MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Safe Fall

Safe Fall (Russian_Bot)

MMA MHandicapper - Safe Fall

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	75 (31%)	Right	34 (45%)	Right	13 (28%)	Right	28 (24%)
Wrong	164 (69%)	Wrong	42 (55%)	Wrong	34 (72%)	Wrong	88 (76%)
Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	3.37	Avg Odds	3.39
Units Bet	509.2	Units Bet	151.9	Units Bet	58.3	Units Bet	299.0
Avg Bet	2.13	Avg Bet	2.00	Avg Bet	1.24	Avg Bet	2.58
Units Profit	-56.28	Units Profit	-16.06	Units Profit	-3.83	Units Profit	-36.40
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-12%

Safe Fall: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	36	-9.8	-27%			-9.8 / 36 (-27%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	19	-4.0	-21%			-4.0 / 19 (-21%)
6th May '22	PFL 2022 #3	9	-9.0	-100%			-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	Bellator 279	7	-0.3	-4%			-0.3 / 7 (-4%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	21	-13.4	-64%		2.6 / 5 (51%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	11	6.3	57%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		10.3 / 7 (147%)
15th Apr '22	Bellator 277	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	25	-25.0	-100%			-25.0 / 25 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	8.5	-8.5	-100%			-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	14.5	-14.5	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-11.5 / 11.5 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	Bellator 276	6	15.2	253%			15.2 / 6 (253%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	6	3.8	64%			3.8 / 6 (64%)
11th Mar '22	EFC 46	5	4.3	86%			4.3 / 5 (86%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6.5	5.4	84%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		5.9 / 6 (99%)
25th Feb '22	Bellator 275	2	7.8	389%			7.8 / 2 (389%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	6.5	11.8	182%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	12.3 / 6 (205%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	6	34.4	574%			34.4 / 6 (574%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	24	-0.3	-1%			-0.3 / 24 (-1%)
29th Jan '22	Bellator 273	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	11	-4.5	-41%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.5 / 10 (-35%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	5.6	113%			5.6 / 5 (113%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	12	-3.5	-30%	-0.4 / 6 (-6%)	0.8 / 2 (41%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	20	-9.6	-48%	-6.2 / 13 (-47%)	-0.4 / 4 (-10%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	20	-3.2	-16%	-0.2 / 17 (-1%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Nov '21	AMC 106	3.4	2.4	71%	2.4 / 3.4 (71%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	16	-5.4	-34%	-4.4 / 15 (-30%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	10.5	-6.1	-59%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-5.1 / 9.5 (-54%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	13.5	-5.8	-43%	-2.3 / 10 (-23%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	21	-21.0	-100%	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)		-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	8	-7.0	-88%		-2.0 / 3 (-67%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	18	0.8	4%	3.2 / 9 (36%)	-2.1 / 4 (-53%)	-0.4 / 5 (-8%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	28.5	-2.3	-8%	3.4 / 2 (171%)	-2.2 / 15 (-14%)	-3.6 / 11.5 (-31%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	25.5	15.8	62%	8.5 / 13 (66%)	4.5 / 11.5 (40%)	2.7 / 1 (275%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	18	6.0	33%	2.3 / 16 (14%)		3.7 / 2 (187%)
21st May '21	Bellator 259	4	-4.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	16	0.9	6%	-3.1 / 14 (-22%)		4.1 / 2 (203%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	11.8	-2.7	-23%	-0.9 / 10 (-9%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th May '21	Bellator 258	5	1.9	37%	1.1 / 4 (26%)		0.8 / 1 (80%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	11	1.4	13%		2.2 / 8.5 (26%)	-0.8 / 2.5 (-32%)

Winning Events: 16 (37%)
Losing Events: 27 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units
Best Event: 34.42 units
Worst Event: -25.00 units
Average Event: -1.31 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 59.45
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -51.39

Safe Fall: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	243	-8.8	-4%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		-2.3 / 229 (-1%)	9 / 15 (38%)	-0.37
2021	268.2	-47.5	-18%	-11.6 / 147.4 (-8%)		-34.1 / 70 (-49%)	7 / 12 (37%)	-2.50

Safe Fall: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Safe Fall: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	463.8	-68.5	-15%	-18.5 / 143.5 (-13%)	-3.8 / 60.3 (-6%)	-46.1 / 260 (-18%)
Bellator	30	14.5	48%	0.1 / 5 (1%)		14.4 / 25 (58%)
PFL	9	-9.0	-100%			-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
Other	8.4	6.7	80%	2.4 / 3.4 (71%)		4.3 / 5 (86%)

Safe Fall: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (18%)	6	43 %	30.00	-9.99	-0.71	-33%
Slight Favorites	24 (32%)	15	63 %	45.40	7.25	0.30	16%
Slight Underdogs	29 (38%)	12	41 %	61.00	-5.22	-0.18	-9%
Big Underdogs	9 (12%)	1	11 %	15.50	-8.10	-0.90	-52%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (16%)	8	67 %	22.90	14.76	1.23	64%
Co-Main Event	7 (9%)	4	57 %	12.00	-0.16	-0.02	-1%
Position 3-5	23 (30%)	10	43 %	52.00	-10.06	-0.44	-19%
6+ (Undercard)	34 (45%)	12	35 %	65.00	-20.60	-0.61	-32%

Safe Fall: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	5.40	3.49	1.75	65%
Light Heavy	2 (3%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	12 (16%)	5	42 %	23.00	-1.63	-0.14	-7%
Welterweight	13 (17%)	5	38 %	27.00	-8.42	-0.65	-31%
Lightweight	10 (13%)	7	70 %	17.50	7.26	0.73	41%
Featherweight	11 (14%)	4	36 %	22.00	-2.61	-0.24	-12%
Bantamweight	11 (14%)	6	55 %	23.00	4.88	0.44	21%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	13 (17%)	5	38 %	26.00	-11.03	-0.85	-42%
Featherweight	3 (4%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-2.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	11.00	-1.36	-0.27	-12%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	7.00	-1.67	-0.42	-24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	241 (67%)	192	80 %
Slight Favorites	79 (22%)	38	48 %
Slight Underdogs	32 (9%)	15	47 %
Big Underdogs	7 (2%)	1	14 %
	359	246	69 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	96 (56%)	76	79 %
50-65%	23 (13%)	12	52 %
35-50%	16 (9%)	5	31 %
<35% chance	37 (22%)	5	14 %
	172	98	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (2%)	2	67 %	1.46	1.55	1.34	-0.1 (-4%)
Goes to Decision	8 (5%)	6	75 %	1.55	2.05	1.33	1.8 (22%)
Does not go to Decision	11 (6%)	6	55 %	1.45	2.05	1.22	-2.3 (-21%)
X Wins by KO	26 (15%)	3	12 %	2.86	8.50	1.42	-18.9 (-73%)
X Does NOT Win by KO	30 (17%)	21	70 %	1.09	1.41	1.01	-6.7 (-22%)
X Wins by Sub	12 (7%)	2	17 %	4.14	18.00	1.85	-6.6 (-55%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub	26 (15%)	21	81 %	1.06	1.10	1.02	-2.9 (-11%)
X Wins by Decision	13 (8%)	5	38 %	2.72	8.00	1.66	-1.1 (-8%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	5 (3%)	5	100 %	1.05	1.11	1.03	0.3 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance	16 (9%)	8	50 %	2.20	9.30	1.20	4.6 (29%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.10	1.10	1.10	0.2 (10%)
Others	20 (12%)	17	85 %	1.31	1.73	1.01	2.1 (11%)
	172	98	57 %	1.53			-29.6 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Safe Fall's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
1st May	UFC FN	11	1.4	13%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,014.01
7th May	Bellator 258	5	1.9	37%		$10.14	$1,014.01	$1,032.83
8th May	UFC FN	11.8	-2.7	-23%		$10.33	$1,032.83	$1,005.05
15th May	UFC 262	16	0.9	6%		$10.05	$1,005.05	$1,014.50
21st May	Bellator 259	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.14	$1,014.50	$973.92
22nd May	UFC FN	18	6.0	33%		$9.74	$973.92	$1,032.50
5th Jun	UFC FN	25.5	15.8	62%		$10.32	$1,032.50	$1,196.15
12th Jun	UFC 263	28.5	-2.3	-8%		$11.96	$1,196.15	$1,168.15
19th Jun	UFC FN	18	0.8	4%		$11.68	$1,168.15	$1,177.08
26th Jun	UFC FN	8	-7.0	-88%		$11.77	$1,177.08	$1,094.69
10th Jul	UFC 264	21	-21.0	-100%		$10.95	$1,094.69	$864.80
17th Jul	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%		$8.65	$864.80	$812.91
24th Jul	UFC FN	13.5	-5.8	-43%		$8.13	$812.91	$765.85
31st Jul	UFC FN	10.5	-6.1	-59%		$7.66	$765.85	$718.75
20th Nov	UFC FN	16	-5.4	-34%		$7.19	$718.75	$679.58
27th Nov	AMC 106	3.4	2.4	71%		$6.80	$679.58	$695.99
4th Dec	UFC FN	20	-3.2	-16%		$6.96	$695.99	$673.51
11th Dec	UFC 269	20	-9.6	-48%		$6.74	$673.51	$609.05
18th Dec	UFC FN	12	-3.5	-30%		$6.09	$609.05	$587.49
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	5.6	113%		$5.87	$587.49	$620.59
22nd Jan	UFC 270	11	-4.5	-41%		$6.21	$620.59	$592.73
29th Jan	Bellator 273	3	-3.0	-100%		$5.93	$592.73	$574.95
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	24	-0.3	-1%		$5.75	$574.95	$573.00
12th Feb	UFC 271	6	34.4	574%		$5.73	$573.00	$770.20
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	6.5	11.8	182%		$7.70	$770.20	$861.21
25th Feb	Bellator 275	2	7.8	389%		$8.61	$861.21	$928.16
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6.5	5.4	84%		$9.28	$928.16	$978.66
5th Mar	UFC 272	6	-6.0	-100%		$9.79	$978.66	$919.94
11th Mar	EFC 46	5	4.3	86%		$9.20	$919.94	$959.32
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	6	3.8	64%		$9.59	$959.32	$995.96
12th Mar	Bellator 276	6	15.2	253%		$9.96	$995.96	$1,147.01
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	14.5	-14.5	-100%		$11.47	$1,147.01	$980.69
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	8.5	-8.5	-100%		$9.81	$980.69	$897.34
9th Apr	UFC 273	25	-25.0	-100%	$50	$8.97	$897.34	$623.00
15th Apr	Bellator 277	3	-3.0	-100%	$50	$6.23	$623.00	$554.31
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	11	6.3	57%	$50	$5.54	$554.31	$539.12
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	21	-13.4	-64%	$50	$5.39	$539.12	$416.61
23rd Apr	Bellator 279	7	-0.3	-4%	$50	$4.17	$416.61	$365.30
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	1	-1.0	-100%	$50	$3.65	$365.30	$311.64
6th May	PFL 2022 #3	9	-9.0	-100%	$50	$3.12	$311.64	$233.60
7th May	UFC 274	19	-4.0	-21%	$50	$2.34	$233.60	$174.25
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	1	-1.0	-100%	$50	$1.74	$174.25	$122.51
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	36	-9.8	-27%	$50	$1.23	$122.51	$60.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: -93.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Safe Fall: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '21	Ricky Simon	Raphael Assuncao	1.41	4	TKO, R2 (2:14)
2.	Dec '21	Charles Oliveira	Dustin Poirier	2.45	1	Sub, R3 (1:2)
3.	Dec '21	Geoff Neal	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.88	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '21	Bruno Silva	Jordan Wright	1.25	2	TKO, R1 (1:28)
5.	Dec '21	Claudio Puelles	Chris Gruetzemacher	1.87	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)
6.	Dec '21	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	3.70	2	TKO, R2 (1:58)
7.	Dec '21	Clay Guida	Leonardo Santos	2.70	1	Sub, R2 (1:21)
8.	Dec '21	Jose Aldo	Rob Font	2.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Nov '21	Marcio Santos	Aleksander Emelianenko	1.71	3.4	Sub, R1 (4:0)
10.	Nov '21	Adrian Yanez	Davey Grant	1.30	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '21	Taila Santos	Joanne Wood	1.25	3	Sub, R1 (4:49)
12.	Nov '21	Sean Brady	Michael Chiesa	1.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '21	Darren Elkins	Darrick Minner	2.32	1	TKO, R2 (3:48)
14.	Jul '21	Brendan Allen	Punahele Soriano	2.09	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '21	Adrian Yanez	Randy Costa	1.45	1	TKO, R2 (2:11)
16.	Jul '21	Diana Belbita	Hannah Goldy	1.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '21	Seung Woo Choi	Julian Erosa	1.72	2	TKO, R1 (1:37)
18.	Jun '21	Chan Sung Jung	Dan Ige	2.20	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Jun '21	Terrance McKinney	Matt Frevola	2.71	2	TKO, R1 (0:7)
20.	Jun '21	Marcin Tybura	Walt Harris	1.54	2	TKO, R1 (4:6)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	Brandon Jenkins	Drakkar Klose	5.72	4	TKO, R2 (0:33)	Yes
2.	Feb '22	Bobby Green	Islam Makhachev	7.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:23)	No
3.	Dec '21	Macy Chiasson	Raquel Pennington	2.45	2	Sub, R2 (3:7)	No
4.	Dec '21	Cody Garbrandt	Kai Kara-France	1.60	2	TKO, R1 (3:21)	No
5.	Dec '21	Dan Ige	Josh Emmett	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '21	Raulian Paiva	Sean O'Malley	5.00	1	TKO, R1 (4:42)	No
7.	Dec '21	Pedro Munhoz	Dominick Cruz	1.86	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '21	Darrick Minner	Ryan Hall	2.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '21	Randy Costa	Tony Kelley	1.48	2	TKO, R2 (4:15)	No
10.	Dec '21	Mickey Gall	Alex Morono	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '21	Alonzo Menifield	William Knight	1.49	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '21	Mallory Martin	Cheyanne Buys	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '21	Maki Pitolo	Dusko Todorovic	2.50	2	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
14.	Dec '21	Darian Weeks	Bryan Barberena	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '21	Jim Crute	Jamahal Hill	1.48	2	TKO, R1 (0:48)	No
16.	Dec '21	Brad Riddell	Rafael Fiziev	2.33	2	TKO, R3 (2:20)	No
17.	Nov '21	Loma Lookboonmee	Lupita Godinez	2.23	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '21	Tucker Lutz	Pat Sabatini	2.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '21	Miesha Tate	Ketlen Vieira	2.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '21	Cory Sandhagen	T.J. Dillashaw	1.53	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Safe Fall: Progress Chart

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