MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6358
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347

MMA Handicapper Stats: esaan

esaan (aes07)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	43 (42%)	Right	19 (54%)	Right	19 (35%)	Right	5 (38%)
Wrong	60 (58%)	Wrong	16 (46%)	Wrong	36 (65%)	Wrong	8 (62%)
Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.55
Units Bet	159.6	Units Bet	58.7	Units Bet	83.6	Units Bet	17.3
Avg Bet	1.55	Avg Bet	1.68	Avg Bet	1.52	Avg Bet	1.33
Units Profit	-13.18	Units Profit	8.69	Units Profit	-22.68	Units Profit	0.81
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-27%	ROI %	5%

esaan : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	15.5	-6.0	-39%	1.0 / 2 (50%)	-7.0 / 13.5 (-52%)
3rd Nov '21	DWCS 2021: Week 10	4	-0.9	-23%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.1 / 3 (3%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	16	2.4	15%	1.5 / 10.5 (14%)	0.9 / 5.5 (17%)
27th Oct '21	PFL 2021 #10: Championships	6.5	-6.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 9	7.39	-2.6	-35%	1.4 / 3.39 (41%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	16.51	0.1	0%	4.5 / 5.5 (83%)	-1.5 / 8.01 (-18%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21	Bellator 269	6	1.3	21%		1.3 / 6 (21%)
19th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 8	5.25	1.5	28%		3.5 / 3.25 (107%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Oct '21	Bellator 268	6.5	2.3	35%	-0.0 / 4.5 (-0%)		2.3 / 2 (113%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	15.58	-0.7	-5%	3.1 / 7.08 (44%)	-3.3 / 8 (-42%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 7	7	2.4	34%	0.7 / 5 (15%)	0.5 / 1 (54%)	1.1 / 1 (109%)
9th Oct '21	UFC FN	12.5	1.0	8%		-2.9 / 11.5 (-25%)	3.8 / 1 (382%)
5th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 6	4.05	-4.1	-100%	-2.1 / 2.05 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Oct '21	UFC FN	16.95	-1.0	-6%	0.3 / 7.79 (3%)	-3.4 / 6.65 (-50%)	2.1 / 2.51 (85%)
28th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 5	5	-3.1	-63%		-1.6 / 3.5 (-47%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	14.83	0.9	6%	0.7 / 8.43 (8%)	-0.8 / 5.15 (-16%)	1.0 / 1.25 (80%)

Winning Events: 8 (50%)
Losing Events: 8 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.97 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.95 units
Best Event: 2.44 units
Worst Event: -6.50 units
Average Event: -0.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 5.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.11

esaan : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	159.56	-13.2	-8%	8.7 / 58.74 (15%)		0.8 / 17.26 (5%)	8 / 8 (50%)	-0.82

esaan : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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esaan : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	107.87	-3.4	-3%	11.1 / 41.3 (27%)	-17.9 / 58.31 (-31%)	3.5 / 8.26 (42%)
Bellator	12.5	3.5	28%	-0.0 / 4.5 (-0%)	1.3 / 6 (21%)	2.3 / 2 (113%)
PFL	6.5	-6.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other	32.69	-6.9	-21%	-0.9 / 11.44 (-8%)	-2.5 / 15.75 (-16%)	-3.4 / 5.5 (-62%)

esaan : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (20%)	7	100 %	17.80	6.99	1.00	39%
Slight Favorites	15 (43%)	9	60 %	24.25	4.81	0.32	20%
Slight Underdogs	11 (31%)	3	27 %	15.19	-1.61	-0.15	-11%
Big Underdogs	2 (6%)	0	0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (9%)	1	33 %	4.50	-0.00	-0.00	-0%
Co-Main Event	3 (9%)	2	67 %	5.05	1.29	0.43	26%
Position 3-5	13 (37%)	8	62 %	22.92	6.40	0.49	28%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (46%)	8	50 %	26.27	0.99	0.06	4%

esaan : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (9%)	3	100 %	5.90	3.09	1.03	52%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	3.50	1.00	1.00	29%
Middleweight	7 (20%)	4	57 %	10.00	4.21	0.60	42%
Welterweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	5.45	1.54	0.51	28%
Lightweight	6 (17%)	2	33 %	9.76	-1.15	-0.19	-12%
Featherweight	4 (11%)	1	25 %	5.50	-2.50	-0.63	-45%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	4.00	0.36	0.18	9%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.05	-2.05	-1.03	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (20%)	5	71 %	12.58	4.18	0.60	33%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.16	1.16	78%
Flyweight	4 (11%)	3	75 %	9.08	3.47	0.87	38%
Strawweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.46	-0.23	-23%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	39 (87%)	28	72 %
Slight Favorites	6 (13%)	5	83 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	45	33	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (22%)	8	62 %
50-65%	26 (44%)	11	42 %
35-50%	10 (17%)	2	20 %
<35% chance	10 (17%)	1	10 %
	59	22	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (15%)	5	56 %	1.60	2.35	1.29	-0.4 (-5%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	16 (27%)	4	25 %	1.69	2.40	1.38	-9.8 (-61%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (5%)	2	67 %	1.50	1.54	1.43	-0.0 (-1%)
X Wins by KO	4 (7%)	1	25 %	3.39	5.00	2.50	1.0 (25%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (3%)	0	0 %	5.48	7.00	4.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.85	2.85	2.85	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (15%)	4	44 %	1.94	5.25	1.27	-2.5 (-28%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (5%)	0	0 %	6.27	19.00	2.75	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	12 (20%)	6	50 %	1.78	5.25	1.42	-2.0 (-16%)
	59	22	37 %	1.91			-19.7 (-33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail esaan 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Sep	UFC 266	14.83	0.9	6%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.83
28th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 5	5	-3.1	-63%		$10.09	$1,008.83	$977.25
2nd Oct	UFC FN	16.95	-1.0	-6%		$9.77	$977.25	$967.88
5th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 6	4.05	-4.1	-100%		$9.68	$967.88	$928.68
9th Oct	UFC FN	12.5	1.0	8%		$9.29	$928.68	$937.62
12th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 7	7	2.4	34%		$9.38	$937.62	$959.86
16th Oct	UFC FN	15.58	-0.7	-5%		$9.60	$959.86	$952.98
16th Oct	Bellator 268	6.5	2.3	35%		$9.53	$952.98	$974.54
19th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 8	5.25	1.5	28%		$9.75	$974.54	$988.80
23rd Oct	Bellator 269	6	1.3	21%		$9.89	$988.80	$1,001.50
23rd Oct	UFC FN	16.51	0.1	0%		$10.02	$1,001.50	$1,002.29
26th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 9	7.39	-2.6	-35%		$10.02	$1,002.29	$976.13
27th Oct	PFL 2021 #10: Championships	6.5	-6.5	-100%		$9.76	$976.13	$912.68
30th Oct	UFC 267	16	2.4	15%		$9.13	$912.68	$934.96
3rd Nov	DWCS 2021: Week 10	4	-0.9	-23%		$9.35	$934.96	$926.37
6th Nov	UFC 268	15.5	-6.0	-39%		$9.26	$926.37	$870.42

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

esaan : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '21	Shane Burgos	Billy Quarantillo	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '21	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Benoit Saint-Denis	1.42	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '21	Manuel Torres	Kolton Englund	2.00	2.39	TKO, R1 (2:10)
4.	Oct '21	Gregory Rodrigues	Jun Yong Park	1.92	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:13)
5.	Oct '21	Jessica-Rose Clark	Joselyne Edwards	1.78	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '21	Marvin Vettori	Paulo Costa	1.80	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Oct '21	Alexander Volkov	Marcin Tybura	1.37	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '21	Petr Yan	Cory Sandhagen	1.45	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Oct '21	Sullivan Cauley	Deon Clash	1.29	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:59)
10.	Oct '21	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chris Duncan (2)	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (0:28)
11.	Oct '21	Bruno Silva	Andrew Sanchez	1.76	1.5	TKO, R3 (2:35)
12.	Oct '21	Andrei Arlovski	Carlos Felipe	1.98	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '21	Maria Silva	Kathryn Paprocki	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Oct '21	Stephanie Egger	Shanna Young	2.00	2.3	TKO, R2 (2:22)
15.	Oct '21	Manon Fiorot	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.56	3.58	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Oct '21	Niko Price	Alex Oliveira	1.77	1.95	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '21	Taila Santos	Roxanne Modafferi	1.25	1.9	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Sep '21	Chris Daukaus	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.53	1.9	TKO, R2 (1:23)
19.	Sep '21	Daniel Hooker	Nasrat Haqparast	1.65	2.33	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '21	Zhifa Shang	Juan Puerta	2.65	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '21	Makwan Amirkhani	Lerone Murphy	3.40	1	TKO, R2 (0:14)	No
3.	Oct '21	Virna Jandiroba	Amanda Ribas	2.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '21	Kolton Englund	Manuel Torres	2.39	1	TKO, R1 (2:10)	No
5.	Oct '21	Chris Wade	Movlid Khaybulaev	2.60	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '21	Bobby Lee	Nick Browne	3.40	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:38)	No
7.	Oct '21	Gregory Milliard	Javier Torres	1.87	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '21	Reyes Cortez	Christian Rodriguez	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '21	Brandon Davis	Danaa Batgerel	2.57	1	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No
10.	Oct '21	Chris Duncan (2)	Viacheslav Borshchev	1.79	1	TKO, R2 (0:28)	No
11.	Oct '21	Shimon Smotritsky	Mike Malott	2.45	1	Sub, R1 (0:39)	No
12.	Oct '21	Daniel Barez	Carlos Hernandez	1.95	1.05	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '21	Shanna Young	Stephanie Egger	1.77	1.3	TKO, R2 (2:22)	Yes
14.	Oct '21	Joe Solecki	Jared Gordon	1.81	1.24	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '21	Misha Cirkunov	Krzysztof Jotko	2.42	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '21	Omar Morales	Jonathan Pearce	1.65	2.3	Sub, R2 (3:31)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

esaan : Progress Chart

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