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MMA Handicapper Stats: Picking Spots Taking Shots |
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 128 (53%) Losing Events: 114 (47%)
Average Staked Per Event: 18.06 units Most Staked On One Event: 62.00 units Best Event: 40.12 units Worst Event: -19.00 units Average Event: 0.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 58.32 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -33.38 |
Picking Spots Taking Shots: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2025 |
316 |
-20.5 |
-6% |
-20.5 / 316 (-6%) |
|
|
4 / 10 (29%) |
-1.46 |
2024 |
1193 |
32.0 |
3% |
32.0 / 1193 (3%) |
|
|
30 / 26 (54%) |
0.57 |
2023 |
1420 |
77.6 |
5% |
78.9 / 1412 (6%) |
|
-1.2 / 8 (-16%) |
38 / 23 (62%) |
1.27 |
2022 |
882.25 |
-40.8 |
-5% |
-8.8 / 818.5 (-1%) |
|
-28.8 / 47.5 (-61%) |
30 / 29 (51%) |
-0.69 |
2021 |
560.05 |
-1.3 |
-0% |
-9.9 / 522.05 (-2%) |
1.0 / 4 (25%) |
7.6 / 34 (22%) |
26 / 26 (50%) |
-0.03 |
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
3437.9 |
19.5 |
1% |
17.1 / 3362.15 (1%) |
-1.2 / 19.25 (-6%) |
3.6 / 56.5 (6%) |
Bellator |
410.25 |
-0.7 |
-0% |
14.4 / 388.25 (4%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-14.1 / 21 (-67%) |
PFL |
515.65 |
33.4 |
6% |
45.4 / 503.65 (9%) |
|
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
Other |
7.5 |
-5.2 |
-70% |
-5.2 / 7.5 (-70%) |
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
593 (32%) |
456 |
77 % |
2,601.90 |
130.72 |
0.22 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
571 (31%) |
318 |
56 % |
864.10 |
-45.45 |
-0.08 |
-5% |
Slight Underdogs |
436 (24%) |
188 |
43 % |
475.50 |
16.00 |
0.04 |
3% |
Big Underdogs |
245 (13%) |
51 |
21 % |
240.40 |
-29.62 |
-0.12 |
-12% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
212 (11%) |
121 |
57 % |
465.75 |
8.81 |
0.04 |
2% |
Co-Main Event |
186 (10%) |
90 |
48 % |
362.90 |
8.97 |
0.05 |
2% |
Position 3-5 |
517 (28%) |
292 |
56 % |
1,203.75 |
65.30 |
0.13 |
5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
930 (50%) |
510 |
55 % |
2,149.50 |
-11.43 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
147 (8%) |
82 |
56 % |
358.70 |
50.41 |
0.34 |
14% |
Light Heavy |
152 (8%) |
90 |
59 % |
328.50 |
40.37 |
0.27 |
12% |
Middleweight |
226 (12%) |
121 |
54 % |
451.20 |
4.39 |
0.02 |
1% |
Welterweight |
231 (13%) |
126 |
55 % |
523.75 |
30.96 |
0.13 |
6% |
Lightweight |
281 (15%) |
153 |
54 % |
622.65 |
-29.47 |
-0.10 |
-5% |
Featherweight |
226 (12%) |
116 |
51 % |
507.50 |
-50.37 |
-0.22 |
-10% |
Bantamweight |
202 (11%) |
122 |
60 % |
439.75 |
40.72 |
0.20 |
9% |
Flyweight |
126 (7%) |
67 |
53 % |
333.75 |
-5.69 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
254 (14%) |
136 |
54 % |
616.10 |
-9.66 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
Featherweight |
17 (1%) |
10 |
59 % |
57.50 |
3.89 |
0.23 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
45 (2%) |
21 |
47 % |
92.10 |
-8.22 |
-0.18 |
-9% |
Flyweight |
90 (5%) |
51 |
57 % |
213.50 |
-8.99 |
-0.10 |
-4% |
Strawweight |
102 (6%) |
54 |
53 % |
253.00 |
3.66 |
0.04 |
1% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
44 (100%) |
32 |
73 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
44 |
32 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
25 (71%) |
20 |
80 % |
50-65% |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
35-50% |
6 (17%) |
1 |
17 % |
<35% chance |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
35 |
22 |
63 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
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Tail Picking Spots Taking Shots's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
26 |
5.1 |
19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,050.67 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
9 |
1.9 |
21% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.67 |
$1,070.81 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
19 |
2.6 |
14% |
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$10.71 |
$1,070.81 |
$1,098.50 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
13 |
-6.5 |
-50% |
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$10.99 |
$1,098.50 |
$1,027.60 |
17th May |
Bellator Champions Series |
4 |
0.1 |
2% |
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$10.28 |
$1,027.60 |
$1,028.54 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
39 |
2.0 |
5% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.54 |
$1,049.23 |
1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
37 |
7.1 |
19% |
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$10.49 |
$1,049.23 |
$1,123.97 |
8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
13 |
-6.4 |
-49% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,123.97 |
$1,052.42 |
15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
30 |
-3.3 |
-11% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.42 |
$1,017.76 |
21st Jun |
PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season |
35 |
0.8 |
2% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.76 |
$1,026.12 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
10 |
3.6 |
36% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.12 |
$1,063.53 |
28th Jun |
PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season |
11 |
2.3 |
21% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,063.53 |
$1,088.09 |
29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
27 |
14.1 |
52% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,088.09 |
$1,241.08 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
21 |
-3.5 |
-17% |
|
$12.41 |
$1,241.08 |
$1,197.64 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
18 |
-7.0 |
-39% |
|
$11.98 |
$1,197.64 |
$1,114.22 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
16 |
-0.8 |
-5% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.22 |
$1,105.77 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs |
10 |
2.5 |
25% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.77 |
$1,133.42 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
26 |
-0.6 |
-2% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,133.42 |
$1,126.57 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
13 |
0.8 |
6% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,126.57 |
$1,135.03 |
16th Aug |
PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs |
19 |
2.2 |
12% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,135.03 |
$1,159.97 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
35 |
-7.8 |
-22% |
|
$11.60 |
$1,159.97 |
$1,069.76 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
28 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.76 |
$1,067.80 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
14 |
4.5 |
32% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.80 |
$1,115.67 |
7th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
2 |
-0.3 |
-14% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.67 |
$1,112.48 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
24 |
-9.1 |
-38% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,112.48 |
$1,011.57 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
50 |
-9.0 |
-18% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.57 |
$920.47 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
31 |
2.0 |
6% |
|
$9.20 |
$920.47 |
$938.56 |
12th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
28 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
|
$9.39 |
$938.56 |
$931.64 |
19th Oct |
PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants |
6 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$9.32 |
$931.64 |
$932.64 |
19th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez |
13 |
6.1 |
47% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.64 |
$989.40 |
26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
15 |
-3.3 |
-22% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.40 |
$957.21 |
2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
15 |
1.6 |
11% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.21 |
$972.61 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates |
32 |
11.0 |
34% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.61 |
$1,079.35 |
16th Nov |
UFC 309 |
23 |
7.1 |
31% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,079.35 |
$1,156.36 |
23rd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo |
24 |
-6.9 |
-29% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,156.36 |
$1,076.61 |
29th Nov |
PFL 10: 2024 Championships |
37 |
14.5 |
39% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.61 |
$1,232.43 |
7th Dec |
UFC 310 |
19 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$12.32 |
$1,232.43 |
$1,228.67 |
14th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley |
43 |
11.6 |
27% |
|
$12.29 |
$1,228.67 |
$1,371.17 |
29th Dec |
Oktagon 65 |
1 |
1.3 |
125% |
|
$13.71 |
$1,371.17 |
$1,388.31 |
31st Dec |
Rizin 49 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.88 |
$1,388.31 |
$1,374.42 |
11th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II |
14 |
-1.5 |
-11% |
|
$13.74 |
$1,374.42 |
$1,353.16 |
18th Jan |
UFC 311 |
30 |
-3.1 |
-10% |
|
$13.53 |
$1,353.16 |
$1,310.95 |
1st Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov |
33 |
-7.9 |
-24% |
|
$13.11 |
$1,310.95 |
$1,207.65 |
8th Feb |
UFC 312 |
25 |
10.6 |
42% |
|
$12.08 |
$1,207.65 |
$1,335.51 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues |
21 |
-8.7 |
-41% |
|
$13.36 |
$1,335.51 |
$1,219.88 |
22nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song |
33 |
3.5 |
11% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.88 |
$1,262.46 |
1st Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev |
14 |
4.2 |
30% |
|
$12.62 |
$1,262.46 |
$1,315.73 |
8th Mar |
UFC 313 |
14 |
-8.1 |
-58% |
|
$13.16 |
$1,315.73 |
$1,209.00 |
15th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II |
13 |
-4.1 |
-32% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.00 |
$1,159.05 |
22nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady |
18 |
-2.5 |
-14% |
|
$11.59 |
$1,159.05 |
$1,130.43 |
29th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg |
27 |
0.6 |
2% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,130.43 |
$1,136.78 |
3rd Apr |
PFL 2025: First Round 1 |
14 |
-1.3 |
-9% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,136.78 |
$1,121.92 |
5th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy |
31 |
-1.5 |
-5% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.92 |
$1,105.21 |
12th Apr |
UFC 314 |
28 |
-0.6 |
-2% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,105.21 |
$1,098.06 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
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Picking Spots Taking Shots: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '25 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '25 |
Chase Hooper |
Jim Miller |
1.12 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '25 |
Dione Barbosa |
Diana Belbita |
1.15 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:13) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '25 |
Rhys McKee |
Daniel Frunza |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '25 |
Ode Osbourne |
Luis Gurule |
3.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:54) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '25 |
Chang Ho Lee |
Cortavious Romious |
1.71 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:48) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '25 |
Su Mudaerji |
Mitch Raposo |
1.49 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '25 |
Dan Ige |
Sean Woodson |
2.02 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:12) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '25 |
Movlid Khaybulaev |
Jeremy Kennedy |
1.15 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '25 |
Jean Silva |
Bryce Mitchell |
1.32 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (3:52) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '25 |
Victor Henry |
Pedro Falcao |
1.65 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '25 |
Loma Lookboonmee |
Istela Nunes |
1.18 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '25 |
Brad Tavares |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '25 |
Paddy Pimblett |
Michael Chandler |
1.77 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:7) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '25 |
Marquel Mederos |
Austin Hubbard |
1.53 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '25 |
Edgar Chairez |
Carlos Vergara |
1.43 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:30) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '25 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Vincent Morales |
1.33 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '25 |
Manuel Torres |
Drew Dober |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:45) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '25 |
Brandon Moreno |
Steve Erceg |
1.54 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Mar '25 |
Christian Duncan |
Andrey Pulyaev |
1.18 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
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