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MMA Handicapper Stats: Andrew Liptock

Andrew Liptock (Afl5013)

MMA MHandicapper - Andrew Liptock

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	14 (45%)	Right	6 (60%)	Right	7 (44%)	Right	1 (20%)
Wrong	17 (55%)	Wrong	4 (40%)	Wrong	9 (56%)	Wrong	4 (80%)
Avg Odds	2.05	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	2.12	Avg Odds	1.80
Units Bet	51.0	Units Bet	11.8	Units Bet	23.8	Units Bet	15.5
Avg Bet	1.65	Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	3.10
Units Profit	-13.13	Units Profit	3.57	Units Profit	-4.02	Units Profit	-12.68
ROI %	-26%	ROI %	30%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-82%

Andrew Liptock: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	12.5	-10.0	-80%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 5 (-50%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	10.25	-6.6	-64%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-0.8 / 4.5 (-19%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	6	3.4	57%	2.4 / 2 (118%)	-0.2 / 2.5 (-10%)	1.3 / 1.5 (88%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	9.25	-0.2	-2%	2.6 / 3.5 (74%)	-0.8 / 3.75 (-20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	13	0.2	1%	1.9 / 3 (63%)	0.3 / 8 (4%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.00 units
Best Event: 3.44 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -2.63 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 3.44
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -16.58

Andrew Liptock: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	51	-13.1	-26%	3.6 / 11.75 (30%)		-12.7 / 15.5 (-82%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-2.63

Andrew Liptock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Andrew Liptock: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	51	-13.1	-26%	3.6 / 11.75 (30%)	-4.0 / 23.75 (-17%)	-12.7 / 15.5 (-82%)

Andrew Liptock: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	6 (60%)	5	83 %	8.50	4.22	0.70	50%
Slight Underdogs	2 (20%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.60	0.30	30%
Big Underdogs	2 (20%)	0	0 %	1.25	-1.25	-0.63	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.77	0.77	77%
Co-Main Event	1 (10%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.21	1.21	61%
Position 3-5	3 (30%)	1	33 %	3.75	-0.54	-0.18	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (50%)	3	60 %	5.00	2.13	0.43	43%

Andrew Liptock: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.77	0.77	77%
Light Heavy	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.60	1.60	160%
Welterweight	3 (30%)		0 %	2.25	-2.25	-0.75	-100%
Lightweight	4 (40%)	3	75 %	6.00	2.09	0.52	35%
Featherweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.36	1.36	91%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	4 (100%)	3	75 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	4	3	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (32%)	3	43 %
50-65%	8 (36%)	4	50 %
35-50%	2 (9%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	5 (23%)	2	40 %
	22	10	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (9%)	0	0 %	1.55	1.59	1.51	-2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (9%)	1	50 %	1.51	1.57	1.44	-0.4 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (9%)	1	50 %	1.37	1.44	1.30	-0.7 (-35%)
X Wins by KO	2 (9%)	2	100 %	1.62	1.83	1.44	1.3 (64%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (18%)	2	50 %	4.26	6.00	3.15	6.5 (162%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (14%)	1	33 %	1.81	2.50	1.53	-0.5 (-17%)
Others	7 (32%)	3	43 %	1.85	3.50	1.44	-2.1 (-29%)
	22	10	45 %	1.88			2.1 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Andrew Liptock's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Mar	UFC 272	13	0.2	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,001.88
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	9.25	-0.2	-2%		$10.02	$1,001.88	$1,000.14
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	6	3.4	57%		$10.00	$1,000.14	$1,034.57
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	10.25	-6.6	-64%		$10.35	$1,034.57	$966.46
9th Apr	UFC 273	12.5	-10.0	-80%		$9.66	$966.46	$869.81

ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Andrew Liptock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '22	Paul Craig	Nikita Krylov	2.60	1	Sub, R1 (3:57)
2.	Mar '22	Tom Aspinall	Alexander Volkov	1.77	1	Sub, R1 (3:45)
3.	Mar '22	Damon Jackson	Kamuela Kirk	1.91	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:42)
4.	Mar '22	Drew Dober	Terrance McKinney	1.61	2	TKO, R1 (3:17)
5.	Mar '22	Jalin Turner	Jamie Mullarkey	1.67	1	TKO, R2 (0:46)
6.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.61	2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	Darian Weeks	Ian Garry	3.90	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '22	Vinc Pichel	Mark O. Madsen	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '22	Mickey Gall	Mike Malott	2.65	1	TKO, R1 (3:41)	No
4.	Mar '22	Max Griffin	Neil Magny	3.20	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Andrew Liptock: Progress Chart

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