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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mad Cage |
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Mad Cage : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 63 (54%)
Losing Events: 54 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 38.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 70.74 units
Worst Event: -79.47 units
Average Event: 2.09 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 207.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -105.93 |
Mad Cage : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2025 |
357 |
58.9 |
16% |
9.5 / 206 (5%) |
-4.4 / 31.5 (-14%) |
53.9 / 119.5 (45%) |
8 / 6 (57%) |
4.21 |
| 2024 |
1076 |
199.6 |
19% |
103.6 / 697.5 (15%) |
21.0 / 57.5 (37%) |
75.0 / 321 (23%) |
18 / 12 (60%) |
6.65 |
| 2023 |
816 |
-34.7 |
-4% |
29.9 / 635 (5%) |
-19.0 / 32 (-59%) |
-45.7 / 149 (-31%) |
13 / 9 (59%) |
-1.58 |
| 2022 |
1631 |
-26.5 |
-2% |
-2.4 / 1168 (-0%) |
|
7.1 / 342 (2%) |
14 / 18 (44%) |
-0.83 |
| 2021 |
568 |
47.6 |
8% |
24.0 / 335 (7%) |
23.9 / 45 (53%) |
-0.3 / 188 (-0%) |
10 / 9 (53%) |
2.51 |
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Mad Cage : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Mad Cage : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
4389 |
238.2 |
5% |
155.0 / 2985.5 (5%) |
-9.8 / 287 (-3%) |
93.0 / 1116.5 (8%) |
|
Bellator |
22 |
-10.5 |
-48% |
-7.5 / 19 (-40%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
| Other |
37 |
17.2 |
46% |
17.2 / 37 (46%) |
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Mad Cage : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
182 (37%) |
140 |
77 % |
1,017.00 |
25.97 |
0.14 |
3% |
| Slight Favorites |
126 (25%) |
81 |
64 % |
951.00 |
55.58 |
0.44 |
6% |
| Slight Underdogs |
120 (24%) |
52 |
43 % |
727.50 |
20.95 |
0.17 |
3% |
| Big Underdogs |
67 (14%) |
20 |
30 % |
292.00 |
62.13 |
0.93 |
21% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
59 (12%) |
32 |
54 % |
457.00 |
62.83 |
1.06 |
14% |
| Co-Main Event |
39 (8%) |
22 |
56 % |
270.00 |
-0.12 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
| Position 3-5 |
118 (24%) |
74 |
63 % |
641.50 |
57.02 |
0.48 |
9% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
279 (56%) |
165 |
59 % |
1,619.00 |
44.89 |
0.16 |
3% |
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Mad Cage : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
37 (7%) |
31 |
84 % |
267.00 |
106.67 |
2.88 |
40% |
| Light Heavy |
33 (7%) |
15 |
45 % |
262.00 |
-71.71 |
-2.17 |
-27% |
| Middleweight |
64 (13%) |
38 |
59 % |
390.50 |
23.95 |
0.37 |
6% |
| Welterweight |
52 (11%) |
28 |
54 % |
270.00 |
6.19 |
0.12 |
2% |
| Lightweight |
68 (14%) |
44 |
65 % |
425.00 |
103.78 |
1.53 |
24% |
| Featherweight |
61 (12%) |
34 |
56 % |
321.50 |
-60.71 |
-1.00 |
-19% |
| Bantamweight |
57 (12%) |
30 |
53 % |
276.50 |
-20.29 |
-0.36 |
-7% |
| Flyweight |
31 (6%) |
16 |
52 % |
168.00 |
-7.77 |
-0.25 |
-5% |
| |
|
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| Women's Fights |
92 (19%) |
57 |
62 % |
607.00 |
84.52 |
0.92 |
14% |
| Featherweight |
5 (1%) |
4 |
80 % |
50.00 |
27.26 |
5.45 |
55% |
| Bantamweight |
24 (5%) |
10 |
42 % |
162.00 |
-9.99 |
-0.42 |
-6% |
| Flyweight |
28 (6%) |
18 |
64 % |
165.00 |
28.30 |
1.01 |
17% |
| Strawweight |
35 (7%) |
25 |
71 % |
230.00 |
38.94 |
1.11 |
17% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
264 (66%) |
210 |
80 % |
| Slight Favorites |
95 (24%) |
58 |
61 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
33 (8%) |
11 |
33 % |
| Big Underdogs |
10 (2%) |
2 |
20 % |
|
402 |
281 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
| 50-65% |
14 (13%) |
6 |
43 % |
| 35-50% |
26 (24%) |
13 |
50 % |
| <35% chance |
64 (58%) |
13 |
20 % |
|
110 |
35 |
32 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
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Tail Mad Cage 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
55 |
37.6 |
68% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,375.68 |
| 15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
5 |
3.4 |
69% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,375.68 |
$1,423.12 |
| 22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
11 |
8.2 |
75% |
|
$14.23 |
$1,423.12 |
$1,539.94 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.40 |
$1,539.94 |
$1,447.54 |
| 20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
32 |
37.0 |
116% |
|
$14.48 |
$1,447.54 |
$1,982.77 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
73 |
-60.8 |
-83% |
|
$19.83 |
$1,982.77 |
$777.53 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
78 |
70.7 |
91% |
|
$7.78 |
$777.53 |
$1,327.58 |
| 10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
22 |
16.1 |
73% |
|
$13.28 |
$1,327.58 |
$1,541.76 |
| 17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
54 |
55.2 |
102% |
|
$15.42 |
$1,541.76 |
$2,392.58 |
| 7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
25 |
3.2 |
13% |
|
$23.93 |
$2,392.58 |
$2,470.29 |
| 14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
14.5 |
6.5 |
45% |
|
$24.70 |
$2,470.29 |
$2,630.86 |
| 28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
9 |
7.9 |
88% |
|
$26.31 |
$2,630.86 |
$2,838.37 |
| 5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
39 |
48.3 |
124% |
|
$28.38 |
$2,838.37 |
$4,209.22 |
| 26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
39 |
-4.6 |
-12% |
$5 |
$42.09 |
$4,209.22 |
$4,010.95 |
| 2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
17 |
-17.0 |
-100% |
|
$40.11 |
$4,010.95 |
$3,329.09 |
| 9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates |
10 |
4.5 |
45% |
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$33.29 |
$3,329.09 |
$3,477.82 |
| 16th Nov |
UFC 309 |
26.5 |
9.6 |
36% |
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$34.78 |
$3,477.82 |
$3,812.10 |
| 7th Dec |
UFC 310 |
6 |
0.5 |
8% |
|
$38.12 |
$3,812.10 |
$3,831.35 |
| 14th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley |
22 |
-4.6 |
-21% |
|
$38.31 |
$3,831.35 |
$3,655.25 |
| 11th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II |
20 |
-10.8 |
-54% |
|
$36.55 |
$3,655.25 |
$3,261.63 |
| 1st Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$32.62 |
$3,261.63 |
$2,897.85 |
| 8th Feb |
UFC 312 |
26.5 |
20.2 |
76% |
|
$28.98 |
$2,897.85 |
$3,483.32 |
| 15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues |
26 |
32.5 |
125% |
|
$34.83 |
$3,483.32 |
$4,615.02 |
| 1st Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev |
24 |
-15.9 |
-66% |
|
$46.15 |
$4,615.02 |
$3,883.54 |
| 8th Mar |
UFC 313 |
24.25 |
27.9 |
115% |
|
$38.84 |
$3,883.54 |
$4,966.19 |
| 15th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II |
18.5 |
-9.5 |
-52% |
$5 |
$49.66 |
$4,966.19 |
$4,487.46 |
| 22nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady |
16.5 |
3.9 |
24% |
|
$44.87 |
$4,487.46 |
$4,664.71 |
| 29th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg |
37.5 |
10.1 |
27% |
|
$46.65 |
$4,664.71 |
$5,134.40 |
| 5th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy |
15.5 |
5.3 |
34% |
|
$51.34 |
$5,134.40 |
$5,405.27 |
| 12th Apr |
UFC 314 |
27.75 |
-11.7 |
-42% |
|
$54.05 |
$5,405.27 |
$4,772.63 |
| 26th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates |
59 |
38.7 |
66% |
|
$47.73 |
$4,772.63 |
$6,617.92 |
| 3rd May |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo |
34 |
-23.1 |
-68% |
|
$66.18 |
$6,617.92 |
$5,091.93 |
| 10th May |
UFC 315 |
16.5 |
2.3 |
14% |
|
$50.92 |
$5,091.93 |
$5,207.72 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 420.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
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Mad Cage : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
May '25 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Jessica Andrade |
1.37 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:40) |
|
|
| 2. |
May '25 |
Quang Le |
Gaston Bolanos |
2.20 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:54) |
|
|
| 3. |
May '25 |
Gillian Robertson |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.43 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:7) |
|
|
| 4. |
May '25 |
Mason Jones |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.18 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
May '25 |
Serhiy Sidey |
Cameron Smotherman |
1.72 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Apr '25 |
Randy Brown |
Nicolas Dalby |
1.36 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:39) |
|
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| 7. |
Apr '25 |
DaMon Blackshear |
Heili Alateng |
1.21 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Apr '25 |
Ikram Aliskerov |
Andre Muniz |
1.21 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:54) |
|
|
| 9. |
Apr '25 |
Ian Garry |
Carlos Prates |
1.72 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Apr '25 |
Marco Tulio Silva |
Tresean Gore |
1.21 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
|
|
| 11. |
Apr '25 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.79 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Apr '25 |
Julian Erosa |
Darren Elkins |
1.38 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:15) |
|
|
| 13. |
Apr '25 |
Dan Ige |
Sean Woodson |
2.70 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:12) |
|
|
| 14. |
Apr '25 |
Brad Tavares |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.66 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Apr '25 |
Loma Lookboonmee |
Istela Nunes |
1.11 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Apr '25 |
Dione Barbosa |
Diana Belbita |
1.12 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:13) |
|
|
| 17. |
Mar '25 |
Rafa Garcia |
Vinc Pichel |
1.22 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Mar '25 |
Lupita Godinez |
Julia Polastri |
1.50 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Mar '25 |
Manuel Torres |
Drew Dober |
1.91 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:45) |
|
|
| 20. |
Mar '25 |
Kevin Holland |
Gunnar Nelson |
2.15 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
May '25 |
Charlie Radtke |
Mike Malott |
2.82 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
May '25 |
Ivana Petrovic |
Juliana Miller |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
May '25 |
Bo Nickal |
Reinier de Ridder |
1.30 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:53) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Apr '25 |
Chelsea Chandler |
Joselyne Edwards |
3.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:31) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Apr '25 |
Polyana Viana |
Jaqueline Amorim |
7.10 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:49) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Apr '25 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Malcolm Wellmaker |
2.08 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:59) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Apr '25 |
Jimmy Flick |
Matt Schnell |
2.38 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Apr '25 |
Hailey Cowan |
Nora Cornolle |
3.05 |
6 |
Sub, R2 (1:52) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Apr '25 |
Mitch Raposo |
Su Mudaerji |
2.28 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Apr '25 |
Nikita Krylov |
Dominick Reyes |
1.65 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:24) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Apr '25 |
Joanderson Brito |
Pat Sabatini |
1.51 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Mar '25 |
Carlos Vergara |
Edgar Chairez |
3.20 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Mar '25 |
Steve Erceg |
Brandon Moreno |
3.22 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Mar '25 |
Puja Tomar |
Shauna Bannon |
2.70 |
6 |
Sub, R2 (3:22) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Mar '25 |
Josias Musasa |
Carlos Vera |
1.14 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Mar '25 |
A.J. Cunningham |
Su Young You |
5.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Mar '25 |
Lucas Almeida |
Danny Silva |
3.20 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Mar '25 |
Assu Almabaev |
Manel Kape |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (2:16) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Mar '25 |
Julian Marquez |
Cody Brundage |
2.00 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Feb '25 |
 Lucas Alexander |
Bogdan Grad |
1.89 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:22) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
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