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MMA Handicapper Stats: TheDailyFanatic

TheDailyFanatic (TheDailyFanatic)


MMA MHandicapper - TheDailyFanatic

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 421 (59%) Right 312 (65%) Right 42 (46%) Right 67 (49%)
Wrong 289 (41%) Wrong 171 (35%) Wrong 49 (54%) Wrong 69 (51%)
Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 1.63 Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 3.20
Units Bet 1,857.7 Units Bet 1,199.0 Units Bet 223.8 Units Bet 434.9
Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 2.48 Avg Bet 2.46 Avg Bet 3.20
Units Profit 188.39 Units Profit -15.48 Units Profit -4.34 Units Profit 208.21
ROI % 10% ROI % -1% ROI % -2% ROI % 48%
View Handicapper's Profile

TheDailyFanatic : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Aug '24 UFC 305 31 -6.0 -19% 1.5 / 23.5 (7%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
1st Jun '24 UFC 302 60 16.2 27% -3.6 / 33 (-11%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 24.8 / 22 (113%)
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 40.5 6.2 15% 5.8 / 27 (22%) -0.0 / 5.5 (-0%) 0.4 / 8 (5%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 40.5 11.7 29% 8.1 / 22 (37%) 8.6 / 13.5 (64%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 34 29.8 88% 9.4 / 27 (35%) 20.4 / 7 (292%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 38.5 -13.1 -34% -3.6 / 23 (-16%) -2.0 / 8 (-25%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 46 -18.1 -39% -7.4 / 27 (-27%) -6.9 / 9 (-77%) -3.8 / 10 (-38%)
10th Mar '23 Bellator 292 18.5 7.6 41% -1.3 / 11 (-12%) 8.9 / 7.5 (119%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 46.5 23.0 49% 7.2 / 26 (28%) 1.4 / 8.5 (17%) 14.3 / 12 (120%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 39 35.3 90% -0.6 / 11 (-6%) -2.8 / 6 (-47%) 38.7 / 22 (176%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 32 12.0 38% 6.2 / 17 (36%) -4.0 / 8 (-50%) 9.9 / 7 (141%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 4 0.5 12% 0.5 / 4 (12%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 57 30.8 54% 13.1 / 35 (37%) -4.5 / 8 (-56%) 22.3 / 14 (159%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 43 21.0 49% 11.0 / 25 (44%) 4.6 / 13 (36%) 5.4 / 5 (107%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 13 1.6 12% 1.6 / 13 (12%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 27 10.4 38% 3.3 / 22 (15%) 7.0 / 5 (141%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 35 -2.7 -8% -1.7 / 24 (-7%) -2.6 / 6 (-43%) 1.6 / 5 (32%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 33 -8.6 -26% -3.6 / 28 (-13%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 10 3.4 34% 3.4 / 10 (34%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 23 16.3 71% 3.1 / 15 (20%) 5.5 / 5 (110%) 7.7 / 3 (257%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 30 -4.6 -15% -4.6 / 30 (-15%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 95 2.0 2% -7.2 / 55 (-13%) 5.0 / 35 (14%) 4.2 / 5 (83%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 95 13.8 15% 13.8 / 95 (15%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 66 -33.2 -50% -33.2 / 66 (-50%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 26 -1.7 -6% -1.7 / 26 (-6%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 60 37.6 63% 9.7 / 28 (35%) 5.7 / 14 (41%) 22.2 / 18 (123%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 68 -39.8 -59% 0.2 / 28 (1%) -40.0 / 40 (-100%)
28th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 5 41 -25.6 -62% -4.1 / 12 (-34%) -5.5 / 13 (-42%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 61.61 101.6 165% 4.6 / 26 (18%) 0.7 / 17.61 (4%) 96.3 / 18 (535%)
24th Sep '21 LFA 115 22.98 20.4 89% 2.1 / 8 (27%) 18.2 / 14.98 (122%)
22nd Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 4 15 -7.1 -47% -6.1 / 14 (-43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 41.45 40.3 97% 2.9 / 26 (11%) 37.5 / 15.45 (242%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 51 -32.8 -64% -13.8 / 32 (-43%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 84 -22.4 -27% -8.4 / 70 (-12%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 22 -2.5 -11% -2.5 / 22 (-11%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 61.67 -4.0 -6% -2.5 / 29 (-9%) 2.8 / 18.67 (15%) -4.3 / 14 (-31%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 44 -17.7 -40% -4.3 / 24 (-18%) 0.6 / 6 (10%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 48 -25.8 -54% -9.8 / 32 (-31%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 6.5 0.4 7% 0.4 / 6.5 (7%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 31 -28.5 -92% -10.5 / 13 (-81%) -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 43.5 38.1 88% -0.6 / 20 (-3%) 5.8 / 5 (116%) 32.9 / 18.5 (178%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 46.5 -9.9 -21% 0.8 / 26 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.7 / 15.5 (-37%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 47 26.1 55% 0.4 / 21 (2%) 4.2 / 10 (42%) 21.4 / 16 (134%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 63 -18.8 -30% 1.2 / 43 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 23 5.1 22% 5.1 / 23 (22%)


Winning Events: 25 (56%)
Losing Events: 20 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 41.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 95.00 units
Best Event: 101.56 units
Worst Event: -39.80 units
Average Event: 4.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 142.14
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -105.14

TheDailyFanatic : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 244.5 44.9 18% 17.6 / 155.5 (11%) 25.6 / 57 (45%) 4 / 2 (67%) 7.49
2023 286 112.1 39% 28.6 / 156 (18%) 95.6 / 77.5 (123%) 7 / 1 (88%) 14.01
2022 427 -1.7 -0% -25.1 / 358 (-7%) 15.5 / 23 (67%) 6 / 4 (60%) -0.17
2021 907.21 33.1 4% -36.6 / 529.5 (-7%) 71.4 / 277.43 (26%) 8 / 13 (38%) 1.58

TheDailyFanatic : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TheDailyFanatic : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1726.23 218.1 13% 0.9 / 1131 (0%) 1.2 / 217.78 (1%) 216.0 / 377.45 (57%)
Bellator 59.5 -17.5 -29% -8.4 / 34 (-25%) -9.1 / 25.5 (-36%)
Other 78.98 -12.3 -16% -8.0 / 34 (-23%) -5.5 / 13 (-42%) 1.2 / 31.98 (4%)

TheDailyFanatic : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 213 (44%) 170 80 % 504.50 30.36 0.14 6%
Slight Favorites 145 (30%) 96 66 % 406.00 7.04 0.05 2%
Slight Underdogs 96 (20%) 41 43 % 236.00 -21.29 -0.22 -9%
Big Underdogs 29 (6%) 5 17 % 52.50 -31.60 -1.09 -60%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 43 (9%) 22 51 % 162.00 -61.24 -1.42 -38%
Co-Main Event 43 (9%) 29 67 % 111.00 5.60 0.13 5%
Position 3-5 122 (25%) 79 65 % 279.50 12.92 0.11 5%
6+ (Undercard) 275 (57%) 182 66 % 646.50 27.24 0.10 4%

TheDailyFanatic : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 34 (7%) 22 65 % 79.00 6.14 0.18 8%
Light Heavy 41 (8%) 29 71 % 82.00 14.40 0.35 18%
Middleweight 74 (15%) 53 72 % 211.00 39.96 0.54 19%
Welterweight 62 (13%) 43 69 % 155.00 9.89 0.16 6%
Lightweight 76 (16%) 46 61 % 190.50 -35.17 -0.46 -18%
Featherweight 45 (9%) 26 58 % 110.00 -6.85 -0.15 -6%
Bantamweight 47 (10%) 30 64 % 125.00 -8.56 -0.18 -7%
Flyweight 30 (6%) 21 70 % 78.00 0.31 0.01 0%
               
Women's Fights 74 (15%) 42 57 % 168.50 -35.59 -0.48 -21%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 2 67 % 12.00 4.61 1.54 38%
Bantamweight 13 (3%) 6 46 % 25.00 -12.15 -0.93 -49%
Flyweight 27 (6%) 15 56 % 57.50 -15.90 -0.59 -28%
Strawweight 31 (6%) 19 61 % 74.00 -12.15 -0.39 -16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 378 (74%) 306 81 %
Slight Favorites 124 (24%) 92 74 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (1%) 1 17 %
Big Underdogs 2 (0%) 0 0 %
510 399 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (7%) 6 86 %
50-65% 33 (34%) 17 52 %
35-50% 30 (31%) 16 53 %
<35% chance 28 (29%) 5 18 %
98 44 45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (4%) 4 100 % 1.88 2.85Pick was correct 1.63Pick was correct 3.9 (98%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (9%) 5 56 % 1.57 1.89Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-15%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.45 2.45Pick was incorrect 2.45Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 24 (24%) 11 46 % 2.22 7.25Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct -2.1 (-9%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (10%) 4 40 % 2.67 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct 0.1 (1%)
X Wins by Decision 20 (20%) 10 50 % 2.67 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 2.5 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance 16 (16%) 6 38 % 2.04 4.85Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct -1.1 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 13.93 15.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 12 (12%) 4 33 % 2.57 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -2.8 (-23%)
98 44 45 % 2.28     -3.6 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TheDailyFanatic 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Mar UFC 260 23 5.1 22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,050.68
10th Apr UFC FN 63 -18.8 -30% $10.51 $1,050.68 $852.94
17th Apr UFC FN 47 26.1 55% $8.53 $852.94 $1,075.27
24th Apr UFC 261 46.5 -9.9 -21% $10.75 $1,075.27 $968.51
1st May UFC FN 43.5 38.1 88% $9.69 $968.51 $1,337.27
7th May Bellator 258 31 -28.5 -92% $13.37 $1,337.27 $956.59
8th May UFC FN 6.5 0.4 7% $9.57 $956.59 $960.73
15th May UFC 262 48 -25.8 -54% $9.61 $960.73 $713.08
5th Jun UFC FN 44 -17.7 -40% $7.13 $713.08 $586.90
12th Jun UFC 263 61.67 -4.0 -6% $5.87 $586.90 $563.52
7th Aug UFC 265 22 -2.5 -11% $5.64 $563.52 $549.46
21st Aug UFC FN 84 -22.4 -27% $5.49 $549.46 $426.46
28th Aug UFC FN 51 -32.8 -64% $4.26 $426.46 $286.58
18th Sep UFC FN 41.45 40.3 97% $2.87 $286.58 $402.21
22nd Sep DWCS 2021: Week 4 15 -7.1 -47% $4.02 $402.21 $373.86
24th Sep LFA 115 22.98 20.4 89% $3.74 $373.86 $449.98
25th Sep UFC 266 61.61 101.6 165% $4.50 $449.98 $906.96
28th Sep DWCS 2021: Week 5 41 -25.6 -62% $9.07 $906.96 $675.08
30th Oct UFC 267 68 -39.8 -59% $6.75 $675.08 $406.43
6th Nov UFC 268 60 37.6 63% $4.06 $406.43 $559.38
4th Dec UFC FN 26 -1.7 -6% $5.59 $559.38 $549.96
9th Apr UFC 273 66 -33.2 -50% $5.50 $549.96 $367.57
7th May UFC 274 95 13.8 15% $3.68 $367.57 $418.32
2nd Jul UFC 276 95 2.0 2% $4.18 $418.32 $426.52
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 30 -4.6 -15% $4.27 $426.52 $406.95
30th Jul UFC 277 23 16.3 71% $4.07 $406.95 $473.19
12th Aug Bellator 284 10 3.4 34% $4.73 $473.19 $489.04
20th Aug UFC 278 33 -8.6 -26% $4.89 $489.04 $446.92
22nd Oct UFC 280 35 -2.7 -8% $4.47 $446.92 $435.04
10th Dec UFC 282 27 10.4 38% $4.35 $435.04 $480.13
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 13 1.6 12% $4.80 $480.13 $487.68
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 43 21.0 49% $4.88 $487.68 $590.01
21st Jan UFC 283 57 30.8 54% $5.90 $590.01 $771.84
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 4 0.5 12% $7.72 $771.84 $775.58
11th Feb UFC 284 32 12.0 38% $7.76 $775.58 $868.82
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 39 35.3 90% $8.69 $868.82 $1,175.19
4th Mar UFC 285 46.5 23.0 49% $11.75 $1,175.19 $1,445.43
10th Mar Bellator 292 18.5 7.6 41% $14.45 $1,445.43 $1,555.83
8th Apr UFC 287 46 -18.1 -39% $15.56 $1,555.83 $1,273.73
13th Apr UFC 300 38.5 -13.1 -34% $12.74 $1,273.73 $1,107.22
4th May UFC 301 34 29.8 88% $11.07 $1,107.22 $1,437.20
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 40.5 11.7 29% $14.37 $1,437.20 $1,605.89
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 40.5 6.2 15% $16.06 $1,605.89 $1,706.10
1st Jun UFC 302 60 16.2 27% $17.06 $1,706.10 $1,982.11
17th Aug UFC 305 31 -6.0 -19% $19.82 $1,982.11 $1,863.85


ROI % from starting bank balance: 86.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TheDailyFanatic : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '24 Kenan Song Rick Glenn 1.46 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '24 Tom Nolan Alex Reyes 1.08 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '24 Jack Jenkins Herbert Burns 1.17 1 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '24 Valter Walker Junior Tafa 1.95 1 Sub, R1 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Tai Tuivasa 1.41 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '24 Daniel Hooker Mateusz Gamrot 4.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '24 Dricus Du Plessis Israel Adesanya 1.89 5 Sub, R4 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '24 Andre Lima Mitch Raposo 1.37 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '24 Grant Dawson Joe Solecki 1.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '24 Randy Brown Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '24 Bassil Hafez Mickey Gall 1.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '24 Kevin Holland Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.38 5 Sub, R1 (1:34) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '24 Jailton Junior Alexander Romanov 1.37 5 Sub, R1 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '24 Sean Strickland Paulo Costa 1.42 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Oumar Sy George Tokkos 1.17 1 Sub, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Heili Alateng Kleydson Rodrigues 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Ariane Carnelossi Piera Rodriguez 2.85 1 MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Abusupiyan Magomedov Warlley Alves 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Melissa Gatto Tamires Vidal 1.29 2.5 TKO, R3 (0:37) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '24 Tom Nolan Victor Martinez 1.21 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '24 Stewart Nicoll Jesus Santos Aguilar 1.52 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '24 Luana Santos Casey O'Neill 1.70 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '24 Joshua Culibao Ricardo Ramos 1.82 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '24 Li Jingliang Carlos Prates 3.75 1 TKO, R2 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '24 Steve Erceg Kai Kara-France 1.46 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '24 Phil Rowe Jake Matthews 2.35 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '24 Joselyne Edwards Ailin Perez 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '24 César Almeida Roman Kopylov 1.83 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '24 Alex Morono Niko Price 1.42 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '24 Dustin Poirier Islam Makhachev 5.55 2.5 Sub, R5 (2:42) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Emily Ducote Vanessa Demopoulos 1.29 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Edson Barboza Lerone Murphy 2.24 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Tecia Torres Tabatha Ricci 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '24 Billy Goff Trey Waters 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Mateusz Rebecki Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.18 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Vinc Pichel Ismael Bonfim 5.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Elves Brenner Myktybek Orolbai 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Vitor Petrino Anthony Smith 1.17 1 Sub, R1 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '24 Jalin Turner Renato Moicano 1.41 2 TKO, R2 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '24 Sodiq Yusuff Diego Lopes 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TheDailyFanatic : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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