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MMA Handicapper Stats: Straight Up MMA KILLER

Straight Up MMA KILLER (ArmBarUrBookie)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Straight Up  MMA KILLER

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 113 (41%) Right 72 (51%) Right 31 (28%) Right 10 (38%)
Wrong 163 (59%) Wrong 68 (49%) Wrong 79 (72%) Wrong 16 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.39 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 2.79 Avg Odds 2.94
Units Bet 898.8 Units Bet 535.6 Units Bet 229.5 Units Bet 133.8
Avg Bet 3.26 Avg Bet 3.83 Avg Bet 2.09 Avg Bet 5.14
Units Profit 47.72 Units Profit 86.44 Units Profit -45.27 Units Profit 6.55
ROI % 5% ROI % 16% ROI % -20% ROI % 5%
View Handicapper's Profile

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 23 11.4 49% 2.8 / 18 (15%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 10.6 / 3 (354%)
18th Apr '24 Ares FC 20 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 57.5 13.3 23% 18.7 / 35 (54%) -0.4 / 17.5 (-3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 46 27.4 59% 28.1 / 37 (76%) 4.3 / 4 (107%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 21.5 -6.2 -29% -6.2 / 21.5 (-29%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 50.3 -3.9 -8% 3.1 / 17.3 (18%) -17.0 / 23 (-74%) 10.0 / 10 (100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 19.5 -5.1 -26% -5.1 / 19.5 (-26%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 11 14.1 128% 14.1 / 11 (128%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 45 -27.0 -60% -25.0 / 43 (-58%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 13.25 1.5 11% 1.5 / 13.25 (11%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 14 5.8 42% 5.8 / 14 (42%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 40.6 -7.8 -19% 2.5 / 14.5 (17%) -21.1 / 21.1 (-100%) 10.8 / 5 (215%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 23.1 9.0 39% 0.3 / 3 (8%) 2.0 / 19.1 (10%) 6.8 / 1 (677%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 16 -4.2 -26% -4.2 / 16 (-26%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 18 0.8 4% 0.8 / 18 (4%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.6 0.8 4% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 13.1 (-10%) 3.6 / 3 (121%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 21 16.5 79% 9.5 / 10 (95%) 10.0 / 8 (125%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 34 -18.4 -54% -2.2 / 14.5 (-15%) -6.2 / 9.5 (-66%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 18 -18.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 48 20.7 43% 9.6 / 26.5 (36%) 1.7 / 16.5 (10%) 9.4 / 5 (188%)
29th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 4 22 -17.0 -77% -2.0 / 7 (-29%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 55.1 -4.9 -9% -0.0 / 21.5 (-0%) -2.7 / 15.6 (-17%) -2.1 / 18 (-12%)
15th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 2 10.2 8.2 81% 4.4 / 5 (89%) 3.8 / 5.2 (73%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 27.5 19.7 72% 8.6 / 12 (72%) 0.5 / 5 (10%) 10.6 / 10.5 (101%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 36 -7.9 -22% 11.1 / 17 (65%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 21 7.2 35% 15.2 / 13 (117%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 21 2.1 10% 2.1 / 21 (10%)
16th Jun '23 PFL 5: Regular Season 10 -4.7 -47% -0.7 / 4 (-18%) -3.9 / 6 (-66%)
16th Jun '23 Bellator 297 15 -10.4 -70% -8.4 / 13 (-65%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 28 8.0 29% 8.0 / 28 (29%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 18 -13.4 -75% -13.4 / 18 (-75%)
1st Oct '22 Bellator 286 10 6.7 67% 6.7 / 10 (67%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 42.25 19.7 47% 15.4 / 16 (96%) 14.5 / 16 (91%) -10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 22 4.4 20% 4.4 / 22 (20%)
25th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 6 7.5 -0.8 -11% 3.2 / 3.5 (91%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 12 4.3 36% 4.2 / 10 (42%) 0.1 / 2 (3%)
17th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 5 5.5 -3.5 -64% -3.5 / 5.5 (-64%)


Winning Events: 20 (54%)
Losing Events: 17 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 24.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 57.50 units
Best Event: 27.35 units
Worst Event: -26.96 units
Average Event: 1.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 40.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -36.45

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 218.3 36.3 17% 41.4 / 148.3 (28%) 10.1 / 23.5 (43%) 3 / 4 (43%) 5.18
2023 565.35 -5.8 -1% 24.6 / 307.75 (8%) 10.7 / 96 (11%) 13 / 10 (57%) -0.25
2022 70.25 12.9 18% 8.6 / 44 (20%) -10.3 / 10.25 (-100%) 2 / 1 (67%) 4.29
2021 47 4.4 9% 11.8 / 35.5 (33%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2 / 2 (50%) 1.09

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 724.2 63.3 9% 85.2 / 439.05 (19%) -31.4 / 167.9 (-19%) 9.4 / 117.25 (8%)
Bellator 25 -3.8 -15% -1.8 / 23 (-8%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
PFL 46 2.4 5% 5.2 / 25.5 (21%) -9.4 / 13.5 (-70%) 6.6 / 7 (94%)
Other 105.7 -14.2 -13% -2.3 / 48 (-5%) -2.5 / 48.2 (-5%) -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (11%) 7 47 % 99.50 -35.50 -2.37 -36%
Slight Favorites 46 (33%) 29 63 % 216.00 47.19 1.03 22%
Slight Underdogs 50 (36%) 30 60 % 177.00 96.53 1.93 55%
Big Underdogs 29 (21%) 6 21 % 43.05 -21.78 -0.75 -51%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (7%) 8 80 % 72.00 35.99 3.60 50%
Co-Main Event 18 (13%) 6 33 % 67.50 -13.15 -0.73 -19%
Position 3-5 34 (24%) 18 53 % 127.05 15.88 0.47 13%
6+ (Undercard) 78 (56%) 40 51 % 269.00 47.72 0.61 18%

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (4%) 4 67 % 37.00 0.96 0.16 3%
Light Heavy 8 (6%) 6 75 % 41.50 30.81 3.85 74%
Middleweight 12 (9%) 5 42 % 44.00 -14.99 -1.25 -34%
Welterweight 18 (13%) 10 56 % 67.00 7.84 0.44 12%
Lightweight 23 (16%) 13 57 % 88.50 12.10 0.53 14%
Featherweight 21 (15%) 14 67 % 86.00 53.23 2.53 62%
Bantamweight 20 (14%) 9 45 % 67.05 18.05 0.90 27%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 2 29 % 18.50 -7.40 -1.06 -40%
               
Women's Fights 25 (18%) 9 36 % 86.00 -14.17 -0.57 -16%
Featherweight 2 (1%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.72 -0.36 -18%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 1 17 % 30.00 -12.80 -2.13 -43%
Flyweight 6 (4%) 1 17 % 21.00 -4.40 -0.73 -21%
Strawweight 11 (8%) 6 55 % 31.00 3.75 0.34 12%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 43 (74%) 37 86 %
Slight Favorites 11 (19%) 8 73 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (5%) 2 67 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
58 47 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 19 (13%) 15 79 %
50-65% 35 (24%) 18 51 %
35-50% 37 (25%) 13 35 %
<35% chance 55 (38%) 8 15 %
146 54 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (5%) 6 75 % 1.54 2.00Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 2.5 (31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (7%) 7 70 % 1.61 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.23Pick was correct 0.5 (5%)
Goes to Decision 4 (3%) 3 75 % 2.12 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was correct 1.5 (37%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (7%) 6 60 % 1.58 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was correct -0.5 (-5%)
X Wins by KO 15 (10%) 7 47 % 4.14 14.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 21.7 (145%)
X Wins by Sub 24 (16%) 3 13 % 3.38 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -14.7 (-61%)
X Wins by Decision 26 (18%) 3 12 % 3.24 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -16.2 (-62%)
X Wins Inside Distance 18 (12%) 6 33 % 2.28 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -4.2 (-23%)
X Wins in Round X 6 (4%) 1 17 % 5.38 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct -3.9 (-66%)
Others 25 (17%) 12 48 % 1.77 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.23Pick was correct -5.3 (-21%)
146 54 37 % 2.37     -18.7 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Straight Up MMA KILLER's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Jun PFL 2021: Week 5 5.5 -3.5 -64% $10.00 $1,000.00 $965.00
19th Jun UFC FN 12 4.3 36% $9.65 $965.00 $1,006.32
25th Jun PFL 2021: Week 6 7.5 -0.8 -11% $10.06 $1,006.32 $998.01
11th Dec UFC 269 22 4.4 20% $9.98 $998.01 $1,041.92
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 42.25 19.7 47% $10.42 $1,041.92 $1,246.67
1st Oct Bellator 286 10 6.7 67% $12.47 $1,246.67 $1,329.78
22nd Oct UFC 280 18 -13.4 -75% $13.30 $1,329.78 $1,151.06
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 28 8.0 29% $11.51 $1,151.06 $1,243.72
16th Jun Bellator 297 15 -10.4 -70% $12.44 $1,243.72 $1,113.87
16th Jun PFL 5: Regular Season 10 -4.7 -47% $11.14 $1,113.87 $1,061.86
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 21 2.1 10% $10.62 $1,061.86 $1,084.47
29th Jul UFC 291 21 7.2 35% $5 $10.84 $1,084.47 $1,158.10
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 36 -7.9 -22% $11.58 $1,158.10 $1,066.61
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 27.5 19.7 72% $10.67 $1,066.61 $1,277.24
15th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 2 10.2 8.2 81% $12.77 $1,277.24 $1,382.61
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 55.1 -4.9 -9% $13.83 $1,382.61 $1,315.31
29th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 4 22 -17.0 -77% $13.15 $1,315.31 $1,091.70
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 48 20.7 43% $10.92 $1,091.70 $1,317.63
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 18 -18.0 -100% $13.18 $1,317.63 $1,080.45
9th Sep UFC 293 34 -18.4 -54% $10.80 $1,080.45 $881.11
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 21 16.5 79% $8.81 $881.11 $1,026.49
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.6 0.8 4% $10.26 $1,026.49 $1,034.56
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 18 0.8 4% $5 $10.35 $1,034.56 $1,037.32
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 16 -4.2 -26% $5 $10.37 $1,037.32 $988.75
21st Oct UFC 294 23.1 9.0 39% $5 $9.89 $988.75 $1,072.50
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 40.6 -7.8 -19% $5 $10.73 $1,072.50 $983.47
11th Nov UFC 295 14 5.8 42% $5 $9.83 $983.47 $1,035.71
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 13.25 1.5 11% $5 $10.36 $1,035.71 $1,045.73
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 45 -27.0 -60% $10.46 $1,045.73 $763.80
16th Dec UFC 296 11 14.1 128% $5 $7.64 $763.80 $866.67
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 19.5 -5.1 -26% $8.67 $866.67 $822.82
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 50.3 -3.9 -8% $5 $8.23 $822.82 $785.46
9th Mar UFC 299 21.5 -6.2 -29% $7.85 $785.46 $736.45
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 46 27.4 59% $7.36 $736.45 $937.87
13th Apr UFC 300 57.5 13.3 23% $5 $9.38 $937.87 $1,057.42
18th Apr Ares FC 20 0.5 -0.5 -100% $5 $10.57 $1,057.42 $1,047.13
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 23 11.4 49% $5 $10.47 $1,047.13 $1,161.31


ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Shamil Musaev Logan Storley 2.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Adam Borics Enrique Barzola 1.66 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Murad Ramazanov Laureano Staropoli 1.11 10 Sub, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Renato Moicano Jalin Turner 3.00 2 TKO, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Diego Lopes Sodiq Yusuff 1.66 4 TKO, R1 (1:29) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Aljamain Sterling Calvin Kattar 1.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.00 10 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.77 11 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Jose Mariscal Morgan Charriere 2.10 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Norma Dumont Germaine de Randamie 1.72 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Jean Matsumoto Dan Argueta 1.62 5 Sub, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.25 5 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.66 1 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Paid Pick Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Vinicius de Oliveira Bernardo Sopai 1.80 10 TKO, R3 (4:41) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Marquel Mederos Landon Quiñones 1.72 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.57 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Bubba Jenkins Kai Kamaka 1.64 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Brett Johns Timur Khizriev 3.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Otto Rodrigues Tyler Diamond 1.66 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.87 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Yan Xiaonan Weili Zhang 5.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Trevor Peek Charlie Campbell 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Pedro Falcao Victor Hugo Silva 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.30 3 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.90 10 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Alex Perez Muhammad Mokaev 3.75 3 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Bekzat Almakhan Umar Nurmagomedov 8.00 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Matt Schnell Steve Erceg 4.00 3 TKO, R2 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Azat Maksum Charles Johnson 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Julija Stoliarenko Luana Carolina 1.66 1 TKO, R3 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Viviane Araujo Natalia Cristina da Silva 4.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Drew Dober Renato Moicano 2.62 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Roman Dolidze Nassourdine Imavov 2.40 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Joe Solecki Drakkar Klose 2.10 3 TKO, R1 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '23 Zachary Reese Cody Brundage 1.36 7 TKO, R1 (1:49) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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