MMA Handicapper Stats: Raphael MMA |
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Raphael MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (36%) Losing Events: 37 (64%)
Average Staked Per Event: 3.96 units Most Staked On One Event: 14.50 units Best Event: 4.32 units Worst Event: -4.32 units Average Event: -0.32 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 4.32 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -10.39 |
Raphael MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
10.75 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
0.1 / 9.25 (1%) |
|
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
-0.12 |
2022 |
180.51 |
-14.3 |
-8% |
-7.8 / 118.41 (-7%) |
|
|
18 / 31 (37%) |
-0.29 |
2021 |
38.5 |
-4.0 |
-11% |
0.5 / 26.5 (2%) |
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1 / 4 (20%) |
-0.81 |
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Raphael MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Raphael MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
169.91 |
-10.1 |
-6% |
-0.7 / 105.06 (-1%) |
-8.2 / 63.6 (-13%) |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
Bellator |
31.65 |
-4.1 |
-13% |
-1.7 / 23.9 (-7%) |
-2.3 / 7.75 (-30%) |
|
PFL |
12.6 |
-3.3 |
-26% |
-3.5 / 9.6 (-36%) |
0.2 / 3 (6%) |
|
Other |
15.6 |
-1.4 |
-9% |
-1.4 / 15.6 (-9%) |
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Raphael MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
45 (18%) |
37 |
82 % |
31.71 |
2.09 |
0.05 |
7% |
Slight Favorites |
53 (21%) |
25 |
47 % |
28.25 |
-5.48 |
-0.10 |
-19% |
Slight Underdogs |
107 (42%) |
47 |
44 % |
65.50 |
4.42 |
0.04 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
51 (20%) |
10 |
20 % |
28.70 |
-8.24 |
-0.16 |
-29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
29 (11%) |
9 |
31 % |
16.49 |
-6.79 |
-0.23 |
-41% |
Co-Main Event |
28 (11%) |
16 |
57 % |
14.75 |
5.48 |
0.20 |
37% |
Position 3-5 |
68 (27%) |
29 |
43 % |
35.37 |
-4.97 |
-0.07 |
-14% |
6+ (Undercard) |
131 (51%) |
65 |
50 % |
87.55 |
-0.94 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
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Raphael MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
23 (9%) |
11 |
48 % |
14.04 |
-3.54 |
-0.15 |
-25% |
Light Heavy |
24 (9%) |
10 |
42 % |
15.46 |
-3.46 |
-0.14 |
-22% |
Middleweight |
27 (11%) |
11 |
41 % |
15.10 |
-3.76 |
-0.14 |
-25% |
Welterweight |
32 (13%) |
17 |
53 % |
16.09 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
1% |
Lightweight |
37 (14%) |
16 |
43 % |
22.57 |
-2.13 |
-0.06 |
-9% |
Featherweight |
38 (15%) |
17 |
45 % |
21.20 |
-1.72 |
-0.05 |
-8% |
Bantamweight |
31 (12%) |
13 |
42 % |
18.70 |
-2.09 |
-0.07 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
9 (4%) |
6 |
67 % |
7.25 |
2.06 |
0.23 |
28% |
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Women's Fights |
35 (14%) |
18 |
51 % |
23.75 |
7.28 |
0.21 |
31% |
Featherweight |
3 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (1%) |
2 |
67 % |
2.25 |
2.35 |
0.78 |
105% |
Flyweight |
14 (5%) |
10 |
71 % |
8.50 |
4.95 |
0.35 |
58% |
Strawweight |
15 (6%) |
6 |
40 % |
11.50 |
1.48 |
0.10 |
13% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (100%) |
1 |
50 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
1 |
50 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
15 (10%) |
13 |
87 % |
50-65% |
78 (51%) |
42 |
54 % |
35-50% |
51 (33%) |
17 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
10 (6%) |
1 |
10 % |
|
154 |
73 |
47 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Raphael MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Raphael MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.66 |
2.75 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Feb '23 |
Jun Yong Park |
Denis Tiuliulin |
1.50 |
1.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:5) |
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3. |
Feb '23 |
Hyun Sung Park |
Seung Guk Choi |
1.53 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:11) |
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4. |
Feb '23 |
Jung Young Lee |
Zha Yi |
1.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
May '22 |
Youcef Ouabbas |
Matthieu Letho |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:17) |
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6. |
May '22 |
Gregory Babene |
Mike Shipman |
2.50 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (2:11) |
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7. |
May '22 |
Lorenz Larkin |
Kyle Stewart |
1.29 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:44) |
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8. |
May '22 |
Yves Landu |
Gavin Hughes |
2.45 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:1) |
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9. |
May '22 |
Anthony Pettis |
Myles Price |
1.39 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:17) |
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10. |
May '22 |
Blagoy Ivanov |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
1.67 |
0.69 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Jun '22 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Glover Teixeira |
1.51 |
1.29 |
Sub, R5 (4:32) |
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12. |
May '22 |
Ovince St Preux |
Mauricio Rua |
1.40 |
2.17 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
May '22 |
Michael Johnson |
Alan Patrick |
1.73 |
0.32 |
TKO, R2 (3:22) |
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14. |
Apr '22 |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Boston Salmon |
1.57 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Apr '22 |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
Adam Keresh |
2.25 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Apr '22 |
Bubba Jenkins |
Kyle Bochniak |
1.40 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
May '22 |
Randy Brown |
Kalinn Williams |
2.17 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
May '22 |
Francisco Trinaldo |
Danny Roberts |
1.92 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
May '22 |
Journey Newson |
Fernando Garcia |
2.55 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Apr '22 |
Goiti Yamauchi |
Levan Chokheli |
1.51 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:49) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Raphael MMA: Progress Chart |
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