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MMA Handicapper Stats: Negative EV Betting Systems

Negative EV Betting Systems (burrs_picks)

MMA MHandicapper - Negative EV Betting Systems

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 1022 (52%) Right 677 (55%) Right 292 (45%) Right 53 (59%)
Wrong 951 (48%) Wrong 559 (45%) Wrong 355 (55%) Wrong 37 (41%)
Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 2.40 Avg Odds 1.92
Units Bet 3,297.6 Units Bet 2,338.9 Units Bet 780.2 Units Bet 178.6
Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 1.21 Avg Bet 1.98
Units Profit 337.64 Units Profit 246.18 Units Profit 79.06 Units Profit 12.40
ROI % 10% ROI % 11% ROI % 10% ROI % 7%
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Negative EV Betting Systems: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Dec '23 PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships 12.3 1.4 12% 0.4 / 11.8 (4%) 1.0 / 0.5 (205%)
7th Dec '23 EFC 110 1.63 0.0 2% 0.0 / 1.63 (2%)
5th Dec '23 Brave CF 77 2.5 1.9 74% 1.9 / 2.5 (74%)
3rd Dec '23 Fury FC 84 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 17.86 -1.1 -6% -1.9 / 11.05 (-18%) -0.3 / 4 (-8%) 1.1 / 2.81 (40%)
25th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 164 1 0.6 65% 0.6 / 1 (65%)
25th Nov '23 Brave CF 76 3.5 0.1 2% -0.8 / 2.25 (-33%) 0.8 / 1.25 (66%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11.53 2.2 19% 1.0 / 8.78 (11%) 1.2 / 2.75 (44%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 18.46 7.8 42% 6.4 / 14.2 (45%) 1.4 / 4.26 (32%)
17th Nov '23 LFA 172 1.54 1.0 65% 1.0 / 1.54 (65%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 9.28 0.9 10% 1.4 / 6.65 (21%) 0.5 / 1.63 (32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '23 Fury Challenger Series 10 1 0.6 57% 0.6 / 1 (57%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 29.55 13.3 45% 10.2 / 17.6 (58%) 3.1 / 11.95 (26%)
11th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 163 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 20 3.8 19% 2.0 / 11 (18%) 1.1 / 6 (19%) 0.7 / 3 (24%)
4th Nov '23 Oktagon 48 6.5 2.1 33% 2.1 / 6.5 (33%)
4th Nov '23 Rizin Landmark 7 10.01 10.9 109% 10.3 / 7.51 (138%) 0.5 / 2.5 (22%)
3rd Nov '23 ACA 165 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Oct '23 Unified MMA 53 2.75 2.5 91% 2.5 / 2.75 (91%)
28th Oct '23 Cage Warriors 162 2.01 1.3 66% 1.3 / 2.01 (66%)
27th Oct '23 Invicta FC 54 1 1.2 121% 1.2 / 1 (121%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 19.1 0.1 1% 2.2 / 7.7 (29%) 0.0 / 6.4 (1%) -2.1 / 5 (-42%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 24.55 10.4 43% 14.3 / 14 (102%) -0.8 / 7.55 (-11%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 Cage Warriors 161 5.51 3.7 68% 2.5 / 3.51 (70%) 1.3 / 2 (64%)
14th Oct '23 KSW 87 2.78 4.8 174% 4.8 / 2.78 (174%)
13th Oct '23 CFFC 126 4.5 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 4.5 (-0%)
10th Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 10 12.51 1.3 11% -0.8 / 9.01 (-9%) 2.1 / 3.5 (61%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 5 0.9 19% -0.6 / 4 (-16%) 1.6 / 1 (155%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 7.53 6.4 86% 6.3 / 5.53 (115%) 0.1 / 2 (5%)
7th Oct '23 Oktagon 47 1.5 1.1 74% 1.1 / 1.5 (74%)
6th Oct '23 LFA 169 5.75 0.8 14% 0.8 / 5.75 (14%)
6th Oct '23 One Fight Night 15 4.82 -0.4 -9% -0.4 / 4.82 (-9%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 2 4.4 218% 4.4 / 2 (218%)
1st Oct '23 Rizin Landmark 6 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Sep '23 One Fight Night 14 1 0.8 77% 0.8 / 1 (77%)
26th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 8 3 0.3 11% 0.3 / 3 (11%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 12.5 3.8 30% 0.9 / 7 (13%) 1.0 / 3 (33%) 1.9 / 2.5 (76%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 3.5 2.6 75% 2.6 / 3.5 (75%)
22nd Sep '23 LFA 168 1 0.7 74% 0.7 / 1 (74%)
22nd Sep '23 ACA 163 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 2 -0.5 -24% 0.5 / 1 (51%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 27.11 16.3 60% 11.3 / 20.11 (56%) 1.8 / 4 (45%) 3.2 / 3 (105%)
16th Sep '23 KSW 86 1 2.1 210% 2.1 / 1 (210%)
16th Sep '23 Oktagon 46 4 -2.4 -59% -2.4 / 4 (-59%)
15th Sep '23 LFA 167 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Sep '23 CFFC 125 1 0.5 50% 0.5 / 1 (50%)
15th Sep '23 Combat FC 5 1.4 0.8 54% 0.8 / 1.4 (54%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 10 -0.8 -8% -2.3 / 9 (-26%) 1.5 / 1 (150%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 31.38 -0.6 -2% 8.9 / 15.83 (56%) -0.5 / 6.55 (-7%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 4.5 -2.5 -56% -1.0 / 3 (-33%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 LFA 166 0.5 0.8 155% 0.8 / 0.5 (155%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 33.54 -3.7 -11% -1.5 / 18.9 (-8%) -3.2 / 13.1 (-24%) 1.0 / 1.54 (65%)
1st Sep '23 CFFC 123 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
29th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 4 12.05 -2.0 -17% -1.5 / 8.95 (-17%) -0.5 / 3.1 (-16%)
27th Aug '23 Fury FC 82 2.5 1.2 48% 1.2 / 2.5 (48%)
27th Aug '23 Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2 11.26 -11.3 -100% -11.3 / 11.26 (-100%)
27th Aug '23 Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 1 5.3 1.4 27% 1.4 / 5.3 (27%)
26th Aug '23 UAE Warriors 44 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 24.58 1.2 5% 1.1 / 9.05 (12%) 2.6 / 13.03 (20%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
23rd Aug '23 PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs 12.35 6.6 54% 3.7 / 5.35 (68%) 3.0 / 7 (42%)
22nd Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 3 5.27 0.1 2% -0.8 / 4.52 (-18%) 0.9 / 0.75 (127%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 38.65 -1.9 -5% -4.0 / 16.5 (-24%) 0.2 / 19.15 (1%) 2.0 / 3 (65%)
19th Aug '23 KSW 85 4.3 0.1 3% 0.1 / 1.25 (12%) 1.0 / 2.05 (49%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Aug '23 LFA 165 1.5 0.9 57% 0.9 / 1.5 (57%)
18th Aug '23 PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs 2.5 0.0 0% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
15th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 2 19.95 -6.6 -33% -4.0 / 12.8 (-32%) -2.5 / 7.15 (-35%)
12th Aug '23 Brave CF 73 0.5 0.5 105% 0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 21.55 2.8 13% 5.7 / 14.75 (39%) -0.9 / 4.8 (-19%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Aug '23 Bellator 298 7.25 2.3 32% 1.6 / 4 (40%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 1.0 / 3 (33%)
8th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 1 13.15 -2.2 -16% 2.5 / 3.3 (75%) -3.6 / 8.85 (-41%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 20.95 5.8 28% 4.8 / 17.76 (27%) 1.0 / 3.19 (31%)
5th Aug '23 LFA 164 4.75 -4.8 -100% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Aug '23 A1 Combat 13 3.2 -1.5 -46% -1.5 / 3.2 (-46%)
5th Aug '23 One Fight Night 13 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Aug '23 PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 11.45 7.2 63% 3.0 / 6.95 (44%) 4.2 / 4.5 (92%)
30th Jul '23 Bellator vs Rizin 2 6.5 -3.0 -46% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 4 (-12%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 10.38 -0.8 -7% -2.3 / 6.78 (-34%) -0.0 / 2.05 (-0%) 1.5 / 1.55 (97%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 25.08 6.6 27% 2.1 / 14.83 (14%) 6.5 / 8.25 (79%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Jul '23 LFA 163 6.25 -4.0 -64% -4.0 / 6.25 (-64%)
21st Jul '23 Cage Warriors 157 5.75 2.5 44% 1.3 / 2.75 (49%) 1.2 / 3 (40%)
21st Jul '23 ACA 160 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '23 Fury FC 81 4.54 -0.5 -11% -0.5 / 4.54 (-11%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 37.83 2.2 6% -1.5 / 23.8 (-6%) 1.0 / 12.03 (9%) 2.6 / 2 (131%)
14th Jul '23 One Fight Night 12 5.3 -1.0 -19% -1.0 / 5.3 (-19%)
14th Jul '23 CFFC 121 5.06 1.9 37% 1.9 / 5.06 (37%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 30.73 -5.4 -17% -6.1 / 15.92 (-38%) 3.1 / 9.19 (33%) -2.3 / 5.62 (-41%)
8th Jul '23 PFL Europe 2 7.15 -5.2 -72% -0.2 / 2.15 (-7%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 27.18 -9.4 -34% -6.9 / 16.75 (-41%) -2.5 / 10.43 (-24%)
1st Jul '23 Cage Warriors 156 0.65 0.5 77% 0.5 / 0.65 (77%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 34.05 -1.7 -5% 1.9 / 22.6 (8%) -3.5 / 11.45 (-31%)
24th Jun '23 Rizin 43 2 -0.1 -5% -0.1 / 2 (-5%)
23rd Jun '23 PFL 6: Regular Season 17.37 3.4 19% 2.7 / 14.12 (19%) 0.6 / 3.25 (19%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 18.18 -3.2 -17% -5.3 / 11.18 (-48%) 2.2 / 7 (31%)
17th Jun '23 Oktagon 44 1 1.8 180% 1.8 / 1 (180%)
16th Jun '23 PFL 5: Regular Season 5.53 3.0 54% 1.0 / 2.5 (40%) 2.0 / 3.03 (66%)
16th Jun '23 Bellator 297 10.08 -5.0 -50% -3.5 / 5.7 (-61%) -0.5 / 3.38 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jun '23 LFA 160 2 0.4 19% 0.4 / 2 (19%)
16th Jun '23 ACA 159 3.5 1.2 35% 1.2 / 3.5 (35%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 27.06 11.9 44% 8.8 / 10.56 (83%) -0.1 / 13 (-1%) 3.1 / 3.5 (90%)
8th Jun '23 PFL 4: Regular Season 10.25 1.4 14% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 2.9 / 8.75 (33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 19.71 7.3 37% 4.4 / 11.76 (37%) 2.9 / 7.95 (37%)
3rd Jun '23 KSW 83 7.53 -6.7 -88% -6.7 / 7.53 (-88%)
2nd Jun '23 Cage Warriors 155 8.51 8.6 101% 8.6 / 8.51 (101%)
28th May '23 Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 & 4 14.24 5.0 35% -0.3 / 7.04 (-4%) 3.3 / 4.2 (77%) 2.0 / 3 (65%)
27th May '23 Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 1 & 2 12.56 6.8 54% 6.0 / 7.31 (82%) -0.3 / 3.25 (-8%) 1.0 / 2 (51%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 18.01 -2.7 -15% 0.3 / 12.01 (2%) -3.0 / 6 (-50%)
20th May '23 UAE Warriors 42 2 -0.4 -22% -0.4 / 2 (-22%)
20th May '23 LFA 158 1 2.3 225% 2.3 / 1 (225%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 12.3 -7.5 -61% -9.5 / 9.51 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.79 (72%)
12th May '23 Bellator 296 2 5.4 269% 5.4 / 2 (269%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 22.51 8.7 38% 6.5 / 19.51 (33%) 2.2 / 3 (72%)
6th May '23 Rizin 42 26.24 15.7 60% 12.6 / 24.24 (52%) 3.1 / 2 (155%)
5th May '23 One Fight Night 10 5.4 2.0 37% 2.0 / 5.4 (37%)
3rd May '23 Invicta FC 53 3 2.8 92% 2.8 / 3 (92%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 17.15 8.7 51% 13.0 / 12.85 (101%) -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Apr '23 Cage Warriors 153 3.5 -0.2 -7% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.3 / 2 (63%)
29th Apr '23 Rizin Landmark 5 11.85 -0.9 -8% -2.5 / 9.85 (-25%) 1.6 / 2 (78%)
22nd Apr '23 Bellator 295 9.01 2.4 26% 1.5 / 3.01 (51%) -0.4 / 5 (-8%) 1.2 / 1 (124%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 38.48 -3.8 -10% -1.9 / 25.5 (-7%) -2.4 / 10.48 (-23%) 0.5 / 2.5 (18%)
21st Apr '23 One Fight Night 9 6.25 4.4 71% 4.4 / 6.25 (71%)
21st Apr '23 LFA 157 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Apr '23 Bellator 294 14.55 -5.8 -40% -1.8 / 10.5 (-17%) -4.1 / 4.05 (-100%)
16th Apr '23 Fury FC 77 3.9 2.4 62% 2.4 / 3.9 (62%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 58.43 5.4 9% -3.8 / 37.51 (-10%) 9.2 / 20.92 (44%)
15th Apr '23 Cage Warriors 152 1.5 0.8 50% 0.8 / 1.5 (50%)
14th Apr '23 LFA 156 3 1.2 39% 1.2 / 3 (39%)
14th Apr '23 PFL 3: 2023 16.23 -3.5 -21% -1.5 / 11.61 (-13%) -2.0 / 4.62 (-43%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 29.32 18.8 64% 14.3 / 14.02 (102%) 2.6 / 13.8 (19%) 1.8 / 1.5 (121%)
7th Apr '23 PFL 2: 2023 16.51 7.6 46% 3.3 / 13.51 (25%) 4.3 / 3 (142%)
1st Apr '23 CFFC 118 3.15 0.2 8% 0.2 / 3.15 (8%)
1st Apr '23 PFL 1: 2023 9.4 4.3 46% 4.8 / 5.25 (92%) -0.5 / 4.15 (-13%)
1st Apr '23 Rizin 41 6.88 -3.4 -49% -3.4 / 6.88 (-49%)
31st Mar '23 Bellator 293 12.75 8.1 64% -0.4 / 5 (-8%) 8.5 / 7.75 (110%)
31st Mar '23 BFL 76 5.51 -1.1 -20% -1.1 / 5.51 (-20%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 14.13 0.1 1% 2.0 / 5.98 (34%) -1.9 / 8.15 (-24%)
25th Mar '23 PFL Europe 1 1.65 -0.1 -8% -0.1 / 1.65 (-8%)
24th Mar '23 LFA 155 2.2 -2.2 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
24th Mar '23 One Fight Night 8 3.25 2.0 62% 2.0 / 3.25 (62%)
24th Mar '23 Fury FC 76 2.32 -0.1 -3% -0.1 / 2.32 (-3%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 23.67 -3.2 -14% 0.9 / 15.17 (6%) -2.2 / 6.5 (-33%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Mar '23 PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8 7 -4.0 -57% -4.0 / 7 (-57%)
15th Mar '23 Invicta FC 52 2.38 -2.4 -100% -2.4 / 2.38 (-100%)
15th Mar '23 Centurion FC 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12.5 -1.8 -14% -0.8 / 11.5 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Mar '23 PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7 2.5 1.0 39% 1.5 / 2 (74%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Mar '23 LFA 154 1.8 1.0 56% 1.0 / 1.8 (56%)
10th Mar '23 Bellator 292 8 5.2 66% 1.8 / 3.5 (50%) 2.1 / 2.5 (86%) 1.3 / 2 (67%)
9th Mar '23 ACA 153 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 31.7 9.9 31% 6.1 / 16 (38%) 3.8 / 15.7 (24%)
4th Mar '23 Oktagon 40 7.2 3.1 44% 3.1 / 7.2 (44%)
3rd Mar '23 Cage Warriors 149 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
3rd Mar '23 PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6 1.8 -0.3 -17% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 1.0 / 0.5 (200%)
2nd Mar '23 EFC 101 2.01 2.2 108% 2.2 / 2.01 (108%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 31.51 5.7 18% 0.4 / 20.51 (2%) 5.3 / 11 (48%)
25th Feb '23 Bellator 291 8.45 -5.3 -62% -2.3 / 5.45 (-41%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Feb '23 KSW 79 5.01 3.3 67% 3.3 / 5.01 (67%)
24th Feb '23 PFL Challenger Series: Week 5 3.9 6.8 174% 6.8 / 3.9 (174%)
24th Feb '23 One on Prime 7 5.3 -3.8 -72% -3.8 / 5.3 (-72%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 27.65 5.7 21% 4.8 / 17 (28%) 0.9 / 10.65 (8%)
17th Feb '23 LFA 153 3 -2.3 -77% -2.3 / 3 (-77%)
17th Feb '23 PFL Challenger Series: Week 4 1 0.4 42% 0.4 / 1 (42%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 37.03 -5.1 -14% 5.7 / 18.55 (31%) -10.9 / 18.48 (-59%)
10th Feb '23 LFA 152 6.45 -6.5 -100% -5.2 / 5.2 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 15.5 -0.7 -4% -2.4 / 9.25 (-25%) 1.7 / 6.25 (27%)
4th Feb '23 Bellator 290 11 5.8 53% 5.3 / 10 (53%) 0.5 / 1 (50%)
3rd Feb '23 PFL Challenger Series: Week 2 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Jan '23 Fury FC 73 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jan '23 LFA 151 6.51 -5.6 -86% -3.5 / 3.51 (-100%) -2.1 / 3 (-69%)
28th Jan '23 FEN 44 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Jan '23 PFL Challenger Series: Week 1 3.25 2.1 66% 2.4 / 2 (119%) -0.3 / 1.25 (-20%)
27th Jan '23 ACA 151 1.65 1.0 61% 1.0 / 1.65 (61%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 18.6 -2.6 -14% 0.3 / 8.2 (3%) -2.9 / 10.4 (-28%)
21st Jan '23 KSW 78 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '23 Ares FC 11 5.02 2.1 42% 2.1 / 5.02 (42%)
18th Jan '23 Invicta FC 51 2.05 1.0 49% 1.0 / 2.05 (49%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 8.87 4.8 54% 4.9 / 7.37 (67%) -0.2 / 1.5 (-11%)
13th Jan '23 A1 Combat 7 2.52 1.7 66% 1.7 / 2.52 (66%)
13th Jan '23 LFA 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Jan '23 One on Prime 6 0.5 0.8 160% 0.8 / 0.5 (160%)
6th Jan '23 LFA 149 3 2.7 89% -0.0 / 1 (-2%) 2.7 / 2 (135%)
31st Dec '22 Cage Warriors 148 13.71 2.1 15% 3.5 / 11.21 (31%) -1.4 / 2.5 (-56%)
31st Dec '22 Bellator vs Rizin 10 -0.3 -3% 0.6 / 1 (61%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 3.1 / 5 (63%)
31st Dec '22 Rizin 40 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Dec '22 ACA 150 3.25 0.4 14% 0.4 / 3.25 (14%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 20.8 -10.5 -51% -10.6 / 18.3 (-58%) 0.0 / 2.5 (1%)
17th Dec '22 KSW 77 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Dec '22 Brave CF 68 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Dec '22 ACA 149 2.25 1.8 79% 1.8 / 2.25 (79%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 25.11 6.1 24% 1.5 / 14.61 (10%) 4.7 / 10.5 (44%)
9th Dec '22 LFA 148 1.25 -0.1 -5% -0.1 / 1.25 (-5%)
9th Dec '22 Bellator 289 7.25 -0.4 -5% 0.6 / 6.25 (10%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 30.5 -12.9 -42% -6.7 / 18.9 (-35%) -5.2 / 10.6 (-49%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22 One 164 2 0.7 33% 0.7 / 2 (33%)
2nd Dec '22 Unified MMA 47 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '22 One on Prime 5 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
26th Nov '22 Brave CF 66 0.5 0.3 61% 0.3 / 0.5 (61%)
25th Nov '22 PFL 2022 #10 26.28 30.2 115% 19.5 / 15.53 (126%) 7.7 / 6.75 (114%) 3.0 / 4 (75%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10 0.1 1% 0.1 / 10 (1%)
18th Nov '22 Bellator 288 6.5 1.4 22% 1.4 / 6.5 (22%)
16th Nov '22 Invicta FC 50 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 21.05 -3.5 -16% -7.4 / 15.55 (-47%) 3.0 / 4.5 (67%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
12th Nov '22 Cage Warriors 146 8.01 7.7 97% 7.7 / 8.01 (97%)
12th Nov '22 KSW 76 1.25 -0.7 -59% -0.7 / 1.25 (-59%)
11th Nov '22 Babilon MMA 32 1 0.9 87% 0.9 / 1 (87%)
10th Nov '22 CFFC 114 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
4th Nov '22 Cage Warriors 145 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 9.52 -6.4 -67% -4.9 / 6.02 (-81%) -1.5 / 3.5 (-43%)
29th Oct '22 Bellator 287 4 1.4 36% 1.4 / 4 (36%)
28th Oct '22 Brave CF 65 3 1.1 38% 1.1 / 3 (38%)
23rd Oct '22 Road to UFC 6: Abu Dhabi 5 -0.5 -10% -0.5 / 5 (-10%)
23rd Oct '22 Road to UFC 5: Abu Dhabi 6.5 -2.8 -42% -2.8 / 6.5 (-42%)
23rd Oct '22 RIZIN 39 6.45 3.4 52% 3.4 / 6.45 (52%)
22nd Oct '22 Brave CF 64 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 31.8 -10.5 -33% -10.3 / 21.3 (-49%) -0.2 / 10.5 (-2%)
21st Oct '22 LFA 145 2.5 1.7 67% 1.7 / 2.5 (67%)
19th Oct '22 Brave CF 63 0.5 0.9 175% 0.9 / 0.5 (175%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 19.58 13.6 70% 3.8 / 8.13 (47%) 11.9 / 9.45 (126%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Oct '22 FEN 42 1 0.5 54% 0.5 / 1 (54%)
14th Oct '22 LFA 144 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Oct '22 KSW 75 4.01 -1.4 -36% -1.4 / 4.01 (-36%)
4th Oct '22 ACA 146 1.5 0.6 39% 0.6 / 1.5 (39%)
1st Oct '22 Bellator 286 19.13 -3.7 -19% 1.0 / 2.05 (49%) -4.4 / 10.08 (-44%) -0.3 / 7 (-4%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 22.79 -5.0 -22% -7.4 / 11.35 (-66%) 2.5 / 11.44 (22%)
30th Sep '22 LFA 143 5 2.3 47% 2.3 / 5 (47%)
30th Sep '22 One on Prime 2 3 -1.8 -60% -1.8 / 3 (-60%)
29th Sep '22 ONE 161 3.05 1.0 33% 1.0 / 3.05 (33%)
29th Sep '22 Invicta FC 49 4.5 -2.2 -48% -2.2 / 4.5 (-48%)
27th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 10 12.45 7.5 60% 0.5 / 6.2 (8%) 7.0 / 6.25 (112%)
25th Sep '22 Rizin 38 4 3.9 98% 3.9 / 4 (98%)
23rd Sep '22 Cage Warriors 143 6.01 3.5 59% 4.5 / 5.01 (91%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '22 Bellator 285 27.27 -7.1 -26% -5.2 / 23.77 (-22%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.4 / 3 (-46%)
21st Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 9 12.67 -7.8 -62% -4.0 / 7.22 (-56%) -3.8 / 5.45 (-69%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 36.61 17.9 49% 6.7 / 21.21 (32%) 11.1 / 15.4 (72%)
17th Sep '22 Oktagon 35 4.35 -4.4 -100% -4.4 / 4.35 (-100%)
17th Sep '22 UAE 33 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
17th Sep '22 LFA 142 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Sep '22 UAE 32 2.1 1.8 86% 1.8 / 2.1 (86%)
13th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 8 11.6 -1.5 -13% 2.1 / 8 (26%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 29.55 7.1 24% 3.7 / 13.23 (28%) 6.0 / 13.71 (44%) -2.6 / 2.61 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 KSW 74 3.5 2.1 60% 2.1 / 3.5 (60%)
10th Sep '22 LFA 141 19.41 6.9 35% 6.4 / 18.41 (35%) 0.5 / 1 (50%)
6th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 7 20.26 -6.2 -31% -3.7 / 12.01 (-31%) -2.5 / 8.25 (-30%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 22.65 0.2 1% -1.5 / 13.55 (-11%) 1.6 / 9.1 (18%)
2nd Sep '22 Ares FC 8 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
31st Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 6 7.86 9.8 124% 2.2 / 5.61 (39%) 7.6 / 2.25 (336%)
27th Aug '22 ACA 143 1.6 0.1 7% 0.1 / 1.6 (7%)
27th Aug '22 One FC on Prime 1 18.77 1.2 7% 1.2 / 18.77 (7%)
27th Aug '22 LFA 140 0.5 0.8 155% 0.8 / 0.5 (155%)
26th Aug '22 CFFC 112 2.51 -1.5 -59% -1.5 / 2.51 (-59%)
26th Aug '22 One 160 1 2.6 255% 2.6 / 1 (255%)
24th Aug '22 Centurion Fights 9 6 2.9 48% 2.9 / 6 (48%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 20.95 7.5 36% 0.7 / 10.2 (7%) 6.8 / 10.75 (63%)
21st Aug '22 Fury FC 68 1.5 0.9 57% 0.9 / 1.5 (57%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 17.01 4.0 24% 2.7 / 6.56 (40%) 1.0 / 8.7 (12%) 0.4 / 1.75 (22%)
20th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #9 6 -4.3 -71% -0.8 / 2.5 (-30%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 KSW 73 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
20th Aug '22 LFA 139 8.2 4.1 50% 4.1 / 8.2 (50%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 8.35 -2.8 -34% -0.0 / 5.6 (-1%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 34.37 0.8 2% 0.6 / 24.2 (3%) 1.2 / 9.14 (13%) -1.0 / 1.03 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 Cage Warriors 142 3 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 3 (-0%)
13th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #8 4 -0.6 -14% -0.6 / 4 (-14%)
13th Aug '22 ACA 142 0.5 0.2 42% 0.2 / 0.5 (42%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 11.26 0.9 8% -1.4 / 7.51 (-18%) 2.2 / 3.75 (60%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 16.25 -1.5 -9% -4.6 / 9 (-51%) 3.1 / 7.25 (43%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 28.52 -6.7 -23% -6.0 / 20.97 (-29%) -0.7 / 7.55 (-9%)
5th Aug '22 LFA 138 2.5 1.0 41% 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.4 / 0.5 (83%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 8.56 -4.2 -49% -4.6 / 5.51 (-84%) -0.6 / 1.5 (-38%) 1.0 / 1.55 (65%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 24.18 -4.4 -18% -3.4 / 22.18 (-16%) -0.9 / 2 (-47%)
31st Jul '22 Rizin 37 11 0.3 3% 0.3 / 11 (3%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 47.62 19.7 41% 9.7 / 35.61 (27%) 6.5 / 7.01 (93%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
29th Jul '22 LFA 137 4.5 -3.0 -67% -3.0 / 4.5 (-67%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 20.1 5.4 27% 7.7 / 15.1 (51%) -2.3 / 5 (-46%)
23rd Jul '22 XMMA 5 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 30 1.3 4% 0.4 / 16.5 (2%) -2.6 / 9 (-29%) 3.6 / 4.5 (80%)
22nd Jul '22 Bellator 283 21.1 2.0 9% 2.0 / 21.1 (9%)
22nd Jul '22 Cage Warriors 141 14.85 6.6 45% 6.6 / 14.85 (45%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 44.72 2.9 7% 4.8 / 23.22 (21%) 1.1 / 18.5 (6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 50.7 -3.3 -7% 0.9 / 23.95 (4%) -4.2 / 26.75 (-16%)
8th Jul '22 Fury FC 66 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jul '22 LFA 135 3.2 0.0 0% 0.0 / 3.2 (0%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 30.93 14.4 47% -2.4 / 17.8 (-14%) 15.3 / 12.13 (127%) 1.5 / 1 (151%)
2nd Jul '22 UAE Warriors 30 11 17.9 163% 17.9 / 11 (163%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 13.8 0.4 3% -3.0 / 10.6 (-28%) 3.4 / 3.2 (106%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 24.1 -1.6 -7% 2.1 / 15.85 (13%) -3.7 / 8.25 (-45%)
25th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 140 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22 Ares FC 7 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 13 6.7 52% 5.0 / 7 (71%) 1.8 / 6 (29%)
24th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #5 14.85 -1.8 -12% 4.7 / 8.35 (57%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 43.65 0.3 1% -1.5 / 25.6 (-6%) 3.2 / 16.55 (19%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 13.56 -3.0 -22% -3.6 / 3.56 (-100%) -0.2 / 6.5 (-3%) 0.7 / 3.5 (20%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 43 16.1 38% 10.2 / 18.7 (55%) 9.9 / 20.3 (49%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 LFA 134 1.7 -1.7 -100% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 139 2.7 2.0 72% 1.3 / 1.2 (104%) 0.7 / 1.5 (47%)
10th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 4 2.45 -2.5 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 3 1.62 1.1 70% 1.1 / 1.62 (70%)
9th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 2 1 0.2 18% 0.2 / 1 (18%)
9th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 1 3 2.0 66% 2.0 / 3 (66%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 55.93 1.2 2% 6.3 / 39.83 (16%) -5.0 / 16.1 (-31%)
3rd Jun '22 LFA 133 2 -0.3 -13% 0.7 / 1 (74%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th May '22 Cage Warriors 138 6.1 -1.0 -16% -3.5 / 5.1 (-69%) 2.5 / 1 (250%)
28th May '22 KSW 70 2.25 -2.3 -100% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
27th May '22 CFFC 109 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
27th May '22 Cage Warriors 137 4 1.0 25% 1.0 / 4 (25%)
22nd May '22 Fury FC 63 12.34 1.1 9% 1.1 / 12.34 (9%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 29.63 -2.1 -7% -0.7 / 17.48 (-4%) -1.4 / 12.15 (-11%)
20th May '22 Eagle FC 47 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
20th May '22 Ares FC 6 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th May '22 Fury FC 62 5.2 4.0 77% 4.0 / 5.2 (77%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 10 10.2 102% 6.8 / 8 (85%) 3.4 / 2 (170%)
13th May '22 Bellator 281 4.3 -1.0 -22% 0.0 / 3.3 (1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 32.7 -3.1 -10% -0.0 / 6.5 (-0%) -5.1 / 23 (-22%) 2.0 / 3.2 (63%)
6th May '22 PFL 2022 #3 14.05 6.0 43% 6.0 / 10.5 (57%) -0.0 / 3.55 (-0%)
6th May '22 Bellator 280 24.17 2.5 10% 1.5 / 22.6 (7%) 1.0 / 1.57 (64%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 10.16 3.1 30% 4.7 / 6.5 (73%) -1.7 / 3.66 (-45%)
28th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #2 19.35 3.2 17% 1.1 / 15.6 (7%) 2.1 / 3.75 (55%)
24th Apr '22 Fury FC 60 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 279 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 27.3 23.8 87% 20.0 / 20 (100%) 3.8 / 7.3 (51%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 278 6.1 0.0 0% 0.0 / 4.1 (0%) 0.0 / 2 (0%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 4 3.2 80% 3.2 / 4 (80%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.2 -4.2 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 4 -1.0 -25% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (0%)
9th Apr '22 LFA 128 4.5 1.8 40% 1.8 / 4.5 (40%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 1 0.5 53% 0.5 / 1 (53%)
18th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 5 11 17.0 155% 17.0 / 11 (155%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 14 4.6 33% 1.9 / 10 (19%) 2.8 / 4 (69%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 15.55 -1.7 -11% -1.7 / 15.55 (-11%)
3rd Dec '21 Bellator 272 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 12.5 -7.4 -59% -3.4 / 8.5 (-40%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Nov '21 Bellator 271 3.25 1.0 31% 1.0 / 3.25 (31%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 9 4.0 44% 4.0 / 6 (67%) 0.0 / 3 (0%)
5th Nov '21 Bellator 270 13.61 -2.9 -21% -2.9 / 13.61 (-21%)
3rd Nov '21 DWCS 2021: Week 10 14.25 2.1 15% 0.3 / 11.25 (2%) 1.9 / 3 (62%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 5 11.7 234% 11.7 / 5 (234%)
27th Oct '21 PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 19 -5.2 -27% -5.2 / 19 (-27%)
1st Oct '21 Bellator 267 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
18th Sep '21 Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 4 -1.0 -25% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (0%)
17th Sep '21 CES 64 5 9.5 190% 9.5 / 5 (190%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 11 -5.8 -53% -0.8 / 6 (-13%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '21 PFL 2021: Week 1 1 3.5 350% 3.5 / 1 (350%)


Winning Events: 195 (57%)
Losing Events: 150 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 58.43 units
Best Event: 30.22 units
Worst Event: -12.85 units
Average Event: 0.98 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 12, Units: 44.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -23.10

Negative EV Betting Systems: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 1694.84 192.9 11% 161.0 / 1124.82 (14%) 7.7 / 100.84 (8%) 107 / 73 (59%) 1.07
2022 1596.34 162.2 10% 107.0 / 1083.96 (10%) -7.0 / 72.71 (-10%) 80 / 66 (55%) 1.11
2021 160.16 -17.5 -11% -21.8 / 130.16 (-17%) 11.7 / 5 (234%) 8 / 11 (42%) -0.92

Negative EV Betting Systems: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Negative EV Betting Systems: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1936.42 177.2 9% 107.1 / 1174.07 (9%) 69.1 / 665.74 (10%) 1.0 / 96.61 (1%)
Bellator 304.31 -7.8 -3% -6.5 / 211.85 (-3%) -3.9 / 63.89 (-6%) 2.6 / 28.57 (9%)
PFL 307.62 71.9 23% 64.8 / 197.02 (33%) 1.2 / 89.02 (1%) 5.9 / 21.58 (27%)
Other 902.99 96.3 11% 80.7 / 756 (11%) 12.7 / 115.2 (11%) 2.9 / 31.79 (9%)

Negative EV Betting Systems: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 266 (18%) 199 75 % 605.99 32.18 0.12 5%
Slight Favorites 490 (34%) 297 61 % 890.67 -0.80 -0.00 -0%
Slight Underdogs 466 (32%) 239 51 % 618.40 152.32 0.33 25%
Big Underdogs 234 (16%) 72 31 % 223.88 62.49 0.27 28%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 171 (12%) 98 57 % 305.89 -0.40 -0.00 -0%
Co-Main Event 160 (11%) 89 56 % 255.90 45.20 0.28 18%
Position 3-5 461 (32%) 248 54 % 724.70 65.24 0.14 9%
6+ (Undercard) 664 (46%) 372 56 % 1,052.45 136.14 0.21 13%

Negative EV Betting Systems: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 105 (7%) 50 48 % 181.48 -7.60 -0.07 -4%
Light Heavy 86 (6%) 53 62 % 144.90 43.31 0.50 30%
Middleweight 138 (9%) 72 52 % 212.39 18.83 0.14 9%
Welterweight 178 (12%) 101 57 % 279.53 31.79 0.18 11%
Lightweight 254 (17%) 145 57 % 428.69 59.22 0.23 14%
Featherweight 211 (14%) 105 50 % 314.39 -7.57 -0.04 -2%
Bantamweight 169 (12%) 104 62 % 280.45 37.14 0.22 13%
Flyweight 105 (7%) 66 63 % 159.40 33.58 0.32 21%
               
Women's Fights 210 (14%) 111 53 % 337.71 37.47 0.18 11%
Featherweight 19 (1%) 9 47 % 22.09 1.86 0.10 8%
Bantamweight 40 (3%) 18 45 % 72.01 -10.35 -0.26 -14%
Flyweight 62 (4%) 37 60 % 96.89 37.43 0.60 39%
Strawweight 89 (6%) 47 53 % 146.72 8.53 0.10 6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 184 (90%) 146 79 %
Slight Favorites 17 (8%) 10 59 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (1%) 2 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
204 158 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 104 (14%) 64 62 %
50-65% 224 (31%) 126 56 %
35-50% 165 (23%) 62 38 %
<35% chance 237 (32%) 44 19 %
730 296 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 69 (9%) 45 65 % 1.83 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct 13.3 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 89 (12%) 52 58 % 1.89 4.60Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct 10.8 (12%)
Goes to Decision 39 (5%) 18 46 % 2.34 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct 3.7 (9%)
Does not go to Decision 14 (2%) 9 64 % 1.59 1.83Pick was correct 1.38Pick was correct 0.1 (1%)
Fight Starts Round X 9 (1%) 7 78 % 1.77 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect 3.3 (36%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.43 1.43Pick was correct 1.43Pick was incorrect 0.4 (43%)
X Wins by KO 38 (5%) 6 16 % 3.74 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was incorrect -12.9 (-34%)
X Wins by Sub 72 (10%) 18 25 % 5.23 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct 27.1 (38%)
X Wins by Decision 36 (5%) 9 25 % 4.26 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -1.3 (-3%)
X Wins Inside Distance 17 (2%) 6 35 % 2.34 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -6.8 (-40%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (0%) 2 100 % 1.49 1.73Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 1.0 (52%)
X Wins in Round X 28 (4%) 3 11 % 10.45 46.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was correct 1.0 (4%)
Others 316 (43%) 120 38 % 2.01 66.98Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was incorrect 49.3 (16%)
730 296 41 % 2.30     89.0 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Negative EV Betting Systems's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
23rd Apr PFL 2021: Week 1 1 3.5 350% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,035.00
27th Aug PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 11 -5.8 -53% $10.35 $1,035.00 $974.97
28th Aug UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% $9.75 $974.97 $926.22
17th Sep CES 64 5 9.5 190% $9.26 $926.22 $1,014.21
18th Sep UFC FN 4 -1.0 -25% $10.14 $1,014.21 $1,004.07
18th Sep Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero 2 1.1 53% $10.04 $1,004.07 $1,014.75
1st Oct Bellator 267 9 -9.0 -100% $10.15 $1,014.75 $923.42
23rd Oct UFC FN 19 -5.2 -27% $9.23 $923.42 $875.41
27th Oct PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 -3.0 -100% $8.75 $875.41 $849.14
30th Oct UFC 267 5 11.7 234% $8.49 $849.14 $948.33
3rd Nov DWCS 2021: Week 10 14.25 2.1 15% $9.48 $948.33 $968.26
5th Nov Bellator 270 13.61 -2.9 -21% $9.68 $968.26 $939.94
6th Nov UFC 268 9 4.0 44% $9.40 $939.94 $977.53
12th Nov Bellator 271 3.25 1.0 31% $9.78 $977.53 $987.31
13th Nov UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% $9.87 $987.31 $947.82
20th Nov UFC FN 12.5 -7.4 -59% $9.48 $947.82 $877.94
3rd Dec Bellator 272 10 -10.0 -100% $8.78 $877.94 $790.15
4th Dec UFC FN 15.55 -1.7 -11% $7.90 $790.15 $776.52
11th Dec UFC 269 14 4.6 33% $7.77 $776.52 $812.55
18th Mar PFL Challenger Series 5 11 17.0 155% $8.13 $812.55 $951.09
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 1 0.5 53% $9.51 $951.09 $956.10
9th Apr LFA 128 4.5 1.8 40% $9.56 $956.10 $973.31
15th Apr Bellator 277 4 -1.0 -25% $5 $9.73 $973.31 $958.57
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.2 -4.2 -100% $9.59 $958.57 $918.31
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 4 3.2 80% $9.18 $918.31 $947.70
23rd Apr Bellator 278 6.1 0.0 0% $9.48 $947.70 $947.70
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 27.3 23.8 87% $9.48 $947.70 $1,173.20
23rd Apr Bellator 279 3 -3.0 -100% $11.73 $1,173.20 $1,138.01
24th Apr Fury FC 60 2.5 -2.5 -100% $11.38 $1,138.01 $1,109.56
28th Apr PFL 2022 #2 19.35 3.2 17% $11.10 $1,109.56 $1,145.24
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 10.16 3.1 30% $11.45 $1,145.24 $1,180.26
6th May Bellator 280 24.17 2.5 10% $11.80 $1,180.26 $1,209.48
6th May PFL 2022 #3 14.05 6.0 43% $12.09 $1,209.48 $1,281.93
7th May UFC 274 32.7 -3.1 -10% $12.82 $1,281.93 $1,241.58
13th May Bellator 281 4.3 -1.0 -22% $12.42 $1,241.58 $1,229.61
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 10 10.2 102% $12.30 $1,229.61 $1,355.16
15th May Fury FC 62 5.2 4.0 77% $13.55 $1,355.16 $1,409.36
20th May Ares FC 6 1 -1.0 -100% $14.09 $1,409.36 $1,395.27
20th May Eagle FC 47 3.3 -3.3 -100% $13.95 $1,395.27 $1,349.22
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 29.63 -2.1 -7% $13.49 $1,349.22 $1,321.33
22nd May Fury FC 63 12.34 1.1 9% $13.21 $1,321.33 $1,335.93
27th May Cage Warriors 137 4 1.0 25% $13.36 $1,335.93 $1,349.29
27th May CFFC 109 0.5 0.5 100% $13.49 $1,349.29 $1,356.04
28th May KSW 70 2.25 -2.3 -100% $13.56 $1,356.04 $1,325.53
28th May Cage Warriors 138 6.1 -1.0 -16% $13.26 $1,325.53 $1,312.27
3rd Jun LFA 133 2 -0.3 -13% $13.12 $1,312.27 $1,308.87
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 55.93 1.2 2% $13.09 $1,308.87 $1,325.08
9th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 1 3 2.0 66% $13.25 $1,325.08 $1,351.18
9th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 2 1 0.2 18% $13.51 $1,351.18 $1,353.64
10th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 3 1.62 1.1 70% $13.54 $1,353.64 $1,368.93
10th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 4 2.45 -2.5 -100% $13.69 $1,368.93 $1,335.39
10th Jun LFA 134 1.7 -1.7 -100% $13.35 $1,335.39 $1,312.69
10th Jun Cage Warriors 139 2.7 2.0 72% $13.13 $1,312.69 $1,338.29
11th Jun UFC 275 43 16.1 38% $13.38 $1,338.29 $1,554.28
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 13.56 -3.0 -22% $15.54 $1,554.28 $1,507.43
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 43.65 0.3 1% $15.07 $1,507.43 $1,511.45
24th Jun Bellator 282 13 6.7 52% $15.11 $1,511.45 $1,613.45
24th Jun PFL 2022 #5 14.85 -1.8 -12% $16.13 $1,613.45 $1,585.01
25th Jun Cage Warriors 140 2 -2.0 -100% $15.85 $1,585.01 $1,553.31
25th Jun Ares FC 7 2 -2.0 -100% $15.53 $1,553.31 $1,522.24
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 24.1 -1.6 -7% $15.22 $1,522.24 $1,498.01
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 13.8 0.4 3% $14.98 $1,498.01 $1,503.75
2nd Jul UAE Warriors 30 11 17.9 163% $15.04 $1,503.75 $1,773.37
2nd Jul UFC 276 30.93 14.4 47% $17.73 $1,773.37 $2,029.39
8th Jul LFA 135 3.2 0.0 0% $20.29 $2,029.39 $2,029.39
8th Jul Fury FC 66 3 -3.0 -100% $20.29 $2,029.39 $1,968.51
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 50.7 -3.3 -7% $19.69 $1,968.51 $1,903.31
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 44.72 2.9 7% $19.03 $1,903.31 $1,958.93
22nd Jul Cage Warriors 141 14.85 6.6 45% $19.59 $1,958.93 $2,088.61
22nd Jul Bellator 283 21.1 2.0 9% $20.89 $2,088.61 $2,129.41
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 30 1.3 4% $21.29 $2,129.41 $2,157.83
23rd Jul XMMA 5 2 -2.0 -100% $21.58 $2,157.83 $2,114.67
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 20.1 5.4 27% $21.15 $2,114.67 $2,229.48
29th Jul LFA 137 4.5 -3.0 -67% $22.29 $2,229.48 $2,162.60
30th Jul UFC 277 47.62 19.7 41% $21.63 $2,162.60 $2,589.19
31st Jul Rizin 37 11 0.3 3% $25.89 $2,589.19 $2,597.16
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 24.18 -4.4 -18% $25.97 $2,597.16 $2,482.95
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 8.56 -4.2 -49% $24.83 $2,482.95 $2,378.93
5th Aug LFA 138 2.5 1.0 41% $23.79 $2,378.93 $2,403.29
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 28.52 -6.7 -23% $24.03 $2,403.29 $2,242.56
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 16.25 -1.5 -9% $22.43 $2,242.56 $2,209.03
12th Aug Bellator 284 11.26 0.9 8% $22.09 $2,209.03 $2,228.25
13th Aug PFL 2022 #8 4 -0.6 -14% $22.28 $2,228.25 $2,215.51
13th Aug ACA 142 0.5 0.2 42% $22.16 $2,215.51 $2,220.13
13th Aug Cage Warriors 142 3 -0.0 -0% $22.20 $2,220.13 $2,220.11
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 34.37 0.8 2% $22.20 $2,220.11 $2,238.04
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 8.35 -2.8 -34% $22.38 $2,238.04 $2,175.38
20th Aug LFA 139 8.2 4.1 50% $21.75 $2,175.38 $2,264.35
20th Aug KSW 73 1 1.2 120% $22.64 $2,264.35 $2,291.52
20th Aug PFL 2022 #9 6 -4.3 -71% $5 $22.92 $2,291.52 $2,188.92
20th Aug UFC 278 17.01 4.0 24% $5 $21.89 $2,188.92 $2,272.31
21st Aug Fury FC 68 1.5 0.9 57% $22.72 $2,272.31 $2,291.62
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 20.95 7.5 36% $22.92 $2,291.62 $2,463.83
24th Aug Centurion Fights 9 6 2.9 48% $24.64 $2,463.83 $2,534.22
26th Aug One 160 1 2.6 255% $25.34 $2,534.22 $2,598.84
26th Aug CFFC 112 2.51 -1.5 -59% $25.99 $2,598.84 $2,560.25
27th Aug LFA 140 0.5 0.8 155% $25.60 $2,560.25 $2,580.09
27th Aug One FC on Prime 1 18.77 1.2 7% $5 $25.80 $2,580.09 $2,606.69
27th Aug ACA 143 1.6 0.1 7% $26.07 $2,606.69 $2,609.67
31st Aug DWCS 2022: Week 6 7.86 9.8 124% $5 $26.10 $2,609.67 $2,859.83
2nd Sep Ares FC 8 0.75 -0.8 -100% $28.60 $2,859.83 $2,838.39
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 22.65 0.2 1% $5 $28.38 $2,838.39 $2,837.75
6th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 7 20.26 -6.2 -31% $28.38 $2,837.75 $2,662.14
10th Sep LFA 141 19.41 6.9 35% $5 $26.62 $2,662.14 $2,839.86
10th Sep KSW 74 3.5 2.1 60% $28.40 $2,839.86 $2,899.76
10th Sep UFC 279 29.55 7.1 24% $5 $29.00 $2,899.76 $3,100.31
13th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 8 11.6 -1.5 -13% $5 $31.00 $3,100.31 $3,048.87
16th Sep UAE 32 2.1 1.8 86% $30.49 $3,048.87 $3,103.75
17th Sep LFA 142 2 -2.0 -100% $31.04 $3,103.75 $3,041.68
17th Sep UAE 33 2 0.6 30% $30.42 $3,041.68 $3,059.89
17th Sep Oktagon 35 4.35 -4.4 -100% $30.60 $3,059.89 $2,926.79
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 36.61 17.9 49% $5 $29.27 $2,926.79 $3,444.90
21st Sep DWCS 2022: Week 9 12.67 -7.8 -62% $5 $34.45 $3,444.90 $3,171.42
23rd Sep Bellator 285 27.27 -7.1 -26% $5 $31.71 $3,171.42 $2,940.68
23rd Sep Cage Warriors 143 6.01 3.5 59% $5 $29.41 $2,940.68 $3,039.93
25th Sep Rizin 38 4 3.9 98% $30.40 $3,039.93 $3,159.24
27th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 10 12.45 7.5 60% $5 $31.59 $3,159.24 $3,391.16
29th Sep Invicta FC 49 4.5 -2.2 -48% $5 $33.91 $3,391.16 $3,312.74
29th Sep ONE 161 3.05 1.0 33% $5 $33.13 $3,312.74 $3,340.87
30th Sep One on Prime 2 3 -1.8 -60% $33.41 $3,340.87 $3,280.73
30th Sep LFA 143 5 2.3 47% $5 $32.81 $3,280.73 $3,352.52
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 22.79 -5.0 -22% $5 $33.53 $3,352.52 $3,181.19
1st Oct Bellator 286 19.13 -3.7 -19% $5 $31.81 $3,181.19 $3,059.27
4th Oct ACA 146 1.5 0.6 39% $5 $30.59 $3,059.27 $3,072.27
14th Oct KSW 75 4.01 -1.4 -36% $30.72 $3,072.27 $3,028.07
14th Oct LFA 144 2 -2.0 -100% $30.28 $3,028.07 $2,967.51
15th Oct FEN 42 1 0.5 54% $29.68 $2,967.51 $2,983.55
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 19.58 13.6 70% $5 $29.84 $2,983.55 $3,385.81
19th Oct Brave CF 63 0.5 0.9 175% $33.86 $3,385.81 $3,415.43
21st Oct LFA 145 2.5 1.7 67% $5 $34.15 $3,415.43 $3,467.35
22nd Oct UFC 280 31.8 -10.5 -33% $5 $34.67 $3,467.35 $3,096.59
22nd Oct Brave CF 64 1 -1.0 -100% $30.97 $3,096.59 $3,065.62
23rd Oct RIZIN 39 6.45 3.4 52% $5 $30.66 $3,065.62 $3,163.60
23rd Oct Road to UFC 5: Abu Dhabi 6.5 -2.8 -42% $5 $31.64 $3,163.60 $3,071.37
23rd Oct Road to UFC 6: Abu Dhabi 5 -0.5 -10% $5 $30.71 $3,071.37 $3,050.73
28th Oct Brave CF 65 3 1.1 38% $30.51 $3,050.73 $3,085.11
29th Oct Bellator 287 4 1.4 36% $30.85 $3,085.11 $3,129.03
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 9.52 -6.4 -67% $5 $31.29 $3,129.03 $2,924.71
4th Nov Cage Warriors 145 1 -1.0 -100% $5 $29.25 $2,924.71 $2,890.46
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 6 -6.0 -100% $28.90 $2,890.46 $2,717.03
10th Nov CFFC 114 3 1.1 36% $5 $27.17 $2,717.03 $2,741.67
11th Nov Babilon MMA 32 1 0.9 87% $27.42 $2,741.67 $2,765.51
12th Nov KSW 76 1.25 -0.7 -59% $27.66 $2,765.51 $2,745.12
12th Nov Cage Warriors 146 8.01 7.7 97% $5 $27.45 $2,745.12 $2,952.54
12th Nov UFC 281 21.05 -3.5 -16% $5 $29.53 $2,952.54 $2,845.02
16th Nov Invicta FC 50 1 -1.0 -100% $28.45 $2,845.02 $2,816.57
18th Nov Bellator 288 6.5 1.4 22% $28.17 $2,816.57 $2,856.58
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10 0.1 1% $28.57 $2,856.58 $2,859.32
25th Nov PFL 2022 #10 26.28 30.2 115% $5 $28.59 $2,859.32 $3,718.53
26th Nov Brave CF 66 0.5 0.3 61% $37.19 $3,718.53 $3,729.94
2nd Dec One on Prime 5 2.5 -2.5 -100% $37.30 $3,729.94 $3,636.69
2nd Dec Unified MMA 47 0.5 -0.5 -100% $36.37 $3,636.69 $3,618.51
3rd Dec One 164 2 0.7 33% $36.19 $3,618.51 $3,642.63
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 30.5 -12.9 -42% $5 $36.43 $3,642.63 $3,169.54
9th Dec Bellator 289 7.25 -0.4 -5% $5 $31.70 $3,169.54 $3,152.34
9th Dec LFA 148 1.25 -0.1 -5% $31.52 $3,152.34 $3,150.37
10th Dec UFC 282 25.11 6.1 24% $5 $31.50 $3,150.37 $3,337.89
16th Dec ACA 149 2.25 1.8 79% $5 $33.38 $3,337.89 $3,391.92
17th Dec Brave CF 68 0.5 -0.5 -100% $33.92 $3,391.92 $3,374.96
17th Dec KSW 77 1 -1.0 -100% $33.75 $3,374.96 $3,341.21
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 20.8 -10.5 -51% $5 $33.41 $3,341.21 $2,984.48
23rd Dec ACA 150 3.25 0.4 14% $29.84 $2,984.48 $2,997.66
31st Dec Rizin 40 1 -1.0 -100% $5 $29.98 $2,997.66 $2,962.69
31st Dec Bellator vs Rizin 10 -0.3 -3% $5 $29.63 $2,962.69 $2,949.78
31st Dec Cage Warriors 148 13.71 2.1 15% $5 $29.50 $2,949.78 $3,006.72
6th Jan LFA 149 3 2.7 89% $5 $30.07 $3,006.72 $3,082.18
13th Jan One on Prime 6 0.5 0.8 160% $30.82 $3,082.18 $3,106.84
13th Jan LFA 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% $31.07 $3,106.84 $3,091.31
13th Jan A1 Combat 7 2.52 1.7 66% $30.91 $3,091.31 $3,142.56
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 8.87 4.8 54% $31.43 $3,142.56 $3,291.89
18th Jan Invicta FC 51 2.05 1.0 49% $32.92 $3,291.89 $3,324.80
20th Jan Ares FC 11 5.02 2.1 42% $5 $33.25 $3,324.80 $3,389.44
21st Jan KSW 78 1 -1.0 -100% $33.89 $3,389.44 $3,355.55
21st Jan UFC 283 18.6 -2.6 -14% $33.56 $3,355.55 $3,266.90
27th Jan ACA 151 1.65 1.0 61% $32.67 $3,266.90 $3,299.57
28th Jan PFL Challenger Series: Week 1 3.25 2.1 66% $33.00 $3,299.57 $3,369.96
28th Jan FEN 44 1 -1.0 -100% $33.70 $3,369.96 $3,336.26
28th Jan LFA 151 6.51 -5.6 -86% $33.36 $3,336.26 $3,150.25
29th Jan Fury FC 73 2 -2.0 -100% $31.50 $3,150.25 $3,087.25
3rd Feb PFL Challenger Series: Week 2 3.5 -3.5 -100% $30.87 $3,087.25 $2,979.20
4th Feb Bellator 290 11 5.8 53% $5 $29.79 $2,979.20 $3,146.29
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 15.5 -0.7 -4% $31.46 $3,146.29 $3,124.86
10th Feb LFA 152 6.45 -6.5 -100% $31.25 $3,124.86 $2,923.31
11th Feb UFC 284 37.03 -5.1 -14% $5 $29.23 $2,923.31 $2,768.04
17th Feb LFA 153 3 -2.3 -77% $27.68 $2,768.04 $2,703.70
17th Feb PFL Challenger Series: Week 4 1 0.4 42% $27.04 $2,703.70 $2,714.96
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 27.65 5.7 21% $5 $27.15 $2,714.96 $2,865.11
24th Feb One on Prime 7 5.3 -3.8 -72% $28.65 $2,865.11 $2,756.24
24th Feb PFL Challenger Series: Week 5 3.9 6.8 174% $27.56 $2,756.24 $2,943.66
25th Feb KSW 79 5.01 3.3 67% $29.44 $2,943.66 $3,041.98
25th Feb Bellator 291 8.45 -5.3 -62% $30.42 $3,041.98 $2,882.28
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 31.51 5.7 18% $28.82 $2,882.28 $3,047.87
2nd Mar EFC 101 2.01 2.2 108% $30.48 $3,047.87 $3,113.73
3rd Mar PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6 1.8 -0.3 -17% $31.14 $3,113.73 $3,104.39
3rd Mar Cage Warriors 149 1.2 1.0 83% $31.04 $3,104.39 $3,135.43
4th Mar Oktagon 40 7.2 3.1 44% $5 $31.35 $3,135.43 $3,228.68
4th Mar UFC 285 31.7 9.9 31% $32.29 $3,228.68 $3,548.77
9th Mar ACA 153 1.3 -1.3 -100% $35.49 $3,548.77 $3,502.63
10th Mar Bellator 292 8 5.2 66% $35.03 $3,502.63 $3,686.23
10th Mar LFA 154 1.8 1.0 56% $36.86 $3,686.23 $3,723.10
10th Mar PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7 2.5 1.0 39% $37.23 $3,723.10 $3,759.71
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12.5 -1.8 -14% $37.60 $3,759.71 $3,693.65
15th Mar Centurion FC 1.5 -1.5 -100% $36.94 $3,693.65 $3,638.25
15th Mar Invicta FC 52 2.38 -2.4 -100% $36.38 $3,638.25 $3,551.66
17th Mar PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8 7 -4.0 -57% $35.52 $3,551.66 $3,409.59
18th Mar UFC 286 23.67 -3.2 -14% $34.10 $3,409.59 $3,299.18
24th Mar Fury FC 76 2.32 -0.1 -3% $32.99 $3,299.18 $3,296.87
24th Mar LFA 155 2.2 -2.2 -100% $32.97 $3,296.87 $3,224.34
24th Mar One Fight Night 8 3.25 2.0 62% $32.24 $3,224.34 $3,288.82
25th Mar PFL Europe 1 1.65 -0.1 -8% $32.89 $3,288.82 $3,284.71
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 14.13 0.1 1% $32.85 $3,284.71 $3,287.47
31st Mar BFL 76 5.51 -1.1 -20% $32.87 $3,287.47 $3,251.59
31st Mar Bellator 293 12.75 8.1 64% $5 $32.52 $3,251.59 $3,510.03
1st Apr Rizin 41 6.88 -3.4 -49% $35.10 $3,510.03 $3,390.69
1st Apr PFL 1: 2023 9.4 4.3 46% $33.91 $3,390.69 $3,535.88
1st Apr CFFC 118 3.15 0.2 8% $35.36 $3,535.88 $3,544.33
7th Apr PFL 2: 2023 16.51 7.6 46% $5 $35.44 $3,544.33 $3,807.81
8th Apr UFC 287 29.32 18.8 64% $5 $38.08 $3,807.81 $4,516.89
14th Apr PFL 3: 2023 16.23 -3.5 -21% $45.17 $4,516.89 $4,360.93
14th Apr LFA 156 3 1.2 39% $43.61 $4,360.93 $4,411.81
15th Apr Cage Warriors 152 1.5 0.8 50% $44.12 $4,411.81 $4,444.89
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 58.43 5.4 9% $5 $44.45 $4,444.89 $4,679.32
16th Apr Fury FC 77 3.9 2.4 62% $46.79 $4,679.32 $4,792.40
21st Apr Bellator 294 14.55 -5.8 -40% $5 $47.92 $4,792.40 $4,508.52
21st Apr One Fight Night 9 6.25 4.4 71% $45.09 $4,508.52 $4,708.07
21st Apr LFA 157 2 -2.0 -100% $47.08 $4,708.07 $4,613.91
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 38.48 -3.8 -10% $5 $46.14 $4,613.91 $4,432.34
22nd Apr Bellator 295 9.01 2.4 26% $5 $44.32 $4,432.34 $4,531.97
29th Apr Rizin Landmark 5 11.85 -0.9 -8% $45.32 $4,531.97 $4,489.17
29th Apr Cage Warriors 153 3.5 -0.2 -7% $44.89 $4,489.17 $4,477.95
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 17.15 8.7 51% $44.78 $4,477.95 $4,868.54
3rd May Invicta FC 53 3 2.8 92% $5 $48.69 $4,868.54 $4,997.43
5th May One Fight Night 10 5.4 2.0 37% $5 $49.97 $4,997.43 $5,092.38
6th May Rizin 42 26.24 15.7 60% $5 $50.92 $5,092.38 $5,885.59
6th May UFC 288 22.51 8.7 38% $58.86 $5,885.59 $6,395.20
12th May Bellator 296 2 5.4 269% $5 $63.95 $6,395.20 $6,734.27
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 12.3 -7.5 -61% $67.34 $6,734.27 $6,228.53
20th May LFA 158 1 2.3 225% $62.29 $6,228.53 $6,368.67
20th May UAE Warriors 42 2 -0.4 -22% $63.69 $6,368.67 $6,341.17
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 18.01 -2.7 -15% $5 $63.41 $6,341.17 $6,164.31
27th May Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 1 & 2 12.56 6.8 54% $5 $61.64 $6,164.31 $6,576.94
28th May Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 & 4 14.24 5.0 35% $5 $65.77 $6,576.94 $6,897.97
2nd Jun Cage Warriors 155 8.51 8.6 101% $5 $68.98 $6,897.97 $7,484.47
3rd Jun KSW 83 7.53 -6.7 -88% $5 $74.84 $7,484.47 $6,981.45
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 19.71 7.3 37% $5 $69.81 $6,981.45 $7,487.78
8th Jun PFL 4: Regular Season 10.25 1.4 14% $5 $74.88 $7,487.78 $7,589.33
10th Jun UFC 289 27.06 11.9 44% $5 $75.89 $7,589.33 $8,483.76
16th Jun ACA 159 3.5 1.2 35% $84.84 $8,483.76 $8,588.05
16th Jun LFA 160 2 0.4 19% $5 $85.88 $8,588.05 $8,615.89
16th Jun Bellator 297 10.08 -5.0 -50% $5 $86.16 $8,615.89 $8,180.10
16th Jun PFL 5: Regular Season 5.53 3.0 54% $5 $81.80 $8,180.10 $8,420.87
17th Jun Oktagon 44 1 1.8 180% $84.21 $8,420.87 $8,572.45
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 18.18 -3.2 -17% $5 $85.72 $8,572.45 $8,295.12
23rd Jun PFL 6: Regular Season 17.37 3.4 19% $5 $82.95 $8,295.12 $8,568.25
24th Jun Rizin 43 2 -0.1 -5% $5 $85.68 $8,568.25 $8,555.46
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 34.05 -1.7 -5% $5 $85.55 $8,555.46 $8,406.07
1st Jul Cage Warriors 156 0.65 0.5 77% $84.06 $8,406.07 $8,448.10
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 27.18 -9.4 -34% $5 $84.48 $8,448.10 $7,652.33
8th Jul PFL Europe 2 7.15 -5.2 -72% $5 $76.52 $7,652.33 $7,253.23
8th Jul UFC 290 30.73 -5.4 -17% $5 $72.53 $7,253.23 $6,859.78
14th Jul One Fight Night 12 5.3 -1.0 -19% $68.60 $6,859.78 $6,791.18
14th Jul CFFC 121 5.06 1.9 37% $5 $67.91 $6,791.18 $6,914.57
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 37.83 2.2 6% $5 $69.15 $6,914.57 $7,060.55
16th Jul Fury FC 81 4.54 -0.5 -11% $5 $70.61 $7,060.55 $7,019.70
21st Jul ACA 160 1 -1.0 -100% $70.20 $7,019.70 $6,949.50
21st Jul Cage Warriors 157 5.75 2.5 44% $5 $69.50 $6,949.50 $7,121.03
21st Jul LFA 163 6.25 -4.0 -64% $5 $71.21 $7,121.03 $6,831.18
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 25.08 6.6 27% $5 $68.31 $6,831.18 $7,280.26
29th Jul UFC 291 10.38 -0.8 -7% $5 $72.80 $7,280.26 $7,218.70
30th Jul Bellator vs Rizin 2 6.5 -3.0 -46% $5 $72.19 $7,218.70 $6,999.91
4th Aug PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 11.45 7.2 63% $70.00 $6,999.91 $7,502.96
5th Aug One Fight Night 13 1 -1.0 -100% $75.03 $7,502.96 $7,427.93
5th Aug LFA 164 4.75 -4.8 -100% $74.28 $7,427.93 $7,075.10
5th Aug A1 Combat 13 3.2 -1.5 -46% $5 $70.75 $7,075.10 $6,966.85
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 20.95 5.8 28% $5 $69.67 $6,966.85 $7,367.64
8th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 1 13.15 -2.2 -16% $5 $73.68 $7,367.64 $7,204.24
11th Aug Bellator 298 7.25 2.3 32% $5 $72.04 $7,204.24 $7,367.74
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 21.55 2.8 13% $5 $73.68 $7,367.74 $7,567.72
12th Aug Brave CF 73 0.5 0.5 105% $75.68 $7,567.72 $7,607.45
15th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 2 19.95 -6.6 -33% $5 $76.07 $7,607.45 $7,102.21
18th Aug PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs 2.5 0.0 0% $5 $71.02 $7,102.21 $7,097.21
18th Aug LFA 165 1.5 0.9 57% $5 $70.97 $7,097.21 $7,152.54
19th Aug KSW 85 4.3 0.1 3% $5 $71.53 $7,152.54 $7,158.14
19th Aug UFC 292 38.65 -1.9 -5% $5 $71.58 $7,158.14 $7,019.76
22nd Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 3 5.27 0.1 2% $70.20 $7,019.76 $7,028.68
23rd Aug PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs 12.35 6.6 54% $5 $70.29 $7,028.68 $7,489.68
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 24.58 1.2 5% $5 $74.90 $7,489.68 $7,578.29
26th Aug UAE Warriors 44 2 -2.0 -100% $5 $75.78 $7,578.29 $7,421.72
27th Aug Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 1 5.3 1.4 27% $5 $74.22 $7,421.72 $7,523.97
27th Aug Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2 11.26 -11.3 -100% $5 $75.24 $7,523.97 $6,671.77
27th Aug Fury FC 82 2.5 1.2 48% $5 $66.72 $6,671.77 $6,746.20
29th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 4 12.05 -2.0 -17% $5 $67.46 $6,746.20 $6,606.57
1st Sep CFFC 123 0.75 -0.8 -100% $5 $66.07 $6,606.57 $6,552.02
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 33.54 -3.7 -11% $5 $65.52 $6,552.02 $6,303.76
2nd Sep LFA 166 0.5 0.8 155% $63.04 $6,303.76 $6,352.62
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 4.5 -2.5 -56% $5 $63.53 $6,352.62 $6,188.80
9th Sep UFC 293 31.38 -0.6 -2% $5 $61.89 $6,188.80 $6,148.66
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 10 -0.8 -8% $5 $61.49 $6,148.66 $6,093.02
15th Sep LFA 167 2 -2.0 -100% $60.93 $6,093.02 $5,971.16
15th Sep CFFC 125 1 0.5 50% $59.71 $5,971.16 $6,001.02
15th Sep Combat FC 5 1.4 0.8 54% $5 $60.01 $6,001.02 $6,041.03
16th Sep Oktagon 46 4 -2.4 -59% $5 $60.41 $6,041.03 $5,893.77
16th Sep KSW 86 1 2.1 210% $5 $58.94 $5,893.77 $6,012.54
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 27.11 16.3 60% $5 $60.13 $6,012.54 $6,984.61
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 2 -0.5 -24% $5 $69.85 $6,984.61 $6,945.58
22nd Sep ACA 163 0.5 -0.5 -100% $69.46 $6,945.58 $6,910.85
22nd Sep LFA 168 1 0.7 74% $69.11 $6,910.85 $6,961.66
23rd Sep Bellator 299 3.5 2.6 75% $5 $69.62 $6,961.66 $7,140.13
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 12.5 3.8 30% $5 $71.40 $7,140.13 $7,404.42
26th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 8 3 0.3 11% $5 $74.04 $7,404.42 $7,424.10
29th Sep One Fight Night 14 1 0.8 77% $5 $74.24 $7,424.10 $7,476.21
1st Oct Rizin Landmark 6 3 -3.0 -100% $5 $74.76 $7,476.21 $7,246.92
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 2 4.4 218% $5 $72.47 $7,246.92 $7,557.17
6th Oct One Fight Night 15 4.82 -0.4 -9% $5 $75.57 $7,557.17 $7,520.43
6th Oct LFA 169 5.75 0.8 14% $5 $75.20 $7,520.43 $7,575.82
7th Oct Oktagon 47 1.5 1.1 74% $75.76 $7,575.82 $7,660.20
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 7.53 6.4 86% $5 $76.60 $7,660.20 $8,148.91
7th Oct Bellator 300 5 0.9 19% $5 $81.49 $8,148.91 $8,220.04
10th Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 10 12.51 1.3 11% $5 $82.20 $8,220.04 $8,325.40
13th Oct CFFC 126 4.5 -0.0 -0% $5 $83.25 $8,325.40 $8,320.40
14th Oct KSW 87 2.78 4.8 174% $5 $83.20 $8,320.40 $8,718.60
14th Oct Cage Warriors 161 5.51 3.7 68% $5 $87.19 $8,718.60 $9,040.53
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 24.55 10.4 43% $5 $90.41 $9,040.53 $9,979.93
21st Oct UFC 294 19.1 0.1 1% $5 $99.80 $9,979.93 $9,989.90
27th Oct Invicta FC 54 1 1.2 121% $99.90 $9,989.90 $10,110.78
28th Oct Cage Warriors 162 2.01 1.3 66% $5 $101.11 $10,110.78 $10,240.05
28th Oct Unified MMA 53 2.75 2.5 91% $5 $102.40 $10,240.05 $10,491.56
3rd Nov ACA 165 0.5 -0.5 -100% $5 $104.92 $10,491.56 $10,434.10
4th Nov Rizin Landmark 7 10.01 10.9 109% $5 $104.34 $10,434.10 $11,564.17
4th Nov Oktagon 48 6.5 2.1 33% $5 $115.64 $11,564.17 $11,805.21
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 20 3.8 19% $5 $118.05 $11,805.21 $12,253.66
11th Nov Cage Warriors 163 3 1.1 36% $5 $122.54 $12,253.66 $12,382.34
11th Nov UFC 295 29.55 13.3 45% $5 $123.82 $12,382.34 $14,021.19
12th Nov Fury Challenger Series 10 1 0.6 57% $140.21 $14,021.19 $14,101.31
17th Nov Bellator 301 9.28 0.9 10% $5 $141.01 $14,101.31 $14,225.26
17th Nov LFA 172 1.54 1.0 65% $5 $142.25 $14,225.26 $14,363.55
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 18.46 7.8 42% $5 $143.64 $14,363.55 $15,475.08
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11.53 2.2 19% $5 $154.75 $15,475.08 $15,809.45
25th Nov Brave CF 76 3.5 0.1 2% $5 $158.09 $15,809.45 $15,816.62
25th Nov Cage Warriors 164 1 0.6 65% $5 $158.17 $15,816.62 $15,914.32
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 17.86 -1.1 -6% $5 $159.14 $15,914.32 $15,730.51
3rd Dec Fury FC 84 1 -1.0 -100% $157.31 $15,730.51 $15,573.21
5th Dec Brave CF 77 2.5 1.9 74% $5 $155.73 $15,573.21 $15,856.52
7th Dec EFC 110 1.63 0.0 2% $5 $158.57 $15,856.52 $15,857.34
8th Dec PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships 12.3 1.4 12% $5 $158.57 $15,857.34 $16,082.25


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1,508.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Negative EV Betting Systems: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Paid Pick Nate Kelly Calum Seaton 1.44 5 Sub, R2 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Paid Pick Steven Goncalves Tapiwa Katikati 1.67 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Paid Pick Dylan Tuke Yazid Chouchane 1.74 1.69 Sub, R2 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Paid Pick Khurshed Kakhorov Frans Mlambo 1.43 1.45 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Paid Pick Vitaliy Yakimenko Maysara Mohamed 1.77 0.8 Sub, R1 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '23 Paid Pick Nicholas Hwende Mutolibsho Akobirov 1.74 0.82 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '23 Paid Pick Vitaliy Yakimenko Maysara Mohamed 1.71 0.88 Sub, R1 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '23 Paid Pick Miesha Tate Julia Avila 2.41 1 Sub, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Kamil Magomedov Josh Togo 1.50 1 Sub, R2 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Paid Pick Cornellius Aritonang Matthieu Moya 1.65 1 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Ray Cooper III 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Paid Pick Magomed Magomedkerimov Sadibou Sy 1.67 2 Sub, R3 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Paid Pick Kayla Harrison Aspen Ladd 1.17 1.67 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '23 Paid Pick Larissa Pacheco Marina Mokhnatkina 1.18 1.41 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '23 Paid Pick Olivier Aubin-Mercier Clay Collard 1.41 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '23 Paid Pick Myktybek Orolbai Uros Medic 1.83 1.2 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '23 Paid Pick Michael Parkin Caio Machado (2) 1.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '23 Paid Pick A.J. McKee Sidney Outlaw 1.41 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '23 Cedric Katambwa Bret Cooper 1.50 1.01 TKO, R2 (1:47) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '23 Paid Pick Jose Johnson Chad Anheliger 1.53 2 Sub, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Paid Pick John Mitchell Jakub Kaszuba 1.77 1.63 TKO, R2 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Paid Pick Reinaldo Ekson Igeu Kabesa 2.70 0.63 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Paid Pick Lewis McGrillen-Evans Weslley Maia 1.31 2.03 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Tony Toro Isaiah Diggs 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Paid Pick Punahele Soriano Dustin Stoltzfus 1.39 2.55 Sub, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '23 Paid Pick Joe Solecki Drakkar Klose 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Jefri Arianto Utomo Mojtaba Nasiri 3.35 1.25 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Paid Pick Gabriel Alves Braga Jesus Pinedo 2.00 1 TKO, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Paid Pick Gabriel Alves Braga Jesus Pinedo 1.83 1.2 TKO, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '23 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 2.10 2.5 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Paid Pick Jefferson Pontes Cody Law 3.40 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Paid Pick Isao Kobayashi Yves Landu 2.85 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Paid Pick Paul Craig Brendan Allen 4.50 0.5 Sub, R3 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '23 Paid Pick Killys Mota Islam Mamedov 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '23 Paid Pick Sumiko Inaba Denise Kielholtz 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '23 Paid Pick Kevin Borjas Joshua Van 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '23 Paid Pick Gadzhimurad Antigulov Evgeny Erokhin 2.20 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '23 Paid Pick Luana Pinheiro Amanda Ribas 3.45 1 TKO, R3 (3:53) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '23 Paid Pick Aaron Aby Elias Garcia 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '23 Paid Pick Alex Bertinazzi Baris Adiguzel 1.67 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Negative EV Betting Systems: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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