|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Shinobi |
|
MMA Shinobi: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 36 (51%) Losing Events: 34 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.64 units Most Staked On One Event: 80.00 units Best Event: 39.42 units Worst Event: -14.48 units Average Event: 1.97 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 115.56 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -25.07 |
MMA Shinobi: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
412.77 |
125.9 |
31% |
71.8 / 174 (41%) |
|
16.0 / 49 (33%) |
11 / 8 (58%) |
6.63 |
2022 |
430.74 |
9.6 |
2% |
-26.7 / 146.52 (-18%) |
|
6.2 / 52.1 (12%) |
24 / 25 (49%) |
0.20 |
2021 |
41.44 |
2.6 |
6% |
-1.2 / 15.48 (-8%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
1.31 |
|
MMA Shinobi: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMA Shinobi: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
836 |
123.4 |
15% |
44.6 / 320.45 (14%) |
65.1 / 438.45 (15%) |
13.8 / 77.1 (18%) |
Bellator |
21.2 |
12.0 |
56% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
4.4 / 3.2 (139%) |
8.5 / 17 (50%) |
PFL |
24.25 |
6.2 |
26% |
3.8 / 11.05 (35%) |
2.6 / 6.2 (41%) |
-0.1 / 7 (-2%) |
Other |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
|
|
MMA Shinobi: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
12 (8%) |
8 |
67 % |
43.49 |
4.34 |
0.36 |
10% |
Slight Favorites |
54 (36%) |
29 |
54 % |
165.61 |
0.68 |
0.01 |
0% |
Slight Underdogs |
59 (40%) |
20 |
34 % |
95.50 |
34.59 |
0.59 |
36% |
Big Underdogs |
23 (16%) |
5 |
22 % |
31.40 |
4.27 |
0.19 |
14% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
16 (11%) |
4 |
25 % |
40.18 |
-5.10 |
-0.32 |
-13% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (9%) |
7 |
50 % |
35.30 |
16.79 |
1.20 |
48% |
Position 3-5 |
51 (34%) |
22 |
43 % |
127.97 |
9.04 |
0.18 |
7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
67 (45%) |
29 |
43 % |
132.55 |
23.16 |
0.35 |
17% |
|
MMA Shinobi: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (8%) |
1 |
8 % |
13.16 |
-10.81 |
-0.90 |
-82% |
Light Heavy |
12 (8%) |
1 |
8 % |
36.00 |
-33.40 |
-2.78 |
-93% |
Middleweight |
17 (11%) |
6 |
35 % |
39.30 |
-1.22 |
-0.07 |
-3% |
Welterweight |
20 (14%) |
10 |
50 % |
44.70 |
16.53 |
0.83 |
37% |
Lightweight |
31 (21%) |
17 |
55 % |
61.92 |
23.69 |
0.76 |
38% |
Featherweight |
15 (10%) |
9 |
60 % |
41.50 |
29.05 |
1.94 |
70% |
Bantamweight |
15 (10%) |
4 |
27 % |
41.10 |
-8.75 |
-0.58 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
5 |
56 % |
20.50 |
18.32 |
2.04 |
89% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (11%) |
9 |
53 % |
37.82 |
10.48 |
0.62 |
28% |
Bantamweight |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.25 |
5.27 |
1.05 |
64% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
19.52 |
10.26 |
1.47 |
53% |
Strawweight |
5 (3%) |
1 |
20 % |
10.05 |
-5.05 |
-1.01 |
-50% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
64 (88%) |
54 |
84 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
|
73 |
59 |
81 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
20 (6%) |
14 |
70 % |
50-65% |
95 (26%) |
63 |
66 % |
35-50% |
80 (22%) |
32 |
40 % |
<35% chance |
164 (46%) |
33 |
20 % |
|
359 |
142 |
40 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA Shinobi's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
26.79 |
-3.3 |
-12% |
$4 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$963.44 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
14.65 |
5.9 |
40% |
$4 |
$9.63 |
$963.44 |
$1,016.11 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
12.2 |
6.2 |
51% |
$4 |
$10.16 |
$1,016.11 |
$1,075.60 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
11.63 |
2.8 |
24% |
$4 |
$10.76 |
$1,075.60 |
$1,102.08 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
153% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.08 |
$1,151.12 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
18.51 |
6.3 |
34% |
$4 |
$11.51 |
$1,151.12 |
$1,219.35 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
18.07 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
$4 |
$12.19 |
$1,219.35 |
$1,204.06 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
13.18 |
-0.4 |
-3% |
$4 |
$12.04 |
$1,204.06 |
$1,195.28 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
19.87 |
-0.8 |
-4% |
$4 |
$11.95 |
$1,195.28 |
$1,181.86 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
23.77 |
12.4 |
52% |
|
$11.82 |
$1,181.86 |
$1,328.53 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
22.63 |
4.3 |
19% |
|
$13.29 |
$1,328.53 |
$1,385.75 |
18th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 5 |
7.55 |
2.0 |
26% |
|
$13.86 |
$1,385.75 |
$1,413.46 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
17.46 |
-1.4 |
-8% |
|
$14.13 |
$1,413.46 |
$1,393.68 |
25th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 6 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,393.68 |
$1,379.74 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
10.24 |
0.4 |
4% |
|
$13.80 |
$1,379.74 |
$1,384.82 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
16.16 |
-4.5 |
-28% |
|
$13.85 |
$1,384.82 |
$1,322.53 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
3.3 |
0.5 |
16% |
|
$13.23 |
$1,322.53 |
$1,329.38 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
12.77 |
9.9 |
78% |
$4 |
$13.29 |
$1,329.38 |
$1,457.54 |
20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
4.2 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$14.58 |
$1,457.54 |
$1,456.23 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
9.3 |
3.4 |
37% |
|
$14.56 |
$1,456.23 |
$1,506.28 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.06 |
$1,506.28 |
$1,476.15 |
28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
2 |
1.4 |
70% |
|
$14.76 |
$1,476.15 |
$1,496.89 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
7.75 |
3.9 |
51% |
|
$14.97 |
$1,496.89 |
$1,555.99 |
6th May |
PFL 2022 #3 |
2 |
1.5 |
73% |
|
$15.56 |
$1,555.99 |
$1,578.69 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
6.22 |
-3.7 |
-59% |
$4 |
$15.79 |
$1,578.69 |
$1,516.27 |
13th May |
Bellator 281 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.16 |
$1,516.27 |
$1,485.95 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
9.22 |
3.2 |
35% |
$4 |
$14.86 |
$1,485.95 |
$1,529.99 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
9.9 |
-7.6 |
-77% |
|
$15.30 |
$1,529.99 |
$1,412.95 |
17th Jun |
PFL 2022 #4 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$4 |
$14.13 |
$1,412.95 |
$1,394.82 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
11.9 |
2.3 |
19% |
|
$13.95 |
$1,394.82 |
$1,426.64 |
24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.27 |
$1,426.64 |
$1,383.84 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
9.38 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$13.84 |
$1,383.84 |
$1,385.12 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
8.45 |
-1.9 |
-22% |
$4 |
$13.85 |
$1,385.12 |
$1,354.81 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
5.2 |
3.4 |
65% |
|
$13.55 |
$1,354.81 |
$1,400.87 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
5.08 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$14.01 |
$1,400.87 |
$1,395.55 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
7 |
7.2 |
103% |
|
$13.96 |
$1,395.55 |
$1,496.16 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
4.3 |
-4.3 |
-100% |
$4 |
$14.96 |
$1,496.16 |
$1,427.82 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
3.2 |
1.3 |
39% |
|
$14.28 |
$1,427.82 |
$1,445.78 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$14.46 |
$1,445.78 |
$1,395.17 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
11 |
2.6 |
23% |
|
$13.95 |
$1,395.17 |
$1,431.09 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
7.66 |
1.2 |
15% |
|
$14.31 |
$1,431.09 |
$1,447.75 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
13 |
-9.3 |
-71% |
|
$14.48 |
$1,447.75 |
$1,313.67 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
2.6 |
-2.6 |
-100% |
|
$13.14 |
$1,313.67 |
$1,279.52 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
6.3 |
-4.0 |
-63% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,279.52 |
$1,228.34 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
8.4 |
-2.7 |
-32% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.34 |
$1,195.67 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
7.96 |
-5.7 |
-72% |
|
$11.96 |
$1,195.67 |
$1,127.52 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
9.3 |
1.8 |
19% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.52 |
$1,147.38 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
28.84 |
-5.6 |
-20% |
|
$11.47 |
$1,147.38 |
$1,082.78 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.83 |
$1,082.78 |
$1,050.30 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
3 |
0.2 |
7% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,050.30 |
$1,052.52 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
1.84 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,052.52 |
$1,033.16 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
10.5 |
7.5 |
71% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.16 |
$1,110.30 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
16.45 |
-10.5 |
-64% |
$4 |
$11.10 |
$1,110.30 |
$990.27 |
10th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 3 |
1 |
1.4 |
135% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.27 |
$1,003.64 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
4.82 |
-2.0 |
-41% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.64 |
$983.57 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
22 |
21.4 |
97% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.57 |
$1,193.94 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
56.5 |
39.4 |
70% |
|
$11.94 |
$1,193.94 |
$1,664.63 |
25th Mar |
PFL Europe 1 |
2.5 |
5.1 |
205% |
|
$16.65 |
$1,664.63 |
$1,749.95 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
20.5 |
38.6 |
188% |
|
$17.50 |
$1,749.95 |
$2,425.79 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
11 |
11.0 |
100% |
|
$24.26 |
$2,425.79 |
$2,692.63 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
53.5 |
-3.5 |
-7% |
|
$26.93 |
$2,692.63 |
$2,598.69 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
80 |
32.6 |
41% |
|
$25.99 |
$2,598.69 |
$3,445.43 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
21 |
-14.5 |
-69% |
$4 |
$34.45 |
$3,445.43 |
$2,942.36 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
34 |
-10.6 |
-31% |
|
$29.42 |
$2,942.36 |
$2,631.00 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
8 |
0.8 |
10% |
|
$26.31 |
$2,631.00 |
$2,652.04 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
22 |
-6.6 |
-30% |
|
$26.52 |
$2,652.04 |
$2,476.49 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$24.76 |
$2,476.49 |
$2,327.91 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$4 |
$23.28 |
$2,327.91 |
$2,277.35 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
11 |
6.9 |
63% |
|
$22.77 |
$2,277.35 |
$2,433.92 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
30 |
16.9 |
56% |
|
$24.34 |
$2,433.92 |
$2,845.94 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 184.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA Shinobi: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jul '23 |
Robbie Lawler |
Niko Price |
2.85 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (0:38) |
|
|
2. |
Jul '23 |
Daniel Hooker |
Jalin Turner |
3.40 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Jun '23 |
Neil Magny |
Phil Rowe |
1.63 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
May '23 |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Michael Johnson |
1.65 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
5. |
May '23 |
Bryan Battle |
Gabriel Green |
2.20 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:14) |
|
|
6. |
May '23 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Henry Cejudo |
1.95 |
6 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '23 |
Max Holloway |
Arnold Allen |
1.61 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '23 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Lando Vannata |
1.80 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '23 |
Edson Barboza |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.50 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '23 |
Cornelia Holm |
Marta Waliczek |
3.05 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '23 |
Albert Duraev |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.35 |
5.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '23 |
Jennifer Maia |
Casey O'Neill |
2.50 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '23 |
Marvin Vettori |
Roman Dolidze |
1.36 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '23 |
Joanne Wood |
Luana Carolina |
1.54 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '23 |
Bruno Silva |
Tyson Nam |
1.44 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (1:23) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '23 |
Louie Sutherland |
Alton Meeks |
2.35 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:25) |
|
|
17. |
Jan '23 |
Dan Ige |
Damon Jackson |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '22 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Alexander Hernandez |
1.61 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:30) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.67 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.69 |
1.45 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Maxim Grishin |
Philipe Lins |
1.74 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '23 |
Andre Fialho |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.90 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '23 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.85 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '23 |
Angela Hill |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.45 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '23 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Azamat Murzakanov |
1.65 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '23 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Azamat Murzakanov |
1.61 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '23 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Gilbert Burns |
4.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '23 |
Adrian Yanez |
Rob Font |
1.61 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '23 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gunnar Nelson |
3.80 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '23 |
Parker Porter |
Justin Tafa |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '23 |
Glover Teixeira |
Jamahal Hill |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '23 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Brandon Moreno |
1.95 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jan '23 |
Raoni Barcelos |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
7.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '22 |
David Dvorak |
Manel Kape |
3.10 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '22 |
Jared Gordon |
Paddy Pimblett |
3.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '22 |
Scott Holtzman |
Clay Guida |
1.51 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '22 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Sergey Pavlovich |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '22 |
Dominick Reyes |
Ryan Spann |
1.49 |
4.1 |
TKO, R1 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '22 |
Michael Chandler |
Dustin Poirier |
2.80 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '22 |
Wellington Turman |
Andre Petroski |
2.76 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA Shinobi: Progress Chart |
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