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MMA Handicapper Stats: TheBasementUFC

TheBasementUFC (TheBasementUFC)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	66 (37%)	Right	27 (38%)	Right	33 (37%)	Right	6 (40%)
Wrong	111 (63%)	Wrong	45 (63%)	Wrong	57 (63%)	Wrong	9 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.52	Avg Odds	2.05	Avg Odds	3.23	Avg Odds	2.12
Units Bet	208.1	Units Bet	117.9	Units Bet	67.0	Units Bet	23.3
Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	1.64	Avg Bet	0.74	Avg Bet	1.55
Units Profit	-24.77	Units Profit	-26.53	Units Profit	5.96	Units Profit	-4.20
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-23%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-18%

TheBasementUFC : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	5	-4.0	-80%	0.5 / 0.5 (104%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	3.75	-1.6	-43%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)		0.6 / 1.5 (43%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	4.5	-1.5	-34%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.5 / 1.5 (98%)
27th Aug '22	One FC on Prime 1	0.65	-0.7	-100%	-0.7 / 0.65 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	2.25	1.4	64%	0.4 / 0.5 (70%)	1.1 / 1.75 (63%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	2.35	-0.9	-36%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-0.1 / 1.6 (-6%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	5.25	-2.3	-44%	-1.8 / 3.25 (-56%)	-0.5 / 2 (-25%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	4.75	-1.3	-27%	-2.1 / 3.75 (-55%)	0.8 / 1 (77%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	5.25	-5.3	-100%	-4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	4	-1.1	-28%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.4 / 0.5 (475%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	15.45	-7.6	-49%	-10.8 / 10.75 (-100%)	3.1 / 4.7 (66%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	8.61	-4.6	-53%	-2.5 / 5 (-49%)	-2.1 / 3.61 (-58%)
13th Nov '21	UFC FN	8.25	-6.4	-77%	-5.4 / 7.25 (-74%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	10.9	1.1	10%	-1.5 / 4 (-37%)	3.1 / 3.4 (91%)	-0.5 / 3.5 (-16%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	12.45	-3.7	-29%	1.4 / 7.35 (20%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	7.75	-3.9	-51%	-1.2 / 5 (-24%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	12.55	1.5	12%	1.6 / 4.5 (35%)	0.9 / 7.05 (13%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Oct '21	UFC FN	11.05	-0.1	-1%	-1.8 / 5.5 (-33%)	0.4 / 4.3 (10%)	1.3 / 1.25 (108%)
2nd Oct '21	UFC FN	7.75	1.5	19%	2.5 / 2.5 (102%)	-1.1 / 5.25 (-20%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	17.26	3.0	18%	1.1 / 9.06 (12%)	0.8 / 6.7 (12%)	1.1 / 1.5 (75%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	11	10.7	97%	7.0 / 8 (88%)	3.6 / 3 (122%)
14th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 3	6.54	0.3	4%	0.3 / 6.54 (4%)
4th Sep '21	UFC FN	11.65	3.1	27%	0.8 / 2.65 (30%)	-0.7 / 6 (-12%)	3.1 / 3 (102%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	6.25	5.2	82%	3.5 / 3.75 (92%)	1.7 / 2.5 (68%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	9	0.4	4%	1.6 / 7.75 (21%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
19th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	5.9	1.1	18%	-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)	0.8 / 3.5 (23%)	1.2 / 1.5 (78%)
13th Aug '21	Bellator 264	0.5	1.4	275%		1.4 / 0.5 (275%)
13th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (40%)
Losing Events: 18 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.04 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.26 units
Best Event: 10.69 units
Worst Event: -7.64 units
Average Event: -0.83 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 26.60
Max Losing Streak: Events: 10, Units: -37.43

TheBasementUFC : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	5	-4.0	-80%	0.5 / 0.5 (104%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-3.98
2022	34.75	-15.2	-44%	-15.4 / 19.4 (-80%)		-2.9 / 5 (-57%)	1 / 9 (10%)	-1.52
2021	171.36	-5.6	-3%	-11.6 / 98 (-12%)		-0.3 / 17.25 (-2%)	11 / 8 (58%)	-0.29

TheBasementUFC : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TheBasementUFC : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	195.02	-24.3	-12%	-22.8 / 107.31 (-21%)	3.8 / 65.96 (6%)	-5.4 / 21.75 (-25%)
Bellator	0.5	1.4	275%		1.4 / 0.5 (275%)
PFL	8.4	-1.4	-17%	-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)	0.8 / 3.5 (23%)	1.2 / 1.5 (78%)
Other	7.19	-0.4	-5%	-0.4 / 7.19 (-5%)

TheBasementUFC : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (7%)	6	100 %	15.00	6.69	1.12	45%
Slight Favorites	53 (61%)	23	43 %	82.15	-26.32	-0.50	-32%
Slight Underdogs	18 (21%)	7	39 %	13.56	-1.39	-0.08	-10%
Big Underdogs	10 (11%)	1	10 %	7.19	-5.52	-0.55	-77%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (15%)	6	46 %	24.65	-10.01	-0.77	-41%
Co-Main Event	12 (14%)	8	67 %	26.79	3.08	0.26	11%
Position 3-5	23 (26%)	11	48 %	25.80	-5.87	-0.26	-23%
6+ (Undercard)	39 (45%)	12	31 %	40.66	-13.74	-0.35	-34%

TheBasementUFC : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (5%)		0 %	4.11	-4.11	-1.03	-100%
Light Heavy	8 (9%)	4	50 %	10.75	0.91	0.11	8%
Middleweight	10 (11%)	5	50 %	9.60	1.13	0.11	12%
Welterweight	8 (9%)	4	50 %	8.25	-1.94	-0.24	-23%
Lightweight	16 (18%)	8	50 %	25.80	-8.81	-0.55	-34%
Featherweight	5 (6%)	4	80 %	6.00	3.29	0.66	55%
Bantamweight	20 (23%)	6	30 %	29.44	-11.58	-0.58	-39%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.15	0.77	0.19	18%

Women's Fights	12 (14%)	4	33 %	19.80	-6.19	-0.52	-31%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.30	-0.30	-0.30	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	3.50	0.35	0.18	10%
Flyweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	9.50	-3.42	-0.68	-36%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	6.50	-2.82	-0.71	-43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	33 (94%)	25	76 %
Slight Favorites	2 (6%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	35	25	71 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (5%)	4	80 %
50-65%	20 (21%)	10	50 %
35-50%	16 (17%)	7	44 %
<35% chance	54 (57%)	11	20 %
	95	32	34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.44	1.44	1.44	0.4 (44%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (5%)	4	80 %	1.86	2.60	1.55	2.4 (48%)
Goes to Decision	5 (5%)	1	20 %	1.68	2.00	1.50	-2.5 (-50%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.68	1.77	1.60	1.4 (68%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.60	1.60	1.60	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	13 (14%)	2	15 %	3.44	10.50	1.63	-9.0 (-69%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (6%)	0	0 %	6.32	8.50	4.75	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	21 (22%)	6	29 %	4.04	8.00	1.75	17.1 (82%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (12%)	4	36 %	2.36	5.25	1.15	-2.1 (-19%)
X Wins in Round X	12 (13%)	3	25 %	16.29	35.00	10.00	21.0 (175%)
Others	18 (19%)	9	50 %	2.19	11.00	1.24	3.8 (21%)
	95	32	34 %	3.00			25.6 (27%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TheBasementUFC 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Aug	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$975.00
13th Aug	Bellator 264	0.5	1.4	275%		$9.75	$975.00	$988.41
19th Aug	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	5.9	1.1	18%		$9.88	$988.41	$998.98
21st Aug	UFC FN	9	0.4	4%		$9.99	$998.98	$1,002.67
28th Aug	UFC FN	6.25	5.2	82%		$10.03	$1,002.67	$1,054.35
4th Sep	UFC FN	11.65	3.1	27%		$10.54	$1,054.35	$1,087.49
14th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 3	6.54	0.3	4%		$10.87	$1,087.49	$1,090.51
18th Sep	UFC FN	11	10.7	97%		$10.91	$1,090.51	$1,207.06
25th Sep	UFC 266	17.26	3.0	18%		$12.07	$1,207.06	$1,243.55
2nd Oct	UFC FN	7.75	1.5	19%		$12.44	$1,243.55	$1,262.19
9th Oct	UFC FN	11.05	-0.1	-1%		$12.62	$1,262.19	$1,261.44
16th Oct	UFC FN	12.55	1.5	12%		$12.61	$1,261.44	$1,279.98
23rd Oct	UFC FN	7.75	-3.9	-51%		$12.80	$1,279.98	$1,229.65
30th Oct	UFC 267	12.45	-3.7	-29%		$12.30	$1,229.65	$1,184.70
6th Nov	UFC 268	10.9	1.1	10%		$11.85	$1,184.70	$1,197.38
13th Nov	UFC FN	8.25	-6.4	-77%		$11.97	$1,197.38	$1,120.98
20th Nov	UFC FN	8.61	-4.6	-53%		$11.21	$1,120.98	$1,069.86
4th Dec	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.70	$1,069.86	$1,005.67
11th Dec	UFC 269	15.45	-7.6	-49%		$10.06	$1,005.67	$928.79
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	4	-1.1	-28%		$9.29	$928.79	$918.34
22nd Jan	UFC 270	5.25	-5.3	-100%		$9.18	$918.34	$870.13
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	4.75	-1.3	-27%		$8.70	$870.13	$858.76
2nd Jul	UFC 276	5.25	-2.3	-44%		$8.59	$858.76	$838.86
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	2	-2.0	-100%		$8.39	$838.86	$822.08
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	2.35	-0.9	-36%		$8.22	$822.08	$815.09
20th Aug	UFC 278	2.25	1.4	64%		$8.15	$815.09	$826.88
27th Aug	One FC on Prime 1	0.65	-0.7	-100%		$8.27	$826.88	$821.50
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	4.5	-1.5	-34%		$8.22	$821.50	$808.91
10th Dec	UFC 282	3.75	-1.6	-43%		$8.09	$808.91	$795.87
21st Jan	UFC 283	5	-4.0	-80%		$7.96	$795.87	$764.19

ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TheBasementUFC : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '23	Nicolas Dalby	Warlley Alves	2.04	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '22	Merab Dvalishvili	Jose Aldo	1.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '22	Bryan Barberena	Robbie Lawler	1.91	0.75	TKO, R2 (4:47)
4.	Jun '22	Mateusz Gamrot	Arman Tsarukyan	3.35	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Nov '21	Da Un Jung	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1.87	1	TKO, R1 (3:4)
6.	Nov '21	Bobby Green	Al Iaquinta	1.69	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:25)
7.	Nov '21	Cody Durden	Qileng Aori	1.69	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '21	Gregory Rodrigues	Jun Yong Park	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:13)
9.	Oct '21	Manon Fiorot	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.43	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '21	Manon Fiorot	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.53	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '21	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Mackenzie Dern	2.45	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Oct '21	Jamie Mullarkey	Devonte Smith	2.35	1	TKO, R2 (2:51)
13.	Oct '21	Petr Yan	Cory Sandhagen	1.49	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Oct '21	Petr Yan	Cory Sandhagen	1.45	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Oct '21	Niko Price	Alex Oliveira	1.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Sep '21	Robbie Lawler	Nick Diaz	1.91	0.5	TKO, R3 (0:44)
17.	Sep '21	Alex Volkanovski	Brian Ortega	1.59	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Sep '21	Alex Volkanovski	Brian Ortega	1.63	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Sep '21	Robbie Lawler	Nick Diaz	1.91	1	TKO, R3 (0:44)
20.	Sep '21	Nathan Maness	Tony Gravely	2.80	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:10)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '22	Jared Gordon	Paddy Pimblett	3.10	2.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '22	Khalid Taha	Christian Quinonez	1.83	0.75	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
3.	Aug '22	Adriano Moraes	Demetrious Johnson	1.79	0.65	TKO, R4 (3:50)	No
4.	Sep '22	Khalid Taha	Christian Quinonez	1.67	0.75	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
5.	Sep '22	Khalid Taha	Christian Quinonez	1.67	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
6.	Aug '22	Devin Clark	Azamat Murzakanov	2.30	0.75	TKO, R3 (1:18)	No
7.	Jul '22	Brad Tavares	Dricus Du Plessis	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '22	Brad Riddell	Jalin Turner	2.30	0.75	Sub, R1 (0:45)	No
9.	Jul '22	Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	1.83	1.25	TKO, R1 (2:36)	No
10.	Jun '22	J.P. Buys	Cody Durden	1.87	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:8)	No
11.	Jun '22	Raulian Paiva	Sergey Morozov	2.30	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '22	Tafon Nchukwi	Carlos Ulberg	1.82	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:15)	No
13.	Jun '22	Tafon Nchukwi	Carlos Ulberg	1.82	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:15)	No
14.	Jan '22	Trevin Giles	Michael Morales	1.93	0.75	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
15.	Jan '22	Andre Fialho	Michel Pereira	3.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jan '22	Cody Stamann	Said Nurmagomedov	2.60	0.5	Sub, R1 (0:47)	No
17.	Jan '22	Ciryl Gane	Francis Ngannou	1.81	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Jan '22	Joseph Holmes	Jamie Pickett	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Dec '21	Augusto Sakai	Tai Tuivasa	1.91	0.75	TKO, R2 (0:26)	No
20.	Dec '21	Alonzo Menifield	William Knight	1.65	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TheBasementUFC : Progress Chart

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