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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Norseman Bet

The Norseman Bet (TheNorsemanBet)


MMA MHandicapper - The Norseman Bet

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (38%) Right 8 (50%) Right 5 (24%) Right 11 (41%)
Wrong 40 (63%) Wrong 8 (50%) Wrong 16 (76%) Wrong 16 (59%)
Avg Odds 2.62 Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 3.84 Avg Odds 2.27
Units Bet 147.0 Units Bet 39.0 Units Bet 31.5 Units Bet 76.5
Avg Bet 2.30 Avg Bet 2.44 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 2.83
Units Profit -4.59 Units Profit 6.95 Units Profit -3.17 Units Profit -8.38
ROI % -3% ROI % 18% ROI % -10% ROI % -11%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Norseman Bet : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 20.5 1.5 7% -1.4 / 7 (-20%) -1.5 / 3.5 (-43%) 4.3 / 10 (43%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 15.5 -5.4 -35% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 2.8 / 2.5 (110%) -3.6 / 8.5 (-43%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 20.5 -1.7 -8% -1.3 / 7.5 (-17%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.0 / 12.5 (0%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 7 -2.4 -35% -2.4 / 7 (-35%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 30.5 -5.9 -19% 5.1 / 5.5 (93%) 0.8 / 6 (14%) -11.8 / 19 (-62%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 15.5 2.0 13% 3.4 / 2.5 (137%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.1 / 11.5 (1%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6.5 12.0 184% 3.0 / 2.5 (120%) 5.0 / 1 (500%) 4.0 / 3 (132%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 31 -4.7 -15% 2.5 / 9.5 (27%) -8.2 / 16.5 (-50%) 1.0 / 5 (21%)


Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.00 units
Best Event: 11.97 units
Worst Event: -5.88 units
Average Event: -0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 13.97
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.36

The Norseman Bet : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 147 -4.6 -3% 7.0 / 39 (18%) -8.4 / 76.5 (-11%) 3 / 5 (38%) -0.57

The Norseman Bet : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Norseman Bet : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 147 -4.6 -3% 7.0 / 39 (18%) -3.2 / 31.5 (-10%) -8.4 / 76.5 (-11%)

The Norseman Bet : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 3 (19%) 1 33 % 9.50 -3.92 -1.31 -41%
Slight Underdogs 12 (75%) 7 58 % 29.00 11.37 0.95 39%
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (13%) 1 50 % 5.50 0.75 0.38 14%
Co-Main Event 3 (19%) 1 33 % 6.50 -0.87 -0.29 -13%
Position 3-5 4 (25%) 2 50 % 9.50 2.01 0.50 21%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (44%) 4 57 % 17.50 5.07 0.72 29%

The Norseman Bet : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (6%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Middleweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 5.50 0.75 0.38 14%
Welterweight 1 (6%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%
Lightweight 2 (13%) 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -2.75 -100%
Featherweight 3 (19%) 2 67 % 7.00 4.13 1.38 59%
Bantamweight 2 (13%) 2 100 % 5.00 6.30 3.15 126%
Flyweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.50 2.75 2.75 110%
               
Women's Fights 4 (25%) 2 50 % 8.00 4.03 1.01 50%
Featherweight 1 (6%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.45 3.45 115%
Flyweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 4.50 1.08 0.54 24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 23 (82%) 14 61 %
Slight Favorites 5 (18%) 4 80 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
28 18 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 21 (41%) 17 81 %
50-65% 7 (14%) 3 43 %
35-50% 5 (10%) 1 20 %
<35% chance 18 (35%) 3 17 %
51 24 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 18 (35%) 14 78 % 1.37 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.16Pick was correct 0.4 (2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.20 1.20Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 0.2 (20%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (10%) 3 60 % 1.47 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.7 (-14%)
X Wins by KO 10 (20%) 3 30 % 2.87 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.9 (19%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (10%) 1 20 % 6.28 12.40Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was correct -1.0 (-20%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (10%) 0 0 % 3.57 14.30Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (6%) 2 67 % 2.08 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.58Pick was correct 0.5 (18%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (6%) 0 0 % 5.08 11.00Pick was incorrect 3.60Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
51 24 47 % 2.01     -7.7 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Norseman Bet 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Jan UFC 257 31 -4.7 -15% $3.5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $949.80
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6.5 12.0 184% $3.5 $9.50 $949.80 $1,060.01
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 15.5 2.0 13% $3.5 $10.60 $1,060.01 $1,077.73
6th Mar UFC 259 30.5 -5.9 -19% $3.5 $10.78 $1,077.73 $1,010.84
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 7 -2.4 -35% $3.5 $10.11 $1,010.84 $982.93
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 20.5 -1.7 -8% $3.5 $9.83 $982.93 $962.72
28th Mar UFC 260 15.5 -5.4 -35% $3.5 $9.63 $962.72 $907.57
10th Apr UFC FN 20.5 1.5 7% $3.5 $9.08 $907.57 $917.37


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Norseman Bet : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Paid Pick Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff 2.25 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Kevin Holland 2.50 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Paid Pick Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney 2.15 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.10 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Jimmie Rivera 2.37 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Paid Pick Jared Gordon Danny Chavez 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Joanne Calderwood Jessica Eye 1.86 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Julianna Pena Sara McMann 2.15 3 Sub, R3 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jordan Griffin Luis Saldana 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Paid Pick Mike Perry Daniel Rodriguez 2.25 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Miranda Maverick 2.40 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.10 3 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Paid Pick Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson 2.75 2 TKO, R3 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Paid Pick Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Paid Pick Megan Anderson Amanda Nunes 8.50 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.73 3.5 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Norseman Bet : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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