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MMA Handicapper Stats: Innocuousbird

Innocuousbird (Innocuousbird)


MMA MHandicapper - Innocuousbird

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (65%) Right 18 (69%) Right 9 (56%) Right 4 (67%)
Wrong 17 (35%) Wrong 8 (31%) Wrong 7 (44%) Wrong 2 (33%)
Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.63 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 2.02
Units Bet 281.0 Units Bet 150.5 Units Bet 100.0 Units Bet 30.5
Avg Bet 5.85 Avg Bet 5.79 Avg Bet 6.25 Avg Bet 5.08
Units Profit 27.52 Units Profit 15.81 Units Profit -3.03 Units Profit 14.73
ROI % 10% ROI % 11% ROI % -3% ROI % 48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Innocuousbird : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Oct '24 UFC 307 15 3.6 24% 2.2 / 10 (22%) 1.4 / 5 (29%)
14th Sep '24 UFC 306 12 -12.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 11 4.6 42% 4.6 / 11 (42%)
10th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 11 2.8 25% 2.8 / 11 (25%)
3rd Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 11 4.2 38% 4.2 / 11 (38%)
27th Jul '24 UFC 304 33 9.9 30% 2.9 / 11 (26%) 1.7 / 11 (15%) 5.3 / 11 (48%)
20th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 10 -10.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
13th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 10.5 3.7 35% 4.2 / 10 (42%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Jun '24 UFC 303 16 7.9 49% 2.6 / 11 (24%) 5.3 / 5 (106%)
22nd Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 32 8.7 27% 4.2 / 11 (38%) 4.4 / 21 (21%)
15th Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 11 5.9 54% 5.9 / 11 (54%)
8th Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov 21 1.4 7% 1.4 / 21 (7%)
1st Jun '24 UFC 302 18 -12.5 -69% 1.5 / 4 (38%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 5 3.1 62% 3.1 / 5 (62%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 19 -0.1 -1% -0.1 / 19 (-1%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 14 4.2 30% 4.2 / 10 (42%) 2.0 / 2 (100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 26.5 2.3 9% 0.4 / 21.5 (2%) 1.9 / 5 (38%)
25th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 6 4 -2.5 -62% -2.5 / 4 (-62%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 1 2.5 249% 2.5 / 1 (249%)


Winning Events: 14 (74%)
Losing Events: 5 (26%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.00 units
Best Event: 9.89 units
Worst Event: -12.49 units
Average Event: 1.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 27.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -12.49

Innocuousbird : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 276 27.5 10% 18.3 / 146.5 (12%) 12.2 / 29.5 (42%) 13 / 4 (76%) 1.62
2022 5 0.0 0% -2.5 / 4 (-62%) 2.5 / 1 (249%) 1 / 1 (50%) 0.01

Innocuousbird : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Innocuousbird : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 277 30.0 11% 18.3 / 146.5 (12%) -3.0 / 100 (-3%) 14.7 / 30.5 (48%)
PFL 4 -2.5 -62% -2.5 / 4 (-62%)

Innocuousbird : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (46%) 11 92 % 88.00 26.16 2.18 30%
Slight Favorites 9 (35%) 6 67 % 43.00 6.56 0.73 15%
Slight Underdogs 4 (15%) 1 25 % 19.00 -16.40 -4.10 -86%
Big Underdogs 1 (4%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (35%) 8 89 % 68.00 17.00 1.89 25%
Co-Main Event 2 (8%) 2 100 % 19.00 4.53 2.26 24%
Position 3-5 8 (31%) 4 50 % 37.50 3.43 0.43 9%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (27%) 4 57 % 26.00 -9.14 -1.31 -35%

Innocuousbird : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (23%) 3 50 % 35.00 -3.33 -0.55 -10%
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 2 100 % 12.00 3.71 1.86 31%
Middleweight 4 (15%) 3 75 % 33.50 12.55 3.14 37%
Welterweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 9.00 -3.49 -1.75 -39%
Lightweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 6.00 -3.40 -1.13 -57%
Featherweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 6.00 3.53 1.77 59%
Bantamweight 3 (12%) 2 67 % 18.00 -6.79 -2.26 -38%
Flyweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 21.00 10.11 5.06 48%
               
Women's Fights 2 (8%) 2 100 % 10.00 2.92 1.46 29%
Strawweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 10.00 2.92 1.46 29%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (100%) 5 71 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
7 5 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 19 (70%) 18 95 %
50-65% 3 (11%) 1 33 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 5 (19%) 1 20 %
27 20 74 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (33%) 8 89 % 1.25 1.59Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 0.8 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.33 1.38Pick was correct 1.29Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-31%)
Goes to Decision 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.42 1.42Pick was correct 1.42Pick was correct 0.8 (42%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.23 1.31Pick was correct 1.15Pick was correct 0.5 (23%)
X Wins by KO 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.29 1.29Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 0.3 (29%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (7%) 0 0 % 2.23 3.75Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (11%) 3 100 % 1.43 1.54Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.3 (43%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (11%) 0 0 % 4.70 7.50Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 3 (11%) 3 100 % 1.59 4.00Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 3.5 (115%)
27 20 74 % 1.50     1.5 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Innocuousbird 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 1 2.5 249% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.86
25th Mar PFL Challenger Series 6 4 -2.5 -62% $10.25 $1,024.86 $999.51
13th Apr UFC 300 26.5 2.3 9% $6 $10.00 $999.51 $1,016.93
4th May UFC 301 14 4.2 30% $6 $10.17 $1,016.93 $1,053.30
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 19 -0.1 -1% $6 $10.53 $1,053.30 $1,045.72
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 5 3.1 62% $10.46 $1,045.72 $1,078.23
1st Jun UFC 302 18 -12.5 -69% $6 $10.78 $1,078.23 $937.55
8th Jun UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov 21 1.4 7% $9.38 $937.55 $950.72
15th Jun UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 11 5.9 54% $9.51 $950.72 $1,007.25
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 32 8.7 27% $6 $10.07 $1,007.25 $1,088.39
29th Jun UFC 303 16 7.9 49% $10.88 $1,088.39 $1,174.03
13th Jul UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 10.5 3.7 35% $6 $11.74 $1,174.03 $1,211.08
20th Jul UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 10 -10.0 -100% $6 $12.11 $1,211.08 $1,083.97
27th Jul UFC 304 33 9.9 30% $6 $10.84 $1,083.97 $1,185.17
3rd Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 11 4.2 38% $6 $11.85 $1,185.17 $1,228.55
10th Aug UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 11 2.8 25% $6 $12.29 $1,228.55 $1,256.33
24th Aug UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 11 4.6 42% $6 $12.56 $1,256.33 $1,307.92
14th Sep UFC 306 12 -12.0 -100% $6 $13.08 $1,307.92 $1,144.97
5th Oct UFC 307 15 3.6 24% $6 $11.45 $1,144.97 $1,180.21


ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Innocuousbird : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '24 Paid Pick Alex Pereira Khalil Rountree 1.22 10 TKO, R4 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '24 Paid Pick Caio Borralho Jared Cannonier 1.42 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '24 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes 1.26 11 TKO, R1 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '24 Paid Pick Sharabutdin Magomedov Antonio Trocoli 1.38 11 TKO, R3 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '24 Tatsuro Taira Alex Perez 1.54 11 TKO, R2 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '24 Brunno Ferreira Dustin Stoltzfus 1.38 11 TKO, R1 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '24 Raul Rosas Jr Ricky Turcios 1.43 5 Sub, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '24 Bassil Hafez Mickey Gall 1.38 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Angela Hill Luana Pinheiro 1.65 2 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Lerone Murphy Edson Barboza 1.61 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Chase Hooper Viacheslav Borshchev 2.60 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Paid Pick Derrick Lewis Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1.63 10 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.42 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Paid Pick Weili Zhang Yan Xiaonan 1.20 8 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Paid Pick Deiveson Figueiredo Cody Garbrandt 1.34 3 Sub, R2 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Paid Pick Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Paid Pick Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '22 Marcelo Nunes Bevon Lewis 1.53 1 Sub, R2 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '24 Paid Pick Sean O'Malley Merab Dvalishvili 2.00 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '24 Paid Pick Mohammed Usman Thomas Petersen 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '24 Charlie Radtke Carlos Prates 2.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Paid Pick Robelis Despaigne Waldo Cortes-Acosta 1.59 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway 1.61 2 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Cody Brundage Bo Nickal 9.50 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.75 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '22 Jon Cunningham Daiqwon Buckley 1.50 3 TKO, R2 (1:46) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Innocuousbird : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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