MMA Handicapper Stats: Fat Pig |
|
Fat Pig: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
25th Mar '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
5 |
20.5 |
409% |
|
|
20.5 / 5 (409%) |
4th Mar '23 |
UFC 285 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
18th Feb '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
5 |
6.4 |
127% |
|
|
6.4 / 5 (127%) |
4th Feb '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5 |
16.4 |
328% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
18.4 / 3 (613%) |
4th Feb '23 |
Bellator 290 |
10 |
3.4 |
34% |
3.4 / 10 (34%) |
|
|
25th Jun '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
8 |
26.9 |
336% |
|
|
26.9 / 8 (336%) |
24th Jun '22 |
Bellator 282 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
16th Apr '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
5 |
3.4 |
69% |
|
|
3.4 / 5 (69%) |
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
100 |
0.2 |
0% |
10.2 / 90 (11%) |
|
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
16 |
17.5 |
109% |
|
|
17.5 / 16 (109%) |
31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
27.5 |
-27.5 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
34 |
10.6 |
31% |
19.0 / 16 (119%) |
-3.5 / 13 (-27%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
45 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
2.4 / 30 (8%) |
-2.5 / 15 (-17%) |
|
17th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 5 |
20 |
3.0 |
15% |
13.0 / 10 (130%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
60 |
22.7 |
38% |
22.9 / 55 (42%) |
1.8 / 3 (61%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
11th Jun '21 |
Bellator 260 |
65 |
-2.6 |
-4% |
0.6 / 55 (1%) |
1.8 / 5 (36%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
10th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
67.5 |
-4.0 |
-6% |
-0.1 / 55 (-0%) |
3.6 / 5 (71%) |
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
46 |
-9.5 |
-21% |
-7.5 / 44 (-17%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
-24.2 |
-28% |
-21.9 / 77 (-28%) |
3.7 / 5 (74%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
22nd May '21 |
LFA 108 |
10 |
7.8 |
78% |
|
|
7.8 / 10 (78%) |
21st May '21 |
Bellator 259 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
99 |
-31.9 |
-32% |
-26.4 / 77 (-34%) |
1.5 / 15 (10%) |
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
7th May '21 |
Bellator 258 |
66 |
-26.5 |
-40% |
-26.5 / 66 (-40%) |
|
|
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
100 |
-35.6 |
-36% |
-12.6 / 77 (-16%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
81 |
-3.7 |
-5% |
-2.6 / 44 (-6%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
9.9 / 26 (38%) |
16th Apr '21 |
Bellator 257 |
60 |
3.5 |
6% |
-0.7 / 54 (-1%) |
|
4.2 / 6 (70%) |
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
36 |
18.8 |
52% |
13.4 / 30 (45%) |
|
5.4 / 6 (90%) |
2nd Apr '21 |
Bellator 255 |
73.5 |
46.4 |
63% |
18.8 / 60 (31%) |
|
27.6 / 13.5 (204%) |
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
86.5 |
54.9 |
64% |
25.8 / 62 (42%) |
|
29.1 / 24.5 (119%) |
27th Mar '21 |
LFA 103 |
15 |
10.8 |
72% |
3.6 / 10 (36%) |
|
7.2 / 5 (144%) |
26th Mar '21 |
ACA 120 |
5 |
5.4 |
107% |
|
|
5.4 / 5 (107%) |
20th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
61 |
4.8 |
8% |
0.3 / 48 (1%) |
-0.6 / 8.5 (-7%) |
5.1 / 4.5 (112%) |
20th Mar '21 |
Cage Warriors 122 |
31 |
-9.5 |
-31% |
-4.5 / 26 (-17%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
20th Mar '21 |
LFA 102 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
34.5 |
-3.6 |
-11% |
5.9 / 25 (23%) |
|
-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%) |
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
76 |
10.8 |
14% |
9.3 / 67.5 (14%) |
|
1.4 / 8.5 (17%) |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
23.5 |
-17.4 |
-74% |
-7.4 / 13.5 (-55%) |
|
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
9.75 |
-1.9 |
-20% |
-1.4 / 8.75 (-16%) |
|
-0.5 / 1 (-52%) |
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
2.75 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
-0.5 / 2 (-26%) |
|
0.4 / 0.75 (56%) |
Winning Events: 20 (49%) Losing Events: 21 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 37.45 units Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units Best Event: 54.94 units Worst Event: -35.59 units Average Event: 0.92 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 144.70 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -102.74 |
Fat Pig: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
38 |
33.6 |
88% |
1.4 / 12 (11%) |
|
37.2 / 21 (177%) |
4 / 1 (80%) |
6.71 |
2022 |
23 |
20.3 |
88% |
|
|
20.3 / 23 (88%) |
2 / 1 (67%) |
6.76 |
2021 |
1474.5 |
-16.0 |
-1% |
13.1 / 1122.75 (1%) |
|
7.0 / 240.25 (3%) |
14 / 19 (42%) |
-0.48 |
|
Fat Pig: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Fat Pig: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1092.5 |
20.3 |
2% |
7.0 / 788.75 (1%) |
-36.5 / 96.5 (-38%) |
49.8 / 207.25 (24%) |
Bellator |
289.5 |
9.1 |
3% |
-4.5 / 245 (-2%) |
-3.2 / 10 (-32%) |
16.8 / 34.5 (49%) |
PFL |
87.5 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
12.9 / 65 (20%) |
-1.4 / 10 (-14%) |
-12.5 / 12.5 (-100%) |
Other |
66 |
9.5 |
14% |
-0.9 / 36 (-2%) |
|
10.4 / 30 (35%) |
|
Fat Pig: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
80 (57%) |
58 |
73 % |
705.25 |
-15.14 |
-0.19 |
-2% |
Slight Favorites |
43 (30%) |
23 |
53 % |
368.00 |
-15.96 |
-0.37 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (8%) |
5 |
45 % |
53.00 |
32.00 |
2.91 |
60% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (5%) |
4 |
57 % |
8.50 |
13.59 |
1.94 |
160% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
13 (9%) |
8 |
62 % |
105.25 |
1.83 |
0.14 |
2% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (12%) |
9 |
53 % |
132.00 |
-17.29 |
-1.02 |
-13% |
Position 3-5 |
34 (24%) |
24 |
71 % |
289.00 |
20.39 |
0.60 |
7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
77 (55%) |
49 |
64 % |
608.50 |
9.56 |
0.12 |
2% |
|
Fat Pig: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (8%) |
8 |
73 % |
88.75 |
12.37 |
1.12 |
14% |
Light Heavy |
12 (9%) |
6 |
50 % |
87.25 |
-11.62 |
-0.97 |
-13% |
Middleweight |
13 (9%) |
8 |
62 % |
113.00 |
6.70 |
0.52 |
6% |
Welterweight |
18 (13%) |
14 |
78 % |
155.25 |
15.78 |
0.88 |
10% |
Lightweight |
23 (16%) |
16 |
70 % |
230.25 |
-1.89 |
-0.08 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
17 (12%) |
11 |
65 % |
111.00 |
18.61 |
1.09 |
17% |
Bantamweight |
18 (13%) |
12 |
67 % |
133.50 |
-14.23 |
-0.79 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
6 (4%) |
5 |
83 % |
37.00 |
28.04 |
4.67 |
76% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
23 (16%) |
10 |
43 % |
178.75 |
-39.29 |
-1.71 |
-22% |
Featherweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
32.00 |
-8.52 |
-2.84 |
-27% |
Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
23.25 |
9.50 |
2.37 |
41% |
Flyweight |
6 (4%) |
4 |
67 % |
36.00 |
13.45 |
2.24 |
37% |
Strawweight |
10 (7%) |
2 |
20 % |
87.50 |
-53.72 |
-5.37 |
-61% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
132 (61%) |
102 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
67 (31%) |
38 |
57 % |
Slight Underdogs |
15 (7%) |
4 |
27 % |
Big Underdogs |
3 (1%) |
1 |
33 % |
|
217 |
145 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
24 (29%) |
14 |
58 % |
50-65% |
37 (44%) |
25 |
68 % |
35-50% |
13 (15%) |
2 |
15 % |
<35% chance |
10 (12%) |
3 |
30 % |
|
84 |
44 |
52 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Fat Pig's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
2.75 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$999.11 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
9.75 |
-1.9 |
-20% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.11 |
$980.09 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
23.5 |
-17.4 |
-74% |
|
$9.80 |
$980.09 |
$809.11 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.09 |
$809.11 |
$687.74 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
76 |
10.8 |
14% |
|
$6.88 |
$687.74 |
$761.77 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
34.5 |
-3.6 |
-11% |
|
$7.62 |
$761.77 |
$734.13 |
20th Mar |
LFA 102 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.34 |
$734.13 |
$697.42 |
20th Mar |
Cage Warriors 122 |
31 |
-9.5 |
-31% |
|
$6.97 |
$697.42 |
$631.40 |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
61 |
4.8 |
8% |
|
$6.31 |
$631.40 |
$661.91 |
26th Mar |
ACA 120 |
5 |
5.4 |
107% |
|
$6.62 |
$661.91 |
$697.40 |
27th Mar |
LFA 103 |
15 |
10.8 |
72% |
|
$6.97 |
$697.40 |
$772.62 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
86.5 |
54.9 |
64% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.62 |
$1,197.13 |
2nd Apr |
Bellator 255 |
73.5 |
46.4 |
63% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,197.13 |
$1,752.80 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
36 |
18.8 |
52% |
|
$17.53 |
$1,752.80 |
$2,082.76 |
16th Apr |
Bellator 257 |
60 |
3.5 |
6% |
|
$20.83 |
$2,082.76 |
$2,156.27 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
81 |
-3.7 |
-5% |
|
$21.56 |
$2,156.27 |
$2,076.14 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
100 |
-35.6 |
-36% |
|
$20.76 |
$2,076.14 |
$1,337.32 |
7th May |
Bellator 258 |
66 |
-26.5 |
-40% |
|
$13.37 |
$1,337.32 |
$982.30 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
99 |
-31.9 |
-32% |
|
$9.82 |
$982.30 |
$669.08 |
21st May |
Bellator 259 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$6.69 |
$669.08 |
$635.62 |
22nd May |
LFA 108 |
10 |
7.8 |
78% |
|
$6.36 |
$635.62 |
$685.45 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
88 |
-24.2 |
-28% |
|
$6.85 |
$685.45 |
$519.45 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
46 |
-9.5 |
-21% |
|
$5.19 |
$519.45 |
$470.22 |
10th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
67.5 |
-4.0 |
-6% |
|
$4.70 |
$470.22 |
$451.20 |
11th Jun |
Bellator 260 |
65 |
-2.6 |
-4% |
|
$4.51 |
$451.20 |
$439.33 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
60 |
22.7 |
38% |
|
$4.39 |
$439.33 |
$539.04 |
17th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 5 |
20 |
3.0 |
15% |
|
$5.39 |
$539.04 |
$555.21 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
45 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
|
$5.55 |
$555.21 |
$554.55 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
34 |
10.6 |
31% |
|
$5.55 |
$554.55 |
$613.29 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
27.5 |
-27.5 |
-100% |
|
$6.13 |
$613.29 |
$444.63 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
16 |
17.5 |
109% |
|
$4.45 |
$444.63 |
$522.36 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
100 |
0.2 |
0% |
|
$5.22 |
$522.36 |
$523.54 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$5.24 |
$523.54 |
$471.19 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
5 |
3.4 |
69% |
|
$4.71 |
$471.19 |
$487.38 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$4.87 |
$487.38 |
$438.64 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
8 |
26.9 |
336% |
|
$4.39 |
$438.64 |
$556.45 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
10 |
3.4 |
34% |
|
$5.56 |
$556.45 |
$575.10 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5 |
16.4 |
328% |
|
$5.75 |
$575.10 |
$669.27 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
5 |
6.4 |
127% |
|
$6.69 |
$669.27 |
$711.86 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.12 |
$711.86 |
$619.32 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
5 |
20.5 |
409% |
|
$6.19 |
$619.32 |
$746.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -25.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Fat Pig: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Fat Pig: Progress Chart |
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