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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kvothe MMA

Kvothe MMA (KvotheMMA)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Kvothe MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 77 (36%) Right 41 (55%) Right 24 (22%) Right 12 (43%)
Wrong 136 (64%) Wrong 33 (45%) Wrong 87 (78%) Wrong 16 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.98 Avg Odds 2.11 Avg Odds 4.24 Avg Odds 2.76
Units Bet 335.9 Units Bet 140.1 Units Bet 122.9 Units Bet 73.0
Avg Bet 1.58 Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 1.11 Avg Bet 2.61
Units Profit 53.62 Units Profit 43.39 Units Profit 8.10 Units Profit 2.13
ROI % 16% ROI % 31% ROI % 7% ROI % 3%
View Handicapper's Profile

Kvothe MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '22 Bellator 288 1 1.9 190% 1.9 / 1 (190%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 4.95 -0.2 -4% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%) -0.2 / 2.45 (-8%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5.45 -2.8 -52% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.2 / 1.45 (81%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 19.7 1.9 9% 7.6 / 14 (54%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 1 1.8 180% 1.8 / 1 (180%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 5.24 -1.8 -34% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.2 / 3.24 (7%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 9 3.6 41% 1.7 / 6 (28%) 0.0 / 2 (0%) 2.0 / 1 (200%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 6.95 -1.1 -16% 3.3 / 2.5 (134%) -4.5 / 4.45 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10 -2.3 -23% 2.7 / 5 (53%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 8 -8.0 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.9 -1.7 -24% 0.8 / 4.4 (19%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2 2.9 144% 2.9 / 2 (144%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.33 6.0 179% 0.8 / 1.33 (62%) 5.1 / 2 (257%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 7 6.6 94% 0.7 / 1 (74%) 1.2 / 3 (42%) 4.6 / 3 (153%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.2 2.2 35% 1.4 / 5 (28%) 0.8 / 1.2 (67%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5.5 -4.0 -73% 0.0 / 1.5 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 8.25 -4.5 -54% -0.2 / 4 (-5%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 10.5 2.6 25% -0.1 / 8 (-1%) 2.7 / 2.5 (107%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 3 4.9 162% 4.9 / 3 (162%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 9.42 1.0 10% 3.5 / 3.67 (95%) 1.0 / 2.25 (42%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 10.5 4.8 46% 3.2 / 6 (53%) 0.0 / 2 (0%) 1.6 / 2.5 (65%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 21.85 6.7 30% 13.0 / 12.5 (104%) -6.4 / 6.35 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (0%)
28th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #2 2.5 2.3 92% 2.3 / 2.5 (92%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 279 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 4 1.3 31% 2.8 / 2.5 (110%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 5 -2.9 -59% -0.4 / 2.5 (-18%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 2.9 -2.9 -100% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 18.25 -4.1 -22% 1.8 / 3 (60%) -0.9 / 10.25 (-9%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 11.5 13.6 119% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 15.1 / 10 (151%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 20 0.2 1% 2.2 / 14 (16%) -1.0 / 5 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 14.52 8.6 60% 1.0 / 7.52 (13%) -0.2 / 2 (-10%) 7.9 / 5 (157%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 29.95 -0.1 -0% 0.8 / 9 (9%) -0.9 / 20.95 (-4%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 26.58 19.8 75% 2.5 / 12.08 (21%) 15.6 / 11 (141%) 1.8 / 3.5 (51%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 20 -4.9 -25% 0.6 / 2 (30%) -0.5 / 13 (-4%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 6.5 -3.2 -49% -1.7 / 5 (-34%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Dec '21 UFC FN 5 15.0 300% 15.0 / 5 (300%)


Winning Events: 20 (51%)
Losing Events: 19 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.77 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.95 units
Best Event: 19.84 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: 1.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 22.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -15.13

Kvothe MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 336.94 38.6 11% 43.4 / 140.07 (31%) 2.1 / 76 (3%) 19 / 19 (50%) 1.02
2021 5 15.0 300% 1 / (100%) 15.00

Kvothe MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kvothe MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 328.54 59.3 18% 43.9 / 136.67 (32%) 8.1 / 125.87 (6%) 7.3 / 66 (11%)
Bellator 8.9 -6.0 -67% 1.5 / 1.4 (107%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
PFL 2.5 2.3 92% 2.3 / 2.5 (92%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Kvothe MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (17%) 11 85 % 54.63 13.41 1.03 25%
Slight Favorites 21 (28%) 16 76 % 34.44 14.51 0.69 42%
Slight Underdogs 26 (34%) 10 38 % 37.00 11.13 0.43 30%
Big Underdogs 16 (21%) 6 38 % 14.00 4.35 0.27 31%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (11%) 5 63 % 30.00 17.85 2.23 60%
Co-Main Event 14 (18%) 10 71 % 25.75 14.36 1.03 56%
Position 3-5 25 (33%) 16 64 % 40.32 10.06 0.40 25%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (38%) 12 41 % 44.00 1.12 0.04 3%

Kvothe MMA: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.50 -0.45 -0.15 -18%
Light Heavy 3 (4%) 3 100 % 6.00 4.92 1.64 82%
Middleweight 7 (9%) 5 71 % 6.60 3.08 0.44 47%
Welterweight 12 (16%) 4 33 % 23.00 -3.52 -0.29 -15%
Lightweight 16 (21%) 11 69 % 40.55 8.81 0.55 22%
Featherweight 6 (8%) 2 33 % 5.40 -1.44 -0.24 -27%
Bantamweight 14 (18%) 8 57 % 34.75 23.96 1.71 69%
Flyweight 5 (7%) 3 60 % 10.10 3.68 0.74 36%
               
Women's Fights 10 (13%) 6 60 % 11.17 4.35 0.44 39%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.60 0.30 30%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 5.17 2.20 0.55 43%
Strawweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 4.00 1.55 0.39 39%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 43 (80%) 34 79 %
Slight Favorites 11 (20%) 8 73 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
54 42 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (9%) 6 46 %
50-65% 29 (20%) 12 41 %
35-50% 13 (9%) 7 54 %
<35% chance 87 (61%) 13 15 %
142 38 27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (6%) 7 78 % 1.51 1.80Pick was correct 1.42Pick was correct 1.7 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (4%) 3 60 % 1.78 2.25Pick was correct 1.60Pick was correct 0.5 (10%)
Goes to Decision 4 (3%) 1 25 % 1.95 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-50%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (4%) 1 20 % 1.91 2.64Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -2.9 (-57%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.42 1.42Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 3 (2%) 2 67 % 1.77 2.00Pick was correct 1.60Pick was incorrect 0.6 (20%)
X Wins by KO 15 (11%) 3 20 % 3.80 11.50Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -4.8 (-32%)
X Wins by Sub 27 (19%) 3 11 % 6.24 17.00Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was incorrect -4.5 (-17%)
X Wins by Decision 14 (10%) 7 50 % 3.31 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.70Pick was correct 6.1 (43%)
X Wins Inside Distance 9 (6%) 3 33 % 2.71 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct -4.1 (-45%)
X Wins in Round X 22 (15%) 4 18 % 7.82 34.00Pick was incorrect 2.62Pick was correct -5.6 (-25%)
Others 28 (20%) 4 14 % 2.72 16.00Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was incorrect 1.7 (6%)
142 38 27 % 3.17     -14.1 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kvothe MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Dec UFC FN 5 15.0 300% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,150.00
12th Feb UFC 271 6.5 -3.2 -49% $11.50 $1,150.00 $1,113.43
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 20 -4.9 -25% $11.13 $1,113.43 $1,058.87
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 26.58 19.8 75% $10.59 $1,058.87 $1,268.92
5th Mar UFC 272 29.95 -0.1 -0% $12.69 $1,268.92 $1,267.56
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 14.52 8.6 60% $12.68 $1,267.56 $1,377.09
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 20 0.2 1% $13.77 $1,377.09 $1,380.25
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 11.5 13.6 119% $13.80 $1,380.25 $1,568.59
9th Apr UFC 273 18.25 -4.1 -22% $15.69 $1,568.59 $1,504.67
15th Apr Bellator 277 2.9 -2.9 -100% $15.05 $1,504.67 $1,461.03
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 5 -2.9 -59% $14.61 $1,461.03 $1,417.93
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 4 1.3 31% $14.18 $1,417.93 $1,435.66
23rd Apr Bellator 279 5 -5.0 -100% $14.36 $1,435.66 $1,363.87
28th Apr PFL 2022 #2 2.5 2.3 92% $13.64 $1,363.87 $1,395.29
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 21.85 6.7 30% $13.95 $1,395.29 $1,488.15
7th May UFC 274 10.5 4.8 46% $14.88 $1,488.15 $1,559.95
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 9.42 1.0 10% $15.60 $1,559.95 $1,574.81
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 3 4.9 162% $15.75 $1,574.81 $1,651.34
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 10.5 2.6 25% $16.51 $1,651.34 $1,694.19
11th Jun UFC 275 8.25 -4.5 -54% $16.94 $1,694.19 $1,618.80
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5.5 -4.0 -73% $16.19 $1,618.80 $1,554.05
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.2 2.2 35% $15.54 $1,554.05 $1,588.24
2nd Jul UFC 276 7 6.6 94% $15.88 $1,588.24 $1,692.66
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.33 6.0 179% $16.93 $1,692.66 $1,793.59
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2 2.9 144% $17.94 $1,793.59 $1,845.24
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.9 -1.7 -24% $18.45 $1,845.24 $1,814.24
30th Jul UFC 277 8 -8.0 -100% $18.14 $1,814.24 $1,669.10
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 2 -2.0 -100% $16.69 $1,669.10 $1,635.72
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 10 -2.3 -23% $16.36 $1,635.72 $1,597.28
20th Aug UFC 278 6.95 -1.1 -16% $15.97 $1,597.28 $1,579.71
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 9 3.6 41% $15.80 $1,579.71 $1,637.34
10th Sep UFC 279 1 -1.0 -100% $16.37 $1,637.34 $1,620.97
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 5.24 -1.8 -34% $16.21 $1,620.97 $1,592.06
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 1 1.8 180% $15.92 $1,592.06 $1,620.72
22nd Oct UFC 280 19.7 1.9 9% $16.21 $1,620.72 $1,650.86
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5.45 -2.8 -52% $16.51 $1,650.86 $1,604.23
12th Nov UFC 281 4.95 -0.2 -4% $16.04 $1,604.23 $1,601.10
18th Nov Bellator 288 1 1.9 190% $16.01 $1,601.10 $1,631.52
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1.5 -1.5 -100% $16.32 $1,631.52 $1,607.05


ROI % from starting bank balance: 60.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kvothe MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '22 Vadim Nemkov Corey Anderson 2.90 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:6) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Manon Fiorot Katlyn Chookagian 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Nikita Krylov Volkan Oezdemir 1.58 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '22 Sean O'Malley Petr Yan 4.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '22 Aljamain Sterling T.J. Dillashaw 1.62 6 TKO, R2 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '22 Yan Xiaonan Mackenzie Dern 2.80 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '22 Benoit Saint-Denis Gabriel Miranda 1.53 5 TKO, R2 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Marcin Tybura Alexander Romanov 4.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Merab Dvalishvili Jose Aldo 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Marlon Vera Dominick Cruz 1.53 5 TKO, R4 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 1.94 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.64 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Ricky Simon Jack Shore 2.40 1 Sub, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.48 1 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Jalin Turner Brad Riddell 1.74 1 Sub, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev 3.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Shavkat Rakhmonov Neil Magny 1.28 5 Sub, R2 (4:58) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev 1.90 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '22 Allan Nascimento Jake Hadley 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '22 Bryan Barberena Rafael dos Anjos 4.80 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '22 Kevin Holland Stephen Thompson 1.90 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '22 Silvana Gomez Juarez Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.94 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '22 Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny 2.00 2 Sub, R3 (3:33) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '22 Mateusz Gamrot Beneil Dariush 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '22 Yadong Song Cory Sandhagen 2.70 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Cameron VanCamp Nikolas Motta 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '22 Joaquin Buckley Nassourdine Imavov 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Shimon Smotritsky Billy Goff 3.00 2 TKO, R1 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.66 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.30 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev 4.75 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.85 1 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Jacob Malkoun Brendan Allen 3.53 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Taila Santos Valentina Shevchenko 6.50 0.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '22 Jake Collier Andrei Arlovski 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '22 Kevin Croom Heili Alateng 2.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '22 Adli Edwards Aaron Pico 9.00 0.4 TKO, R3 (0:55) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kvothe MMA: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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