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MMA Handicapper Stats: TheDailyFanatic

TheDailyFanatic (TheDailyFanatic)


MMA MHandicapper - TheDailyFanatic

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 427 (58%) Right 320 (64%) Right 38 (41%) Right 69 (48%)
Wrong 307 (42%) Wrong 178 (36%) Wrong 54 (59%) Wrong 75 (52%)
Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 1.63 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 3.21
Units Bet 1,895.7 Units Bet 1,223.5 Units Bet 224.3 Units Bet 447.9
Avg Bet 2.58 Avg Bet 2.46 Avg Bet 2.44 Avg Bet 3.11
Units Profit 155.75 Units Profit -18.69 Units Profit -30.31 Units Profit 204.74
ROI % 8% ROI % -2% ROI % -14% ROI % 46%
View Handicapper's Profile

TheDailyFanatic : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Apr '25 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy 11 6.4 58% 2.9 / 5 (57%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.0 / 5.5 (73%)
1st Feb '25 UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov 27 -13.6 -50% -6.1 / 19.5 (-31%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '24 UFC 305 31 -6.0 -19% 1.5 / 23.5 (7%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
1st Jun '24 UFC 302 60 16.2 27% -3.6 / 33 (-11%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 24.8 / 22 (113%)
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 40.5 6.2 15% 5.8 / 27 (22%) -0.0 / 5.5 (-0%) 0.4 / 8 (5%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 40.5 8.9 22% 8.1 / 22 (37%) 5.8 / 13.5 (43%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 34 29.8 88% 9.4 / 27 (35%) 20.4 / 7 (292%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 38.5 -13.1 -34% -3.6 / 23 (-16%) -2.0 / 8 (-25%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 46 -18.1 -39% -7.4 / 27 (-27%) -6.9 / 9 (-77%) -3.8 / 10 (-38%)
10th Mar '23 Bellator 292 18.5 7.6 41% -1.3 / 11 (-12%) 8.9 / 7.5 (119%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 46.5 23.0 49% 7.2 / 26 (28%) 1.4 / 8.5 (17%) 14.3 / 12 (120%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 39 35.3 90% -0.6 / 11 (-6%) -2.8 / 6 (-47%) 38.7 / 22 (176%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 36 12.0 33% 6.2 / 21 (29%) -4.0 / 8 (-50%) 9.9 / 7 (141%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 4 0.5 12% 0.5 / 4 (12%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 57 30.8 54% 13.1 / 35 (37%) -4.5 / 8 (-56%) 22.3 / 14 (159%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 43 21.0 49% 11.0 / 25 (44%) 4.6 / 13 (36%) 5.4 / 5 (107%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 13 1.6 12% 1.6 / 13 (12%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 29 10.4 36% 3.3 / 24 (14%) 7.0 / 5 (141%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 35 -2.7 -8% -1.7 / 24 (-7%) -2.6 / 6 (-43%) 1.6 / 5 (32%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 38 -8.6 -23% -3.6 / 33 (-11%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 12 3.4 28% 3.4 / 12 (28%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 23 16.3 71% 3.1 / 15 (20%) 5.5 / 5 (110%) 7.7 / 3 (257%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 30 -4.6 -15% -4.6 / 30 (-15%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 100 2.0 2% -7.2 / 60 (-12%) 5.0 / 35 (14%) 4.2 / 5 (83%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 95 13.8 15% 13.8 / 95 (15%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 66 -33.2 -50% -33.2 / 66 (-50%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 26 -1.7 -6% -1.7 / 26 (-6%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 60 27.6 46% 9.7 / 28 (35%) -4.3 / 14 (-31%) 22.2 / 18 (123%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 68 -39.8 -59% 0.2 / 28 (1%) -40.0 / 40 (-100%)
28th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 5 41 -25.6 -62% -4.1 / 12 (-34%) -5.5 / 13 (-42%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 61.61 93.7 152% 4.6 / 26 (18%) -7.2 / 17.61 (-41%) 96.3 / 18 (535%)
24th Sep '21 LFA 115 22.98 20.4 89% 2.1 / 8 (27%) 18.2 / 14.98 (122%)
22nd Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 4 15 -7.1 -47% -6.1 / 14 (-43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 43.45 40.3 93% 2.9 / 28 (10%) 37.5 / 15.45 (242%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 51 -32.8 -64% -13.8 / 32 (-43%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 84 -22.4 -27% -8.4 / 70 (-12%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 22 -2.5 -11% -2.5 / 22 (-11%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 61.67 -8.7 -14% -2.5 / 29 (-9%) -2.0 / 18.67 (-11%) -4.3 / 14 (-31%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 46 -17.7 -38% -4.3 / 26 (-17%) 0.6 / 6 (10%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 48 -25.8 -54% -9.8 / 32 (-31%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 6.5 0.4 7% 0.4 / 6.5 (7%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 31 -28.5 -92% -10.5 / 13 (-81%) -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 45.5 38.1 84% -0.6 / 22 (-3%) 5.8 / 5 (116%) 32.9 / 18.5 (178%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 46.5 -9.9 -21% 0.8 / 26 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.7 / 15.5 (-37%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 47 26.1 55% 0.4 / 21 (2%) 4.2 / 10 (42%) 21.4 / 16 (134%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 63 -18.8 -30% 1.2 / 43 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 23 5.1 22% 5.1 / 23 (22%)


Winning Events: 26 (55%)
Losing Events: 21 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 40.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 93.70 units
Worst Event: -39.80 units
Average Event: 3.31 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 142.14
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -109.90

TheDailyFanatic : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2025 38 -7.2 -19% -3.2 / 24.5 (-13%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.5 / 13 (-27%) 1 / 1 (50%) -3.59
2024 244.5 42.1 17% 17.6 / 155.5 (11%) -1.2 / 32 (-4%) 25.6 / 57 (45%) 4 / 2 (67%) 7.01
2023 290 112.1 39% 28.6 / 160 (18%) -12.2 / 52.5 (-23%) 95.6 / 77.5 (123%) 7 / 1 (88%) 14.01
2022 441 -1.7 -0% -25.1 / 372 (-7%) 15.5 / 23 (67%) 6 / 4 (60%) -0.17
2021 913.21 10.5 1% -36.6 / 535.5 (-7%) -24.4 / 100.28 (-24%) 71.4 / 277.43 (26%) 8 / 13 (38%) 0.50

TheDailyFanatic : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TheDailyFanatic : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1786.23 185.5 10% -2.3 / 1177.5 (-0%) -24.8 / 218.28 (-11%) 212.6 / 390.45 (54%)
Bellator 61.5 -17.5 -28% -8.4 / 36 (-23%) -9.1 / 25.5 (-36%)
Other 78.98 -12.3 -16% -8.0 / 34 (-23%) -5.5 / 13 (-42%) 1.2 / 31.98 (4%)

TheDailyFanatic : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 218 (44%) 174 80 % 513.00 30.07 0.14 6%
Slight Favorites 150 (30%) 97 65 % 416.50 1.49 0.01 0%
Slight Underdogs 99 (20%) 44 44 % 239.50 -16.65 -0.17 -7%
Big Underdogs 31 (6%) 5 16 % 54.50 -33.60 -1.08 -62%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 44 (9%) 22 50 % 164.50 -63.74 -1.45 -39%
Co-Main Event 45 (9%) 30 67 % 114.50 4.80 0.11 4%
Position 3-5 125 (25%) 80 64 % 284.50 11.22 0.09 4%
6+ (Undercard) 284 (57%) 188 66 % 660.00 29.04 0.10 4%

TheDailyFanatic : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 37 (7%) 22 59 % 83.00 2.14 0.06 3%
Light Heavy 41 (8%) 29 71 % 82.00 14.40 0.35 18%
Middleweight 76 (15%) 53 70 % 216.00 34.96 0.46 16%
Welterweight 63 (13%) 44 70 % 156.00 11.03 0.18 7%
Lightweight 78 (16%) 48 62 % 193.00 -33.17 -0.43 -17%
Featherweight 48 (10%) 29 60 % 115.00 -2.26 -0.05 -2%
Bantamweight 49 (10%) 31 63 % 129.50 -10.05 -0.21 -8%
Flyweight 30 (6%) 21 70 % 78.00 0.31 0.01 0%
               
Women's Fights 76 (15%) 43 57 % 171.00 -36.03 -0.47 -21%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 2 67 % 12.00 4.61 1.54 38%
Bantamweight 13 (3%) 6 46 % 25.00 -12.15 -0.93 -49%
Flyweight 28 (6%) 16 57 % 59.00 -15.34 -0.55 -26%
Strawweight 32 (6%) 19 59 % 75.00 -13.15 -0.41 -18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 398 (74%) 321 81 %
Slight Favorites 133 (25%) 93 70 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (1%) 1 17 %
Big Underdogs 2 (0%) 0 0 %
539 415 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (7%) 6 86 %
50-65% 33 (33%) 14 42 %
35-50% 30 (30%) 15 50 %
<35% chance 29 (29%) 5 17 %
99 40 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (4%) 2 50 % 1.88 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -0.6 (-15%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (9%) 3 33 % 1.57 1.89Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect -4.5 (-50%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.45 2.45Pick was incorrect 2.45Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 24 (24%) 11 46 % 2.22 7.25Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct -2.1 (-9%)
X Wins by Sub 11 (11%) 4 36 % 2.79 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -0.9 (-8%)
X Wins by Decision 20 (20%) 10 50 % 2.67 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 2.5 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance 16 (16%) 6 38 % 2.04 4.85Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct -1.1 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 13.93 15.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 12 (12%) 4 33 % 2.57 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -2.8 (-23%)
99 40 40 % 2.29     -12.3 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TheDailyFanatic 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th May UFC 301 34 29.8 88% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,298.03
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 40.5 8.9 22% $12.98 $1,298.03 $1,413.39
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 40.5 6.2 15% $14.13 $1,413.39 $1,501.59
1st Jun UFC 302 60 16.2 27% $15.02 $1,501.59 $1,744.51
17th Aug UFC 305 31 -6.0 -19% $17.45 $1,744.51 $1,640.43
1st Feb UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov 27 -13.6 -50% $16.40 $1,640.43 $1,418.12
5th Apr UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy 11 6.4 58% $14.18 $1,418.12 $1,508.59


ROI % from starting bank balance: 50.86% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TheDailyFanatic : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '25 Victor Henry Pedro Falcao 1.51 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '25 Rhys McKee Daniel Frunza 2.14 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '25 Pat Sabatini Joanderson Brito 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '25 Jasmine Jasudavicius Mayra Bueno Silva 1.37 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '25 Muhammadjon Naimov Kaan Ofli 1.29 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '25 Bogdan Grad Lucas Alexander 1.98 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:22) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '25 Terrance McKinney Damir Hadzovic 1.20 1 TKO, R1 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '25 Fares Ziam Mike Davis 2.20 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '24 Kenan Song Rick Glenn 1.46 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '24 Tom Nolan Alex Reyes 1.08 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '24 Jack Jenkins Herbert Burns 1.17 1 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '24 Valter Walker Junior Tafa 1.95 1 Sub, R1 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Tai Tuivasa 1.41 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '24 Daniel Hooker Mateusz Gamrot 4.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '24 Dricus Du Plessis Israel Adesanya 1.89 5 Sub, R4 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '24 Andre Lima Mitch Raposo 1.37 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '24 Grant Dawson Joe Solecki 1.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '24 Randy Brown Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '24 Bassil Hafez Mickey Gall 1.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '24 Kevin Holland Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.38 5 Sub, R1 (1:34) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '25 Vanessa Demopoulos Talita Alencar 1.93 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '25 Jamal Pogues Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.95 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '25 Thomas Petersen Shamil Gaziev 3.75 1 TKO, R1 (3:12) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '25 Said Nurmagomedov Vinicius de Oliveira 1.62 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '25 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Sergey Pavlovich 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '25 Sharabutdin Magomedov Michael Page 1.50 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '25 Israel Adesanya Nassourdine Imavov 1.62 2.5 TKO, R2 (0:30) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '24 Stewart Nicoll Jesus Santos Aguilar 1.52 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '24 Luana Santos Casey O'Neill 1.70 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '24 Joshua Culibao Ricardo Ramos 1.82 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '24 Li Jingliang Carlos Prates 3.75 1 TKO, R2 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '24 Steve Erceg Kai Kara-France 1.46 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '24 Phil Rowe Jake Matthews 2.35 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '24 Joselyne Edwards Ailin Perez 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '24 César Almeida Roman Kopylov 1.83 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '24 Alex Morono Niko Price 1.42 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '24 Dustin Poirier Islam Makhachev 5.55 2.5 Sub, R5 (2:42) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Emily Ducote Vanessa Demopoulos 1.29 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Edson Barboza Lerone Murphy 2.24 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '24 Tecia Torres Tabatha Ricci 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
 
 
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