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Total MMA Handicappers: 4917
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1864

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pastacci Picks

Pastacci Picks (Pastacci)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Pastacci Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 272 (56%) Right 258 (57%) Right 11 (41%) Right 3 (60%)
Wrong 212 (44%) Wrong 194 (43%) Wrong 16 (59%) Wrong 2 (40%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 1.91
Units Bet 691.8 Units Bet 646.6 Units Bet 36.5 Units Bet 8.7
Avg Bet 1.43 Avg Bet 1.43 Avg Bet 1.35 Avg Bet 1.74
Units Profit 16.30 Units Profit 18.64 Units Profit -1.84 Units Profit -0.51
ROI % 2% ROI % 3% ROI % -5% ROI % -6%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pastacci Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 15 -3.0 -20% -3.0 / 15 (-20%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 22.33 -1.4 -6% -1.4 / 22.33 (-6%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 19 -1.7 -9% -1.7 / 19 (-9%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 14 -4.1 -30% -4.1 / 14 (-30%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 11 -2.9 -26% -2.9 / 11 (-26%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 12 1.5 13% 1.5 / 12 (13%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 18.5 -1.7 -9% -1.7 / 18.5 (-9%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 25.5 4.0 16% 3.2 / 15.5 (20%) 0.8 / 10 (8%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 12 -3.2 -27% -3.2 / 12 (-27%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 22 2.5 11% 2.5 / 22 (11%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 26 1.6 6% 2.6 / 25 (10%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 26 -2.2 -8% -2.2 / 26 (-8%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 13.5 1.0 8% 1.0 / 13.5 (8%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 13 2.8 22% 2.8 / 13 (22%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 25 4.8 19% 1.7 / 19 (9%) 3.1 / 6 (52%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 21 6.9 33% 6.9 / 21 (33%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 13.75 3.5 25% 3.5 / 13.75 (25%)
17th Dec '21 ACA 134 9 -0.6 -7% -0.6 / 9 (-7%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 25 -2.5 -10% -2.5 / 25 (-10%)
10th Dec '21 LFA 120 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
10th Dec '21 Cage Warriors 131 11 -9.1 -83% -9.1 / 11 (-83%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 12.5 -1.0 -8% -1.0 / 12.5 (-8%)
3rd Dec '21 Bellator 272 16.5 6.2 38% 6.2 / 16.5 (38%)
3rd Dec '21 LFA 119 7.25 4.7 65% 4.7 / 7.25 (65%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 12 -2.5 -21% -2.5 / 12 (-21%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 24 -9.1 -38% -6.5 / 18 (-36%) -2.6 / 6 (-43%)
6th Nov '21 LFA 117 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Nov '21 Bellator 270 11.5 5.0 44% 5.0 / 11.5 (44%)
3rd Nov '21 DWCS 2021: Week 10 5 6.4 129% 6.4 / 5 (129%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 31.2 6.2 20% 6.4 / 21.5 (30%) -0.9 / 8.5 (-11%) 0.7 / 1.2 (61%)
27th Oct '21 PFL 2021 #10: Championships 15 -5.6 -37% -4.0 / 12 (-33%) 1.0 / 0.5 (191%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
26th Oct '21 DWCS 2021: Week 9 10.5 -2.1 -20% -3.0 / 8 (-37%) 0.9 / 2.5 (37%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 14 11.6 83% 11.6 / 14 (83%)
23rd Oct '21 Bellator 269 13 -0.1 -1% -0.4 / 10.5 (-4%) 0.3 / 2.5 (14%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 27.25 -6.1 -22% -3.9 / 22.75 (-17%) -2.2 / 4.5 (-49%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 21.5 1.4 6% 1.4 / 21.5 (6%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 13 -0.5 -4% -0.5 / 13 (-4%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 20 4.8 24% 4.8 / 20 (24%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 17 7.3 43% 7.3 / 17 (43%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 15 -2.8 -19% -2.8 / 15 (-19%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 10 -1.6 -16% -1.6 / 10 (-16%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 10 6.0 60% 6.0 / 10 (60%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 12 -3.2 -27% -3.2 / 12 (-27%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 12 -3.3 -28% -3.3 / 12 (-28%)


Winning Events: 20 (45%)
Losing Events: 24 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.20 units
Best Event: 11.59 units
Worst Event: -9.09 units
Average Event: 0.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 19.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.64

Pastacci Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 309.58 8.4 3% 5.5 / 292.58 (2%) 9 / 8 (53%) 0.50
2021 382.2 7.9 2% 13.1 / 354 (4%) -0.5 / 8.7 (-6%) 11 / 16 (41%) 0.29

Pastacci Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Pastacci Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 586.03 13.0 2% 15.1 / 548.83 (3%) -2.8 / 36 (-8%) 0.7 / 1.2 (61%)
Bellator 41 11.1 27% 10.8 / 38.5 (28%) 0.3 / 2.5 (14%)
PFL 15 -5.6 -37% -4.0 / 12 (-33%) 1.0 / 0.5 (191%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
Other 49.75 -2.3 -5% -3.2 / 47.25 (-7%) 0.9 / 2.5 (37%)

Pastacci Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 148 (33%) 115 78 % 261.00 5.24 0.04 2%
Slight Favorites 134 (30%) 75 56 % 193.50 -2.11 -0.02 -1%
Slight Underdogs 117 (26%) 52 44 % 141.50 11.48 0.10 8%
Big Underdogs 54 (12%) 16 30 % 50.58 4.03 0.07 8%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 42 (9%) 20 48 % 59.75 -3.74 -0.09 -6%
Co-Main Event 42 (9%) 21 50 % 62.25 -4.36 -0.10 -7%
Position 3-5 120 (26%) 61 51 % 183.50 -9.87 -0.08 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 249 (55%) 156 63 % 341.08 36.62 0.15 11%

Pastacci Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 28 (6%) 19 68 % 42.50 3.35 0.12 8%
Light Heavy 38 (8%) 21 55 % 55.25 -0.41 -0.01 -1%
Middleweight 55 (12%) 28 51 % 71.25 -1.00 -0.02 -1%
Welterweight 52 (11%) 33 63 % 85.50 5.97 0.11 7%
Lightweight 65 (14%) 27 42 % 89.75 -16.16 -0.25 -18%
Featherweight 56 (12%) 39 70 % 84.00 30.21 0.54 36%
Bantamweight 54 (12%) 33 61 % 78.75 11.53 0.21 15%
Flyweight 29 (6%) 14 48 % 35.33 -2.49 -0.09 -7%
               
Women's Fights 76 (17%) 44 58 % 104.25 -12.36 -0.16 -12%
Featherweight 2 (0%) 2 100 % 3.00 1.04 0.52 35%
Bantamweight 18 (4%) 9 50 % 22.50 -8.99 -0.50 -40%
Flyweight 31 (7%) 21 68 % 42.25 5.79 0.19 14%
Strawweight 25 (6%) 12 48 % 36.50 -10.19 -0.41 -28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (55%) 5 83 %
Slight Favorites 2 (18%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (18%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (9%) 0 0 %
11 9 82 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (8%) 1 50 %
50-65% 11 (42%) 4 36 %
35-50% 11 (42%) 4 36 %
<35% chance 2 (8%) 1 50 %
26 10 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (46%) 5 42 % 1.92 2.91Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-13%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 14 (54%) 5 36 % 2.03 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.52Pick was correct -3.9 (-28%)
26 10 38 % 1.98     -5.5 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pastacci Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Feb UFC FN 12 -3.3 -28% $10.00 $1,000.00 $966.87
10th Jul UFC 264 12 -3.2 -27% $9.67 $966.87 $935.69
24th Jul UFC FN 10 6.0 60% $9.36 $935.69 $991.87
31st Jul UFC FN 10 -1.6 -16% $9.92 $991.87 $976.12
7th Aug UFC 265 15 -2.8 -19% $9.76 $976.12 $948.48
21st Aug UFC FN 17 7.3 43% $9.48 $948.48 $1,018.15
28th Aug UFC FN 20 4.8 24% $10.18 $1,018.15 $1,067.34
4th Sep UFC FN 13 -0.5 -4% $10.67 $1,067.34 $1,062.15
18th Sep UFC FN 21.5 1.4 6% $10.62 $1,062.15 $1,076.96
25th Sep UFC 266 27.25 -6.1 -22% $10.77 $1,076.96 $1,011.13
23rd Oct Bellator 269 13 -0.1 -1% $10.11 $1,011.13 $1,010.11
23rd Oct UFC FN 14 11.6 83% $10.10 $1,010.11 $1,127.16
26th Oct DWCS 2021: Week 9 10.5 -2.1 -20% $11.27 $1,127.16 $1,104.00
27th Oct PFL 2021 #10: Championships 15 -5.6 -37% $11.04 $1,104.00 $1,042.67
30th Oct UFC 267 31.2 6.2 20% $10.43 $1,042.67 $1,107.28
3rd Nov DWCS 2021: Week 10 5 6.4 129% $11.07 $1,107.28 $1,178.48
5th Nov Bellator 270 11.5 5.0 44% $11.78 $1,178.48 $1,237.48
6th Nov LFA 117 3 -3.0 -100% $12.37 $1,237.48 $1,200.35
6th Nov UFC 268 24 -9.1 -38% $12.00 $1,200.35 $1,091.28
20th Nov UFC FN 12 -2.5 -21% $10.91 $1,091.28 $1,063.47
3rd Dec LFA 119 7.25 4.7 65% $10.63 $1,063.47 $1,113.49
3rd Dec Bellator 272 16.5 6.2 38% $11.13 $1,113.49 $1,182.79
4th Dec UFC FN 12.5 -1.0 -8% $11.83 $1,182.79 $1,170.49
10th Dec Cage Warriors 131 11 -9.1 -83% $11.70 $1,170.49 $1,064.08
10th Dec LFA 120 4 1.3 33% $10.64 $1,064.08 $1,077.97
11th Dec UFC 269 25 -2.5 -10% $10.78 $1,077.97 $1,050.58
17th Dec ACA 134 9 -0.6 -7% $10.51 $1,050.58 $1,044.28
22nd Jan UFC 270 13.75 3.5 25% $10.44 $1,044.28 $1,080.44
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 21 6.9 33% $10.80 $1,080.44 $1,155.46
12th Feb UFC 271 25 4.8 19% $11.55 $1,155.46 $1,211.01
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 13 2.8 22% $12.11 $1,211.01 $1,245.05
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 13.5 1.0 8% $12.45 $1,245.05 $1,257.85
5th Mar UFC 272 26 -2.2 -8% $12.58 $1,257.85 $1,230.24
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 26 1.6 6% $12.30 $1,230.24 $1,250.03
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 22 2.5 11% $12.50 $1,250.03 $1,281.40
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 12 -3.2 -27% $12.81 $1,281.40 $1,239.93
9th Apr UFC 273 25.5 4.0 16% $12.40 $1,239.93 $1,289.20
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 18.5 -1.7 -9% $12.89 $1,289.20 $1,267.46
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 12 1.5 13% $12.67 $1,267.46 $1,286.47
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 11 -2.9 -26% $12.86 $1,286.47 $1,249.22
11th Jun UFC 275 14 -4.1 -30% $12.49 $1,249.22 $1,197.46
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 19 -1.7 -9% $11.97 $1,197.46 $1,177.28
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 22.33 -1.4 -6% $11.77 $1,177.28 $1,161.17
30th Jul UFC 277 15 -3.0 -20% $11.61 $1,161.17 $1,126.44


ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.64% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pastacci Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Joselyne Edwards Ji Yeon Kim 1.75 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Hamdy Abdelwahab Don'tale Mayes 2.18 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Magomed Ankalaev Anthony Smith 1.20 4 TKO, R2 (3:9) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Sergey Pavlovich Derrick Lewis 1.92 1 TKO, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Amanda Nunes Julianna Pena 1.36 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Nicolas Dalby Claudio Silva 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.02 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Jai Herbert Kyle Nelson 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Nathaniel Wood Charles Rosa 1.17 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Ludovit Klein Mason Jones 3.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.63 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Molly McCann Hannah Goldy 1.25 2 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Nikita Krylov Alexander Gustafsson 1.52 3 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Emily Ducote Jessica Penne 1.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Bill Algeo Herbert Burns 1.50 3 TKO, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Punahele Soriano Dalcha Lungiambula 1.44 1 TKO, R2 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.57 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Amanda Lemos Michelle Waterson 1.30 1 Sub, R2 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 2.40 2 TKO, R1 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '22 Ihor Potieria Nick Negumereanu 1.63 1 TKO, R2 (3:33) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Rafael Alves Drew Dober 2.80 1 TKO, R3 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Alex Perez Alexandre Pantoja 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno 2.70 2 TKO, R3 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev 4.40 0.33 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.65 1 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Damir Hadzovic Marc Diakiese 3.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Jordan Leavitt Paddy Pimblett 3.10 1 Sub, R2 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes 1.72 4 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Dwight Grant Dustin Stoltzfus 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Jack Shore Ricky Simon 1.59 2 Sub, R2 (3:28) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Miesha Tate Lauren Murphy 1.48 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Su Mudaerji Matt Schnell 1.38 3 Sub, R2 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Muslim Salikhov Li Jingliang 1.59 2 TKO, R2 (4:38) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Na Liang Silvana Gomez Juarez 2.01 1 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Danaa Batgerel Kyung Ho Kang 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '22 Jacob Malkoun Brendan Allen 3.51 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pastacci Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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