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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alexander Hvass

Alexander Hvass (ahvass)

MMA MHandicapper - Alexander Hvass

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (38%)	Right	16 (36%)	Right	7 (29%)	Right	5 (83%)
Wrong	46 (62%)	Wrong	28 (64%)	Wrong	17 (71%)	Wrong	1 (17%)
Avg Odds	2.40	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	3.32	Avg Odds	1.97
Units Bet	199.0	Units Bet	129.0	Units Bet	48.0	Units Bet	22.0
Avg Bet	2.69	Avg Bet	2.93	Avg Bet	2.00	Avg Bet	3.67
Units Profit	-35.82	Units Profit	-40.93	Units Profit	-7.31	Units Profit	12.42
ROI %	-18%	ROI %	-32%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	56%

Alexander Hvass: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	13	-4.0	-31%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)		4.0 / 5 (80%)
2nd Oct '21	UFC FN	15	-1.4	-9%	-2.9 / 12 (-25%)		1.6 / 3 (53%)
30th Sep '21	Cage Warriors 127	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	19.5	-13.2	-68%	-5.7 / 12 (-48%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	23	-13.1	-57%	-12.1 / 18 (-67%)	-1.0 / 5 (-19%)
14th Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 3	7	-0.9	-13%	2.1 / 4 (51%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Sep '21	ACA 128	5	-0.9	-18%	-0.9 / 5 (-18%)
4th Sep '21	UFC FN	51	-6.5	-13%	-9.9 / 22 (-45%)	-3.6 / 21 (-17%)	7.0 / 8 (87%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	15.5	1.4	9%	-3.5 / 8 (-44%)	4.9 / 7.5 (65%)
27th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs	12	4.5	38%	4.5 / 12 (38%)
27th Aug '21	LFA 114	3	3.3	110%	3.3 / 3 (110%)
27th Aug '21	Invicta 44	3	2.9	96%			2.9 / 3 (96%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	19.5	-2.2	-12%	-5.1 / 15.5 (-33%)	2.9 / 4 (73%)
19th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	5	1.9	38%	1.9 / 5 (38%)

Winning Events: 5 (36%)
Losing Events: 9 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.21 units
Most Staked On One Event: 51.00 units
Best Event: 4.53 units
Worst Event: -13.22 units
Average Event: -2.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 12.08
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -47.55

Alexander Hvass: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	199	-35.8	-18%	-40.9 / 129 (-32%)		12.4 / 22 (56%)	5 / 9 (36%)	-2.56

Alexander Hvass: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alexander Hvass: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	156.5	-39.1	-25%	-47.3 / 95.5 (-50%)	-4.3 / 45 (-10%)	12.5 / 16 (78%)
PFL	17	6.4	38%	6.4 / 17 (38%)
Other	25.5	-3.1	-12%	-0.0 / 16.5 (-0%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.1 / 6 (-2%)

Alexander Hvass: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	18 (41%)	9	50 %	62.00	-15.46	-0.86	-25%
Slight Underdogs	22 (50%)	6	27 %	61.50	-26.86	-1.22	-44%
Big Underdogs	4 (9%)	1	25 %	5.50	1.40	0.35	25%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (9%)	0	0 %	18.00	-18.00	-4.50	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Position 3-5	16 (36%)	9	56 %	44.50	7.58	0.47	17%
6+ (Undercard)	23 (52%)	7	30 %	64.50	-28.50	-1.24	-44%

Alexander Hvass: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	6.00	7.18	3.59	120%
Light Heavy	5 (11%)	4	80 %	14.00	9.55	1.91	68%
Middleweight	10 (23%)	1	10 %	32.50	-28.90	-2.89	-89%
Welterweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	10.00	6.20	1.55	62%
Lightweight	7 (16%)	2	29 %	20.00	-8.03	-1.15	-40%
Featherweight	5 (11%)	1	20 %	13.50	-7.77	-1.55	-58%
Bantamweight	5 (11%)	1	20 %	12.00	-7.88	-1.58	-66%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (11%)	2	40 %	18.00	-8.28	-1.66	-46%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	4.00	-0.34	-0.17	-9%
Strawweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	11.00	-4.94	-2.47	-45%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	10 (91%)	9	90 %
Slight Favorites	1 (9%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	11	10	91 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	4 (16%)	3	75 %
35-50%	8 (32%)	4	50 %
<35% chance	13 (52%)	1	8 %
	25	8	32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (16%)	2	50 %	1.93	2.20	1.77	-0.5 (-11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (12%)	3	100 %	2.18	2.52	1.83	3.6 (122%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	2 (8%)	0	0 %	3.50	4.20	3.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (4%)	0	0 %	4.40	4.40	4.40	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (4%)	0	0 %	6.00	6.00	6.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (24%)	3	50 %	2.52	3.60	1.77	2.7 (45%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (24%)	0	0 %	13.47	22.00	7.50	-6.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (4%)	0	0 %	8.50	8.50	8.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	25	8	32 %	3.20			-6.1 (-24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alexander Hvass's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Aug	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	5	1.9	38%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,019.00
21st Aug	UFC FN	19.5	-2.2	-12%		$10.19	$1,019.00	$996.07
27th Aug	LFA 114	3	3.3	110%		$9.96	$996.07	$1,028.94
27th Aug	Invicta 44	3	2.9	96%		$10.29	$1,028.94	$1,058.71
27th Aug	PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs	12	4.5	38%		$10.59	$1,058.71	$1,106.66
28th Aug	UFC FN	15.5	1.4	9%		$11.07	$1,106.66	$1,121.71
4th Sep	UFC FN	51	-6.5	-13%		$11.22	$1,121.71	$1,048.46
11th Sep	ACA 128	5	-0.9	-18%		$10.48	$1,048.46	$1,039.29
14th Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 3	7	-0.9	-13%		$10.39	$1,039.29	$1,029.52
18th Sep	UFC FN	23	-13.1	-57%		$10.30	$1,029.52	$894.65
25th Sep	UFC 266	19.5	-13.2	-68%		$8.95	$894.65	$776.38
30th Sep	Cage Warriors 127	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$7.76	$776.38	$718.15
2nd Oct	UFC FN	15	-1.4	-9%		$7.18	$718.15	$708.35
30th Oct	UFC 267	13	-4.0	-31%		$7.08	$708.35	$679.86

ROI % from starting bank balance: -32.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alexander Hvass: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '21	Stephanie Egger	Shanna Young	1.83	2	TKO, R2 (2:22)
2.	Oct '21	Niko Price	Alex Oliveira	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '21	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Julia Polastri	2.02	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '21	Tomáš Deák	Emran Israfilov	2.75	1.5	Sub, R3 (2:56)
5.	Sep '21	Chris Daukaus	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.57	4	TKO, R2 (1:23)
6.	Sep '21	Tafon Nchukwi	Mike Rodriguez	1.95	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Sep '21	Paddy Pimblett	Luigi Vendramini	1.74	3	TKO, R1 (4:25)
8.	Aug '21	Benjamin Bennett	Elmar Umarov	2.10	3	TKO, R2 (0:58)
9.	Aug '21	Bobby Moffett	Jason Knight	1.91	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '21	Khalil Rountree	Modestas Bukauskas	2.30	3	TKO, R2 (2:30)
11.	Aug '21	Ante Delija	Denis Goltsov	3.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Kevin Lee	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '21	Marthin Hamlet	Cezar Ferreira	1.80	3	TKO, R1 (0:13)
14.	Aug '21	Ramiz Brahimaj	Sasha Palatnikov	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (2:33)
15.	Aug '21	Ignacio Bahamondes	Roosevelt Roberts	2.25	3	TKO, R3 (4:55)
16.	Aug '21	Marthin Hamlet	Cezar Ferreira	1.80	3	TKO, R1 (0:13)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '21	Liam Molloy	Ryan Shelley	1.83	3	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No
2.	Sep '21	Adam Wilson	Kingsley Crawford	2.45	1.5	Sub, R3 (2:43)	No
3.	Oct '21	Joe Solecki	Jared Gordon	1.79	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '21	Misha Cirkunov	Krzysztof Jotko	2.32	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '21	Johnny Walker	Thiago Santos	2.45	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '21	J.P. Buys	Montel Jackson	5.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '21	Tony Gravely	Nathan Maness	1.56	5	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
8.	Sep '21	Impa Kasanganay	Carlston Harris	1.83	4	TKO, R1 (2:38)	No
9.	Sep '21	Antonio Arroyo	Joaquin Buckley	2.80	2	TKO, R3 (2:26)	No
10.	Sep '21	Caio Bittencourt	Albert Duraev	3.90	1	Sub, R1 (3:29)	No
11.	Sep '21	Vadim Shabadash	Vladislav Yankovsky	3.75	1.5	Sub, R3 (1:40)	No
12.	Sep '21	Ilya Khodkevich	Viskhan Magomadov	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Sep '21	Dalcha Lungiambula	Marc-Andre Barriault	2.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '21	Ji Yeon Kim	Molly McCann	2.02	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Sep '21	Pannie Kianzad	Raquel Pennington	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '21	Virna Jandiroba	Amanda Ribas	2.20	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Sep '21	Uros Medic	Jalin Turner	1.91	3	Sub, R1 (4:1)	No
18.	Sep '21	David Zawada	Alex Morono	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '21	Brady Hiestand	Ricky Turcios	2.38	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '21	Jacob Kilburn	Brandon Jenkins	2.15	3	TKO, R1 (2:56)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alexander Hvass: Progress Chart

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