MMA Handicapper Stats: The Norseman Bet |
|
The Norseman Bet : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
10th Jun '23 |
UFC 289 |
8 |
7.4 |
93% |
4.0 / 3 (132%) |
3.5 / 5 (69%) |
|
18th Mar '23 |
UFC 286 |
12.5 |
5.2 |
42% |
5.2 / 10 (52%) |
0.0 / 2.5 (0%) |
|
12th Nov '22 |
UFC 281 |
19 |
0.3 |
1% |
-4.2 / 13 (-32%) |
4.4 / 6 (73%) |
|
22nd Oct '22 |
UFC 280 |
27 |
-12.5 |
-46% |
-4.5 / 14 (-32%) |
-4.0 / 9 (-44%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
20th Aug '22 |
UFC 278 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
|
23rd Jul '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
11 |
-4.0 |
-36% |
-3.0 / 6 (-50%) |
-1.0 / 5 (-20%) |
|
11th Jun '22 |
UFC 275 |
17 |
-1.8 |
-10% |
2.9 / 7.5 (39%) |
-1.2 / 6 (-20%) |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
4th Jun '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
9.5 |
-9.5 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
21st May '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
14.5 |
8.9 |
61% |
0.9 / 4 (23%) |
4.7 / 7 (66%) |
3.4 / 3.5 (96%) |
14th May '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
8 |
3.1 |
39% |
1.6 / 3 (54%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.5 / 4 (62%) |
7th May '22 |
UFC 274 |
24.5 |
13.1 |
53% |
9.8 / 9.5 (103%) |
1.0 / 11 (9%) |
2.2 / 4 (56%) |
16th Apr '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
9th Apr '22 |
UFC 273 |
16.5 |
0.4 |
2% |
|
-2.2 / 12.5 (-17%) |
2.6 / 4 (64%) |
12th Mar '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
3.5 |
2.1 |
61% |
2.1 / 3.5 (61%) |
|
|
5th Mar '22 |
UFC 272 |
24.5 |
2.3 |
9% |
0.6 / 13.5 (4%) |
-0.5 / 7.5 (-6%) |
2.2 / 3.5 (63%) |
19th Feb '22 |
Bellator 274 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
|
12th Feb '22 |
UFC 271 |
23 |
3.5 |
15% |
1.9 / 8 (24%) |
-3.4 / 8.5 (-40%) |
5.0 / 6.5 (77%) |
28th Jan '22 |
EFC 44 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
22nd Jan '22 |
UFC 270 |
23 |
12.3 |
53% |
8.2 / 10 (82%) |
1.7 / 9.5 (18%) |
2.3 / 3.5 (67%) |
15th Jan '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
6.3 |
57% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
6.1 / 5 (122%) |
2.7 / 3.5 (76%) |
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
14.5 |
7.3 |
50% |
1.9 / 3 (65%) |
9.8 / 7 (140%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
16 |
-4.0 |
-25% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
-0.4 / 5.5 (-7%) |
-0.1 / 7 (-2%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
24.75 |
-1.5 |
-6% |
0.4 / 6.5 (6%) |
-4.8 / 14.25 (-34%) |
2.9 / 4 (73%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
10.0 |
91% |
10.0 / 11 (91%) |
|
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
13 |
3.5 |
27% |
|
-2.4 / 8 (-31%) |
5.9 / 5 (118%) |
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
5.5 |
1.3 |
23% |
2.8 / 4 (69%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
20.5 |
-2.8 |
-14% |
-1.3 / 7.5 (-17%) |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
4.9 / 6.5 (76%) |
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
25.5 |
-14.8 |
-58% |
-15.0 / 20.5 (-73%) |
0.2 / 5 (4%) |
|
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
5 |
6.1 |
121% |
2.2 / 3.5 (62%) |
3.9 / 1.5 (260%) |
|
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
34.5 |
-14.2 |
-41% |
-0.5 / 5.5 (-9%) |
0.0 / 9 (1%) |
-13.8 / 20 (-69%) |
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
24 |
0.3 |
1% |
-2.8 / 8 (-35%) |
-1.1 / 4.5 (-24%) |
4.2 / 11.5 (36%) |
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
20.5 |
1.5 |
7% |
-1.4 / 7 (-20%) |
-1.5 / 3.5 (-43%) |
4.3 / 10 (43%) |
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
15.5 |
-5.4 |
-35% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
2.8 / 2.5 (110%) |
-3.6 / 8.5 (-43%) |
20th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
20.5 |
-1.7 |
-8% |
-1.3 / 7.5 (-17%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
0.0 / 12.5 (0%) |
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
7 |
-2.4 |
-35% |
|
|
-2.4 / 7 (-35%) |
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
30.5 |
-5.9 |
-19% |
5.1 / 5.5 (93%) |
0.8 / 6 (14%) |
-11.8 / 19 (-62%) |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
15.5 |
2.0 |
13% |
3.4 / 2.5 (137%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
0.1 / 11.5 (1%) |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
6.5 |
12.0 |
184% |
3.0 / 2.5 (120%) |
5.0 / 1 (500%) |
4.0 / 3 (132%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
31 |
-4.7 |
-15% |
2.5 / 9.5 (27%) |
-8.2 / 16.5 (-50%) |
1.0 / 5 (21%) |
Winning Events: 21 (50%) Losing Events: 21 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.71 units Most Staked On One Event: 34.50 units Best Event: 13.08 units Worst Event: -14.81 units Average Event: -0.01 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.10 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -30.22 |
The Norseman Bet : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
20.5 |
12.7 |
62% |
9.2 / 13 (71%) |
|
|
2 / (100%) |
6.34 |
2022 |
236 |
3.2 |
1% |
-0.6 / 109 (-1%) |
|
5.2 / 44 (12%) |
9 / 9 (50%) |
0.18 |
2021 |
361.25 |
-16.3 |
-5% |
-5.3 / 118.5 (-5%) |
|
-11.1 / 143.5 (-8%) |
10 / 12 (45%) |
-0.74 |
|
The Norseman Bet : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
The Norseman Bet : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
611.25 |
6.1 |
1% |
9.8 / 234 (4%) |
2.2 / 189.75 (1%) |
-6.0 / 187.5 (-3%) |
Bellator |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
|
Other |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
|
The Norseman Bet : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.50 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-31% |
Slight Favorites |
40 (44%) |
25 |
63 % |
121.50 |
2.76 |
0.07 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
32 (35%) |
13 |
41 % |
75.00 |
-2.66 |
-0.08 |
-4% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (19%) |
6 |
35 % |
37.50 |
5.21 |
0.31 |
14% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (12%) |
2 |
18 % |
32.00 |
-21.73 |
-1.98 |
-68% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (16%) |
8 |
53 % |
43.00 |
15.23 |
1.02 |
35% |
Position 3-5 |
23 (25%) |
13 |
57 % |
54.00 |
8.41 |
0.37 |
16% |
6+ (Undercard) |
42 (46%) |
22 |
52 % |
111.50 |
1.40 |
0.03 |
1% |
|
The Norseman Bet : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
11.50 |
-6.31 |
-1.58 |
-55% |
Light Heavy |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
10.50 |
-5.67 |
-1.42 |
-54% |
Middleweight |
9 (10%) |
4 |
44 % |
24.00 |
-4.05 |
-0.45 |
-17% |
Welterweight |
11 (12%) |
4 |
36 % |
28.50 |
-8.15 |
-0.74 |
-29% |
Lightweight |
21 (23%) |
10 |
48 % |
66.50 |
-1.62 |
-0.08 |
-2% |
Featherweight |
10 (11%) |
5 |
50 % |
25.50 |
1.16 |
0.12 |
5% |
Bantamweight |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
12.50 |
3.81 |
0.76 |
30% |
Flyweight |
5 (5%) |
4 |
80 % |
9.50 |
10.38 |
2.08 |
109% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
22 (24%) |
13 |
59 % |
52.00 |
13.76 |
0.63 |
26% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
9.00 |
3.33 |
1.11 |
37% |
Flyweight |
7 (8%) |
2 |
29 % |
17.50 |
-7.42 |
-1.06 |
-42% |
Strawweight |
11 (12%) |
9 |
82 % |
25.00 |
18.35 |
1.67 |
73% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
57 (92%) |
40 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
5 (8%) |
4 |
80 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
62 |
44 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
50 (30%) |
38 |
76 % |
50-65% |
29 (17%) |
19 |
66 % |
35-50% |
30 (18%) |
9 |
30 % |
<35% chance |
58 (35%) |
12 |
21 % |
|
167 |
78 |
47 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Norseman Bet 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Norseman Bet : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jun '23 |
Charles Oliveira |
Beneil Dariush |
2.32 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '23 |
Justin Gaethje |
Rafael Fiziev |
3.05 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '22 |
Renato Moicano |
Brad Riddell |
1.83 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:20) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.71 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '22 |
Aljamain Sterling |
T.J. Dillashaw |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '22 |
Manon Fiorot |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Hermansson |
Chris Curtis |
2.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Jun '22 |
Weili Zhang |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
1.66 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:28) |
|
|
9. |
Jun '22 |
Jake Matthews |
Andre Fialho |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:24) |
|
|
10. |
Jun '22 |
Weili Zhang |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
1.66 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:28) |
|
|
11. |
May '22 |
Sam Hughes |
Elise Reed |
2.45 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (3:52) |
|
|
12. |
May '22 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Angela Hill |
1.54 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
May '22 |
Carla Esparza |
Rose Namajunas |
2.98 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
May '22 |
Lupita Godinez |
Ariane Carnelossi |
1.59 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
May '22 |
Charles Oliveira |
Justin Gaethje |
1.61 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:22) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Bruno Silva |
1.61 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '22 |
Tim Elliott |
Tagir Ulanbekov |
3.05 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '22 |
Tim Elliott |
Tagir Ulanbekov |
3.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Renato Moicano |
1.61 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '22 |
Jared Cannonier |
Derek Brunson |
1.69 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:29) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '23 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Justin Gaethje |
3.00 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '22 |
Carla Esparza |
Weili Zhang |
4.10 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:5) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '22 |
Dominick Reyes |
Ryan Spann |
1.48 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '22 |
Nick Negumereanu |
Carlos Ulberg |
2.16 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '22 |
Molly McCann |
Erin Blanchfield |
4.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '22 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Beneil Dariush |
1.54 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Aldo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.20 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '22 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.80 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '22 |
Charles Oliveira |
Islam Makhachev |
2.90 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jun '22 |
Glover Teixeira |
Jiri Prochazka |
2.90 |
2 |
Sub, R5 (4:32) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jun '22 |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Jeff Molina |
2.65 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jul '22 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Paddy Pimblett |
4.20 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
13. |
May '22 |
Polyana Viana |
Tabatha Ricci |
2.12 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '22 |
Vicente Luque |
Belal Muhammad |
1.61 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '22 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Jalin Turner |
2.38 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:46) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '22 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Colby Covington |
3.75 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '22 |
Mariya Agapova |
Maryna Moroz |
1.54 |
3.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:27) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Feb '22 |
Neiman Gracie |
Logan Storley |
1.62 |
3.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '22 |
Robert Whittaker |
Israel Adesanya |
3.40 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jan '22 |
Tyrone Spong |
Sergei Kharitonov |
1.59 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:55) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Norseman Bet : Progress Chart |
|