MMA Handicapper Stats: Luca Picks |
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Luca Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 10 (71%)
Losing Events: 4 (29%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.50 units
Best Event: 6.28 units
Worst Event: -13.00 units
Average Event: 0.87 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 22.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -18.00 |
Luca Picks: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2022 |
103.75 |
12.2 |
12% |
4.1 / 53.25 (8%) |
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7.6 / 48 (16%) |
10 / 4 (71%) |
0.87 |
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Luca Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Luca Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
51 |
6.5 |
13% |
-0.9 / 30 (-3%) |
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7.4 / 21 (35%) |
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Bellator |
15.75 |
8.0 |
51% |
0.9 / 6.75 (13%) |
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7.1 / 9 (79%) |
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PFL |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
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-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
| Other |
29 |
5.7 |
20% |
4.1 / 16.5 (25%) |
0.5 / 2.5 (20%) |
1.1 / 10 (11%) |
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Luca Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
19 (66%) |
15 |
79 % |
36.75 |
5.40 |
0.28 |
15% |
| Slight Favorites |
8 (28%) |
6 |
75 % |
14.50 |
-1.28 |
-0.16 |
-9% |
| Slight Underdogs |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.25 |
2.37 |
1.18 |
56% |
| Co-Main Event |
4 (14%) |
3 |
75 % |
6.00 |
0.95 |
0.24 |
16% |
| Position 3-5 |
10 (34%) |
8 |
80 % |
19.50 |
3.40 |
0.34 |
17% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
13 (45%) |
9 |
69 % |
23.50 |
-2.60 |
-0.20 |
-11% |
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Luca Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-1.27 |
-0.42 |
-42% |
| Light Heavy |
5 (17%) |
4 |
80 % |
12.50 |
-2.60 |
-0.52 |
-21% |
| Middleweight |
3 (10%) |
3 |
100 % |
3.75 |
2.34 |
0.78 |
62% |
| Welterweight |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.24 |
0.62 |
41% |
| Lightweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
0.67 |
0.67 |
67% |
| Featherweight |
3 (10%) |
2 |
67 % |
8.00 |
-0.06 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
-0.12 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
| Flyweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
-1.14 |
-0.57 |
-33% |
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| Women's Fights |
8 (28%) |
7 |
88 % |
15.50 |
5.07 |
0.63 |
33% |
| Featherweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.50 |
0.60 |
0.60 |
24% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (10%) |
2 |
67 % |
5.00 |
-0.09 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
| Flyweight |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.50 |
2.15 |
1.08 |
48% |
| Strawweight |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.50 |
2.40 |
1.20 |
69% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
41 (89%) |
36 |
88 % |
| Slight Favorites |
4 (9%) |
3 |
75 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
46 |
40 |
87 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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1 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
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1 |
0 |
0 % |
1.53 |
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-1.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Luca Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 12th Jan |
Invicta 45 |
13.5 |
1.2 |
9% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,012.07 |
| 14th Jan |
LFA 121 |
5 |
0.9 |
18% |
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$10.12 |
$1,012.07 |
$1,021.18 |
| 15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
4.5 |
2.6 |
59% |
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$10.21 |
$1,021.18 |
$1,048.19 |
| 28th Jan |
EFC 44 |
3 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
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$10.48 |
$1,048.19 |
$1,047.62 |
| 29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
6 |
1.7 |
29% |
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$10.48 |
$1,047.62 |
$1,065.70 |
| 5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
12.5 |
1.4 |
11% |
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$10.66 |
$1,065.70 |
$1,080.52 |
| 12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
13 |
5.7 |
44% |
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$10.81 |
$1,080.52 |
$1,142.16 |
| 25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
9.75 |
6.3 |
64% |
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$11.42 |
$1,142.16 |
$1,213.86 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
3 |
3.9 |
131% |
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$12.14 |
$1,213.86 |
$1,261.43 |
| 11th Mar |
EFC 46 |
7.5 |
3.6 |
48% |
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$12.61 |
$1,261.43 |
$1,307.05 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
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$13.07 |
$1,307.05 |
$1,137.14 |
| 1st Jul |
PFL 2022 #6 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
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$11.37 |
$1,137.14 |
$1,080.28 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
5 |
5.9 |
117% |
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$10.80 |
$1,080.28 |
$1,143.69 |
| 5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
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$11.44 |
$1,143.69 |
$1,109.38 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Luca Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Feb '22 |
Brett Johns |
Khurshed Kakhorov |
1.44 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
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| 2. |
Feb '22 |
Gegard Mousasi |
Austin Vanderford |
1.44 |
1.75 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
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| 3. |
Feb '22 |
Jeremiah Wells |
Mike Mathetha |
1.44 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:38) |
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| 4. |
Feb '22 |
Jacob Malkoun |
AJ Dobson |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
Feb '22 |
Carlos Ulberg |
Fabio Cherant |
1.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. |
Feb '22 |
Bobby Green |
Nasrat Haqparast |
1.67 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Feb '22 |
Jared Cannonier |
Derek Brunson |
1.57 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:29) |
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| 8. |
Feb '22 |
Jailton Junior |
Danilo Marques |
1.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
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| 9. |
Feb '22 |
Alexis Davis |
Julija Stoliarenko |
1.40 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. |
Feb '22 |
Julian Erosa |
Steven Peterson |
1.36 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Feb '22 |
Brendan Allen |
Sam Alvey |
1.25 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (2:10) |
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| 12. |
Feb '22 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov |
Carlston Harris |
1.40 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
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| 13. |
Jan '22 |
Sullivan Cauley |
Ben Parrish |
1.50 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:35) |
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| 14. |
Jan '22 |
Brandon Royval |
Rogerio Bontorin |
1.57 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Jan '22 |
Jake Collier |
Chase Sherman |
1.73 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:26) |
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| 16. |
Jan '22 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Jennifer Maia |
1.53 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Jan '22 |
Anvar Boynazarov |
John Pham |
1.18 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
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| 18. |
Jan '22 |
Helen Peralta |
Elise Pone |
1.44 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Jan '22 |
Katie Saull |
Tamika Jones |
1.80 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:30) |
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| 20. |
Jan '22 |
Hailey Cowan |
Monica Franco |
1.41 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:17) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Luca Picks: Progress Chart |
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