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MMA Handicapper Stats: Straight Up MMA KILLER

Straight Up MMA KILLER (ArmBarUrBookie)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Straight Up MMA KILLER

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 82 (40%) Right 51 (50%) Right 24 (28%) Right 7 (35%)
Wrong 124 (60%) Wrong 50 (50%) Wrong 61 (72%) Wrong 13 (65%)
Avg Odds 2.36 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.72 Avg Odds 2.84
Units Bet 669.5 Units Bet 387.3 Units Bet 183.0 Units Bet 99.3
Avg Bet 3.25 Avg Bet 3.83 Avg Bet 2.15 Avg Bet 4.96
Units Profit -2.69 Units Profit 45.08 Units Profit -30.12 Units Profit -17.64
ROI % -0% ROI % 12% ROI % -16% ROI % -18%
View Handicapper's Profile

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 45 -27.0 -60% -25.0 / 43 (-58%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 13.25 1.5 11% 1.5 / 13.25 (11%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 14 5.8 42% 5.8 / 14 (42%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 40.6 -7.8 -19% 2.5 / 14.5 (17%) -21.1 / 21.1 (-100%) 10.8 / 5 (215%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 23.1 9.0 39% 0.3 / 3 (8%) 2.0 / 19.1 (10%) 6.8 / 1 (677%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 16 -4.2 -26% -4.2 / 16 (-26%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 18 0.8 4% 0.8 / 18 (4%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.6 0.8 4% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 13.1 (-10%) 3.6 / 3 (121%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 21 16.5 79% 9.5 / 10 (95%) 10.0 / 8 (125%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 34 -18.4 -54% -2.2 / 14.5 (-15%) -6.2 / 9.5 (-66%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 18 -18.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 48 20.7 43% 9.6 / 26.5 (36%) 1.7 / 16.5 (10%) 9.4 / 5 (188%)
29th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 4 22 -17.0 -77% -2.0 / 7 (-29%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 55.1 -4.9 -9% -0.0 / 21.5 (-0%) -2.7 / 15.6 (-17%) -2.1 / 18 (-12%)
15th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 2 10.2 8.2 81% 4.4 / 5 (89%) 3.8 / 5.2 (73%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 27.5 19.7 72% 8.6 / 12 (72%) 0.5 / 5 (10%) 10.6 / 10.5 (101%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 36 -7.9 -22% 11.1 / 17 (65%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 21 7.2 35% 15.2 / 13 (117%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 21 2.1 10% 2.1 / 21 (10%)
16th Jun '23 PFL 5: Regular Season 10 -4.7 -47% -0.7 / 4 (-18%) -3.9 / 6 (-66%)
16th Jun '23 Bellator 297 15 -10.4 -70% -8.4 / 13 (-65%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 28 8.0 29% 8.0 / 28 (29%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 18 -13.4 -75% -13.4 / 18 (-75%)
1st Oct '22 Bellator 286 10 6.7 67% 6.7 / 10 (67%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 42.25 19.7 47% 15.4 / 16 (96%) 14.5 / 16 (91%) -10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 22 4.4 20% 4.4 / 22 (20%)
25th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 6 7.5 -0.8 -11% 3.2 / 3.5 (91%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 12 4.3 36% 4.2 / 10 (42%) 0.1 / 2 (3%)
17th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 5 5.5 -3.5 -64% -3.5 / 5.5 (-64%)


Winning Events: 16 (55%)
Losing Events: 13 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 55.10 units
Best Event: 20.69 units
Worst Event: -26.96 units
Average Event: -0.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 30.72
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -36.45

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 554.35 -19.9 -4% 24.6 / 307.75 (8%) -3.4 / 85 (-4%) 12 / 10 (55%) -0.91
2022 70.25 12.9 18% 8.6 / 44 (20%) -10.3 / 10.25 (-100%) 2 / 1 (67%) 4.29
2021 47 4.4 9% 11.8 / 35.5 (33%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2 / 2 (50%) 1.09

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 518.4 23.8 5% 46.7 / 308.75 (15%) -18.2 / 123.4 (-15%) -4.6 / 86.25 (-5%)
Bellator 25 -3.8 -15% -1.8 / 23 (-8%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
PFL 23 -9.0 -39% 2.5 / 7.5 (33%) -7.4 / 11.5 (-65%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
Other 105.2 -13.7 -13% -2.3 / 48 (-5%) -2.5 / 48.2 (-5%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (13%) 6 46 % 87.00 -34.10 -2.62 -39%
Slight Favorites 31 (31%) 18 58 % 147.00 20.16 0.65 14%
Slight Underdogs 37 (37%) 23 62 % 129.00 71.00 1.92 55%
Big Underdogs 20 (20%) 4 20 % 24.25 -11.98 -0.60 -49%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (8%) 7 88 % 60.00 28.52 3.56 48%
Co-Main Event 15 (15%) 5 33 % 58.50 -9.55 -0.64 -16%
Position 3-5 23 (23%) 14 61 % 91.25 13.61 0.59 15%
6+ (Undercard) 55 (54%) 25 45 % 177.50 12.51 0.23 7%

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (5%) 4 80 % 27.00 10.96 2.19 41%
Light Heavy 6 (6%) 4 67 % 20.50 12.34 2.06 60%
Middleweight 9 (9%) 3 33 % 37.00 -20.90 -2.32 -56%
Welterweight 14 (14%) 7 50 % 48.50 3.87 0.28 8%
Lightweight 17 (17%) 10 59 % 71.50 15.54 0.91 22%
Featherweight 12 (12%) 8 67 % 56.50 31.39 2.62 56%
Bantamweight 14 (14%) 6 43 % 46.25 9.15 0.65 20%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 9.00 -0.90 -0.30 -10%
               
Women's Fights 21 (21%) 8 38 % 71.00 -16.37 -0.78 -23%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.72 -0.36 -18%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 0 % 20.00 -20.00 -4.00 -100%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 18.00 -1.40 -0.35 -8%
Strawweight 10 (10%) 6 60 % 29.00 5.75 0.58 20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 28 (70%) 24 86 %
Slight Favorites 9 (23%) 6 67 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (8%) 2 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
40 32 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (11%) 10 77 %
50-65% 32 (28%) 17 53 %
35-50% 25 (22%) 8 32 %
<35% chance 44 (39%) 6 14 %
114 41 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (5%) 4 67 % 1.57 2.00Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 1.6 (26%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (4%) 3 60 % 1.91 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was correct -0.0 (-1%)
Goes to Decision 4 (4%) 3 75 % 2.12 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was correct 1.5 (37%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (9%) 6 60 % 1.58 2.35Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was correct -0.5 (-5%)
X Wins by KO 7 (6%) 3 43 % 6.60 14.00Pick was incorrect 3.80Pick was incorrect 16.2 (231%)
X Wins by Sub 19 (17%) 3 16 % 3.36 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -9.7 (-51%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (13%) 0 0 % 3.42 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -13.0 (-87%)
X Wins Inside Distance 18 (16%) 6 33 % 2.28 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -4.2 (-23%)
X Wins in Round X 6 (5%) 1 17 % 5.38 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct -3.9 (-66%)
Others 24 (21%) 12 50 % 1.76 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.23Pick was correct -4.3 (-18%)
114 41 36 % 2.35     -16.4 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Straight Up MMA KILLER's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Jun PFL 2021: Week 5 5.5 -3.5 -64% $10.00 $1,000.00 $965.00
19th Jun UFC FN 12 4.3 36% $9.65 $965.00 $1,006.32
25th Jun PFL 2021: Week 6 7.5 -0.8 -11% $10.06 $1,006.32 $998.01
11th Dec UFC 269 22 4.4 20% $9.98 $998.01 $1,041.92
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 42.25 19.7 47% $10.42 $1,041.92 $1,246.67
1st Oct Bellator 286 10 6.7 67% $12.47 $1,246.67 $1,329.78
22nd Oct UFC 280 18 -13.4 -75% $13.30 $1,329.78 $1,151.06
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 28 8.0 29% $11.51 $1,151.06 $1,243.72
16th Jun Bellator 297 15 -10.4 -70% $12.44 $1,243.72 $1,113.87
16th Jun PFL 5: Regular Season 10 -4.7 -47% $11.14 $1,113.87 $1,061.86
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 21 2.1 10% $10.62 $1,061.86 $1,084.47
29th Jul UFC 291 21 7.2 35% $5 $10.84 $1,084.47 $1,158.10
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 36 -7.9 -22% $11.58 $1,158.10 $1,066.61
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 27.5 19.7 72% $10.67 $1,066.61 $1,277.24
15th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 2 10.2 8.2 81% $12.77 $1,277.24 $1,382.61
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 55.1 -4.9 -9% $13.83 $1,382.61 $1,315.31
29th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 4 22 -17.0 -77% $13.15 $1,315.31 $1,091.70
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 48 20.7 43% $10.92 $1,091.70 $1,317.63
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 18 -18.0 -100% $13.18 $1,317.63 $1,080.45
9th Sep UFC 293 34 -18.4 -54% $10.80 $1,080.45 $881.11
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 21 16.5 79% $8.81 $881.11 $1,026.49
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.6 0.8 4% $10.26 $1,026.49 $1,034.56
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 18 0.8 4% $5 $10.35 $1,034.56 $1,037.32
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 16 -4.2 -26% $5 $10.37 $1,037.32 $988.75
21st Oct UFC 294 23.1 9.0 39% $5 $9.89 $988.75 $1,072.50
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 40.6 -7.8 -19% $5 $10.73 $1,072.50 $983.47
11th Nov UFC 295 14 5.8 42% $5 $9.83 $983.47 $1,035.71
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 13.25 1.5 11% $5 $10.36 $1,035.71 $1,045.73
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 45 -27.0 -60% $10.46 $1,045.73 $763.80


ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Rodolfo Bellato Ihor Potieria 1.22 4 TKO, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Joaquim Silva Clay Guida 1.28 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Deiveson Figueiredo Rob Font 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Paid Pick Joanderson Brito Jonathan Pearce 2.10 7 Sub, R2 (3:54) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Paid Pick Benoit Saint-Denis Matt Frevola 1.44 5 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Paid Pick Jessica Andrade Mackenzie Dern 2.62 1 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Paid Pick Diego Lopes Pat Sabatini 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Jailton Junior Derrick Lewis 1.20 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Paid Pick Nicolas Dalby Gabriel Bonfim 5.50 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Angela Hill Denise Gomes 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '23 Mike Breeden Anshul Jubli 3.25 1 TKO, R3 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '23 Paid Pick Rodolfo Bellato Murtaza Talha Ali 3.40 1 TKO, R2 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Paid Pick Victor Hugo Silva Eduardo Matias Torres 1.68 5 Sub, R2 (2:16) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Jean Matsumoto Kasey Tanner 1.95 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 Gabriel Miranda Shane Young 2.10 2 Sub, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Kevin Jousset Kiefer Crosbie 1.62 5 Sub, R1 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Ciryl Gane Sergey Spivak 1.53 10 TKO, R2 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Thiago Moises 1.61 10 TKO, R2 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '23 Ange Loosa Rhys McKee 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Bolaji Oki Dylan Salvador 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Joe Solecki Drakkar Klose 2.10 3 TKO, R1 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Zachary Reese Cody Brundage 1.36 7 TKO, R1 (1:49) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Julia Avila Miesha Tate 1.72 5 Sub, R3 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Punahele Soriano Dustin Stoltzfus 1.25 7 Sub, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Wellington Turman Jared Gooden 1.53 3 Sub, R2 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '23 Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.53 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Paid Pick Uros Medic Myktybek Orolbai 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Paid Pick Nick Aguirre Payton Talbott 6.00 0.25 Sub, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Paid Pick Jordan Leavitt Chase Hooper 3.00 1 Sub, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Paid Pick Tabatha Ricci Lupita Godinez 2.40 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Kaue Fernandes Marc Diakiese 2.70 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '23 Kamaru Usman Khamzat Chimaev 3.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Jinh Yu Frey Viktoriya Dudakova 5.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Paid Pick Raimond Magomedaliev Mauricio Ruffy 1.40 10 TKO, R3 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 Terrence Mitchell Raul Rosas Jr 6.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Josh Fremd Roman Kopylov 3.75 1 TKO, R2 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Felipe Dos Santos Manel Kape 4.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Da Un Jung Carlos Ulberg 3.40 0.5 Sub, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '23 Landon Quiñones Nasrat Haqparast 4.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '23 Mike Mathetha Charlie Radtke 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Progress Chart
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