MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6358
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347

MMA Handicapper Stats: B_R0G on Twitter

B_R0G on Twitter (BrianAnthony)

MMA MHandicapper - B_R0G on Twitter

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	34 (20%)	Right	10 (34%)	Right	12 (12%)	Right	12 (27%)
Wrong	137 (80%)	Wrong	19 (66%)	Wrong	86 (88%)	Wrong	32 (73%)
Avg Odds	3.53	Avg Odds	2.55	Avg Odds	4.87	Avg Odds	2.61
Units Bet	111.2	Units Bet	28.0	Units Bet	29.8	Units Bet	53.4
Avg Bet	0.65	Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	0.30	Avg Bet	1.21
Units Profit	-23.67	Units Profit	-3.15	Units Profit	-6.78	Units Profit	-13.75
ROI %	-21%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-23%	ROI %	-26%

B_R0G on Twitter: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	12.98	-11.5	-89%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-4.5 / 5.98 (-75%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	6.75	4.2	63%		0.7 / 3.65 (18%)	3.6 / 3.1 (115%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	5.4	-1.7	-31%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.9 / 2.9 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	7.4	-3.5	-47%	-0.1 / 4 (-3%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	8.6	-1.6	-18%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)	2.5 / 4.5 (56%)
13th Nov '21	UFC FN	14.2	-3.3	-23%	1.4 / 3.5 (39%)	1.9 / 4.2 (44%)	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	7.15	-2.1	-30%	-0.7 / 3.7 (-19%)	-2.0 / 1.95 (-100%)	0.5 / 1.5 (34%)
3rd Nov '21	DWCS 2021: Week 10	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	16.4	-0.5	-3%	-2.3 / 3.5 (-67%)	-2.5 / 6.55 (-38%)	4.3 / 6.35 (68%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	8.4	4.6	55%	0.6 / 0.5 (120%)	5.2 / 2 (258%)	-1.1 / 5.9 (-19%)
19th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 8	0.75	1.5	200%	1.5 / 0.75 (200%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	11.15	-6.4	-57%	0.8 / 4 (19%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-6.2 / 6.15 (-100%)
9th Oct '21	UFC FN	11	-2.5	-23%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 7 (22%)

Winning Events: 3 (23%)
Losing Events: 10 (77%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.40 units
Best Event: 4.64 units
Worst Event: -11.51 units
Average Event: -1.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.14
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -13.67

B_R0G on Twitter: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	12.98	-11.5	-89%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-11.51
2021	98.2	-12.2	-12%	-1.7 / 26.45 (-6%)		-8.2 / 47.9 (-17%)	3 / 9 (25%)	-1.01

B_R0G on Twitter: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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B_R0G on Twitter: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	109.43	-24.2	-22%	-4.7 / 27.2 (-17%)	-6.8 / 29.83 (-23%)	-12.7 / 52.4 (-24%)
Other	1.75	0.5	29%	1.5 / 0.75 (200%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

B_R0G on Twitter: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.00	1.00	67%
Slight Underdogs	19 (66%)	7	37 %	18.20	-0.05	-0.00	-0%
Big Underdogs	9 (31%)	2	22 %	8.25	-4.10	-0.46	-50%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.50	0.75	0.38	50%
Co-Main Event	7 (24%)	3	43 %	9.75	0.38	0.05	4%
Position 3-5	4 (14%)	2	50 %	3.50	2.15	0.54	61%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (55%)	4	25 %	13.20	-6.43	-0.40	-49%

B_R0G on Twitter: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.88	2.88	144%
Light Heavy	2 (7%)	2	100 %	1.25	2.17	1.09	174%
Middleweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	4.20	0.20	0.05	5%
Welterweight	2 (7%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%
Lightweight	3 (10%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.00	-0.33	-33%
Featherweight	3 (10%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%
Bantamweight	5 (17%)	1	20 %	5.50	-4.40	-0.88	-80%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	2.25	2.25	150%

Women's Fights	8 (28%)	2	25 %	5.50	-0.25	-0.03	-5%
Featherweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.50	0.75	0.38	50%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Strawweight	5 (17%)	1	20 %	3.50	-0.50	-0.10	-14%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	61 (73%)	39	64 %
Slight Favorites	16 (19%)	10	63 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (7%)	2	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	83	51	61 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	12 (9%)	9	75 %
50-65%	12 (9%)	9	75 %
35-50%	21 (17%)	7	33 %
<35% chance	82 (65%)	6	7 %
	127	31	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (2%)	2	67 %	2.03	29.00	1.33	27.3 (911%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (6%)	4	57 %	1.77	2.16	1.53	-0.0 (-0%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (5%)	4	67 %	1.51	2.40	1.20	-0.7 (-11%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (2%)	2	100 %	3.37	21.00	1.83	20.8 (1,042%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.28	1.28	1.28	0.3 (28%)
X Wins by KO	18 (14%)	3	17 %	3.06	15.00	1.57	-12.6 (-70%)
X Wins by Sub	12 (9%)	1	8 %	7.39	27.00	3.90	-6.0 (-50%)
X Wins by Decision	16 (13%)	2	13 %	3.54	9.00	2.00	-11.6 (-73%)
X Wins Inside Distance	16 (13%)	5	31 %	2.92	11.00	1.40	-2.8 (-17%)
X Wins in Round X	36 (28%)	2	6 %	10.62	36.00	2.30	-19.7 (-55%)
Others	10 (8%)	5	50 %	2.01	7.00	1.20	-2.3 (-23%)
	127	31	24 %	3.46			-7.3 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail B_R0G on Twitter's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Oct	UFC FN	11	-2.5	-23%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$975.22
16th Oct	UFC FN	11.15	-6.4	-57%		$9.75	$975.22	$912.81
19th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 8	0.75	1.5	200%		$9.13	$912.81	$926.50
23rd Oct	UFC FN	8.4	4.6	55%		$9.26	$926.50	$969.46
30th Oct	UFC 267	16.4	-0.5	-3%		$9.69	$969.46	$964.38
3rd Nov	DWCS 2021: Week 10	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.64	$964.38	$954.73
6th Nov	UFC 268	7.15	-2.1	-30%		$9.55	$954.73	$934.28
13th Nov	UFC FN	14.2	-3.3	-23%		$9.34	$934.28	$903.75
20th Nov	UFC FN	8.6	-1.6	-18%		$9.04	$903.75	$889.46
4th Dec	UFC FN	7.4	-3.5	-47%		$8.89	$889.46	$858.33
11th Dec	UFC 269	5.4	-1.7	-31%		$8.58	$858.33	$844.16
18th Dec	UFC FN	6.75	4.2	63%		$8.44	$844.16	$880.03
22nd Jan	UFC 270	12.98	-11.5	-89%		$8.80	$880.03	$778.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

B_R0G on Twitter: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '21	Kai Kara-France	Cody Garbrandt	2.50	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:21)
2.	Dec '21	Claudio Puelles	Chris Gruetzemacher	2.00	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)
3.	Dec '21	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	3.80	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:58)
4.	Nov '21	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Ben Rothwell	2.44	2	TKO, R1 (0:32)
5.	Nov '21	Rose Namajunas	Weili Zhang	2.00	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Oct '21	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Shamil Gamzatov	2.34	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:31)
7.	Oct '21	Jonathan Martinez	Zviad Lazishvili	2.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '21	Armen Petrosyan	Kaloyan Kolev	3.00	0.75	TKO, R1 (4:27)
9.	Oct '21	Bruno Silva	Andrew Sanchez	1.67	1.5	TKO, R3 (2:35)
10.	Oct '21	Norma Dumont	Aspen Ladd	2.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '22	Saimon Oliveira	Tony Gravely	3.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '22	Genaro Valdez	Matt Frevola	2.72	1	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
3.	Dec '21	Mallory Martin	Cheyanne Buys	2.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '21	Maki Pitolo	Dusko Todorovic	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
5.	Dec '21	Brad Riddell	Rafael Fiziev	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (2:20)	No
6.	Nov '21	Michael Chiesa	Sean Brady	2.57	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '21	Miesha Tate	Ketlen Vieira	2.00	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '21	Sam Hughes	Luana Pinheiro	4.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '21	Tucker Lutz	Pat Sabatini	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '21	Leah Letson	Felicia Spencer	3.70	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:25)	No
11.	Nov '21	Collin Anglin	Sean Woodson	3.80	1	TKO, R1 (4:30)	No
12.	Nov '21	Frankie Edgar	Marlon Vera	2.50	1	TKO, R3 (3:50)	No
13.	Nov '21	Edmen Shahbazyan	Nassourdine Imavov	2.20	1.2	TKO, R2 (4:42)	No
14.	Oct '21	Ricardo Ramos	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '21	Virna Jandiroba	Amanda Ribas	2.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '21	Cory Sandhagen	Petr Yan	3.20	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Oct '21	Brandon Davis	Danaa Batgerel	2.60	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No
18.	Oct '21	Silvana Gomez Juarez	Lupita Godinez	3.40	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:14)	No
19.	Oct '21	Jared Gooden	Randy Brown	3.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

B_R0G on Twitter: Progress Chart

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