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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dynamiczny Wariacik

Dynamiczny Wariacik (WCR89)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Dynamiczny Wariacik

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 67 (42%) Right 28 (45%) Right 34 (40%) Right 5 (36%)
Wrong 93 (58%) Wrong 34 (55%) Wrong 50 (60%) Wrong 9 (64%)
Avg Odds 2.48 Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 2.61 Avg Odds 2.53
Units Bet 152.8 Units Bet 68.5 Units Bet 71.3 Units Bet 13.0
Avg Bet 0.96 Avg Bet 1.11 Avg Bet 0.85 Avg Bet 0.93
Units Profit 13.21 Units Profit 6.67 Units Profit 10.46 Units Profit -3.92
ROI % 9% ROI % 10% ROI % 15% ROI % -30%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Apr '24 Oktagon 56 4.78 -1.0 -20% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.0 / 1.78 (114%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 3.85 0.9 24% 0.9 / 3.85 (24%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 10.1 0.6 6% 1.5 / 6.5 (23%) -0.9 / 3.6 (-25%)
12th Apr '24 PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 7.73 4.2 54% 0.1 / 4.86 (2%) 4.1 / 2.87 (141%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 4.5 2.0 43% -0.2 / 3 (-6%) 1.3 / 0.5 (265%) 0.8 / 1 (82%)
6th Apr '24 KSW 93 3 1.0 32% 0.2 / 1.5 (13%) 0.8 / 1.5 (50%)
4th Apr '24 PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 8.75 0.4 4% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) 4.1 / 5 (82%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 4 -1.9 -49% -0.4 / 2.5 (-18%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 5.25 -1.6 -31% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (82%)
23rd Mar '24 Oktagon 55 1 0.4 35% 0.9 / 0.5 (170%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 4 1.7 42% 2.4 / 3.25 (75%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 3.75 1.8 47% 3.3 / 2.25 (145%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 KSW 92 4.5 -1.9 -43% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 0.3 / 2.25 (15%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 3.86 -1.2 -30% 1.2 / 1.5 (80%) -2.4 / 2.36 (-100%)
7th Mar '24 PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 6.22 3.9 63% 4.5 / 3.72 (122%) 0.4 / 1.5 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 5.25 -3.6 -68% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.1 / 4.75 (-64%)
2nd Mar '24 Oktagon 54 2.25 -0.3 -13% 0.5 / 1.5 (30%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 1 1.1 115% 1.1 / 1 (115%)
24th Feb '24 KSW Epic 2.75 -0.8 -29% -0.8 / 2.75 (-29%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 4.25 -1.7 -40% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.5 / 1 (154%)
17th Feb '24 KSW 91 3.82 3.9 103% 1.8 / 2.7 (66%) 2.1 / 1.12 (191%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3 0.9 30% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.4 / 1.5 (160%)
10th Feb '24 Oktagon 53 4.75 -2.9 -61% 0.9 / 1 (85%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 6.44 4.3 67% 3.4 / 3 (114%) 0.5 / 3 (16%) 0.4 / 0.44 (100%)
27th Jan '24 Oktagon 52 6 1.8 29% 2.7 / 3.5 (76%) -0.9 / 2.5 (-36%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 3.25 3.2 97% 3.2 / 3.25 (97%)
20th Jan '24 KSW 90 12.5 5.3 42% 7.1 / 10.75 (66%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2.25 1.0 46% 1.0 / 2.25 (46%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 2 -1.3 -63% 0.0 / 0.75 (0%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Sep '23 KSW 86 2.75 0.3 9% 0.3 / 2.75 (9%)
16th Sep '23 Oktagon 46 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Nov '22 Bellator 288 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 2.75 -0.0 -1% -1.1 / 2 (-53%) 1.0 / 0.75 (138%)
12th Nov '22 KSW 76 2.5 1.4 56% 0.9 / 1.9 (46%) 0.5 / 0.6 (88%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Nov '21 ACA 132 1 1.7 170% 1.7 / 1 (170%)


Winning Events: 21 (57%)
Losing Events: 16 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units
Best Event: 5.31 units
Worst Event: -4.50 units
Average Event: 0.36 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 15.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.51

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 134.55 19.6 15% 12.7 / 56.13 (23%) -1.7 / 10.72 (-16%) 18 / 11 (62%) 0.68
2023 6.75 -3.0 -44% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 1 / 2 (33%) -1.00
2022 9.75 -3.1 -32% -4.7 / 8.4 (-56%) 1 / 2 (33%) -1.04
2021 3 -0.3 -10% -0.3 / 3 (-10%) 1 / 1 (50%) -0.15

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 64.4 -1.2 -2% -0.3 / 26.75 (-1%) -0.9 / 32.46 (-3%) 0.0 / 5.19 (1%)
Bellator 8.5 -2.8 -33% -2.1 / 7.75 (-26%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
PFL 27.55 10.5 38% 2.9 / 17.18 (17%) 8.6 / 9.37 (91%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 53.6 6.8 13% 6.1 / 16.85 (36%) 3.6 / 29.97 (12%) -3.0 / 6.78 (-44%)

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 12 (19%) 9 75 % 16.60 4.68 0.39 28%
Slight Underdogs 41 (66%) 18 44 % 46.68 5.54 0.14 12%
Big Underdogs 9 (15%) 1 11 % 5.25 -3.55 -0.39 -68%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (19%) 5 42 % 18.75 0.60 0.05 3%
Co-Main Event 6 (10%) 2 33 % 4.00 0.40 0.07 10%
Position 3-5 15 (24%) 7 47 % 18.45 4.95 0.33 27%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (47%) 14 48 % 27.33 0.72 0.02 3%

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (13%) 3 38 % 7.22 -1.20 -0.15 -17%
Light Heavy 5 (8%) 3 60 % 11.61 -2.60 -0.52 -22%
Middleweight 8 (13%) 2 25 % 8.00 -1.09 -0.14 -14%
Welterweight 8 (13%) 3 38 % 8.50 3.04 0.38 36%
Lightweight 10 (16%) 8 80 % 9.75 6.14 0.61 63%
Featherweight 10 (16%) 6 60 % 12.35 5.99 0.60 48%
Bantamweight 7 (11%) 2 29 % 6.85 -0.46 -0.07 -7%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 5 (8%) 1 20 % 3.75 -2.65 -0.53 -71%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 0 % 1.75 -1.75 -0.88 -100%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.00 0.10 0.05 10%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (62%) 9 69 %
Slight Favorites 3 (14%) 2 67 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (24%) 2 40 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
21 13 62 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (2%) 2 100 %
50-65% 23 (25%) 13 57 %
35-50% 32 (34%) 10 31 %
<35% chance 36 (39%) 12 33 %
93 37 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (5%) 3 60 % 1.56 1.80Pick was correct 1.25Pick was correct -0.3 (-5%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (6%) 3 50 % 1.92 3.45Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -1.0 (-17%)
Goes to Decision 13 (14%) 5 38 % 2.29 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.75Pick was incorrect -1.2 (-9%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (4%) 2 50 % 2.33 4.50Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 2.2 (56%)
Fight Starts Round X 7 (8%) 3 43 % 2.21 3.65Pick was correct 1.70Pick was incorrect 1.4 (20%)
X Wins by KO 4 (4%) 2 50 % 2.29 3.10Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 1.1 (26%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (2%) 0 0 % 8.41 9.00Pick was incorrect 7.90Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (4%) 0 0 % 3.69 4.50Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (12%) 5 45 % 2.83 3.75Pick was correct 1.95Pick was incorrect 3.8 (35%)
Others 37 (40%) 14 38 % 2.62 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.68Pick was incorrect 0.6 (2%)
93 37 40 % 2.45     0.6 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dynamiczny Wariacik's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Nov ACA 132 1 1.7 170% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,017.00
20th Nov UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% $10.17 $1,017.00 $996.66
12th Nov KSW 76 2.5 1.4 56% $9.97 $996.66 $1,010.56
12th Nov UFC 281 2.75 -0.0 -1% $10.11 $1,010.56 $1,010.41
18th Nov Bellator 288 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10.10 $1,010.41 $964.94
16th Sep Oktagon 46 2 -2.0 -100% $5 $9.65 $964.94 $940.64
16th Sep KSW 86 2.75 0.3 9% $9.41 $940.64 $943.00
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 2 -1.3 -63% $9.43 $943.00 $931.21
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2.25 1.0 46% $9.31 $931.21 $940.78
20th Jan KSW 90 12.5 5.3 42% $9.41 $940.78 $990.75
20th Jan UFC 297 3.25 3.2 97% $9.91 $990.75 $1,021.96
27th Jan Oktagon 52 6 1.8 29% $10.22 $1,021.96 $1,039.92
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 6.44 4.3 67% $10.40 $1,039.92 $1,085.05
10th Feb Oktagon 53 4.75 -2.9 -61% $10.85 $1,085.05 $1,053.59
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3 0.9 30% $10.54 $1,053.59 $1,063.07
17th Feb KSW 91 3.82 3.9 103% $10.63 $1,063.07 $1,104.82
17th Feb UFC 298 4.25 -1.7 -40% $11.05 $1,104.82 $1,085.90
24th Feb KSW Epic 2.75 -0.8 -29% $10.86 $1,085.90 $1,077.21
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 1 1.1 115% $10.77 $1,077.21 $1,089.60
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 1.75 -1.8 -100% $10.90 $1,089.60 $1,070.53
2nd Mar Oktagon 54 2.25 -0.3 -13% $10.71 $1,070.53 $1,067.32
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 5.25 -3.6 -68% $10.67 $1,067.32 $1,029.43
7th Mar PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 6.22 3.9 63% $10.29 $1,029.43 $1,069.58
9th Mar UFC 299 3.86 -1.2 -30% $10.70 $1,069.58 $1,057.17
16th Mar KSW 92 4.5 -1.9 -43% $10.57 $1,057.17 $1,036.87
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 3.75 1.8 47% $10.37 $1,036.87 $1,055.23
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 4 1.7 42% $10.55 $1,055.23 $1,073.14
23rd Mar Oktagon 55 1 0.4 35% $10.73 $1,073.14 $1,076.90
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 5.25 -1.6 -31% $10.77 $1,076.90 $1,059.50
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 4 -1.9 -49% $10.60 $1,059.50 $1,038.84
4th Apr PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 8.75 0.4 4% $10.39 $1,038.84 $1,042.74
6th Apr KSW 93 3 1.0 32% $10.43 $1,042.74 $1,052.65
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 4.5 2.0 43% $10.53 $1,052.65 $1,073.23
12th Apr PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 7.73 4.2 54% $10.73 $1,073.23 $1,117.88
13th Apr UFC 300 10.1 0.6 6% $11.18 $1,117.88 $1,124.87
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 3.85 0.9 24% $11.25 $1,124.87 $1,135.10
20th Apr Oktagon 56 4.78 -1.0 -20% $11.35 $1,135.10 $1,124.10


ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.41% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Adam Borics Enrique Barzola 1.67 2.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Brent Primus Bruno Miranda 1.90 1 Sub, R2 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.74 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.45 1.5 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov Jakob Nedoh 2.25 1.36 TKO, R1 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.25 1.25 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Wilson Varela Marian Ziolkowski 3.40 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Arijan Topallaj Karol Rysavy 2.70 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Luke Trainer Grant Neal 2.13 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Fabian Edwards Aaron Jeffery 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.52 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Christian Rodriguez Isaac Dulgarian 2.42 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.70 1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Baissangour Chamsoudinov Cedric Doumbe 2.75 3 TKO, R3 (1:21) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Mochamed Machaev Makwan Amirkhani 1.95 1 TKO, R3 (0:6) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Renan Ferreira Ryan Bader 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Mariusz Joniak Tobiasz Le 2.30 1.95 TKO, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Gjoni Palokaj Jaroslav Pokorny 1.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Jamal Pogues Thomas Petersen 2.35 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Marquel Mederos Landon Quiñones 1.72 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Brennan Ward Don Madge 2.33 1 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.75 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Calvin Kattar Aljamain Sterling 2.35 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Sadibou Sy Joshua Silveira 1.75 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:14) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Chris Curtis Brendan Allen 2.65 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.20 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Nicolae Bivol El Hadji Ndiaye 2.60 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Chelsea Hackett Jena Bishop 3.05 0.5 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Steve Mowry Oleg Popov 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Blagoy Ivanov Sergey Billostenniy 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Ante Delija Valentin Moldavsky 2.30 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.95 0.75 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Mohammed Usman Michael Parkin 2.20 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.30 0.75 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Jeremy Kennedy Patricio Freire 2.30 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Adrian Zielinski Wiktor Zalewski 2.95 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Marius Zaromskis Maciej Jewtuszko 2.35 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Zuriko Jojua Jakub Wiklacz 3.20 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 2.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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