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MMA Handicapper Stats: Sugar MMA |
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Sugar MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (56%) Losing Events: 12 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.78 units Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units Best Event: 10.51 units Worst Event: -12.00 units Average Event: 0.48 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.00 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.06 |
Sugar MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
32 |
-9.3 |
-29% |
-9.3 / 32 (-29%) |
|
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
-3.09 |
2022 |
18 |
-8.0 |
-45% |
-8.0 / 18 (-45%) |
|
|
/ 2 (0%) |
-4.02 |
2021 |
241 |
30.2 |
13% |
30.2 / 241 (13%) |
|
|
14 / 8 (64%) |
1.37 |
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Sugar MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Sugar MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
280 |
8.3 |
3% |
8.3 / 280 (3%) |
|
|
Bellator |
11 |
4.6 |
41% |
4.6 / 11 (41%) |
|
|
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Sugar MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
48 (51%) |
37 |
77 % |
174.00 |
8.20 |
0.17 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
36 (38%) |
23 |
64 % |
101.00 |
2.12 |
0.06 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (7%) |
4 |
57 % |
12.75 |
2.72 |
0.39 |
21% |
Big Underdogs |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
3.25 |
-0.20 |
-0.05 |
-6% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (12%) |
8 |
73 % |
32.75 |
5.54 |
0.50 |
17% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (9%) |
6 |
67 % |
26.75 |
0.81 |
0.09 |
3% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (15%) |
7 |
50 % |
40.75 |
-8.34 |
-0.60 |
-20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
61 (64%) |
44 |
72 % |
190.75 |
14.83 |
0.24 |
8% |
|
Sugar MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (11%) |
8 |
80 % |
22.75 |
8.46 |
0.85 |
37% |
Light Heavy |
7 (7%) |
2 |
29 % |
22.75 |
-11.69 |
-1.67 |
-51% |
Middleweight |
8 (8%) |
5 |
63 % |
22.00 |
2.55 |
0.32 |
12% |
Welterweight |
14 (15%) |
10 |
71 % |
46.50 |
6.15 |
0.44 |
13% |
Lightweight |
12 (13%) |
8 |
67 % |
39.50 |
-1.63 |
-0.14 |
-4% |
Featherweight |
10 (11%) |
8 |
80 % |
29.00 |
1.67 |
0.17 |
6% |
Bantamweight |
8 (8%) |
7 |
88 % |
24.00 |
6.92 |
0.86 |
29% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
8.00 |
4.57 |
1.52 |
57% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
23 (24%) |
14 |
61 % |
76.50 |
-4.16 |
-0.18 |
-5% |
Bantamweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
23.00 |
-2.65 |
-0.44 |
-12% |
Flyweight |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
29.50 |
-8.12 |
-0.90 |
-28% |
Strawweight |
8 (8%) |
6 |
75 % |
24.00 |
6.61 |
0.83 |
28% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Sugar MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
8 |
4.0 |
50% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,039.60 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
13 |
3.2 |
25% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.60 |
$1,073.16 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
8 |
-3.8 |
-48% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.16 |
$1,032.38 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
13 |
4.3 |
33% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,032.38 |
$1,077.08 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
16 |
8.9 |
56% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.08 |
$1,173.05 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
7 |
0.5 |
6% |
$5 |
$11.73 |
$1,173.05 |
$1,173.33 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
6 |
2.3 |
38% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,173.33 |
$1,200.43 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
22 |
-2.4 |
-11% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,200.43 |
$1,172.10 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
17 |
1.0 |
6% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,172.10 |
$1,183.59 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
9 |
5.4 |
60% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,183.59 |
$1,247.15 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
6 |
-1.2 |
-20% |
|
$12.47 |
$1,247.15 |
$1,232.56 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
10 |
2.4 |
24% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,232.56 |
$1,262.14 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
5 |
-1.5 |
-30% |
|
$12.62 |
$1,262.14 |
$1,242.89 |
19th Jun |
UFC FN |
8 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,242.89 |
$1,243.01 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
21 |
10.5 |
50% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,243.01 |
$1,373.65 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
12 |
-2.6 |
-22% |
|
$13.74 |
$1,373.65 |
$1,337.80 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
3 |
1.0 |
33% |
|
$13.38 |
$1,337.80 |
$1,351.05 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
10 |
-3.5 |
-35% |
|
$13.51 |
$1,351.05 |
$1,303.08 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
12 |
-3.6 |
-30% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,303.08 |
$1,255.52 |
31st Jul |
Bellator 263 |
11 |
4.6 |
41% |
|
$12.56 |
$1,255.52 |
$1,312.77 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
11 |
-0.7 |
-6% |
|
$13.13 |
$1,312.77 |
$1,303.85 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
13 |
1.5 |
12% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,303.85 |
$1,323.40 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
9 |
-2.4 |
-26% |
|
$13.23 |
$1,323.40 |
$1,291.84 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
9 |
-5.7 |
-63% |
|
$12.92 |
$1,291.84 |
$1,218.72 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
8 |
3.8 |
47% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,218.72 |
$1,264.79 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
12 |
-1.1 |
-9% |
|
$12.65 |
$1,264.79 |
$1,251.38 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.51 |
$1,251.38 |
$1,101.22 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Sugar MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jul '23 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov |
Kevin Lee |
1.50 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (0:55) |
|
|
2. |
Jul '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
1.72 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:20) |
|
|
3. |
Jun '23 |
Jim Miller |
Jesse Butler |
1.42 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:23) |
|
|
4. |
Jun '23 |
Alex Caceres |
Daniel Pineda |
1.56 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.67 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
6. |
Aug '22 |
Geoff Neal |
Vicente Luque |
2.70 |
0.75 |
TKO, R3 (2:1) |
|
|
7. |
Aug '22 |
Cory McKenna |
Miranda Granger |
1.53 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:3) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '21 |
Sean Woodson |
Collin Anglin |
1.32 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:30) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '21 |
Cortney Casey |
Liana Jojua |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Nov '21 |
Yadong Song |
Julio Arce |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
11. |
Aug '21 |
Jared Cannonier |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.77 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '21 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Brandon Royval |
1.67 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:46) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '21 |
Cheyanne Buys |
Gloria de Paula |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:0) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '21 |
Gadzhi Rabadanov |
Daniel Carey |
1.15 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:57) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '21 |
Vanessa Porto |
Ilara Joanne |
1.36 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '21 |
Brian Moore |
Jordan Winski |
1.91 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '21 |
Sijara Eubanks |
Elise Reed |
1.29 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '21 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Preston Parsons |
1.33 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:47) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '21 |
Brad Tavares |
Omari Akhmedov |
1.65 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '21 |
Ilia Topuria |
Ryan Hall |
1.48 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Ariane Lipski |
1.54 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Josh Emmett |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '23 |
Colby Covington |
Leon Edwards |
2.40 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jul '23 |
Ivana Petrovic |
Luana Carolina |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '22 |
Dominick Reyes |
Ryan Spann |
1.49 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '22 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Mike Trizano |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '22 |
Augusto Sakai |
Sergey Spivak |
4.00 |
0.75 |
TKO, R2 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '22 |
Thiago Santos |
Jamahal Hill |
3.60 |
0.75 |
TKO, R4 (2:31) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Aug '22 |
Takashi Sato |
Bryan Battle |
3.60 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Aug '22 |
Stephanie Egger |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.87 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Nov '21 |
Marc Diakiese |
Rafael Alves |
1.50 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:48) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '21 |
Roosevelt Roberts |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
1.69 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jul '21 |
Ashley Yoder |
Jinh Yu Frey |
1.68 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '21 |
Bryan Barberena |
Jason Witt |
1.44 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '21 |
Kyler Phillips |
Raulian Paiva |
1.38 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '21 |
Yana Santos |
Irene Aldana |
1.93 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:35) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '21 |
Stephen Thompson |
Gilbert Burns |
1.69 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jun '21 |
Lara Fritzen Procopio |
Casey O'Neill |
1.62 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (2:54) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jun '21 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Claudio Puelles |
1.50 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '21 |
Kyle Daukaus |
Phil Hawes |
1.82 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Sugar MMA: Progress Chart |
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