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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kevin Arauz

Kevin Arauz (Secret)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Kevin Arauz

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (50%) Right 18 (64%) Right 0 (0%) Right 1 (17%)
Wrong 19 (50%) Wrong 10 (36%) Wrong 4 (100%) Wrong 5 (83%)
Avg Odds 1.73 Avg Odds 1.54 Avg Odds 2.79 Avg Odds 2.55
Units Bet 117.5 Units Bet 97.0 Units Bet 3.5 Units Bet 17.0
Avg Bet 3.09 Avg Bet 3.46 Avg Bet 0.88 Avg Bet 2.83
Units Profit -4.85 Units Profit 10.83 Units Profit -3.50 Units Profit -12.18
ROI % -4% ROI % 11% ROI % -100% ROI % -72%
View Handicapper's Profile

Kevin Arauz: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th May '21 UFC 262 24 -7.5 -31% -4.5 / 21 (-21%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 26 10.2 39% 10.2 / 26 (39%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 34 -2.4 -7% 4.6 / 27 (17%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 33.5 -5.2 -15% 0.5 / 23 (2%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -2.2 / 7 (-31%)


Winning Events: 1 (25%)
Losing Events: 3 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 29.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.00 units
Best Event: 10.17 units
Worst Event: -7.48 units
Average Event: -1.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 10.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.54

Kevin Arauz: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 117.5 -4.8 -4% 10.8 / 97 (11%) -12.2 / 17 (-72%) 1 / 3 (25%) -1.21

Kevin Arauz: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kevin Arauz: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 117.5 -4.8 -4% 10.8 / 97 (11%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -12.2 / 17 (-72%)

Kevin Arauz: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (55%) 11 69 % 63.00 -2.28 -0.14 -4%
Slight Favorites 12 (41%) 7 58 % 29.00 6.12 0.51 21%
Slight Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 7.00 7.00 140%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (10%) 3 100 % 13.00 8.23 2.74 63%
Co-Main Event 3 (10%) 2 67 % 9.00 0.62 0.21 7%
Position 3-5 9 (31%) 5 56 % 33.00 2.01 0.22 6%
6+ (Undercard) 14 (48%) 9 64 % 42.00 -0.04 -0.00 -0%

Kevin Arauz: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.50 2.50 50%
Light Heavy 2 (7%) 1 50 % 6.00 1.20 0.60 20%
Middleweight 4 (14%) 3 75 % 13.00 9.09 2.27 70%
Welterweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.00 1.00 50%
Lightweight 6 (21%) 5 83 % 16.00 8.46 1.41 53%
Featherweight 5 (17%) 3 60 % 17.00 -4.05 -0.81 -24%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.82 1.82 36%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 8 (28%) 4 50 % 31.00 -7.19 -0.90 -23%
Flyweight 4 (14%) 1 25 % 15.00 -9.00 -2.25 -60%
Strawweight 4 (14%) 3 75 % 16.00 1.81 0.45 11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 16 (94%) 9 56 %
Slight Favorites 1 (6%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
17 10 59 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 2 (50%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 2 (50%) 0 0 %
4 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision 4 (100%) 0 0 % 2.79 4.00Pick was incorrect 2.14Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
4 0 0 % 2.79     -4.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kevin Arauz's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Apr UFC 261 33.5 -5.2 -15% $10.00 $1,000.00 $948.17
1st May UFC FN 34 -2.4 -7% $9.48 $948.17 $925.83
8th May UFC FN 26 10.2 39% $9.26 $925.83 $1,019.97
15th May UFC 262 24 -7.5 -31% $10.20 $1,019.97 $943.70


ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.63% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kevin Arauz: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Tucker Lutz Kevin Aguilar 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Christos Giagos Sean Soriano 1.50 3 Sub, R2 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Beneil Dariush Tony Ferguson 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Charles Oliveira Michael Chandler 1.77 3 TKO, R2 (0:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Jun Yong Park Tafon Nchukwi 2.40 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Gregor Gillespie Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.59 5 TKO, R2 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Maurice Greene 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '21 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Michelle Waterson 1.45 6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '21 Loma Lookboonmee Sam Hughes 1.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '21 Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '21 Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.35 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '21 Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.54 3 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '21 Jiri Prochazka Dominick Reyes 1.80 4 TKO, R2 (4:29) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Pat Sabatini Tristan Connelly 1.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '21 Ariane Carnelossi Na Liang 1.42 2 TKO, R2 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '21 Pat Sabatini Tristan Connelly 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '21 Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.67 2 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '21 Dwight Grant Stefan Sekulic 1.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '21 Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Andrade 1.20 5 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Gina Mazany Priscila Cachoeira 1.42 4 TKO, R2 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Antonina Shevchenko Andrea Lee 1.83 1 Sub, R2 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Mike Grundy Lando Vannata 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Shane Burgos Edson Barboza 1.67 3 TKO, R3 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Matt Schnell Rogerio Bontorin 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Ludovit Klein Mike Trizano 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Poliana Botelho Luana Carolina 1.34 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Jim Crute Anthony Smith 1.48 2 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas 1.48 3 TKO, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kevin Arauz: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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