MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chad Butler

Chad Butler (adamkai)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	105 (50%)	Right	85 (51%)	Right	13 (41%)	Right	7 (58%)
Wrong	107 (50%)	Wrong	83 (49%)	Wrong	19 (59%)	Wrong	5 (42%)
Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.88	Avg Odds	2.07
Units Bet	610.5	Units Bet	533.7	Units Bet	42.3	Units Bet	34.5
Avg Bet	2.88	Avg Bet	3.18	Avg Bet	1.32	Avg Bet	2.88
Units Profit	14.57	Units Profit	-9.11	Units Profit	13.88	Units Profit	9.80
ROI %	2%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	33%	ROI %	28%

Chad Butler: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Aug '21	Bellator 264	14.5	24.2	167%	4.5 / 1 (450%)	15.1 / 2 (755%)	4.6 / 11.5 (40%)
13th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	24.5	-17.9	-73%	-17.9 / 24.5 (-73%)
31st Jul '21	Bellator 263	10.5	-4.5	-43%	-4.5 / 10.5 (-43%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	22	8.6	39%	8.6 / 22 (39%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	20.3	-8.3	-41%	-6.3 / 18.3 (-34%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	95	-8.0	-8%	-10.4 / 80 (-13%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	7.4 / 10 (74%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	23.25	3.3	14%	-0.2 / 22.25 (-1%)	3.5 / 1 (350%)
25th Jun '21	Bellator 261	8.5	3.7	44%	-1.1 / 6.5 (-17%)	4.9 / 2 (243%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	28.5	3.4	12%	5.4 / 26.5 (20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	35.5	2.6	7%	1.6 / 34.5 (5%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
11th Jun '21	Bellator 260	12.5	-6.8	-54%	-6.8 / 12.5 (-54%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	28.5	-0.4	-1%	-0.4 / 28.5 (-1%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	23	8.1	35%	11.6 / 19.5 (60%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
22nd May '21	Invicta 44	5	3.4	68%	3.4 / 5 (68%)
21st May '21	Bellator 259	5.5	-0.1	-1%	-0.1 / 5.5 (-1%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	36	6.5	18%	9.5 / 33 (29%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th May '21	Titan FC 69	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	22.5	5.6	25%	-5.1 / 17.5 (-29%)	10.7 / 5 (213%)
7th May '21	Bellator 258	11.5	4.7	41%	2.5 / 8 (31%)		2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
6th May '21	PFL 2021: Week 3	6	-2.9	-48%	-0.9 / 4 (-21%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	24.15	2.0	8%	2.0 / 24.15 (8%)
29th Apr '21	PFL 2021: Week 2	6.5	4.4	67%	2.3 / 3.5 (66%)		2.1 / 3 (69%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	16.5	-9.7	-59%	-6.7 / 13.5 (-50%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Apr '21	PFL 2021: Week 1	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	31.5	0.3	1%	0.3 / 31.5 (1%)
16th Apr '21	Bellator 257	8.5	-3.9	-46%	-2.4 / 7 (-34%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	30	5.5	18%	10.4 / 21 (50%)	-5.0 / 9 (-55%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	25.25	-8.6	-34%	-10.3 / 24.5 (-42%)	1.7 / 0.75 (230%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	26	8.3	32%	7.8 / 23 (34%)	0.5 / 3 (17%)

Winning Events: 16 (53%)
Losing Events: 14 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 20.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 95.00 units
Best Event: 24.21 units
Worst Event: -17.90 units
Average Event: 0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 24.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -25.42

Chad Butler: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	610.45	14.6	2%	-9.1 / 533.7 (-2%)		9.8 / 34.5 (28%)	16 / 14 (53%)	0.49

Chad Butler: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chad Butler: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	512.45	1.3	0%	-0.1 / 464.2 (-0%)	-6.1 / 38.25 (-16%)	7.4 / 10 (74%)
Bellator	71.5	17.4	24%	-7.9 / 51 (-15%)	19.9 / 4 (499%)	5.3 / 16.5 (32%)
PFL	18.5	-4.5	-24%	-1.6 / 10.5 (-15%)		-2.9 / 8 (-37%)
Other	8	0.4	5%	0.4 / 8 (5%)

Chad Butler: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	26 (15%)	19	73 %	62.65	3.78	0.15	6%
Slight Favorites	62 (37%)	38	61 %	243.30	22.99	0.37	9%
Slight Underdogs	55 (33%)	23	42 %	181.00	-22.11	-0.40	-12%
Big Underdogs	26 (15%)	6	23 %	46.75	-13.77	-0.53	-29%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	20 (12%)	11	55 %	76.00	25.51	1.28	34%
Co-Main Event	17 (10%)	5	29 %	54.25	-23.10	-1.36	-43%
Position 3-5	48 (28%)	23	48 %	134.00	-7.95	-0.17	-6%
6+ (Undercard)	84 (50%)	47	56 %	269.45	-3.57	-0.04	-1%

Chad Butler: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	14 (8%)	3	21 %	47.50	-32.09	-2.29	-68%
Light Heavy	12 (7%)	5	42 %	34.50	-5.35	-0.45	-16%
Middleweight	23 (14%)	13	57 %	99.50	17.21	0.75	17%
Welterweight	26 (15%)	10	38 %	92.25	-33.00	-1.27	-36%
Lightweight	22 (13%)	11	50 %	60.00	6.64	0.30	11%
Featherweight	22 (13%)	13	59 %	60.50	8.28	0.38	14%
Bantamweight	15 (9%)	10	67 %	40.00	16.01	1.07	40%
Flyweight	5 (3%)	4	80 %	11.00	4.55	0.91	41%

Women's Fights	30 (18%)	17	57 %	88.45	8.64	0.29	10%
Featherweight	3 (2%)	1	33 %	9.00	-1.05	-0.35	-12%
Bantamweight	4 (2%)	2	50 %	21.75	3.39	0.85	16%
Flyweight	14 (8%)	8	57 %	31.80	-2.07	-0.15	-6%
Strawweight	9 (5%)	6	67 %	25.90	8.37	0.93	32%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	18 (82%)	17	94 %
Slight Favorites	3 (14%)	1	33 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	1 (5%)	0	0 %
	22	18	82 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (5%)	2	100 %
50-65%	6 (16%)	1	17 %
35-50%	11 (30%)	5	45 %
<35% chance	18 (49%)	9	50 %
	37	17	46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (5%)	1	50 %	1.49	1.56	1.43	-0.6 (-28%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (8%)	3	100 %	1.64	2.60	1.25	2.4 (80%)
X Wins by KO	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	5.00	5.00	4.0 (400%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (8%)	0	0 %	4.10	6.25	3.00	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	24 (65%)	11	46 %	3.11	8.55	1.80	27.3 (114%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (11%)	1	25 %	2.05	3.75	1.61	-1.9 (-46%)
	37	17	46 %	2.69			28.3 (76%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chad Butler's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	26	8.3	32%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,083.20
28th Mar	UFC 260	25.25	-8.6	-34%		$10.83	$1,083.20	$989.99
10th Apr	UFC FN	30	5.5	18%		$9.90	$989.99	$1,044.14
16th Apr	Bellator 257	8.5	-3.9	-46%		$10.44	$1,044.14	$1,003.65
17th Apr	UFC FN	31.5	0.3	1%		$10.04	$1,003.65	$1,007.05
23rd Apr	PFL 2021: Week 1	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.07	$1,007.05	$976.84
24th Apr	UFC 261	16.5	-9.7	-59%		$9.77	$976.84	$881.74
29th Apr	PFL 2021: Week 2	6.5	4.4	67%		$8.82	$881.74	$920.17
1st May	UFC FN	24.15	2.0	8%		$9.20	$920.17	$938.35
6th May	PFL 2021: Week 3	6	-2.9	-48%		$9.38	$938.35	$911.51
7th May	Bellator 258	11.5	4.7	41%		$9.12	$911.51	$954.41
8th May	UFC FN	22.5	5.6	25%		$9.54	$954.41	$1,008.00
14th May	Titan FC 69	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.08	$1,008.00	$977.76
15th May	UFC 262	36	6.5	18%		$9.78	$977.76	$1,040.87
21st May	Bellator 259	5.5	-0.1	-1%		$10.41	$1,040.87	$1,040.25
22nd May	Invicta 44	5	3.4	68%		$10.40	$1,040.25	$1,075.62
22nd May	UFC FN	23	8.1	35%		$10.76	$1,075.62	$1,163.23
5th Jun	UFC FN	28.5	-0.4	-1%		$11.63	$1,163.23	$1,158.69
11th Jun	Bellator 260	12.5	-6.8	-54%		$11.59	$1,158.69	$1,080.24
12th Jun	UFC 263	35.5	2.6	7%		$10.80	$1,080.24	$1,108.28
19th Jun	UFC FN	28.5	3.4	12%		$11.08	$1,108.28	$1,145.85
25th Jun	Bellator 261	8.5	3.7	44%		$11.46	$1,145.85	$1,188.53
26th Jun	UFC FN	23.25	3.3	14%		$11.89	$1,188.53	$1,227.87
10th Jul	UFC 264	95	-8.0	-8%		$12.28	$1,227.87	$1,129.66
24th Jul	UFC FN	20.3	-8.3	-41%		$11.30	$1,129.66	$1,035.93
31st Jul	UFC FN	22	8.6	39%		$10.36	$1,035.93	$1,124.74
31st Jul	Bellator 263	10.5	-4.5	-43%		$11.25	$1,124.74	$1,073.96
7th Aug	UFC 265	24.5	-17.9	-73%		$10.74	$1,073.96	$881.72
13th Aug	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.82	$881.72	$855.27
13th Aug	Bellator 264	14.5	24.2	167%		$8.55	$855.27	$1,062.30

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chad Butler: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '21	Raufeon Stots	Magomed Magomedov	5.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '21	Jessica Penne	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.20	3	Sub, R1 (4:32)
3.	Jul '21	Phil Rowe	Orion Cosce	2.35	2.75	TKO, R2 (4:21)
4.	Jul '21	Zarrukh Adashev	Ryan Benoit	2.12	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '21	Jinh Yu Frey	Ashley Yoder	2.30	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '21	Chris Gruetzemacher	Rafa Garcia	3.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '21	Jason Witt	Bryan Barberena	2.40	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '21	Sean Strickland	Urijah Hall	1.51	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jul '21	Mads Burnell	Emmanuel Sanchez	1.71	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '21	Diana Belbita	Hannah Goldy	1.91	3.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '21	T.J. Dillashaw	Cory Sandhagen	2.85	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jul '21	Dustin Poirier	Conor McGregor	1.80	10	TKO, R1 (5:0)
13.	Jul '21	Brad Tavares	Omari Akhmedov	1.65	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '21	Michel Pereira	Niko Price	1.60	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '21	Irene Aldana	Yana Santos	1.91	10	TKO, R1 (4:35)
16.	Jun '21	Damir Hadzovic	Yancy Medeiros	1.71	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '21	Charles Rosa	Justin Jaynes	1.66	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jun '21	Marcin Prachnio	Ike Villanueva	1.54	3	TKO, R2 (0:56)
19.	Jun '21	Tim Means	Nicolas Dalby	1.85	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '21	Daniel Weichel	Keoni Diggs	2.15	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '21	Victoria Leonardo	Melissa Gatto	1.97	3	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
2.	Aug '21	Ed Herman	Alonzo Menifield	3.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '21	Drako Rodriguez	Vincent Morales	2.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '21	Bobby Green	Rafael Fiziev	3.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '21	Casey Kenney	Yadong Song	1.95	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '21	Angela Hill	Tecia Torres	2.30	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '21	Michael Chiesa	Vicente Luque	1.97	3	Sub, R1 (3:25)	No
8.	Aug '21	Pedro Munhoz	Jose Aldo	2.07	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '21	Collin Anglin	Melsik Bagdasaryan	2.27	2.5	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No
10.	Jul '21	Niklas Stolze	Jared Gooden	1.61	3	TKO, R1 (1:8)	No
11.	Jul '21	Gloria de Paula	Cheyanne Buys	2.40	2.75	TKO, R1 (1:0)	No
12.	Jul '21	Chris Gonzalez	Goiti Yamauchi	2.35	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:53)	No
13.	Jul '21	Brent Primus	Islam Mamedov	2.80	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jul '21	Patricio Freire	A.J. McKee	1.93	3.5	Sub, R1 (1:57)	No
15.	Jul '21	Andre Ewell	Julio Arce	2.80	2	TKO, R2 (3:45)	No
16.	Jul '21	Ian Heinisch	Nassourdine Imavov	1.69	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:9)	No
17.	Jul '21	Jordan Williams	Mickey Gall	1.59	4	Sub, R1 (2:57)	No
18.	Jul '21	Miranda Maverick	Maycee Barber	1.70	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '21	Trevin Giles	Dricus Du Plessis	2.03	10	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
20.	Jul '21	Carlos Condit	Max Griffin	2.70	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chad Butler: Progress Chart

Chart

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