| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: ValueFinder |
|
|
ValueFinder : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 35 (58%)
Losing Events: 25 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.00 units
Best Event: 12.19 units
Worst Event: -99.00 units
Average Event: -0.75 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 42.16
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -110.00 |
ValueFinder : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
99 |
-99.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
-88.0 / 88 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-99.00 |
| 2022 |
438.5 |
31.8 |
7% |
21.5 / 399.5 (5%) |
|
9.3 / 36 (26%) |
23 / 16 (59%) |
0.82 |
| 2021 |
215.92 |
22.4 |
10% |
25.7 / 189.92 (14%) |
|
-6.6 / 19.5 (-34%) |
12 / 8 (60%) |
1.12 |
|
ValueFinder : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
ValueFinder : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
753.42 |
-44.8 |
-6% |
36.2 / 600.42 (6%) |
4.2 / 9.5 (44%) |
-85.2 / 143.5 (-59%) |
|
ValueFinder : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
46 (30%) |
33 |
72 % |
192.80 |
8.13 |
0.18 |
4% |
| Slight Favorites |
75 (49%) |
45 |
60 % |
319.37 |
26.08 |
0.35 |
8% |
| Slight Underdogs |
27 (18%) |
15 |
56 % |
73.50 |
12.39 |
0.46 |
17% |
| Big Underdogs |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
14.75 |
-10.35 |
-2.07 |
-70% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
12 (8%) |
4 |
33 % |
51.70 |
-25.95 |
-2.16 |
-50% |
| Co-Main Event |
9 (6%) |
6 |
67 % |
20.90 |
4.52 |
0.50 |
22% |
| Position 3-5 |
45 (29%) |
31 |
69 % |
177.10 |
35.45 |
0.79 |
20% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
87 (57%) |
54 |
62 % |
350.72 |
22.23 |
0.26 |
6% |
|
ValueFinder : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
15 (10%) |
11 |
73 % |
56.50 |
14.73 |
0.98 |
26% |
| Light Heavy |
9 (6%) |
7 |
78 % |
31.70 |
12.21 |
1.36 |
39% |
| Middleweight |
10 (7%) |
8 |
80 % |
57.26 |
19.49 |
1.95 |
34% |
| Welterweight |
18 (12%) |
7 |
39 % |
54.30 |
-18.53 |
-1.03 |
-34% |
| Lightweight |
23 (15%) |
16 |
70 % |
118.81 |
-6.53 |
-0.28 |
-5% |
| Featherweight |
17 (11%) |
9 |
53 % |
63.20 |
-5.75 |
-0.34 |
-9% |
| Bantamweight |
19 (12%) |
12 |
63 % |
78.90 |
-1.97 |
-0.10 |
-2% |
| Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
7 |
88 % |
36.00 |
20.39 |
2.55 |
57% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
34 (22%) |
18 |
53 % |
103.75 |
2.21 |
0.06 |
2% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.71 |
1.71 |
57% |
| Bantamweight |
10 (7%) |
6 |
60 % |
33.50 |
2.50 |
0.25 |
7% |
| Flyweight |
13 (8%) |
7 |
54 % |
34.25 |
10.41 |
0.80 |
30% |
| Strawweight |
10 (7%) |
4 |
40 % |
33.00 |
-12.41 |
-1.24 |
-38% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
27 (68%) |
19 |
70 % |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (5%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
| Big Underdogs |
8 (20%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
40 |
22 |
55 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail ValueFinder 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 15th May |
UFC 262 |
19.17 |
-8.6 |
-45% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$913.57 |
| 22nd May |
UFC FN |
13 |
-0.5 |
-4% |
|
$9.14 |
$913.57 |
$909.37 |
| 5th Jun |
UFC FN |
13.5 |
0.6 |
5% |
|
$9.09 |
$909.37 |
$915.19 |
| 12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
8 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$9.15 |
$915.19 |
$914.73 |
| 19th Jun |
UFC FN |
13 |
11.0 |
85% |
|
$9.15 |
$914.73 |
$1,015.58 |
| 26th Jun |
UFC FN |
15.5 |
5.6 |
36% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.58 |
$1,072.49 |
| 10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
9 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.49 |
$1,074.42 |
| 17th Jul |
UFC FN |
9 |
9.0 |
100% |
|
$10.74 |
$1,074.42 |
$1,171.54 |
| 24th Jul |
UFC FN |
5 |
3.4 |
67% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,171.54 |
$1,210.79 |
| 31st Jul |
UFC FN |
19.5 |
-10.1 |
-52% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,210.79 |
$1,088.74 |
| 7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
14 |
-2.1 |
-15% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.74 |
$1,065.93 |
| 21st Aug |
UFC FN |
17 |
-9.9 |
-58% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.93 |
$960.03 |
| 28th Aug |
UFC FN |
17.2 |
2.6 |
15% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.03 |
$985.37 |
| 4th Sep |
UFC FN |
6.3 |
5.3 |
85% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.37 |
$1,037.97 |
| 6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
92% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.97 |
$1,118.94 |
| 13th Nov |
UFC FN |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,118.94 |
$1,068.58 |
| 20th Nov |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.58 |
$1,036.53 |
| 4th Dec |
UFC FN |
6 |
4.2 |
69% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.53 |
$1,079.65 |
| 11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
4.25 |
4.2 |
98% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,079.65 |
$1,124.61 |
| 18th Dec |
UFC FN |
10.5 |
7.3 |
69% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.61 |
$1,206.15 |
| 15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
12 |
-4.2 |
-35% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,206.15 |
$1,155.37 |
| 22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
6.5 |
2.7 |
41% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,155.37 |
$1,185.99 |
| 5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
17.5 |
10.5 |
60% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.99 |
$1,309.93 |
| 12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
13 |
9.0 |
69% |
|
$13.10 |
$1,309.93 |
$1,427.29 |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
5 |
3.7 |
74% |
|
$14.27 |
$1,427.29 |
$1,480.10 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
10 |
0.4 |
4% |
|
$14.80 |
$1,480.10 |
$1,486.47 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
14 |
9.8 |
70% |
|
$14.86 |
$1,486.47 |
$1,631.79 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
6 |
1.9 |
32% |
|
$16.32 |
$1,631.79 |
$1,663.29 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
9 |
4.3 |
47% |
|
$16.63 |
$1,663.29 |
$1,734.14 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
10 |
-2.9 |
-29% |
|
$17.34 |
$1,734.14 |
$1,683.85 |
| 9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
3 |
1.7 |
57% |
|
$16.84 |
$1,683.85 |
$1,712.65 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
9 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
|
$17.13 |
$1,712.65 |
$1,704.42 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$17.04 |
$1,704.42 |
$1,678.86 |
| 30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
8 |
-2.0 |
-24% |
|
$16.79 |
$1,678.86 |
$1,645.95 |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
6.5 |
1.1 |
17% |
|
$16.46 |
$1,645.95 |
$1,664.14 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
8.5 |
5.8 |
68% |
|
$16.64 |
$1,664.14 |
$1,760.41 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
9 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$17.60 |
$1,760.41 |
$1,756.18 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
5 |
3.3 |
65% |
|
$17.56 |
$1,756.18 |
$1,813.26 |
| 11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
12 |
-8.7 |
-72% |
|
$18.13 |
$1,813.26 |
$1,655.87 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
24 |
4.3 |
18% |
|
$16.56 |
$1,655.87 |
$1,726.74 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
22 |
1.5 |
7% |
|
$17.27 |
$1,726.74 |
$1,752.82 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
7 |
5.0 |
71% |
|
$17.53 |
$1,752.82 |
$1,839.93 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
14.5 |
-8.1 |
-56% |
|
$18.40 |
$1,839.93 |
$1,691.54 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
10 |
3.9 |
39% |
|
$16.92 |
$1,691.54 |
$1,757.51 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
16.5 |
6.8 |
41% |
|
$17.58 |
$1,757.51 |
$1,876.49 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
15 |
-3.3 |
-22% |
|
$18.76 |
$1,876.49 |
$1,814.19 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.14 |
$1,814.19 |
$1,723.48 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
13 |
-6.0 |
-47% |
|
$17.23 |
$1,723.48 |
$1,619.21 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
34 |
12.2 |
36% |
|
$16.19 |
$1,619.21 |
$1,816.57 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
9 |
7.7 |
86% |
|
$18.17 |
$1,816.57 |
$1,957.18 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
15 |
-10.4 |
-69% |
|
$19.57 |
$1,957.18 |
$1,753.44 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
20 |
-8.1 |
-41% |
|
$17.53 |
$1,753.44 |
$1,611.06 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
11 |
7.5 |
68% |
|
$16.11 |
$1,611.06 |
$1,731.56 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
11 |
5.7 |
52% |
|
$17.32 |
$1,731.56 |
$1,830.61 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
8 |
4.2 |
53% |
|
$18.31 |
$1,830.61 |
$1,908.23 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.08 |
$1,908.23 |
$1,755.57 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.56 |
$1,755.57 |
$1,615.13 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
11 |
6.9 |
63% |
|
$16.15 |
$1,615.13 |
$1,727.05 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.27 |
$1,727.05 |
$1,537.08 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
99 |
-99.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.37 |
$1,537.08 |
$15.37 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -98.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
ValueFinder : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '22 |
Charles Johnson |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
1.63 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Oct '22 |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
Jared Vanderaa |
1.53 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Oct '22 |
Caio Borralho |
Makhmud Muradov |
1.52 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Oct '22 |
Mana Martinez |
Brandon Davis |
1.68 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '22 |
Mike Davis |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
1.59 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '22 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Yadong Song |
1.53 |
3 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '22 |
Johnny Walker |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.90 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:37) |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '22 |
Yohan Lainesse |
Darian Weeks |
2.06 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '22 |
Irene Aldana |
Macy Chiasson |
1.62 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (2:21) |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '22 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Charles Jourdain |
2.15 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '22 |
Nasrat Haqparast |
John Makdessi |
1.43 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Aug '22 |
Jared Gordon |
Leonardo Santos |
1.39 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Aug '22 |
Jamahal Hill |
Thiago Santos |
1.35 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (2:31) |
|
|
| 14. |
Aug '22 |
Bryan Battle |
Takashi Sato |
1.38 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
|
|
| 15. |
Aug '22 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Stephanie Egger |
2.17 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
|
|
| 16. |
Jul '22 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Alex Perez |
1.57 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (1:31) |
|
|
| 17. |
Jul '22 |
Nick Negumereanu |
Ihor Potieria |
2.05 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:33) |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '22 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Derrick Lewis |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:55) |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '22 |
Jai Herbert |
Kyle Nelson |
1.38 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '22 |
Paddy Pimblett |
Jordan Leavitt |
1.40 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (2:46) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Feb '23 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Islam Makhachev |
4.15 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '22 |
Marc Diakiese |
Michael Johnson |
1.33 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '22 |
Ottman Azaitar |
Matt Frevola |
1.84 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '22 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Amanda Lemos |
1.48 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '22 |
John Castaneda |
Daniel Santos |
1.54 |
7 |
TKO, R2 (4:28) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '22 |
Pat Sabatini |
Damon Jackson |
1.56 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '22 |
Michal Figlak |
Fares Ziam |
1.53 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Aldo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.22 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Aug '22 |
Dominick Cruz |
Marlon Vera |
3.05 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Aug '22 |
Zac Pauga |
Mohammed Usman |
1.42 |
7 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '22 |
Ariane Lipski |
Priscila Cachoeira |
1.59 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:5) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Jul '22 |
Don'tale Mayes |
Hamdy Abdelwahab |
1.58 |
3.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Shore |
Ricky Simon |
1.71 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:28) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Shore |
Ricky Simon |
1.63 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:28) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Jul '22 |
Da Un Jung |
Dustin Jacoby |
2.25 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Jun '22 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Mateusz Gamrot |
1.37 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Jun '22 |
T.J. Brown |
Yilan Sha |
1.54 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Jun '22 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Natalia Cristina da Silva |
1.43 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jun '22 |
Calvin Kattar |
Josh Emmett |
1.43 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jun '22 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Joshua Culibao |
1.43 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
ValueFinder : Progress Chart |
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