|
MMA Handicapper Stats: SwagZ23 |
|
SwagZ23 : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 23 (46%) Losing Events: 27 (54%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.95 units Most Staked On One Event: 57.65 units Best Event: 25.31 units Worst Event: -32.19 units Average Event: -1.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.92 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -79.08 |
SwagZ23 : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
612.54 |
-52.0 |
-8% |
-36.4 / 337.68 (-11%) |
|
4.7 / 120.26 (4%) |
15 / 19 (44%) |
-1.53 |
2021 |
134.78 |
-7.6 |
-6% |
-12.2 / 81.03 (-15%) |
|
7.4 / 19.65 (38%) |
8 / 8 (50%) |
-0.47 |
|
SwagZ23 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
SwagZ23 : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
556.47 |
-79.3 |
-14% |
-34.9 / 309.91 (-11%) |
-29.1 / 145.75 (-20%) |
-15.3 / 100.81 (-15%) |
Bellator |
26.05 |
1.9 |
7% |
4.5 / 10.55 (43%) |
-0.6 / 4 (-16%) |
-2.0 / 11.5 (-18%) |
PFL |
61.17 |
-13.7 |
-22% |
-14.9 / 38.37 (-39%) |
-2.3 / 16.05 (-14%) |
3.5 / 6.75 (51%) |
Other |
103.63 |
31.6 |
31% |
-3.3 / 59.88 (-5%) |
9.0 / 22.9 (39%) |
25.9 / 20.85 (124%) |
|
SwagZ23 : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
21 (10%) |
16 |
76 % |
78.50 |
10.77 |
0.51 |
14% |
Slight Favorites |
62 (30%) |
32 |
52 % |
150.86 |
-11.66 |
-0.19 |
-8% |
Slight Underdogs |
84 (41%) |
31 |
37 % |
133.25 |
-13.02 |
-0.16 |
-10% |
Big Underdogs |
39 (19%) |
5 |
13 % |
56.10 |
-34.65 |
-0.89 |
-62% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (7%) |
5 |
36 % |
30.00 |
-3.18 |
-0.23 |
-11% |
Co-Main Event |
27 (13%) |
11 |
41 % |
58.52 |
-5.92 |
-0.22 |
-10% |
Position 3-5 |
61 (30%) |
25 |
41 % |
109.74 |
-10.93 |
-0.18 |
-10% |
6+ (Undercard) |
104 (50%) |
43 |
41 % |
220.45 |
-28.54 |
-0.27 |
-13% |
|
SwagZ23 : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
18 (9%) |
6 |
33 % |
42.25 |
-4.05 |
-0.22 |
-10% |
Light Heavy |
11 (5%) |
2 |
18 % |
23.20 |
-14.50 |
-1.32 |
-62% |
Middleweight |
19 (9%) |
6 |
32 % |
35.18 |
-14.46 |
-0.76 |
-41% |
Welterweight |
31 (15%) |
15 |
48 % |
55.31 |
3.06 |
0.10 |
6% |
Lightweight |
32 (16%) |
14 |
44 % |
66.62 |
-0.82 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
35 (17%) |
14 |
40 % |
75.65 |
-10.53 |
-0.30 |
-14% |
Bantamweight |
23 (11%) |
12 |
52 % |
43.17 |
-0.70 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Flyweight |
12 (6%) |
6 |
50 % |
26.58 |
4.64 |
0.39 |
17% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
25 (12%) |
9 |
36 % |
50.75 |
-11.20 |
-0.45 |
-22% |
Featherweight |
3 (1%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-1.00 |
-0.33 |
-18% |
Bantamweight |
6 (3%) |
2 |
33 % |
12.50 |
-5.90 |
-0.98 |
-47% |
Flyweight |
9 (4%) |
3 |
33 % |
20.85 |
-6.50 |
-0.72 |
-31% |
Strawweight |
7 (3%) |
3 |
43 % |
11.90 |
2.20 |
0.31 |
18% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
161 (77%) |
125 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
40 (19%) |
29 |
73 % |
Slight Underdogs |
8 (4%) |
5 |
63 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
209 |
159 |
76 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
7 (4%) |
6 |
86 % |
50-65% |
13 (7%) |
9 |
69 % |
35-50% |
38 (20%) |
9 |
24 % |
<35% chance |
135 (70%) |
22 |
16 % |
|
193 |
46 |
24 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail SwagZ23 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
25th Jun |
Cage Warriors 124 |
9.8 |
1.4 |
14% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,013.63 |
25th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 6 |
6 |
4.9 |
81% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.63 |
$1,062.80 |
25th Jun |
Bellator 261 |
4.5 |
1.0 |
22% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,062.80 |
$1,073.43 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
28.25 |
-7.1 |
-25% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.43 |
$997.21 |
16th Jul |
Bellator 262 |
8.25 |
-2.6 |
-32% |
|
$9.97 |
$997.21 |
$970.98 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
11.3 |
2.9 |
26% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.98 |
$999.14 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.14 |
$979.16 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
3 |
2.5 |
83% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.16 |
$1,003.64 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
9.5 |
-3.0 |
-32% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.64 |
$973.53 |
13th Aug |
PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs |
4.15 |
-2.3 |
-55% |
|
$9.74 |
$973.53 |
$951.17 |
19th Aug |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
14.4 |
-1.4 |
-9% |
|
$9.51 |
$951.17 |
$938.33 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
3.4 |
-3.4 |
-100% |
|
$9.38 |
$938.33 |
$906.42 |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
8.2 |
-3.4 |
-41% |
|
$9.06 |
$906.42 |
$876.06 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
7.85 |
0.5 |
7% |
|
$8.76 |
$876.06 |
$880.66 |
1st Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 1 |
7.15 |
4.1 |
57% |
|
$8.81 |
$880.66 |
$916.47 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
7.03 |
0.4 |
5% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.47 |
$919.86 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
13.45 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
|
$9.20 |
$919.86 |
$911.68 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
23.2 |
5.0 |
22% |
|
$9.12 |
$911.68 |
$957.30 |
11th Mar |
EFC 46 |
5.55 |
3.9 |
70% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.30 |
$994.62 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
23.17 |
1.6 |
7% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.62 |
$1,010.09 |
18th Mar |
Cage Warriors 134 |
1 |
1.4 |
142% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.09 |
$1,024.43 |
18th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 5 |
2.58 |
-0.2 |
-8% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.43 |
$1,022.38 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
27.21 |
-10.3 |
-38% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.38 |
$917.11 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
38.4 |
-10.0 |
-26% |
|
$9.17 |
$917.11 |
$824.98 |
2nd Apr |
Cage Warriors 136 |
11.5 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$8.25 |
$824.98 |
$822.61 |
2nd Apr |
XMMA 4 |
8.7 |
2.0 |
23% |
|
$8.23 |
$822.61 |
$839.06 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
22.95 |
-5.5 |
-24% |
|
$8.39 |
$839.06 |
$793.12 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
6.5 |
0.7 |
11% |
|
$7.93 |
$793.12 |
$798.91 |
15th Apr |
LFA 129 |
3.3 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
|
$7.99 |
$798.91 |
$772.55 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
57.65 |
16.9 |
29% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.55 |
$902.74 |
20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
12.49 |
-6.3 |
-50% |
|
$9.03 |
$902.74 |
$845.87 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
16.9 |
17.9 |
106% |
|
$8.46 |
$845.87 |
$997.28 |
24th Apr |
Fury FC 60 |
7.4 |
1.9 |
25% |
|
$9.97 |
$997.28 |
$1,015.76 |
28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
13.35 |
-5.1 |
-38% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.76 |
$964.46 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
39.63 |
-21.0 |
-53% |
|
$9.64 |
$964.46 |
$762.24 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
19.1 |
25.3 |
133% |
|
$7.62 |
$762.24 |
$955.17 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
4.18 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.55 |
$955.17 |
$915.24 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
5.1 |
-5.1 |
-100% |
|
$9.15 |
$915.24 |
$868.57 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
8 |
3.8 |
48% |
|
$8.69 |
$868.57 |
$901.79 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
10.5 |
3.9 |
37% |
|
$9.02 |
$901.79 |
$937.14 |
13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
8.85 |
11.6 |
131% |
|
$9.37 |
$937.14 |
$1,045.51 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
15.05 |
11.6 |
77% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,045.51 |
$1,166.89 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
13.15 |
-2.2 |
-17% |
|
$11.67 |
$1,166.89 |
$1,141.36 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
15.7 |
-8.8 |
-56% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,141.36 |
$1,040.95 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
6.8 |
2.8 |
40% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.95 |
$1,069.58 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
26.77 |
-6.1 |
-23% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.58 |
$1,004.65 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
23 |
-10.0 |
-44% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,004.65 |
$903.90 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
42.35 |
-10.5 |
-25% |
|
$9.04 |
$903.90 |
$808.72 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
38.56 |
-20.3 |
-53% |
|
$8.09 |
$808.72 |
$644.87 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
40.5 |
-32.2 |
-79% |
|
$6.45 |
$644.87 |
$437.30 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -56.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
SwagZ23 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '22 |
Ilia Topuria |
Bryce Mitchell |
1.66 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
|
|
2. |
Oct '22 |
Cody Durden |
Carlos Mota |
2.40 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '22 |
Roman Dolidze |
Phil Hawes |
2.58 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:9) |
|
|
4. |
Oct '22 |
Tresean Gore |
Josh Fremd |
2.55 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (0:49) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '22 |
Arnold Allen |
Calvin Kattar |
2.10 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:8) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '22 |
Belal Muhammad |
Sean Brady |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '22 |
Sean O'Malley |
Petr Yan |
3.35 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '22 |
Tatsuro Taira |
Carlos Vergara |
1.44 |
6 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '22 |
Mana Martinez |
Brandon Davis |
1.62 |
3.22 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '22 |
Jay-Jay Wilson |
Vladimir Tokov |
1.87 |
2.3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '22 |
Juan Archulata |
Enrique Barzola |
2.10 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '22 |
Jafel Filho |
Roybert Echeverria |
1.65 |
1.55 |
TKO, R3 (1:31) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '22 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Mando Gutierrez |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '22 |
Trevor Peek |
Malik Lewis |
2.52 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '22 |
Daniel Marcos |
Brandon Lewis |
2.31 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '22 |
Yohan Lainesse |
Darian Weeks |
2.00 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '22 |
Julian Erosa |
Hakeem Dawodu |
2.90 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Sep '22 |
Nate Diaz |
Tony Ferguson |
2.31 |
2 |
Sub, R4 (2:6) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '22 |
Gabriel Green |
Yohan Lainesse |
1.83 |
3.6 |
TKO, R2 (4:2) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '22 |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Boston Salmon |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '22 |
Steven Koslow |
Cameron Saaiman |
3.55 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:13) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '22 |
Erik Silva |
T.J. Brown |
1.98 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (3:41) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '22 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Chris Curtis |
1.58 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Dec '22 |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
3.60 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Dec '22 |
Chris Daukaus |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
2.45 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:23) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Dec '22 |
Jay Perrin |
Raul Rosas Jr |
3.00 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:44) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Dec '22 |
Jared Gordon |
Paddy Pimblett |
3.05 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '22 |
Carlos Candelario |
Jake Hadley |
3.20 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:39) |
Yes |
|
|
9. |
Nov '22 |
Ramona Pascual |
Tamires Vidal |
2.35 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
Yes |
|
|
10. |
Nov '22 |
Liudvik Sholinian |
Johnny Munoz |
2.90 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Nov '22 |
Jinh Yu Frey |
Polyana Viana |
2.09 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:47) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Nov '22 |
Darrick Minner |
Yilan Sha |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:7) |
Yes |
|
|
13. |
Nov '22 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Grant Dawson |
2.90 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (2:5) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Neil Magny |
1.97 |
2.06 |
Sub, R3 (3:33) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '22 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
2.85 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '22 |
Jared Vanderaa |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
2.65 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '22 |
Tim Means |
Max Griffin |
2.61 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '22 |
AJ Dobson |
Armen Petrosyan |
2.80 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '22 |
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov |
2.52 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '22 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Nikita Krylov |
2.46 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
SwagZ23 : Progress Chart |
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