|
MMA Handicapper Stats: ncdfz |
|
ncdfz : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 31 (56%) Losing Events: 24 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 18.70 units Most Staked On One Event: 44.00 units Best Event: 17.79 units Worst Event: -23.29 units Average Event: 0.16 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 42.60 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -38.98 |
ncdfz : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
1023.24 |
0.9 |
0% |
-23.0 / 407.5 (-6%) |
|
-10.2 / 43.23 (-24%) |
30 / 24 (56%) |
0.02 |
2021 |
5.375 |
7.7 |
143% |
|
|
|
1 / (100%) |
7.70 |
|
ncdfz : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
ncdfz : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
811.915 |
61.5 |
8% |
10.3 / 299 (3%) |
57.5 / 473.685 (12%) |
-6.2 / 39.23 (-16%) |
Bellator |
38 |
-19.1 |
-50% |
-9.6 / 23 (-42%) |
-7.5 / 13 (-58%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
PFL |
57.3 |
-24.5 |
-43% |
-15.5 / 18.8 (-82%) |
-9.0 / 38.5 (-23%) |
|
Other |
121.4 |
-9.3 |
-8% |
-8.2 / 66.7 (-12%) |
0.9 / 52.7 (2%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
ncdfz : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
23 (14%) |
17 |
74 % |
86.00 |
2.55 |
0.11 |
3% |
Slight Favorites |
62 (38%) |
37 |
60 % |
163.50 |
7.60 |
0.12 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
48 (29%) |
18 |
38 % |
100.50 |
-13.21 |
-0.28 |
-13% |
Big Underdogs |
32 (19%) |
6 |
19 % |
57.50 |
-19.94 |
-0.62 |
-35% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
20 (12%) |
10 |
50 % |
46.50 |
2.27 |
0.11 |
5% |
Co-Main Event |
26 (16%) |
9 |
35 % |
52.50 |
-16.22 |
-0.62 |
-31% |
Position 3-5 |
42 (25%) |
22 |
52 % |
110.40 |
0.97 |
0.02 |
1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
77 (47%) |
37 |
48 % |
198.10 |
-10.02 |
-0.13 |
-5% |
|
ncdfz : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (6%) |
4 |
40 % |
28.50 |
-5.88 |
-0.59 |
-21% |
Light Heavy |
10 (6%) |
1 |
10 % |
25.00 |
-17.80 |
-1.78 |
-71% |
Middleweight |
22 (13%) |
10 |
45 % |
45.30 |
3.22 |
0.15 |
7% |
Welterweight |
30 (18%) |
15 |
50 % |
70.70 |
-0.15 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Lightweight |
24 (15%) |
12 |
50 % |
67.30 |
2.59 |
0.11 |
4% |
Featherweight |
20 (12%) |
10 |
50 % |
42.70 |
-2.55 |
-0.13 |
-6% |
Bantamweight |
20 (12%) |
10 |
50 % |
57.50 |
-5.35 |
-0.27 |
-9% |
Flyweight |
14 (8%) |
9 |
64 % |
32.50 |
3.17 |
0.23 |
10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
15 (9%) |
7 |
47 % |
38.00 |
-0.25 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
1 |
25 % |
11.00 |
-5.70 |
-1.43 |
-52% |
Flyweight |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
12.00 |
-0.04 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
4 |
67 % |
15.00 |
5.49 |
0.91 |
37% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
22 (96%) |
17 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
23 |
17 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
43 (12%) |
25 |
58 % |
50-65% |
95 (26%) |
51 |
54 % |
35-50% |
64 (17%) |
27 |
42 % |
<35% chance |
164 (45%) |
37 |
23 % |
|
366 |
140 |
38 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail ncdfz 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
5.375 |
7.7 |
143% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,077.00 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
17.83 |
-5.4 |
-30% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.00 |
$1,018.52 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
12.71 |
7.7 |
61% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.52 |
$1,096.91 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
24.9 |
-7.1 |
-29% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,096.91 |
$1,018.87 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
27.5 |
16.2 |
59% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.87 |
$1,184.32 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
28.8 |
-11.7 |
-41% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,184.32 |
$1,045.86 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,045.86 |
$1,004.02 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
44 |
-23.3 |
-53% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,004.02 |
$770.21 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
25 |
3.8 |
15% |
|
$7.70 |
$770.21 |
$799.42 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
25.5 |
11.2 |
44% |
|
$7.99 |
$799.42 |
$889.30 |
12th Mar |
Bellator 276 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.89 |
$889.30 |
$853.73 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
29 |
2.4 |
8% |
|
$8.54 |
$853.73 |
$874.37 |
25th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 6 |
3 |
3.6 |
120% |
|
$8.74 |
$874.37 |
$905.85 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
36.5 |
8.5 |
23% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.85 |
$983.18 |
1st Apr |
Cage Warriors 135 |
2 |
1.7 |
87% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.18 |
$1,000.27 |
2nd Apr |
Cage Warriors 136 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.27 |
$990.27 |
2nd Apr |
XMMA 4 |
6.5 |
-2.2 |
-33% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.27 |
$968.98 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
34.5 |
-14.6 |
-42% |
|
$9.69 |
$968.98 |
$827.10 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
3 |
2.1 |
70% |
|
$8.27 |
$827.10 |
$844.45 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
29.5 |
-12.0 |
-41% |
|
$8.44 |
$844.45 |
$743.40 |
20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
12.5 |
1.5 |
12% |
|
$7.43 |
$743.40 |
$754.19 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
8 |
-2.5 |
-31% |
|
$7.54 |
$754.19 |
$735.33 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
21.5 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$7.35 |
$735.33 |
$739.34 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.39 |
$739.34 |
$658.01 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
34 |
9.0 |
26% |
|
$6.58 |
$658.01 |
$717.05 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
17.5 |
6.8 |
39% |
|
$7.17 |
$717.05 |
$765.79 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
35 |
9.3 |
27% |
|
$7.66 |
$765.79 |
$837.24 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
33.5 |
8.9 |
27% |
|
$8.37 |
$837.24 |
$911.78 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
33 |
5.4 |
16% |
|
$9.12 |
$911.78 |
$960.72 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
29 |
-5.3 |
-18% |
|
$9.61 |
$960.72 |
$909.32 |
17th Jun |
PFL 2022 #4 |
8.3 |
-5.0 |
-60% |
|
$9.09 |
$909.32 |
$863.77 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
24 |
4.1 |
17% |
|
$8.64 |
$863.77 |
$899.38 |
24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.99 |
$899.38 |
$818.43 |
25th Jun |
Cage Warriors 140 |
5 |
-0.4 |
-8% |
|
$8.18 |
$818.43 |
$815.16 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
30.5 |
17.8 |
58% |
|
$8.15 |
$815.16 |
$960.14 |
1st Jul |
PFL 2022 #6 |
4 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.14 |
$961.10 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
35 |
2.7 |
8% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.10 |
$986.73 |
8th Jul |
LFA 135 |
3 |
1.2 |
39% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.73 |
$998.34 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
20 |
8.7 |
44% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.34 |
$1,085.68 |
15th Jul |
LFA 136 |
15 |
2.3 |
15% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.68 |
$1,110.37 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
35 |
2.2 |
6% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,110.37 |
$1,135.07 |
22nd Jul |
Cage Warriors 141 |
14 |
7.6 |
54% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,135.07 |
$1,221.63 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
28.5 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
|
$12.22 |
$1,221.63 |
$1,212.03 |
23rd Jul |
XMMA 5 |
10 |
-6.3 |
-63% |
|
$12.12 |
$1,212.03 |
$1,136.14 |
26th Jul |
DWCS 2022: Week 1 |
11 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,136.14 |
$1,156.93 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
38.8 |
-2.4 |
-6% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.93 |
$1,129.72 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
13.7 |
-5.5 |
-40% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,129.72 |
$1,067.35 |
5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
11.5 |
-6.7 |
-58% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.35 |
$996.03 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
25.5 |
6.5 |
25% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.03 |
$1,060.40 |
9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
13 |
-5.2 |
-40% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.40 |
$1,005.74 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
8 |
0.3 |
4% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.74 |
$1,008.88 |
13th Aug |
PFL 2022 #8 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.88 |
$918.08 |
13th Aug |
Cage Warriors 142 |
14.2 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$9.18 |
$918.08 |
$918.85 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
30 |
4.6 |
15% |
|
$9.19 |
$918.85 |
$961.01 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
13 |
-3.5 |
-27% |
|
$9.61 |
$961.01 |
$927.37 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
ncdfz : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Aug '22 |
Nina Nunes |
Cynthia Calvillo |
2.64 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Aug '22 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
Ariane Lipski |
2.65 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:5) |
|
|
3. |
Aug '22 |
Sam Creasey |
Stipe Brcic |
1.65 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:11) |
|
|
4. |
Aug '22 |
Clayton Carpenter |
Edgar Chairez |
1.31 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Aug '22 |
Gokhan Saricam |
Said Sowma |
1.66 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Aug '22 |
Francis Marshall |
Connor Matthews |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '22 |
Drew Dober |
Rafael Alves |
1.61 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:30) |
|
|
8. |
Jul '22 |
Orion Cosce |
Mike Mathetha |
1.56 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jul '22 |
Joe Pyfer |
Ozzy Diaz |
1.92 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:39) |
|
|
10. |
Jul '22 |
Will Brooks |
Luis Pena |
1.87 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '22 |
Mick Stanton |
Darren Stewart |
3.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '22 |
George Hardwick |
Kyle Driscoll |
1.54 |
6 |
TKO, R4 (1:27) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '22 |
Victoria Leonardo |
Mandy Bohm |
2.02 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Aug '22 |
Bryan Battle |
Takashi Sato |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '22 |
Amanda Lemos |
Michelle Waterson |
1.36 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:48) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '22 |
Bruno Lopes |
Mailton Azevedo |
1.36 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (4:49) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '22 |
Wellinton Prado |
Italo Gomes |
1.95 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '22 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Da Un Jung |
1.80 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '22 |
Li Jingliang |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.38 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:38) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '22 |
Alfonso Leyva |
Daniel Reis |
1.39 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:10) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Aug '22 |
Claudia Leite |
Hailey Cowan |
1.77 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Aug '22 |
Ivan Valenzuela |
Claudio Ribeiro |
1.85 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:25) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '22 |
Matthew Bonner |
Oban Elliott |
1.69 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Aug '22 |
Jason Witt |
Josh Quinlan |
3.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Aug '22 |
Devin Clark |
Azamat Murzakanov |
2.40 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:18) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Aug '22 |
Dominick Cruz |
Marlon Vera |
2.95 |
3 |
TKO, R4 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '22 |
Bruna Ellen |
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane |
1.95 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '22 |
Stipe Brcic |
Sam Creasey |
2.75 |
1.2 |
Sub, R1 (1:11) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Aug '22 |
Carlos Leal Miranda |
Sadibou Sy |
1.99 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Aug '22 |
Carlos Leal Miranda |
Sadibou Sy |
2.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '22 |
Ode Osbourne |
Tyson Nam |
1.40 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (2:59) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '22 |
Paulo Renato Jr |
Jamal Pogues |
3.48 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '22 |
Sandra Lavado |
Karolina Wojcik |
3.05 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '22 |
Alex Martinez |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
2.95 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '22 |
Joshua Silveira |
Omari Akhmedov |
1.49 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '22 |
Shimon Smotritsky |
Billy Goff |
2.31 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '22 |
Adam Fugitt |
Michael Morales |
5.50 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jul '22 |
Derrick Lewis |
Sergey Pavlovich |
2.27 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:55) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jul '22 |
Alex Perez |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.58 |
1.8 |
Sub, R1 (1:31) |
Yes |
|
|
20. |
Jul '22 |
Don'tale Mayes |
Hamdy Abdelwahab |
1.59 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
ncdfz : Progress Chart |
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