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MMA Handicapper Stats: Pastacci Picks |
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Pastacci Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 35 (49%) Losing Events: 37 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.80 units Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units Best Event: 29.43 units Worst Event: -10.00 units Average Event: 1.31 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 34.38 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -26.44 |
Pastacci Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
204 |
64.7 |
32% |
64.7 / 204 (32%) |
|
|
5 / 4 (56%) |
7.19 |
2023 |
313.7 |
13.1 |
4% |
13.1 / 313.7 (4%) |
|
|
10 / 9 (53%) |
0.69 |
2022 |
309.58 |
8.4 |
3% |
5.5 / 292.58 (2%) |
|
|
9 / 8 (53%) |
0.50 |
2021 |
382.2 |
7.9 |
2% |
13.1 / 354 (4%) |
|
-0.5 / 8.7 (-6%) |
11 / 16 (41%) |
0.29 |
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Pastacci Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Pastacci Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1057.23 |
88.0 |
8% |
90.0 / 1020.03 (9%) |
-2.8 / 36 (-8%) |
0.7 / 1.2 (61%) |
Bellator |
41 |
11.1 |
27% |
10.8 / 38.5 (28%) |
|
0.3 / 2.5 (14%) |
PFL |
15 |
-5.6 |
-37% |
-4.0 / 12 (-33%) |
1.0 / 0.5 (191%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
Other |
96.25 |
0.6 |
1% |
-0.4 / 93.75 (-0%) |
|
0.9 / 2.5 (37%) |
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Pastacci Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
232 (36%) |
182 |
78 % |
513.50 |
21.26 |
0.09 |
4% |
Slight Favorites |
180 (28%) |
106 |
59 % |
358.50 |
38.78 |
0.22 |
11% |
Slight Underdogs |
159 (25%) |
71 |
45 % |
223.00 |
40.19 |
0.25 |
18% |
Big Underdogs |
74 (11%) |
18 |
24 % |
69.28 |
-3.76 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
63 (10%) |
27 |
43 % |
105.50 |
-30.35 |
-0.48 |
-29% |
Co-Main Event |
63 (10%) |
34 |
54 % |
121.25 |
-4.48 |
-0.07 |
-4% |
Position 3-5 |
177 (27%) |
96 |
54 % |
366.70 |
53.33 |
0.30 |
15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
342 (53%) |
220 |
64 % |
570.83 |
77.97 |
0.23 |
14% |
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Pastacci Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
41 (6%) |
26 |
63 % |
65.50 |
0.08 |
0.00 |
0% |
Light Heavy |
55 (9%) |
31 |
56 % |
115.25 |
3.13 |
0.06 |
3% |
Middleweight |
75 (12%) |
40 |
53 % |
119.25 |
10.38 |
0.14 |
9% |
Welterweight |
76 (12%) |
47 |
62 % |
134.50 |
15.22 |
0.20 |
11% |
Lightweight |
97 (15%) |
50 |
52 % |
179.95 |
5.12 |
0.05 |
3% |
Featherweight |
79 (12%) |
52 |
66 % |
139.50 |
27.16 |
0.34 |
19% |
Bantamweight |
79 (12%) |
50 |
63 % |
164.75 |
37.67 |
0.48 |
23% |
Flyweight |
40 (6%) |
23 |
58 % |
72.33 |
11.55 |
0.29 |
16% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
103 (16%) |
58 |
56 % |
173.25 |
-13.86 |
-0.13 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
2 (0%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.04 |
0.52 |
35% |
Bantamweight |
23 (4%) |
12 |
52 % |
34.00 |
-9.67 |
-0.42 |
-28% |
Flyweight |
44 (7%) |
26 |
59 % |
81.75 |
6.92 |
0.16 |
8% |
Strawweight |
34 (5%) |
18 |
53 % |
54.50 |
-12.15 |
-0.36 |
-22% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
6 (55%) |
5 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
2 (18%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (18%) |
2 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (9%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
11 |
9 |
82 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (8%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
11 (42%) |
4 |
36 % |
35-50% |
11 (42%) |
4 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
2 (8%) |
1 |
50 % |
|
26 |
10 |
38 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Pastacci Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
12 |
-3.3 |
-28% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$966.87 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
12 |
-3.2 |
-27% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.87 |
$935.69 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
10 |
6.0 |
60% |
|
$9.36 |
$935.69 |
$991.87 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
10 |
-1.6 |
-16% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.87 |
$976.12 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
15 |
-2.8 |
-19% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.12 |
$948.48 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
17 |
7.3 |
43% |
|
$9.48 |
$948.48 |
$1,018.15 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
20 |
4.8 |
24% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,018.15 |
$1,067.34 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
13 |
-0.5 |
-4% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.34 |
$1,062.15 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
21.5 |
1.4 |
6% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,062.15 |
$1,076.96 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
27.25 |
-6.1 |
-22% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.96 |
$1,011.13 |
23rd Oct |
Bellator 269 |
13 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.13 |
$1,010.11 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
14 |
11.6 |
83% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.11 |
$1,127.16 |
26th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
10.5 |
-2.1 |
-20% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.16 |
$1,104.00 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
15 |
-5.6 |
-37% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.00 |
$1,042.67 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
31.2 |
6.2 |
20% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.67 |
$1,107.28 |
3rd Nov |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
5 |
6.4 |
129% |
|
$11.07 |
$1,107.28 |
$1,178.48 |
5th Nov |
Bellator 270 |
11.5 |
5.0 |
44% |
|
$11.78 |
$1,178.48 |
$1,237.48 |
6th Nov |
LFA 117 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.37 |
$1,237.48 |
$1,200.35 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
24 |
-9.1 |
-38% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,200.35 |
$1,091.28 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
12 |
-2.5 |
-21% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,091.28 |
$1,063.47 |
3rd Dec |
LFA 119 |
7.25 |
4.7 |
65% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,063.47 |
$1,113.49 |
3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
16.5 |
6.2 |
38% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,113.49 |
$1,182.79 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
12.5 |
-1.0 |
-8% |
|
$11.83 |
$1,182.79 |
$1,170.49 |
10th Dec |
Cage Warriors 131 |
11 |
-9.1 |
-83% |
|
$11.70 |
$1,170.49 |
$1,064.08 |
10th Dec |
LFA 120 |
4 |
1.3 |
33% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.08 |
$1,077.97 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
25 |
-2.5 |
-10% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.97 |
$1,050.58 |
17th Dec |
ACA 134 |
9 |
-0.6 |
-7% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.58 |
$1,044.28 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
13.75 |
3.5 |
25% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.28 |
$1,080.44 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
21 |
6.9 |
33% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,080.44 |
$1,155.46 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
25 |
4.8 |
19% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,155.46 |
$1,211.01 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
13 |
2.8 |
22% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,211.01 |
$1,245.05 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
13.5 |
1.0 |
8% |
|
$12.45 |
$1,245.05 |
$1,257.85 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
26 |
-2.2 |
-8% |
|
$12.58 |
$1,257.85 |
$1,230.24 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
26 |
1.6 |
6% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,230.24 |
$1,250.03 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
22 |
2.5 |
11% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,250.03 |
$1,281.40 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
12 |
-3.2 |
-27% |
|
$12.81 |
$1,281.40 |
$1,239.93 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
25.5 |
4.0 |
16% |
|
$12.40 |
$1,239.93 |
$1,289.20 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
18.5 |
-1.7 |
-9% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.20 |
$1,267.46 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
12 |
1.5 |
13% |
|
$12.67 |
$1,267.46 |
$1,286.47 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
11 |
-2.9 |
-26% |
|
$12.86 |
$1,286.47 |
$1,249.22 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
14 |
-4.1 |
-30% |
|
$12.49 |
$1,249.22 |
$1,197.46 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
19 |
-1.7 |
-9% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,197.46 |
$1,177.28 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
22.33 |
-1.4 |
-6% |
|
$11.77 |
$1,177.28 |
$1,161.17 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
15 |
-3.0 |
-20% |
|
$11.61 |
$1,161.17 |
$1,126.44 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
16.25 |
-5.9 |
-37% |
$2 |
$11.26 |
$1,126.44 |
$1,057.58 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
19 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,057.58 |
$1,054.03 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
13 |
-7.1 |
-55% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.03 |
$979.32 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
23.2 |
5.9 |
25% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.32 |
$1,037.01 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
21.5 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.01 |
$1,029.59 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
30 |
7.8 |
26% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,029.59 |
$1,109.86 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
24 |
7.8 |
33% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,109.86 |
$1,196.67 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
19.75 |
5.5 |
28% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.67 |
$1,262.89 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
24 |
3.2 |
13% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,262.89 |
$1,302.83 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
8 |
2.1 |
26% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,302.83 |
$1,329.55 |
7th Sep |
Brave CF 74 |
2 |
2.2 |
112% |
|
$13.30 |
$1,329.55 |
$1,359.24 |
9th Sep |
Cage Warriors 159 |
10.5 |
5.8 |
55% |
|
$13.59 |
$1,359.24 |
$1,437.80 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
23.5 |
-5.1 |
-22% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,437.80 |
$1,363.81 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
9 |
-1.8 |
-20% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,363.81 |
$1,339.50 |
15th Sep |
LFA 167 |
14 |
-6.5 |
-46% |
|
$13.40 |
$1,339.50 |
$1,252.43 |
15th Sep |
CFFC 125 |
3 |
1.1 |
36% |
|
$12.52 |
$1,252.43 |
$1,266.10 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
12.5 |
-4.1 |
-33% |
|
$12.66 |
$1,266.10 |
$1,214.33 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
22 |
-2.3 |
-11% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,214.33 |
$1,186.22 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
18.5 |
5.7 |
31% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,186.22 |
$1,253.53 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14 |
5.5 |
40% |
|
$12.54 |
$1,253.53 |
$1,322.96 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
15 |
-7.9 |
-52% |
|
$13.23 |
$1,322.96 |
$1,219.05 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
27 |
11.4 |
42% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,219.05 |
$1,357.50 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.57 |
$1,357.50 |
$1,221.75 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
40 |
26.4 |
66% |
|
$12.22 |
$1,221.75 |
$1,544.53 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
28 |
-4.3 |
-15% |
|
$15.45 |
$1,544.53 |
$1,478.00 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
30 |
29.4 |
98% |
|
$14.78 |
$1,478.00 |
$1,912.90 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.13 |
$1,912.90 |
$1,721.61 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
30 |
24.1 |
80% |
|
$17.22 |
$1,721.61 |
$2,136.76 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 113.68% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Pastacci Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Pastacci Picks: Progress Chart |
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