2.20	1.80	3.0 (43%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (27%)	2	67 %	3.15	3.50	2.72	3.2 (107%)
Goes to Decision	1 (9%)	0	0 %	1.68	1.68	1.68	-1.0 (-100%)
	11	7	64 %	2.21			5.2 (48%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail AlMacOdds 2022's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
12th Jan	Invicta 45	1.8	-1.8	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$982.00
14th Jan	LFA 121	1.2	0.6	46%		$9.82	$982.00	$987.45
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	4.8	2.2	47%	$2	$9.87	$987.45	$1,007.58
22nd Jan	UFC 270	14.72	1.8	12%	$2	$10.08	$1,007.58	$1,023.48
12th Feb	UFC 271	0.9	-0.9	-100%		$10.23	$1,023.48	$1,014.27

ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.43% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

AlMacOdds 2022: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '22	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Kay Hansen	2.95	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jan '22	Victor Henry	Raoni Barcelos	5.10	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '22	Bill Algeo	Joanderson Brito	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '22	Jake Collier	Chase Sherman	1.74	1	Sub, R1 (2:26)
5.	Jan '22	Calvin Kattar	Giga Chikadze	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jan '22	Caleb Jensen	Harrison Layne	1.76	0.4	TKO, R1 (0:51)
7.	Jan '22	Chris Brown	Steven Jones	2.63	0.4	TKO, R3 (1:5)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '22	Silvana Gomez Juarez	Vanessa Demopoulos	2.24	1	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
2.	Jan '22	Saimon Oliveira	Tony Gravely	3.10	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '22	Pete Rodriguez	Jack Della Maddalena	3.85	0.4	TKO, R1 (2:59)	No
4.	Jan '22	Trevin Giles	Michael Morales	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
5.	Jan '22	Ciryl Gane	Francis Ngannou	1.70	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '22	Kevin Croom	Brian Kelleher	3.70	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '22	Joseph Holmes	Jamie Pickett	1.67	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '22	Rogerio Bontorin	Brandon Royval	2.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '22	Brandon Phillips	Elijah Johns	3.05	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '22	Tamika Jones	Katie Saull	3.60	0.4	Sub, R1 (4:30)	No
11.	Jan '22	Alesha Zappitella	Jessica Delboni	3.35	0.4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

AlMacOdds 2022: Progress Chart

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