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MMA Handicapper Stats: Doyle Carroll

Doyle Carroll (dcMMApicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (43%)	Right	22 (43%)	Right	22 (42%)	Right	6 (46%)
Wrong	66 (57%)	Wrong	29 (57%)	Wrong	30 (58%)	Wrong	7 (54%)
Avg Odds	2.48	Avg Odds	2.25	Avg Odds	2.75	Avg Odds	2.47
Units Bet	210.9	Units Bet	89.5	Units Bet	90.3	Units Bet	31.2
Avg Bet	1.82	Avg Bet	1.75	Avg Bet	1.74	Avg Bet	2.40
Units Profit	-6.46	Units Profit	5.99	Units Profit	-8.64	Units Profit	-3.82
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-12%

Doyle Carroll: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	1.38	1.0	72%	1.0 / 1.38 (72%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	3.45	1.3	37%		1.3 / 3.45 (37%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	18.8	4.8	26%	4.4 / 12.8 (34%)	0.4 / 6 (7%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	30.99	-1.0	-3%	0.1 / 19.3 (1%)	0.9 / 5.55 (15%)	-2.0 / 6.14 (-32%)
25th Jun '21	Bellator 261	8	-5.7	-71%	-0.7 / 3 (-23%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 6	13.86	-0.8	-6%		-0.8 / 13.86 (-6%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	38.43	12.1	31%	6.4 / 25.63 (25%)	-0.4 / 8.7 (-5%)	6.1 / 4.1 (148%)
17th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 5	17.12	-6.8	-40%	-1.4 / 3.86 (-37%)	-2.1 / 6.26 (-33%)	-3.4 / 7 (-48%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	53.89	-10.1	-19%	-1.4 / 12.87 (-11%)	-5.4 / 35.59 (-15%)	-3.3 / 5.43 (-61%)
11th Jun '21	Bellator 260	9	-3.0	-33%	2.5 / 3.5 (71%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
10th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 4	17.99	1.9	10%	-4.9 / 7.13 (-69%)	3.0 / 7.36 (41%)	3.8 / 3.5 (109%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 19.36 units
Most Staked On One Event: 53.89 units
Best Event: 12.05 units
Worst Event: -10.10 units
Average Event: -0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -19.93

Doyle Carroll: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	212.91	-6.5	-3%	6.0 / 89.47 (7%)		-3.8 / 31.17 (-12%)	5 / 6 (45%)	-0.59

Doyle Carroll: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Doyle Carroll: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	146.94	8.0	5%	10.5 / 71.98 (15%)	-3.2 / 59.29 (-5%)	0.7 / 15.67 (5%)
Bellator	17	-8.7	-51%	1.8 / 6.5 (28%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
PFL	48.97	-5.8	-12%	-6.3 / 10.99 (-58%)	0.1 / 27.48 (0%)	0.4 / 10.5 (4%)

Doyle Carroll: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.25	1.00	1.00	44%
Slight Favorites	19 (35%)	14	74 %	47.62	20.49	1.08	43%
Slight Underdogs	21 (39%)	8	38 %	26.50	-2.40	-0.11	-9%
Big Underdogs	13 (24%)	0	0 %	13.10	-13.10	-1.01	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (17%)	3	33 %	14.72	1.68	0.19	11%
Co-Main Event	9 (17%)	3	33 %	11.45	-4.07	-0.45	-36%
Position 3-5	12 (22%)	5	42 %	19.07	2.63	0.22	14%
6+ (Undercard)	24 (44%)	12	50 %	44.23	5.75	0.24	13%

Doyle Carroll: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (9%)	1	20 %	5.50	-3.00	-0.60	-55%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	2	67 %	3.15	1.10	0.37	35%
Middleweight	3 (6%)	3	100 %	9.60	8.00	2.67	83%
Welterweight	12 (22%)	5	42 %	19.08	1.27	0.11	7%
Lightweight	10 (19%)	3	30 %	13.58	-4.03	-0.40	-30%
Featherweight	11 (20%)	4	36 %	21.90	-0.70	-0.06	-3%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.38	0.00	0.00	0%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (13%)	4	57 %	13.28	4.35	0.62	33%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.20	0.00	0.00	0%
Flyweight	4 (7%)	2	50 %	6.20	0.35	0.09	6%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	4.88	4.00	4.00	82%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	32 (86%)	24	75 %
Slight Favorites	4 (11%)	3	75 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	37	27	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (2%)	1	100 %
50-65%	12 (24%)	5	42 %
35-50%	12 (24%)	7	58 %
<35% chance	25 (50%)	4	16 %
	50	17	34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (10%)	5	100 %	1.73	2.40	1.45	3.9 (79%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.30	2.30	2.30	1.3 (130%)
Goes to Decision	2 (4%)	0	0 %	1.91	1.95	1.87	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO	11 (22%)	1	9 %	2.80	10.00	1.67	-9.0 (-82%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (8%)	2	50 %	2.37	5.50	1.91	0.1 (1%)
X Wins by Decision	14 (28%)	5	36 %	3.10	6.00	1.83	-0.6 (-4%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (18%)	3	33 %	3.02	6.50	1.80	5.0 (56%)
Others	3 (6%)	0	0 %	18.87	29.00	13.00	-3.0 (-100%)
	50	17	34 %	2.76			-4.3 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Doyle Carroll's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 4	17.99	1.9	10%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,018.53
11th Jun	Bellator 260	9	-3.0	-33%		$10.19	$1,018.53	$987.98
12th Jun	UFC 263	53.89	-10.1	-19%		$9.88	$987.98	$888.21
17th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 5	17.12	-6.8	-40%		$8.88	$888.21	$827.53
19th Jun	UFC FN	38.43	12.1	31%		$8.28	$827.53	$927.25
25th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 6	13.86	-0.8	-6%		$9.27	$927.25	$919.74
25th Jun	Bellator 261	8	-5.7	-71%		$9.20	$919.74	$867.32
26th Jun	UFC FN	30.99	-1.0	-3%		$8.67	$867.32	$858.27
10th Jul	UFC 264	18.8	4.8	26%		$8.58	$858.27	$899.78
17th Jul	UFC FN	3.45	1.3	37%		$9.00	$899.78	$911.28
7th Aug	UFC 265	1.38	1.0	72%		$9.11	$911.28	$920.39

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Doyle Carroll: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '21	Dustin Poirier	Conor McGregor	1.95	2.1	TKO, R1 (5:0)
2.	Jul '21	Gilbert Burns	Stephen Thompson	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '21	Irene Aldana	Yana Santos	1.83	1.2	TKO, R1 (4:35)
4.	Jun '21	Renato Moicano	Jai Herbert	1.44	2.25	Sub, R2 (4:34)
5.	Jun '21	Tim Means	Nicolas Dalby	1.77	2.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '21	Daniel Weichel	Keoni Diggs	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '21	Damir Hadzovic	Yancy Medeiros	1.71	2.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Danilo Marques	1.87	1.15	TKO, R3 (0:20)
9.	Jun '21	Tanner Boser	Ovince St Preux	1.67	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:31)
10.	Jul '21	Dricus Du Plessis	Trevin Giles	1.91	4.4	TKO, R2 (1:41)
11.	Jun '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Danilo Marques	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (0:20)
12.	Jun '21	Sadibou Sy	Alexey Kunchenko	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '21	Chan Sung Jung	Dan Ige	1.91	3.3	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Jun '21	Lauren Murphy	Joanne Wood	2.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '21	Jose Aldo	Pedro Munhoz	1.72	1.38	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jun '21	Eryk Anders	Darren Stewart	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '21	Yaroslav Amosov	Douglas Lima	2.40	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jun '21	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Marcin Held	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '21	Steven Peterson	Chase Hooper	1.91	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '21	Casey O'Neill	Lara Fritzen Procopio	2.15	2	Sub, R3 (2:54)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	2.07	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	Yes
2.	Jul '21	Jerome Rivera	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	4.00	1	Sub, R1 (2:2)	Yes
3.	Jun '21	Ovince St Preux	Tanner Boser	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:31)	No
4.	Jun '21	Ovince St Preux	Tanner Boser	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:31)	No
5.	Jun '21	Julija Stoliarenko	Julia Avila	4.00	1	Sub, R3 (4:19)	Yes
6.	Jun '21	Jai Herbert	Renato Moicano	3.00	1	Sub, R2 (4:34)	No
7.	Jun '21	Timothy Johnson	Valentin Moldavsky	3.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '21	Kana Watanabe	Liz Carmouche	2.85	1	TKO, R1 (0:35)	No
9.	Jun '21	Justin Jaynes	Charles Rosa	2.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '21	Nikolay Aleksakhin	Ray Cooper III	1.70	2.86	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '21	Niko Price	Michel Pereira	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '21	Nicolas Dalby	Tim Means	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.45	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '21	Julian Erosa	Seung Woo Choi	2.30	2	TKO, R1 (1:37)	Yes
15.	Jun '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Casey O'Neill	1.91	2.2	Sub, R3 (2:54)	No
16.	Jun '21	Chase Hooper	Steven Peterson	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jun '21	Paul Daley	Jason Jackson	3.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.91	1.1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	Yes
19.	Jun '21	Ike Villanueva	Marcin Prachnio	2.80	1	TKO, R2 (0:56)	Yes
20.	Jun '21	Demian Maia	Belal Muhammad	3.00	0.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Doyle Carroll: Progress Chart

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