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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lawrence Rose

Lawrence Rose (Lwrose709)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	8 (30%)	Right	1 (33%)	Right	6 (40%)	Right	1 (11%)
Wrong	19 (70%)	Wrong	2 (67%)	Wrong	9 (60%)	Wrong	8 (89%)
Avg Odds	3.30	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	3.84	Avg Odds	3.15
Units Bet	20.0	Units Bet	2.5	Units Bet	10.5	Units Bet	7.0
Avg Bet	0.74	Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	0.70	Avg Bet	0.78
Units Profit	-2.65	Units Profit	-0.87	Units Profit	3.15	Units Profit	-4.93
ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-35%	ROI %	30%	ROI %	-70%

Lawrence Rose: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5	3.4	68%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	4.4 / 4 (110%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	5	-2.9	-59%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.9 / 4 (-48%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	6.75	-2.0	-30%	0.1 / 1.5 (8%)	-1.2 / 4.25 (-27%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '22	Bellator 282	2	0.1	7%		1.1 / 1 (115%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #5	1.25	-1.3	-100%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 6.75 units
Best Event: 3.40 units
Worst Event: -2.93 units
Average Event: -0.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 3.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.95

Lawrence Rose: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	20	-2.7	-13%	-0.9 / 2.5 (-35%)		-4.9 / 7 (-70%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-0.53

Lawrence Rose: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lawrence Rose: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	16.75	-1.6	-9%	-0.9 / 2.5 (-35%)	2.2 / 9.25 (24%)	-2.9 / 5 (-59%)
Bellator	2	0.1	7%		1.1 / 1 (115%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL	1.25	-1.3	-100%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Lawrence Rose: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Slight Underdogs	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Big Underdogs	1 (33%)	1	100 %	0.50	1.13	1.13	225%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
6+ (Undercard)	3 (100%)	1	33 %	2.50	-0.87	-0.29	-35%

Lawrence Rose: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	1 (33%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	1 (33%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (33%)	1	100 %	0.50	1.13	1.13	225%
Strawweight	1 (33%)	1	100 %	0.50	1.13	1.13	225%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	23 (96%)	14	61 %
Slight Favorites	1 (4%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	24	15	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (27%)	3	43 %
50-65%	4 (15%)	2	50 %
35-50%	7 (27%)	5	71 %
<35% chance	8 (31%)	1	13 %
	26	11	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (31%)	6	75 %	1.72	6.00	1.25	6.6 (82%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	0.8 (80%)
Goes to Decision	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	1.0 (100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (4%)	0	0 %	13.00	13.00	13.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (4%)	0	0 %	6.50	6.50	6.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (12%)	0	0 %	2.17	2.50	1.72	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (8%)	0	0 %	7.20	9.00	6.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	9 (35%)	3	33 %	2.43	34.00	1.29	-2.8 (-32%)
	26	11	42 %	2.30			-1.5 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lawrence Rose's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Jun	Bellator 282	2	0.1	7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,001.50
24th Jun	PFL 2022 #5	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$10.01	$1,001.50	$988.98
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	6.75	-2.0	-30%		$9.89	$988.98	$968.95
2nd Jul	UFC 276	5	-2.9	-59%		$9.69	$968.95	$940.61
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5	3.4	68%		$9.41	$940.61	$972.59

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.74% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lawrence Rose: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '22	Vanessa Demopoulos	Jinh Yu Frey	3.25	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '22	Tresean Gore	Cody Brundage	1.67	1	TKO, R1 (3:50)	No
2.	Jun '22	Tafon Nchukwi	Carlos Ulberg	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (1:15)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lawrence Rose: Progress Chart

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