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MMA Handicapper Stats: Smash Bets |
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Smash Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 29 (71%) Losing Events: 12 (29%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.80 units Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units Best Event: 15.11 units Worst Event: -10.00 units Average Event: 1.03 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 37.89 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -22.62 |
Smash Bets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
89.1 |
-5.6 |
-6% |
-2.0 / 70.1 (-3%) |
|
|
4 / 4 (50%) |
-0.70 |
2022 |
193.5 |
37.4 |
19% |
43.3 / 120.5 (36%) |
|
0.4 / 15 (3%) |
18 / 6 (75%) |
1.56 |
2021 |
37 |
10.3 |
28% |
9.5 / 21 (45%) |
|
|
7 / 2 (78%) |
1.15 |
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Smash Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Smash Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
284.6 |
34.0 |
12% |
43.6 / 178.6 (24%) |
-9.9 / 91 (-11%) |
0.4 / 15 (3%) |
Bellator |
22 |
8.7 |
39% |
7.9 / 20 (39%) |
0.8 / 2 (41%) |
|
PFL |
13 |
-0.6 |
-5% |
-0.6 / 13 (-5%) |
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Smash Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
18 (30%) |
15 |
83 % |
90.00 |
12.36 |
0.69 |
14% |
Slight Favorites |
12 (20%) |
9 |
75 % |
51.00 |
14.73 |
1.23 |
29% |
Slight Underdogs |
24 (40%) |
11 |
46 % |
60.10 |
8.45 |
0.35 |
14% |
Big Underdogs |
6 (10%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.50 |
15.28 |
2.55 |
145% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (25%) |
10 |
67 % |
58.10 |
9.51 |
0.63 |
16% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (18%) |
8 |
73 % |
39.50 |
26.17 |
2.38 |
66% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (23%) |
9 |
64 % |
46.00 |
15.51 |
1.11 |
34% |
6+ (Undercard) |
20 (33%) |
11 |
55 % |
68.00 |
-0.36 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
|
Smash Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (8%) |
4 |
80 % |
16.00 |
10.48 |
2.10 |
65% |
Light Heavy |
3 (5%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.00 |
-1.37 |
-0.46 |
-12% |
Middleweight |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
13.00 |
4.53 |
0.91 |
35% |
Welterweight |
12 (20%) |
9 |
75 % |
46.50 |
16.21 |
1.35 |
35% |
Lightweight |
10 (17%) |
5 |
50 % |
39.00 |
-2.94 |
-0.29 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
11 (18%) |
5 |
45 % |
42.00 |
-4.10 |
-0.37 |
-10% |
Bantamweight |
9 (15%) |
6 |
67 % |
26.50 |
13.27 |
1.47 |
50% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.50 |
8.88 |
8.88 |
355% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (7%) |
3 |
75 % |
15.10 |
5.86 |
1.47 |
39% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
8.10 |
-0.04 |
-0.02 |
-0% |
Strawweight |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
7.00 |
5.90 |
2.95 |
84% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
3 (100%) |
2 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
3 |
2 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
18 (67%) |
10 |
56 % |
50-65% |
4 (15%) |
2 |
50 % |
35-50% |
4 (15%) |
2 |
50 % |
<35% chance |
1 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
27 |
14 |
52 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Smash Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
4 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,000.71 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
3 |
2.7 |
89% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,000.71 |
$1,027.52 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 267 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.52 |
$1,017.24 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.24 |
$986.73 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
5 |
3.3 |
66% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.73 |
$1,019.20 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
5 |
2.3 |
47% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.20 |
$1,043.09 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
1 |
1.1 |
110% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.09 |
$1,054.57 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
5 |
1.4 |
29% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,054.57 |
$1,069.63 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
10 |
3.4 |
34% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.63 |
$1,106.20 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.20 |
$995.58 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
15 |
3.5 |
23% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.58 |
$1,030.66 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
5 |
1.8 |
36% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,030.66 |
$1,049.06 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
5 |
2.1 |
42% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.06 |
$1,070.92 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
5 |
2.2 |
43% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.92 |
$1,094.20 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
15 |
8.3 |
56% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,094.20 |
$1,185.52 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
5 |
2.1 |
43% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.52 |
$1,210.75 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,210.75 |
$1,150.21 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
12.5 |
15.1 |
121% |
|
$11.50 |
$1,150.21 |
$1,323.98 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
15 |
9.3 |
62% |
|
$13.24 |
$1,323.98 |
$1,447.25 |
20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
2 |
2.0 |
100% |
|
$14.47 |
$1,447.25 |
$1,476.20 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
5 |
5.1 |
101% |
|
$14.76 |
$1,476.20 |
$1,550.74 |
6th May |
Bellator 280 |
2 |
0.8 |
41% |
|
$15.51 |
$1,550.74 |
$1,563.40 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
11 |
2.1 |
19% |
$10 |
$15.63 |
$1,563.40 |
$1,585.87 |
13th May |
Bellator 281 |
6 |
0.5 |
8% |
$10 |
$15.86 |
$1,585.87 |
$1,583.75 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
5 |
3.0 |
61% |
$10 |
$15.84 |
$1,583.75 |
$1,621.75 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.22 |
$1,621.75 |
$1,459.57 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
10 |
-2.6 |
-26% |
|
$14.60 |
$1,459.57 |
$1,421.35 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.21 |
$1,421.35 |
$1,279.21 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
10 |
3.5 |
35% |
|
$12.79 |
$1,279.21 |
$1,324.10 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
15 |
13.4 |
89% |
|
$13.24 |
$1,324.10 |
$1,501.74 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.02 |
$1,501.74 |
$1,426.66 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
5 |
1.7 |
33% |
|
$14.27 |
$1,426.66 |
$1,450.43 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
5 |
3.5 |
69% |
|
$14.50 |
$1,450.43 |
$1,500.80 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
11 |
3.1 |
29% |
|
$15.01 |
$1,500.80 |
$1,547.96 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
6 |
-1.9 |
-32% |
|
$15.48 |
$1,547.96 |
$1,518.11 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
3 |
2.8 |
93% |
|
$15.18 |
$1,518.11 |
$1,560.67 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
5 |
-2.6 |
-53% |
|
$15.61 |
$1,560.67 |
$1,519.32 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
13.1 |
4.4 |
34% |
|
$15.19 |
$1,519.32 |
$1,586.92 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
6 |
2.4 |
40% |
|
$15.87 |
$1,586.92 |
$1,625.14 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
40 |
-8.8 |
-22% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.14 |
$1,481.78 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.82 |
$1,481.78 |
$1,407.69 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 40.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Smash Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jessica Andrade |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.74 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.55 |
2 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Oleg Popov |
Steve Mowry |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Sergey Billostenniy |
Blagoy Ivanov |
1.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.60 |
3.1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Chris Weidman |
Bruno Silva |
3.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.03 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Patricio Freire |
Jeremy Kennedy |
1.93 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:7) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.35 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Mike Davis |
Natan Levy |
1.36 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:43) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Muhammadjon Naimov |
Erik Silva |
1.29 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '22 |
Patricio Freire |
Adam Borics |
1.69 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '22 |
Randy Brown |
Francisco Trinaldo |
1.33 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '22 |
Geoff Neal |
Vicente Luque |
2.60 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:1) |
|
|
16. |
May '22 |
Paul Daley |
Wendell Giacomo |
1.30 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:9) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '22 |
Marlon Vera |
Rob Font |
2.01 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '22 |
Clay Collard |
Jeremy Stephens |
2.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '22 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Petr Yan |
4.40 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '22 |
Ian Garry |
Darian Weeks |
1.30 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Logan Storley |
Shamil Musaev |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:27) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.25 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.45 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Linton Vassell |
Denis Goltsov |
2.33 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:11) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.63 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Trey Ogden |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
2.00 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Cody Gibson |
Miles Johns |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Luis Pajuelo |
Fernando Padilla |
2.44 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Isaac Dulgarian |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.67 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '22 |
Ronnie Lawrence |
Saidyokub Kakhramonov |
1.85 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.77 |
5 |
TKO, R5 (0:18) |
No |
|
|
16. |
May '22 |
Lyoto Machida |
Fabian Edwards |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '22 |
Gilbert Burns |
Khamzat Chimaev |
4.80 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Arnold Allen |
2.00 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:33) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '22 |
Charles Rosa |
T.J. Brown |
2.76 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jan '22 |
Giga Chikadze |
Calvin Kattar |
1.41 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Smash Bets: Progress Chart |
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