| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: River Don |
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|
River Don: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 38 (44%)
Losing Events: 49 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 46.61 units
Best Event: 23.25 units
Worst Event: -32.21 units
Average Event: -0.65 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 25.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -85.89 |
River Don: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
75.81 |
-58.0 |
-77% |
-58.4 / 74.61 (-78%) |
|
0.5 / 1 (54%) |
/ 4 (0%) |
-14.51 |
| 2023 |
613.99 |
18.6 |
3% |
-15.5 / 436.99 (-4%) |
|
5.8 / 48.2 (12%) |
37 / 41 (47%) |
0.24 |
| 2022 |
35.6 |
-14.9 |
-42% |
-5.8 / 26.5 (-22%) |
|
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
1 / 2 (33%) |
-4.97 |
| 2021 |
7 |
-2.6 |
-37% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 2 (0%) |
-1.30 |
|
River Don: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
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|
River Don: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
387.72 |
0.6 |
0% |
-20.3 / 246.22 (-8%) |
14.2 / 94.8 (15%) |
6.8 / 46.7 (15%) |
|
Bellator |
43 |
18.9 |
44% |
2.6 / 27.5 (10%) |
15.2 / 14.5 (105%) |
1.1 / 1 (106%) |
|
PFL |
18 |
-3.5 |
-20% |
-2.5 / 17 (-15%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| Other |
283.68 |
-72.9 |
-26% |
-64.4 / 252.38 (-26%) |
-0.0 / 22.8 (-0%) |
-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%) |
|
River Don: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
49 (16%) |
34 |
69 % |
127.17 |
-14.61 |
-0.30 |
-11% |
| Slight Favorites |
55 (18%) |
34 |
62 % |
120.56 |
-14.21 |
-0.26 |
-12% |
| Slight Underdogs |
111 (37%) |
44 |
40 % |
191.77 |
-47.75 |
-0.43 |
-25% |
| Big Underdogs |
88 (29%) |
26 |
30 % |
103.60 |
-8.07 |
-0.09 |
-8% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
48 (16%) |
22 |
46 % |
105.15 |
-11.08 |
-0.23 |
-11% |
| Co-Main Event |
37 (12%) |
16 |
43 % |
74.92 |
-26.96 |
-0.73 |
-36% |
| Position 3-5 |
99 (33%) |
39 |
39 % |
162.51 |
-49.22 |
-0.50 |
-30% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
119 (39%) |
61 |
51 % |
200.52 |
2.62 |
0.02 |
1% |
|
River Don: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
18 (6%) |
9 |
50 % |
26.50 |
0.07 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Light Heavy |
20 (7%) |
11 |
55 % |
46.07 |
1.63 |
0.08 |
4% |
| Middleweight |
31 (10%) |
13 |
42 % |
67.75 |
-22.93 |
-0.74 |
-34% |
| Welterweight |
40 (13%) |
17 |
43 % |
93.20 |
-35.23 |
-0.88 |
-38% |
| Lightweight |
55 (18%) |
25 |
45 % |
87.18 |
-13.93 |
-0.25 |
-16% |
| Featherweight |
36 (12%) |
16 |
44 % |
65.12 |
-7.64 |
-0.21 |
-12% |
| Bantamweight |
31 (10%) |
10 |
32 % |
47.04 |
-18.27 |
-0.59 |
-39% |
| Flyweight |
14 (5%) |
7 |
50 % |
25.41 |
8.15 |
0.58 |
32% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
58 (19%) |
30 |
52 % |
84.83 |
3.50 |
0.06 |
4% |
| Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
8 (3%) |
4 |
50 % |
9.36 |
3.09 |
0.39 |
33% |
| Flyweight |
26 (9%) |
14 |
54 % |
31.87 |
10.83 |
0.42 |
34% |
| Strawweight |
22 (7%) |
12 |
55 % |
40.60 |
-7.43 |
-0.34 |
-18% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
39 (36%) |
30 |
77 % |
| Slight Favorites |
29 (27%) |
14 |
48 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
29 (27%) |
12 |
41 % |
| Big Underdogs |
11 (10%) |
3 |
27 % |
|
108 |
59 |
55 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (5%) |
3 |
75 % |
| 50-65% |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
| 35-50% |
23 (31%) |
10 |
43 % |
| <35% chance |
43 (58%) |
6 |
14 % |
|
74 |
21 |
28 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail River Don's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 16th Jan |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$980.00 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
5 |
-0.6 |
-12% |
|
$9.80 |
$980.00 |
$974.12 |
| 12th Nov |
KSW 76 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.12 |
$915.67 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
16.6 |
4.1 |
25% |
|
$9.16 |
$915.67 |
$953.12 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.12 |
$829.22 |
| 6th Jan |
LFA 149 |
10 |
2.0 |
20% |
|
$8.29 |
$829.22 |
$845.80 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
15 |
23.3 |
155% |
|
$8.46 |
$845.80 |
$1,042.45 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
46 |
-5.5 |
-12% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,042.45 |
$985.25 |
| 27th Jan |
ACA 151 |
5 |
1.5 |
30% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.25 |
$1,000.02 |
| 28th Jan |
LFA 151 |
43 |
3.9 |
9% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.02 |
$1,039.03 |
| 4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
17 |
10.6 |
62% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.03 |
$1,149.16 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
8 |
-4.1 |
-51% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.16 |
$1,102.04 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
15.5 |
11.9 |
77% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.04 |
$1,232.97 |
| 17th Feb |
Ares FC 12 |
5 |
-1.6 |
-31% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,232.97 |
$1,213.61 |
| 17th Feb |
LFA 153 |
4.5 |
0.6 |
14% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,213.61 |
$1,221.38 |
| 17th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series: Week 4 |
6 |
-3.4 |
-56% |
|
$12.21 |
$1,221.38 |
$1,180.22 |
| 17th Feb |
Fury FC 75 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,180.22 |
$1,162.51 |
| 18th Feb |
Brave CF 69 |
6.5 |
0.3 |
5% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,162.51 |
$1,166.00 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
7 |
2.6 |
38% |
|
$11.66 |
$1,166.00 |
$1,196.78 |
| 24th Feb |
One on Prime 7 |
6 |
2.2 |
37% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.78 |
$1,223.11 |
| 24th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series: Week 5 |
4 |
0.3 |
8% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,223.11 |
$1,227.15 |
| 25th Feb |
ACA 152 |
1 |
0.7 |
66% |
|
$12.27 |
$1,227.15 |
$1,235.25 |
| 25th Feb |
FCR 15 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,235.25 |
$1,222.89 |
| 25th Feb |
KSW 79 |
6 |
3.7 |
62% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,222.89 |
$1,268.63 |
| 25th Feb |
Bellator 291 |
8.5 |
-6.1 |
-72% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.63 |
$1,190.61 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
9 |
11.6 |
128% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.61 |
$1,328.13 |
| 2nd Mar |
EFC 101 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.28 |
$1,328.13 |
$1,308.20 |
| 3rd Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6 |
1 |
1.6 |
165% |
|
$13.08 |
$1,308.20 |
$1,329.79 |
| 3rd Mar |
Cage Warriors 149 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
33% |
|
$13.30 |
$1,329.79 |
$1,336.44 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11 |
-1.4 |
-12% |
|
$13.36 |
$1,336.44 |
$1,318.13 |
| 9th Mar |
ACA 153 |
1 |
1.1 |
110% |
|
$13.18 |
$1,318.13 |
$1,332.63 |
| 9th Mar |
Ares FC 13 |
2 |
1.3 |
64% |
|
$13.33 |
$1,332.63 |
$1,349.69 |
| 10th Mar |
Bellator 292 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
|
$13.50 |
$1,349.69 |
$1,346.85 |
| 10th Mar |
LFA 154 |
1.8 |
-0.1 |
-8% |
|
$13.47 |
$1,346.85 |
$1,344.97 |
| 10th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.45 |
$1,344.97 |
$1,318.07 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
12 |
18.3 |
152% |
|
$13.18 |
$1,318.07 |
$1,558.62 |
| 15th Mar |
Centurion FC |
6.1 |
-6.1 |
-100% |
|
$15.59 |
$1,558.62 |
$1,463.54 |
| 15th Mar |
Invicta FC 52 |
9.16 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
|
$14.64 |
$1,463.54 |
$1,456.82 |
| 17th Mar |
ACA 154 |
6.54 |
-3.2 |
-50% |
|
$14.57 |
$1,456.82 |
$1,409.62 |
| 17th Mar |
KSW 80 |
6.15 |
2.3 |
37% |
|
$14.10 |
$1,409.62 |
$1,441.44 |
| 17th Mar |
Cage Warriors 150 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$14.41 |
$1,441.44 |
$1,430.63 |
| 17th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8 |
3 |
1.9 |
62% |
|
$14.31 |
$1,430.63 |
$1,457.24 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
24.09 |
-4.7 |
-20% |
|
$14.57 |
$1,457.24 |
$1,388.69 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.89 |
$1,388.69 |
$1,374.81 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.75 |
$1,374.81 |
$1,361.06 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
5.3 |
-0.6 |
-11% |
|
$13.61 |
$1,361.06 |
$1,353.10 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
2.5 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$13.53 |
$1,353.10 |
$1,353.10 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.53 |
$1,353.10 |
$1,298.97 |
| 23rd Jun |
Ares FC 16 |
7 |
2.2 |
31% |
|
$12.99 |
$1,298.97 |
$1,327.55 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.28 |
$1,327.55 |
$1,314.28 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7.86 |
1.7 |
21% |
|
$13.14 |
$1,314.28 |
$1,336.44 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
16.18 |
8.6 |
53% |
|
$13.36 |
$1,336.44 |
$1,451.00 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
128% |
|
$14.51 |
$1,451.00 |
$1,504.67 |
| 14th Jul |
One Fight Night 12 |
5 |
1.0 |
20% |
|
$15.05 |
$1,504.67 |
$1,519.72 |
| 14th Jul |
CFFC 121 |
5 |
2.3 |
45% |
|
$15.20 |
$1,519.72 |
$1,554.22 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
13.84 |
3.8 |
27% |
|
$15.54 |
$1,554.22 |
$1,613.31 |
| 21st Jul |
Cage Warriors 157 |
35 |
-2.9 |
-8% |
|
$16.13 |
$1,613.31 |
$1,567.33 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
20.3 |
1.8 |
9% |
|
$15.67 |
$1,567.33 |
$1,595.34 |
| 29th Jul |
Cage Warriors 158 |
4 |
2.8 |
70% |
|
$15.95 |
$1,595.34 |
$1,640.17 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
22.15 |
-10.7 |
-48% |
|
$16.40 |
$1,640.17 |
$1,465.33 |
| 4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.65 |
$1,465.33 |
$1,450.68 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
14.79 |
1.5 |
10% |
|
$14.51 |
$1,450.68 |
$1,472.22 |
| 8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
5 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$14.72 |
$1,472.22 |
$1,473.84 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
12.5 |
15.7 |
125% |
|
$14.74 |
$1,473.84 |
$1,704.65 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
10.5 |
-8.5 |
-81% |
|
$17.05 |
$1,704.65 |
$1,558.91 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
4.75 |
-1.7 |
-37% |
|
$15.59 |
$1,558.91 |
$1,531.63 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
6.27 |
-6.3 |
-100% |
|
$15.32 |
$1,531.63 |
$1,435.59 |
| 2nd Sep |
FEN 50 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.36 |
$1,435.59 |
$1,363.81 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
11 |
-8.2 |
-74% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,363.81 |
$1,252.66 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$12.53 |
$1,252.66 |
$1,252.66 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.53 |
$1,252.66 |
$1,227.61 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
9.36 |
-5.9 |
-63% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,227.61 |
$1,154.94 |
| 23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,154.94 |
$1,149.16 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
5 |
2.3 |
45% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.16 |
$1,175.05 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
2.6 |
0.3 |
12% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,175.05 |
$1,178.57 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,178.57 |
$1,172.68 |
| 10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
0.8 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.68 |
$1,163.30 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
1.5 |
1.0 |
66% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,163.30 |
$1,174.81 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
120% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,174.81 |
$1,186.09 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
3.8 |
-2.8 |
-72% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,186.09 |
$1,153.47 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
30 |
-16.9 |
-56% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.47 |
$958.54 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
3.2 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.59 |
$958.54 |
$927.86 |
| 15th Dec |
Brave CF 80 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.28 |
$927.86 |
$881.47 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$8.81 |
$881.47 |
$879.71 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
4 |
-0.6 |
-16% |
|
$8.80 |
$879.71 |
$874.21 |
| 21st Jan |
UAE Warriors 47 |
25 |
-25.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.74 |
$874.21 |
$655.65 |
| 21st Jan |
Fury FC 85 |
46.61 |
-32.2 |
-69% |
|
$6.56 |
$655.65 |
$444.47 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -55.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
River Don: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Jan '24 |
Wendy Anundson |
Carsyn Nash |
1.29 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Jan '24 |
Joel Madak |
Justice Torres |
2.40 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:11) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Jan '24 |
Carlos Jimenez |
Francisco Obando |
2.30 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Jan '24 |
Cameron Presher |
Zachary Borrego |
1.91 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:24) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Jan '24 |
Jonathan Martin |
Mansher Khera |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:13) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Jan '24 |
Alden Coria |
Alberto Trujillo |
5.00 |
1.61 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Jan '24 |
Tracy Reeder |
Hector Saenz |
1.67 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Jan '24 |
Josh Altum |
Michael Aswell |
2.75 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '24 |
Jalal Al Daaja |
Mehdi Saadi |
3.15 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:29) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Jan '24 |
Abdulla Al Bousheiri |
Omar El Dafrawy |
1.34 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Jan '24 |
Wisem Hammami |
Omran Chaaban |
1.74 |
10 |
Sub, R5 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Jan '24 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
4.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jan '24 |
Arnold Allen |
Movsar Evloev |
2.50 |
0.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Jan '24 |
Sean Strickland |
Dricus Du Plessis |
1.90 |
1.1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '23 |
Jose Torres |
Nkosi Ndebele |
1.64 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:38) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '23 |
Carlos Hernandez |
Tatsuro Taira |
5.00 |
0.4 |
TKO, R2 (0:55) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Nov '23 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Chase Hooper |
2.75 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:58) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '23 |
Paul Craig |
Brendan Allen |
4.33 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (0:38) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '23 |
Luana Pinheiro |
Amanda Ribas |
3.00 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (3:53) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '23 |
Uros Medic |
Myktybek Orolbai |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
River Don: Progress Chart |
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