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MMA Handicapper Stats: TMC MMA

TMC MMA (TMC_MMA)


MMA MHandicapper - TMC  MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 99 (51%) Right 81 (54%) Right 3 (30%) Right 15 (43%)
Wrong 95 (49%) Wrong 68 (46%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 20 (57%)
Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 2.10
Units Bet 315.0 Units Bet 246.9 Units Bet 13.0 Units Bet 55.0
Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.57
Units Profit -10.64 Units Profit 5.27 Units Profit -4.96 Units Profit -10.96
ROI % -3% ROI % 2% ROI % -38% ROI % -20%
View Handicapper's Profile

TMC MMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.6 -2.6 -100% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 5.4 4.1 75% 4.1 / 5.4 (75%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 5.1 0.5 10% 1.5 / 4.1 (37%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 30 -17.5 -58% -17.5 / 30 (-58%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5 3.6 71% 3.6 / 5 (71%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 8.5 -8.5 -100% -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 14.32 4.9 34% 3.2 / 10.2 (31%) 1.7 / 4.12 (42%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 14 -1.5 -11% -1.5 / 14 (-11%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 21.94 4.1 19% 5.2 / 20.84 (25%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 9.3 1.7 19% 2.8 / 8.2 (34%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 8.6 -1.0 -11% 0.5 / 7.1 (8%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.2 -2.5 -59% -0.3 / 2 (-13%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 7.5 -1.1 -15% -3.1 / 5.5 (-57%) 0.8 / 1 (80%) 1.2 / 1 (123%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 4 -1.9 -49% -0.9 / 3 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 10 -2.3 -23% -2.7 / 7 (-39%) -0.2 / 2 (-8%) 0.6 / 1 (61%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 11 -1.0 -9% -1.4 / 7 (-20%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.4 / 2 (118%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 7 -1.1 -16% 0.1 / 4 (3%) -1.3 / 3 (-43%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 9.5 4.1 43% 3.0 / 6 (50%) 1.1 / 3.5 (32%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 11 3.7 34% -1.4 / 5 (-28%) 5.1 / 6 (85%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 8.75 2.4 28% 2.2 / 6.75 (32%) 0.3 / 2 (14%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.25 -0.3 -11% -0.3 / 2.25 (-11%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 -3.6 -52% -0.6 / 4 (-16%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 14 1.3 9% 1.3 / 14 (9%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 15.5 -0.4 -2% -0.4 / 15.5 (-2%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 9 4.6 51% 7.6 / 6 (126%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 7.5 0.1 2% 1.6 / 6 (27%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 9.5 -4.2 -44% -1.7 / 7 (-24%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 5 5.5 3.1 57% 2.2 / 2 (110%) 0.9 / 3.5 (26%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 12 1.8 15% -1.3 / 8 (-16%) 3.0 / 4 (76%)
18th Sep '21 Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 12 -0.8 -7% 1.2 / 10 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 3 2.5 1.4 56% 1.4 / 2.5 (56%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 9.5 9.3 98% 8.0 / 7.5 (107%) 1.3 / 2 (64%)


Winning Events: 16 (44%)
Losing Events: 20 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 9.32 units
Worst Event: -17.50 units
Average Event: -0.30 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.72
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -17.50

TMC MMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 13.1 2.0 15% 3.0 / 12.1 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2 / 1 (67%) 0.66
2022 248.86 -21.2 -9% -7.6 / 197.84 (-4%) -7.8 / 41.52 (-19%) 10 / 16 (38%) -0.82
2021 53 8.6 16% 9.9 / 37 (27%) -2.2 / 12.5 (-17%) 4 / 3 (57%) 1.23

TMC MMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TMC MMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 293.96 -4.2 -1% 2.6 / 239.44 (1%) -3.9 / 7.5 (-52%) -3.0 / 47.02 (-6%)
Bellator 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
PFL 4 -1.9 -49% -0.9 / 3 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 10 2.5 25% 3.6 / 4.5 (80%) -1.1 / 5.5 (-20%)

TMC MMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (7%) 9 82 % 28.25 6.98 0.63 25%
Slight Favorites 86 (57%) 50 58 % 140.67 -0.75 -0.01 -1%
Slight Underdogs 46 (30%) 24 52 % 60.27 13.66 0.30 23%
Big Underdogs 9 (6%) 1 11 % 17.75 -14.63 -1.63 -82%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (7%) 8 73 % 21.25 12.59 1.14 59%
Co-Main Event 15 (10%) 10 67 % 26.50 10.97 0.73 41%
Position 3-5 40 (26%) 22 55 % 60.02 7.93 0.20 13%
6+ (Undercard) 86 (57%) 44 51 % 139.17 -26.22 -0.30 -19%

TMC MMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (8%) 7 58 % 18.20 5.13 0.43 28%
Light Heavy 15 (10%) 8 53 % 32.34 -0.30 -0.02 -1%
Middleweight 28 (18%) 17 61 % 42.13 7.59 0.27 18%
Welterweight 17 (11%) 7 41 % 24.50 0.49 0.03 2%
Lightweight 23 (15%) 13 57 % 30.15 0.96 0.04 3%
Featherweight 8 (5%) 4 50 % 8.50 -1.46 -0.18 -17%
Bantamweight 12 (8%) 5 42 % 14.32 -3.35 -0.28 -23%
Flyweight 8 (5%) 5 63 % 10.30 2.06 0.26 20%
               
Women's Fights 29 (19%) 18 62 % 66.50 -5.85 -0.20 -9%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.61 0.61 61%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 2 33 % 11.80 -1.83 -0.30 -15%
Flyweight 9 (6%) 6 67 % 18.74 -5.02 -0.56 -27%
Strawweight 13 (9%) 9 69 % 34.96 0.39 0.03 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 75 (94%) 55 73 %
Slight Favorites 5 (6%) 5 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
80 60 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (27%) 3 75 %
50-65% 8 (53%) 2 25 %
35-50% 2 (13%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 1 (7%) 0 0 %
15 5 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (40%) 4 67 % 1.51 1.83Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct -0.0 (-1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (27%) 1 25 % 2.03 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -2.2 (-55%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.17 1.17Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.59 1.59Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (7%) 0 0 % 3.30 3.30Pick was incorrect 3.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (13%) 0 0 % 1.69 1.69Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
15 5 33 % 1.68     -7.2 (-48%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TMC MMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Sep UFC FN 9.5 9.3 98% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,093.17
14th Sep DWCS 2021: Week 3 2.5 1.4 56% $10.93 $1,093.17 $1,108.48
18th Sep UFC FN 12 -0.8 -7% $11.08 $1,108.48 $1,099.49
18th Sep Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero 2 -2.0 -100% $10.99 $1,099.49 $1,077.50
25th Sep UFC 266 12 1.8 15% $10.78 $1,077.50 $1,096.40
28th Sep DWCS 2021: Week 5 5.5 3.1 57% $10.96 $1,096.40 $1,130.49
2nd Oct UFC FN 9.5 -4.2 -44% $11.30 $1,130.49 $1,083.36
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 7.5 0.1 2% $10.83 $1,083.36 $1,084.94
22nd Jan UFC 270 9 4.6 51% $10.85 $1,084.94 $1,134.67
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 15.5 -0.4 -2% $11.35 $1,134.67 $1,130.38
12th Feb UFC 271 14 1.3 9% $11.30 $1,130.38 $1,144.66
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 -3.6 -52% $11.45 $1,144.66 $1,102.95
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 2.25 -0.3 -11% $11.03 $1,102.95 $1,100.19
5th Mar UFC 272 8.75 2.4 28% $11.00 $1,100.19 $1,126.90
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 11 3.7 34% $11.27 $1,126.90 $1,168.44
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 9.5 4.1 43% $11.68 $1,168.44 $1,216.32
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 7 -1.1 -16% $12.16 $1,216.32 $1,202.37
9th Apr UFC 273 11 -1.0 -9% $12.02 $1,202.37 $1,189.96
15th Apr Bellator 277 2 -2.0 -100% $11.90 $1,189.96 $1,166.16
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 10 -2.3 -23% $11.66 $1,166.16 $1,139.31
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 4 -1.9 -49% $11.39 $1,139.31 $1,117.09
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 7.5 -1.1 -15% $11.17 $1,117.09 $1,104.68
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.2 -2.5 -59% $11.05 $1,104.68 $1,077.51
7th May UFC 274 8.6 -1.0 -11% $10.78 $1,077.51 $1,067.25
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 9.3 1.7 19% $10.67 $1,067.25 $1,085.64
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 21.94 4.1 19% $10.86 $1,085.64 $1,130.11
11th Jun UFC 275 14 -1.5 -11% $11.30 $1,130.11 $1,113.16
24th Jun Bellator 282 5 -5.0 -100% $11.13 $1,113.16 $1,057.50
2nd Jul UFC 276 14.32 4.9 34% $10.58 $1,057.50 $1,109.50
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 8.5 -8.5 -100% $11.09 $1,109.50 $1,015.19
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 2 -2.0 -100% $10.15 $1,015.19 $994.89
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5 3.6 71% $9.95 $994.89 $1,030.42
12th Nov UFC 281 30 -17.5 -58% $10.30 $1,030.42 $850.10
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 5.1 0.5 10% $8.50 $850.10 $854.42
9th Mar UFC 299 5.4 4.1 75% $8.54 $854.42 $889.12
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.6 -2.6 -100% $8.89 $889.12 $866.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TMC MMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Curtis Blaydes Jailton Junior 2.04 1 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.75 1.13 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Joanne Wood Maryna Moroz 3.12 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Philipe Lins Ion Cutelaba 2.13 1.09 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '24 Brunno Ferreira Phil Hawes 1.82 1.1 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '24 Brunno Ferreira Phil Hawes 1.85 1 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '24 Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 1.75 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '22 Weili Zhang Carla Esparza 1.25 10 Sub, R2 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '22 Tamires Vidal Ramona Pascual 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (3:6) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Dricus Du Plessis Brad Tavares 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Jalin Turner Brad Riddell 1.83 2.4 Sub, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Alex Pereira Sean Strickland 1.80 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Kyung Ho Kang Danaa Batgerel 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev 1.63 3.2 TKO, R1 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Weili Zhang Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.63 3.2 TKO, R2 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Tony Gravely Johnny Munoz 1.77 1.04 TKO, R1 (1:8) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Joe Solecki Alex da Silva 1.59 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Felice Herrig 1.95 1.06 Sub, R2 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Karine Silva Poliana Botelho 1.80 2.24 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '22 Alonzo Menifield Askar Mozharov 1.56 7 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '24 Charalampos Grigoriou Chad Anheliger 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Cory McKenna Jaqueline Amorim 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Yadong Song Petr Yan 2.27 1.18 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '24 Matt Semelsberger Preston Parsons 1.96 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Molly McCann Erin Blanchfield 4.00 10 Sub, R1 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '22 Silvana Gomez Juarez Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.95 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Ronnie Lawrence Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Tresean Gore Cody Brundage 1.83 2.4 TKO, R1 (3:50) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Jared Vanderaa Chase Sherman 1.56 3.6 TKO, R3 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Jessica-Rose Clark Julija Stoliarenko 1.71 2.8 Sub, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '22 Ramona Pascual Joselyne Edwards 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '22 Na Liang Silvana Gomez Juarez 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Steve Garcia Hayisaer Maheshate 1.56 1.8 TKO, R1 (1:14) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Andre Fialho Jake Matthews 1.71 2.8 TKO, R2 (2:24) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Askar Mozharov Alonzo Menifield 2.35 5 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '22 Vincent Morales Jonathan Martinez 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '22 Eryk Anders Jun Yong Park 2.90 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '22 Santiago Ponzinibbio Michel Pereira 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '22 Justin Gaethje Charles Oliveira 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (3:22) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '22 Kalinn Williams Randy Brown 1.74 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TMC MMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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