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MMA Handicapper Stats: Goatt_

Goatt_ (Nour_Goatt)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Goatt_

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 88 (44%) Right 51 (52%) Right 29 (37%) Right 8 (38%)
Wrong 110 (56%) Wrong 47 (48%) Wrong 50 (63%) Wrong 13 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 2.74 Avg Odds 2.09
Units Bet 555.4 Units Bet 347.4 Units Bet 154.0 Units Bet 54.1
Avg Bet 2.81 Avg Bet 3.54 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 2.58
Units Profit 12.24 Units Profit 10.52 Units Profit 15.03 Units Profit -13.32
ROI % 2% ROI % 3% ROI % 10% ROI % -25%
View Handicapper's Profile

Goatt_ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 10.95 -4.4 -40% -0.9 / 2.22 (-42%) -3.5 / 8.73 (-40%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 11.35 -5.1 -45% -2.9 / 5.2 (-57%) -2.2 / 6.15 (-36%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 11.73 -11.7 -100% -11.7 / 11.73 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 17.54 -5.7 -33% -5.7 / 17.54 (-33%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 31.97 -9.2 -29% -3.6 / 8.48 (-43%) -1.8 / 17.26 (-11%) -3.8 / 6.23 (-61%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 43.12 14.2 33% 3.4 / 14.84 (23%) 7.3 / 24.53 (30%) 3.5 / 3.75 (93%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 7 -2.0 -29% -0.3 / 2.2 (-16%) -1.7 / 4.8 (-35%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 1.91 -1.9 -100% -1.9 / 1.91 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 15 9.3 62% 9.3 / 15 (62%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 5.11 -5.1 -100% -5.1 / 5.11 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 3 2.1 70% 2.1 / 3 (70%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 15 6.4 42% 6.4 / 15 (42%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 15 -0.4 -3% -2.6 / 10 (-26%) 2.2 / 5 (44%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 10 -3.4 -34% 1.6 / 5 (32%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Dec '21 UFC FN 20 2.9 15% -0.2 / 15 (-2%) 3.2 / 5 (64%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 16 -1.2 -7% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.8 / 10 (48%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 15 2.7 18% 2.7 / 15 (18%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 12.5 1.3 11% 1.3 / 12.5 (11%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 10.5 4.0 38% -1.4 / 8 (-17%) 5.4 / 2.5 (215%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 30 1.5 5% 5.6 / 14.5 (39%) -4.1 / 15.5 (-27%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 33.75 1.2 3% 4.7 / 22.5 (21%) -3.6 / 11.25 (-32%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 15 0.2 2% 5.2 / 10 (52%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Oct '21 Bellator 268 10 1.7 17% 1.7 / 10 (17%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 11 14.8 134% 9.6 / 5 (192%) 5.1 / 6 (86%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 25 6.5 26% 3.0 / 20 (15%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 10 6.0 60% 1.7 / 5 (33%) 4.4 / 5 (87%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 20 6.6 33% 5.0 / 7.5 (66%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 4.2 / 10 (42%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 21 2.5 12% -0.2 / 16 (-1%) 2.8 / 5 (55%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 11.15 -4.0 -36% -3.5 / 8.15 (-44%) -0.5 / 3 (-17%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 7.5 -7.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 15 -6.1 -41% -6.1 / 15 (-41%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 19.5 15.5 79% 5.5 / 7 (78%) 10.0 / 12.5 (80%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 10 5.6 56% 5.6 / 10 (56%)
26th Jun '21 UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 8 3.7 46% 3.7 / 8 (46%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 4.28 -2.4 -56% -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%) -0.5 / 2.38 (-21%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 1.5 2.8 190% 1.4 / 0.5 (275%) 1.5 / 1 (147%)
16th Apr '21 Bellator 257 0.55 0.6 104% 0.6 / 0.55 (104%)


Winning Events: 22 (51%)
Losing Events: 21 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 43.12 units
Best Event: 15.48 units
Worst Event: -11.73 units
Average Event: 0.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 12, Units: 48.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -36.24

Goatt_ : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 145.57 -36.0 -25% -31.9 / 72.21 (-44%) -4.4 / 18.04 (-24%) 1 / 8 (11%) -4.00
2022 78.11 -6.2 -8% 1.6 / 63.11 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 3 / 6 (33%) -0.68
2021 331.73 54.4 16% 40.8 / 212.05 (19%) -3.9 / 31.05 (-13%) 18 / 7 (72%) 2.18

Goatt_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Goatt_ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 544.86 10.0 2% 8.8 / 337.37 (3%) 15.0 / 153.95 (10%) -13.9 / 53.54 (-26%)
Bellator 10.55 2.3 22% 1.7 / 10 (17%) 0.6 / 0.55 (104%)

Goatt_ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 30 (27%) 19 63 % 162.66 -9.41 -0.31 -6%
Slight Favorites 33 (30%) 20 61 % 124.52 4.80 0.15 4%
Slight Underdogs 34 (31%) 16 47 % 51.61 13.82 0.41 27%
Big Underdogs 13 (12%) 2 15 % 8.58 1.31 0.10 15%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (15%) 7 41 % 62.00 -11.72 -0.69 -19%
Co-Main Event 10 (9%) 5 50 % 23.23 -1.54 -0.15 -7%
Position 3-5 35 (32%) 18 51 % 106.99 10.85 0.31 10%
6+ (Undercard) 48 (44%) 27 56 % 155.15 12.92 0.27 8%

Goatt_ : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (6%) 5 71 % 33.20 3.61 0.52 11%
Light Heavy 9 (8%) 4 44 % 31.45 -1.15 -0.13 -4%
Middleweight 9 (8%) 4 44 % 25.40 0.60 0.07 2%
Welterweight 8 (7%) 3 38 % 25.11 -2.46 -0.31 -10%
Lightweight 17 (15%) 13 76 % 52.66 24.36 1.43 46%
Featherweight 13 (12%) 7 54 % 44.17 -2.41 -0.19 -5%
Bantamweight 17 (15%) 11 65 % 45.50 13.19 0.78 29%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 0 % 20.35 -20.35 -4.07 -100%
               
Women's Fights 25 (23%) 10 40 % 69.53 -4.86 -0.19 -7%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.50 2.87 2.87 115%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 1 20 % 11.27 -4.62 -0.92 -41%
Flyweight 9 (8%) 5 56 % 30.20 9.70 1.08 32%
Strawweight 10 (9%) 3 30 % 25.56 -12.81 -1.28 -50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 24 (83%) 17 71 %
Slight Favorites 3 (10%) 3 100 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (7%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
29 20 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 21 (22%) 14 67 %
50-65% 16 (17%) 10 63 %
35-50% 14 (15%) 6 43 %
<35% chance 43 (46%) 6 14 %
94 36 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (5%) 3 60 % 1.41 1.53Pick was correct 1.26Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.64 1.64Pick was correct 1.64Pick was correct 0.6 (64%)
Goes to Decision 16 (17%) 12 75 % 1.78 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct 3.8 (24%)
Does not go to Decision 8 (9%) 3 38 % 1.42 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was incorrect -3.5 (-44%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.36 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (2%) 2 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was incorrect 0.6 (28%)
X Wins by KO 6 (6%) 1 17 % 4.57 11.50Pick was incorrect 3.20Pick was incorrect -2.3 (-38%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (7%) 2 29 % 4.44 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.97Pick was correct -1.3 (-18%)
X Wins by Decision 13 (14%) 4 31 % 3.28 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -3.8 (-29%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (9%) 2 25 % 2.53 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.78Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-25%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.36 1.36Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 0.4 (36%)
X Wins in Round X 17 (18%) 3 18 % 6.46 31.00Pick was correct 2.50Pick was correct 27.5 (162%)
Others 9 (10%) 2 22 % 2.58 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.55Pick was correct -5.8 (-64%)
94 36 38 % 2.48     12.7 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Goatt_ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Apr Bellator 257 0.55 0.6 104% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,005.72
17th Apr UFC FN 1.5 2.8 190% $10.06 $1,005.72 $1,034.33
24th Apr UFC 261 4.28 -2.4 -56% $10.34 $1,034.33 $1,009.46
1st May UFC FN 8 3.7 46% $10.09 $1,009.46 $1,046.81
8th May UFC FN 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.47 $1,046.81 $1,041.57
26th Jun UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% $10.42 $1,041.57 $999.91
31st Jul UFC FN 10 5.6 56% $10.00 $999.91 $1,055.90
7th Aug UFC 265 19.5 15.5 79% $10.56 $1,055.90 $1,219.31
21st Aug UFC FN 15 -6.1 -41% $12.19 $1,219.31 $1,144.32
28th Aug UFC FN 7.5 -7.5 -100% $11.44 $1,144.32 $1,058.49
4th Sep UFC FN 11.15 -4.0 -36% $10.58 $1,058.49 $1,015.63
18th Sep UFC FN 21 2.5 12% $10.16 $1,015.63 $1,041.52
25th Sep UFC 266 20 6.6 33% $10.42 $1,041.52 $1,110.47
2nd Oct UFC FN 10 6.0 60% $11.10 $1,110.47 $1,177.21
9th Oct UFC FN 25 6.5 26% $11.77 $1,177.21 $1,253.14
16th Oct UFC FN 11 14.8 134% $12.53 $1,253.14 $1,438.30
16th Oct Bellator 268 10 1.7 17% $14.38 $1,438.30 $1,462.75
23rd Oct UFC FN 15 0.2 2% $14.63 $1,462.75 $1,466.40
30th Oct UFC 267 33.75 1.2 3% $14.66 $1,466.40 $1,483.27
6th Nov UFC 268 30 1.5 5% $14.83 $1,483.27 $1,504.91
13th Nov UFC FN 10.5 4.0 38% $15.05 $1,504.91 $1,565.48
20th Nov UFC FN 12.5 1.3 11% $15.65 $1,565.48 $1,586.62
4th Dec UFC FN 15 2.7 18% $15.87 $1,586.62 $1,628.66
11th Dec UFC 269 16 -1.2 -7% $16.29 $1,628.66 $1,609.93
18th Dec UFC FN 20 2.9 15% $16.10 $1,609.93 $1,657.42
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 5 -5.0 -100% $16.57 $1,657.42 $1,574.55
22nd Jan UFC 270 10 -3.4 -34% $15.75 $1,574.55 $1,521.02
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 15 -0.4 -3% $15.21 $1,521.02 $1,514.93
12th Feb UFC 271 15 6.4 42% $15.15 $1,514.93 $1,611.13
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5 -5.0 -100% $16.11 $1,611.13 $1,530.58
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 3 2.1 70% $15.31 $1,530.58 $1,562.72
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 5.11 -5.1 -100% $15.63 $1,562.72 $1,482.86
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 15 9.3 62% $14.83 $1,482.86 $1,620.77
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 5 -5.0 -100% $16.21 $1,620.77 $1,539.73
17th Feb UFC 298 1.91 -1.9 -100% $15.40 $1,539.73 $1,510.32
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 10 -10.0 -100% $15.10 $1,510.32 $1,359.29
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 7 -2.0 -29% $13.59 $1,359.29 $1,331.49
9th Mar UFC 299 43.12 14.2 33% $13.31 $1,331.49 $1,520.75
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 31.97 -9.2 -29% $15.21 $1,520.75 $1,380.33
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 17.54 -5.7 -33% $13.80 $1,380.33 $1,301.17
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 11.73 -11.7 -100% $13.01 $1,301.17 $1,148.54
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 11.35 -5.1 -45% $11.49 $1,148.54 $1,089.53
13th Apr UFC 300 10.95 -4.4 -40% $10.90 $1,089.53 $1,041.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Goatt_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Jessica Andrade Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.85 0.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Renato Moicano Jalin Turner 2.90 0.22 TKO, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.25 1 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Christian Rodriguez Isaac Dulgarian 2.70 1.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Miles Johns Cody Gibson 1.90 4.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Julian Erosa Ricardo Ramos 2.50 1.34 Sub, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.85 1.1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.55 0.65 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.71 1.41 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.43 0.7 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.71 2.82 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.65 0.7 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Alexander Volkov Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.62 5 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Benoit Saint-Denis Niklas Stolze 1.62 10 Sub, R2 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '22 Molly McCann Luana Carolina 1.70 3 TKO, R3 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '22 Andrei Arlovski Jared Vanderaa 1.67 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '22 Casey O'Neill Roxanne Modafferi 1.30 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '22 Sean Strickland Jack Hermansson 1.48 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.75 0.14 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Yan Xiaonan Weili Zhang 4.50 0.23 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Holly Holm Kayla Harrison 4.50 0.23 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Cody Brundage Bo Nickal 13.00 0.25 Sub, R2 (3:38) Yes MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Morgan Charriere Jose Mariscal 1.83 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Trevor Peek Charlie Campbell 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.28 1 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Chris Curtis Brendan Allen 2.80 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Amanda Ribas Rose Namajunas 3.30 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.20 0.36 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.20 3.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.08 0.93 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira 2.28 0.8 TKO, R1 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Bill Algeo Kyle Nelson 1.49 6.15 TKO, R1 (4:0) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Lupita Godinez Virna Jandiroba 1.54 5.58 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Montserrat Rendon Dariya Zheleznyakova 2.40 1.43 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.67 3 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 1.92 2.18 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Joshua Culibao Danny Silva 1.60 6.68 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.32 0.76 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Goatt_ : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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