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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dynamiczny Wariacik |
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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (57%) Losing Events: 16 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.16 units Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units Best Event: 5.31 units Worst Event: -4.50 units Average Event: 0.36 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 15.59 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.51 |
Dynamiczny Wariacik: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
134.55 |
19.6 |
15% |
12.7 / 56.13 (23%) |
|
-1.7 / 10.72 (-16%) |
18 / 11 (62%) |
0.68 |
2023 |
6.75 |
-3.0 |
-44% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
1 / 2 (33%) |
-1.00 |
2022 |
9.75 |
-3.1 |
-32% |
-4.7 / 8.4 (-56%) |
|
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
-1.04 |
2021 |
3 |
-0.3 |
-10% |
-0.3 / 3 (-10%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
-0.15 |
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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
64.4 |
-1.2 |
-2% |
-0.3 / 26.75 (-1%) |
-0.9 / 32.46 (-3%) |
0.0 / 5.19 (1%) |
Bellator |
8.5 |
-2.8 |
-33% |
-2.1 / 7.75 (-26%) |
-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
27.55 |
10.5 |
38% |
2.9 / 17.18 (17%) |
8.6 / 9.37 (91%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
Other |
53.6 |
6.8 |
13% |
6.1 / 16.85 (36%) |
3.6 / 29.97 (12%) |
-3.0 / 6.78 (-44%) |
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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
12 (19%) |
9 |
75 % |
16.60 |
4.68 |
0.39 |
28% |
Slight Underdogs |
41 (66%) |
18 |
44 % |
46.68 |
5.54 |
0.14 |
12% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (15%) |
1 |
11 % |
5.25 |
-3.55 |
-0.39 |
-68% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (19%) |
5 |
42 % |
18.75 |
0.60 |
0.05 |
3% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (10%) |
2 |
33 % |
4.00 |
0.40 |
0.07 |
10% |
Position 3-5 |
15 (24%) |
7 |
47 % |
18.45 |
4.95 |
0.33 |
27% |
6+ (Undercard) |
29 (47%) |
14 |
48 % |
27.33 |
0.72 |
0.02 |
3% |
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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (13%) |
3 |
38 % |
7.22 |
-1.20 |
-0.15 |
-17% |
Light Heavy |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.61 |
-2.60 |
-0.52 |
-22% |
Middleweight |
8 (13%) |
2 |
25 % |
8.00 |
-1.09 |
-0.14 |
-14% |
Welterweight |
8 (13%) |
3 |
38 % |
8.50 |
3.04 |
0.38 |
36% |
Lightweight |
10 (16%) |
8 |
80 % |
9.75 |
6.14 |
0.61 |
63% |
Featherweight |
10 (16%) |
6 |
60 % |
12.35 |
5.99 |
0.60 |
48% |
Bantamweight |
7 (11%) |
2 |
29 % |
6.85 |
-0.46 |
-0.07 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
5 (8%) |
1 |
20 % |
3.75 |
-2.65 |
-0.53 |
-71% |
Bantamweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.75 |
-1.75 |
-0.88 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.00 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
10% |
Strawweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
13 (62%) |
9 |
69 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (14%) |
2 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
5 (24%) |
2 |
40 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
21 |
13 |
62 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
50-65% |
23 (25%) |
13 |
57 % |
35-50% |
32 (34%) |
10 |
31 % |
<35% chance |
36 (39%) |
12 |
33 % |
|
93 |
37 |
40 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dynamiczny Wariacik's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
19th Nov |
ACA 132 |
1 |
1.7 |
170% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,017.00 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,017.00 |
$996.66 |
12th Nov |
KSW 76 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
56% |
|
$9.97 |
$996.66 |
$1,010.56 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
2.75 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.56 |
$1,010.41 |
18th Nov |
Bellator 288 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.41 |
$964.94 |
16th Sep |
Oktagon 46 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$9.65 |
$964.94 |
$940.64 |
16th Sep |
KSW 86 |
2.75 |
0.3 |
9% |
|
$9.41 |
$940.64 |
$943.00 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
2 |
-1.3 |
-63% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.00 |
$931.21 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
2.25 |
1.0 |
46% |
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$9.31 |
$931.21 |
$940.78 |
20th Jan |
KSW 90 |
12.5 |
5.3 |
42% |
|
$9.41 |
$940.78 |
$990.75 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
3.25 |
3.2 |
97% |
|
$9.91 |
$990.75 |
$1,021.96 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
6 |
1.8 |
29% |
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$10.22 |
$1,021.96 |
$1,039.92 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
6.44 |
4.3 |
67% |
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$10.40 |
$1,039.92 |
$1,085.05 |
10th Feb |
Oktagon 53 |
4.75 |
-2.9 |
-61% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.05 |
$1,053.59 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
3 |
0.9 |
30% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.59 |
$1,063.07 |
17th Feb |
KSW 91 |
3.82 |
3.9 |
103% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,063.07 |
$1,104.82 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
4.25 |
-1.7 |
-40% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.82 |
$1,085.90 |
24th Feb |
KSW Epic |
2.75 |
-0.8 |
-29% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.90 |
$1,077.21 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
1 |
1.1 |
115% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.21 |
$1,089.60 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
1.75 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
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$10.90 |
$1,089.60 |
$1,070.53 |
2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
2.25 |
-0.3 |
-13% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.53 |
$1,067.32 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
5.25 |
-3.6 |
-68% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.32 |
$1,029.43 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
6.22 |
3.9 |
63% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.43 |
$1,069.58 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
3.86 |
-1.2 |
-30% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.58 |
$1,057.17 |
16th Mar |
KSW 92 |
4.5 |
-1.9 |
-43% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,057.17 |
$1,036.87 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
3.75 |
1.8 |
47% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.87 |
$1,055.23 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
4 |
1.7 |
42% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,055.23 |
$1,073.14 |
23rd Mar |
Oktagon 55 |
1 |
0.4 |
35% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.14 |
$1,076.90 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
5.25 |
-1.6 |
-31% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.90 |
$1,059.50 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
4 |
-1.9 |
-49% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.50 |
$1,038.84 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
8.75 |
0.4 |
4% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.84 |
$1,042.74 |
6th Apr |
KSW 93 |
3 |
1.0 |
32% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.74 |
$1,052.65 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
4.5 |
2.0 |
43% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,052.65 |
$1,073.23 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
7.73 |
4.2 |
54% |
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$10.73 |
$1,073.23 |
$1,117.88 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
10.1 |
0.6 |
6% |
|
$11.18 |
$1,117.88 |
$1,124.87 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
3.85 |
0.9 |
24% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.87 |
$1,135.10 |
20th Apr |
Oktagon 56 |
4.78 |
-1.0 |
-20% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,135.10 |
$1,124.10 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.41% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dynamiczny Wariacik: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Apr '24 |
Adam Borics |
Enrique Barzola |
1.67 |
2.85 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Brent Primus |
Bruno Miranda |
1.90 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:49) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.74 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.45 |
1.5 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov |
Jakob Nedoh |
2.25 |
1.36 |
TKO, R1 (2:54) |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
2.25 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Wilson Varela |
Marian Ziolkowski |
3.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:31) |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Arijan Topallaj |
Karol Rysavy |
2.70 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:36) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Luke Trainer |
Grant Neal |
2.13 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Fabian Edwards |
Aaron Jeffery |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.52 |
0.75 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.42 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.70 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Baissangour Chamsoudinov |
Cedric Doumbe |
2.75 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:21) |
|
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Mochamed Machaev |
Makwan Amirkhani |
1.95 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:6) |
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16. |
Feb '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Ryan Bader |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
|
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17. |
Feb '24 |
Mariusz Joniak |
Tobiasz Le |
2.30 |
1.95 |
TKO, R1 (1:5) |
|
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Gjoni Palokaj |
Jaroslav Pokorny |
1.85 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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19. |
Feb '24 |
Jamal Pogues |
Thomas Petersen |
2.35 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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20. |
Feb '24 |
Marquel Mederos |
Landon Quiñones |
1.72 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dynamiczny Wariacik: Progress Chart |
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