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MMA Handicapper Stats: Fat Pig

Fat Pig (fatpig)


MMA MHandicapper - Fat Pig

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 56 (54%) Right 41 (64%) Right 1 (50%) Right 14 (37%)
Wrong 48 (46%) Wrong 23 (36%) Wrong 1 (50%) Wrong 24 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 1.58 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 3.80
Units Bet 474.5 Units Bet 362.8 Units Bet 8.5 Units Bet 103.3
Avg Bet 4.56 Avg Bet 5.67 Avg Bet 4.25 Avg Bet 2.72
Units Profit 99.40 Units Profit 53.35 Units Profit -0.56 Units Profit 46.61
ROI % 21% ROI % 15% ROI % -7% ROI % 45%
View Handicapper's Profile

Fat Pig: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 36 18.8 52% 13.4 / 30 (45%) 5.4 / 6 (90%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 73.5 46.4 63% 18.8 / 60 (31%) 27.6 / 13.5 (204%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 86.5 54.9 64% 25.8 / 62 (42%) 29.1 / 24.5 (119%)
27th Mar '21 LFA 103 15 10.8 72% 3.6 / 10 (36%) 7.2 / 5 (144%)
26th Mar '21 ACA 120 5 5.4 107% 5.4 / 5 (107%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 61 4.8 8% 0.3 / 48 (1%) -0.6 / 8.5 (-7%) 5.1 / 4.5 (112%)
20th Mar '21 Cage Warriors 122 31 -9.5 -31% -4.5 / 26 (-17%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Mar '21 LFA 102 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 34.5 -3.6 -11% 5.9 / 25 (23%) -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 76 10.8 14% 9.3 / 67.5 (14%) 1.4 / 8.5 (17%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 15 -15.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 23.5 -17.4 -74% -7.4 / 13.5 (-55%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 9.75 -1.9 -20% -1.4 / 8.75 (-16%) -0.5 / 1 (-52%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 2.75 -0.1 -3% -0.5 / 2 (-26%) 0.4 / 0.75 (56%)


Winning Events: 7 (50%)
Losing Events: 7 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 33.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 86.50 units
Best Event: 54.94 units
Worst Event: -17.45 units
Average Event: 7.10 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 141.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -34.44

Fat Pig: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 474.5 99.4 21% 53.3 / 362.75 (15%) 46.6 / 103.25 (45%) 7 / 7 (50%) 7.10

Fat Pig: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Fat Pig: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 345 51.3 15% 35.4 / 266.75 (13%) -0.6 / 8.5 (-7%) 16.4 / 69.75 (24%)
Bellator 73.5 46.4 63% 18.8 / 60 (31%) 27.6 / 13.5 (204%)
Other 56 1.7 3% -0.9 / 36 (-2%) 2.6 / 20 (13%)

Fat Pig: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 36 (54%) 28 78 % 250.25 30.46 0.85 12%
Slight Favorites 18 (27%) 10 56 % 99.00 18.20 1.01 18%
Slight Underdogs 7 (10%) 2 29 % 10.00 3.05 0.44 30%
Big Underdogs 6 (9%) 3 50 % 3.50 1.64 0.27 47%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (9%) 2 33 % 35.25 -7.98 -1.33 -23%
Co-Main Event 7 (10%) 4 57 % 38.00 2.66 0.38 7%
Position 3-5 19 (28%) 14 74 % 127.00 20.92 1.10 16%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (52%) 23 66 % 162.50 37.74 1.08 23%

Fat Pig: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (6%) 2 50 % 17.75 -2.16 -0.54 -12%
Light Heavy 7 (10%) 4 57 % 42.25 4.65 0.66 11%
Middleweight 4 (6%) 2 50 % 22.00 6.92 1.73 31%
Welterweight 8 (12%) 8 100 % 49.25 21.97 2.75 45%
Lightweight 9 (13%) 8 89 % 77.25 23.20 2.58 30%
Featherweight 9 (13%) 5 56 % 26.00 0.91 0.10 3%
Bantamweight 12 (18%) 8 67 % 68.50 -8.15 -0.68 -12%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 11.00 8.67 2.89 79%
               
Women's Fights 11 (16%) 4 36 % 48.75 -2.65 -0.24 -5%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 10.00 1.00 1.00 10%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 12.25 2.40 0.80 20%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 2 50 % 14.00 6.45 1.61 46%
Strawweight 3 (4%) 0 % 12.50 -12.50 -4.17 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 57 (56%) 44 77 %
Slight Favorites 34 (33%) 21 62 %
Slight Underdogs 10 (10%) 4 40 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
102 69 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (33%) 10 77 %
50-65% 18 (46%) 14 78 %
35-50% 4 (10%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 4 (10%) 2 50 %
39 26 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (15%) 4 67 % 1.49 1.63Pick was correct 1.39Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
Goes to Decision 2 (5%) 2 100 % 1.27 1.28Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 0.5 (27%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (5%) 2 100 % 1.49 1.59Pick was correct 1.41Pick was incorrect 1.0 (50%)
X Wins by KO 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.87 1.87Pick was correct 1.87Pick was correct 0.9 (87%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (8%) 3 100 % 1.92 1.95Pick was correct 1.91Pick was correct 2.8 (92%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (21%) 2 25 % 2.27 4.10Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-21%)
X Wins Inside Distance 17 (44%) 12 71 % 1.70 4.55Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 4.5 (27%)
39 26 67 % 1.73     8.1 (21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Fat Pig's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Feb UFC FN 2.75 -0.1 -3% $10.00 $1,000.00 $999.11
14th Feb UFC 258 9.75 -1.9 -20% $9.99 $999.11 $980.09
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 23.5 -17.4 -74% $9.80 $980.09 $809.11
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 15 -15.0 -100% $8.09 $809.11 $687.74
6th Mar UFC 259 76 10.8 14% $6.88 $687.74 $761.77
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 34.5 -3.6 -11% $7.62 $761.77 $734.13
20th Mar LFA 102 5 -5.0 -100% $7.34 $734.13 $697.42
20th Mar Cage Warriors 122 31 -9.5 -31% $6.97 $697.42 $631.40
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 61 4.8 8% $6.31 $631.40 $661.91
26th Mar ACA 120 5 5.4 107% $6.62 $661.91 $697.40
27th Mar LFA 103 15 10.8 72% $6.97 $697.40 $772.62
28th Mar UFC 260 86.5 54.9 64% $7.73 $772.62 $1,197.13
2nd Apr Bellator 255 73.5 46.4 63% $11.97 $1,197.13 $1,752.80
10th Apr UFC FN 36 18.8 52% $17.53 $1,752.80 $2,082.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: 108.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Fat Pig: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Mateusz Gamrot Scott Holtzman 1.44 10 TKO, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.57 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Marvin Vettori Kevin Holland 1.33 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Patricio Freire Emmanuel Sanchez 1.39 10 Sub, R1 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Usman Nurmagomedov Mike Hamel 1.13 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Chris Gonzalez Roger Huerta 1.35 10 Sub, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Mandel Nallo Ricardo Seixas Filho 1.38 10 TKO, R1 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Magomed Magomedov C.J. Hamilton 1.07 10 Sub, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Khalid Murtazaliev Fabio Aguiar 1.56 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Abubakar Nurmagomedov Jared Gooden 1.48 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Josh Quinlan Dallas Jennings 1.36 10 Sub, R3 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Michal Oleksiejczuk Modestas Bukauskas 1.63 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Alonzo Menifield Fabio Cherant 1.35 10 Sub, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Miranda Maverick Gillian Robertson 1.63 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Sean O'Malley Thomas Almeida 1.31 10 TKO, R3 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Vicente Luque Tyron Woodley 1.39 10 Sub, R1 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Tobias Harila Aidan Stephen 1.76 5 TKO, R1 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Paddy Pimblett Davide Martinez 1.16 11 Sub, R1 (1:37) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Tai Tuivasa Harry Hunsucker 1.21 10 TKO, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.41 5 TKO, R3 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Shane Young Omar Morales 2.66 2 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Liam Gittins Brian Bouland 1.83 5 TKO, R1 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Morgan Charriere Jordan Vucenic 1.44 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Cheyanne Buys Montserrat Ruiz 1.29 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 J.P. Buys Bruno Silva 1.53 1 TKO, R2 (2:56) Yes MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Gloria de Paula Jinh Yu Frey 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Carlos Ulberg Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.39 5 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Casey Kenney Dominick Cruz 1.71 7.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz 1.43 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.75 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Drako Rodriguez Aiemann Zahabi 1.54 2 TKO, R1 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Ketlen Vieira Yana Kunitskaya 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Curtis Blaydes Derrick Lewis 1.22 5 TKO, R2 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Ian Heinisch Kelvin Gastelum 2.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Ian Heinisch Kelvin Gastelum 2.85 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Mallory Martin Polyana Viana 1.65 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Jerome Rivera Ode Osbourne 2.65 0.25 TKO, R1 (0:26) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Fat Pig: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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